User-defined Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Labour majority 62

Party2019 Votes2019 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangeTactical
Fraction
Pred Seats
CON 44.7%376 33.0%2199-19720%179
LAB 33.0%197 39.0%1634+15930%356
LIB 11.8%8 12.0%330+3350%41
Reform 2.1%0 1.0%00+010%0
Green 2.8%1 5.0%10+150%2
SNP 4.0%48 4.3%64+20%50
PlaidC 0.5%2 0.6%20+20%4
Other 1.1%0 5.2%00+00%0
N.Ire 18 00+00%18

This prediction is based on the proposed new 2023 constituency boundaries (650 seats).

Edit current prediction, make new prediction, or go back to home page.

List of predicted seat changes

SeatCounty/AreaPredicted Change  MP as at 2019
Aberdeenshire North and Moray EastGrampianSNPgain fromCONDavid Duguid
Aberdeenshire West and KincardineGrampianSNPgain fromCONAndrew Bowie
Altrincham and Sale WestCentral ManchesterLABgain fromCONGraham Brady
AylesburyBuckinghamshireLABgain fromCONRob Butler
BanburyOxfordshireLABgain fromCONVictoria Prentis
Bangor AberconwyClwydLABgain fromCONRobin Millar
Barrow and FurnessCumbriaLABgain fromCONSimon Fell
BasingstokeHampshireLABgain fromCONMaria Miller
BassetlawNottinghamshireLABgain fromCONBrendan Clarke-Smith
Beckenham and PengeBromleyLABgain fromCONBob Stewart
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and SelkirkBordersSNPgain fromCONJohn Lamont
Birmingham NorthfieldBirminghamLABgain fromCONGary Sambrook
Bishop AucklandDurhamLABgain fromCONDehenna Davison
Blackpool North and FleetwoodLancashireLABgain fromCONPaul Maynard
Blackpool SouthLancashireLABgain fromCONScott Benton
BolsoverDerbyshireLABgain fromCONMark Fletcher
Bolton North EastWestern ManchesterLABgain fromCONMark Logan
Bolton WestWestern ManchesterLABgain fromCONChris Green
Bournemouth EastDorsetLABgain fromCONTobias Ellwood
Bournemouth WestDorsetLABgain fromCONConor Burns
BracknellBerkshireLABgain from (TV)CONJames Sunderland
BridgendMid GlamorganLABgain fromCONJamie Wallis
Bristol CentralBristol areaGreengain fromLABThangam Debbonaire
Bromley and Biggin HillBromleyLABgain fromCONBob Neill
BroxtoweNottinghamshireLABgain fromCONDarren Henry
Buckingham and BletchleyBuckinghamshireLABgain fromCONUnknown (new seat)
BurnleyLancashireLABgain fromCONAntony Higginbotham
Bury NorthWestern ManchesterLABgain fromCONJames Daly
Bury SouthWestern ManchesterLABgain fromCONChristian Wakeford
Calder ValleyWest YorkshireLABgain fromCONCraig Whittaker
Camborne and RedruthCornwallLABgain fromCONGeorge Eustice
Cambridgeshire SouthCambridgeshireLIBgain fromCONAnthony Browne
CarlisleCumbriaLABgain fromCONJohn Stevenson
CarmarthenDyfedPlaidgain fromCONUnknown (changed seat)
Carshalton and WallingtonSuttonLIBgain fromCONElliot Colburn
CheadleEastern ManchesterLIBgain fromCONMary Robinson
ChelmsfordEssexLIBgain from (TV)CONVicky Ford
Chelsea and FulhamHammersmith and FulhamLABgain fromCONGreg Hands
CheltenhamGloucestershireLIBgain fromCONAlex Chalk
Chesham and AmershamBuckinghamshireLIBgain from (TV)CONCheryl Gillan
Cheshire MidCheshireLABgain fromCONUnknown (new seat)
ChichesterWest SussexLABgain from (TV)CONGillian Keegan
Chingford and Woodford GreenWaltham ForestLABgain fromCONIain Duncan Smith
ChippenhamWiltshireLIBgain from (TV)CONMichelle Donelan
Chipping BarnetBarnetLABgain fromCONTheresa Villiers
Cities of London and WestminsterCity of WestminsterLABgain fromCONNickie Aiken
Clwyd EastClwydLABgain fromCONRob Roberts
Clwyd NorthClwydLABgain fromCONDavid Jones
ColchesterEssexLABgain fromCONWill Quince
Colne ValleyWest YorkshireLABgain fromCONJason McCartney
Corby and East NorthamptonshireNorthamptonshireLABgain fromCONTom Pursglove
Cornwall NorthCornwallLIBgain from (TV)CONScott Mann
Cowdenbeath and KirkcaldyFifeLABgain fromSNPNeale Hanvey
CrawleyWest SussexLABgain fromCONHenry Smith
Crewe and NantwichCheshireLABgain fromCONKieran Mullan
Croydon SouthCroydonLABgain fromCONChris Philp
DarlingtonDurhamLABgain fromCONPeter Gibson
Derby NorthDerbyshireLABgain fromCONAmanda Solloway
Derbyshire DalesDerbyshireLABgain from (TV)CONSarah Dines
Derbyshire MidDerbyshireLABgain from (TV)CONPauline Latham
Derbyshire North EastDerbyshireLABgain fromCONLee Rowley
Devon CentralDevonLABgain from (TV)CONMel Stride
Devon NorthDevonLIBgain from (TV)CONSelaine Saxby
Didcot and WantageOxfordshireLIBgain from (TV)CONDavid Johnston
Doncaster East and the Isle of AxholmeSouth YorkshireLABgain fromCONNick Fletcher
Dorset Mid and Poole NorthDorsetLIBgain fromCONMichael Tomlinson
Dorset WestDorsetLIBgain fromCONChris Loder
Dover and DealKentLABgain fromCONNatalie Elphicke
Dumfries and GallowayDumfries and GallowaySNPgain fromCONAlister Jack
Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and TweeddaleDumfries and GallowaySNPgain fromCONDavid Mundell
Dunstable and Leighton BuzzardBedfordshireLABgain from (TV)CONAndrew Selous
Earley and WoodleyBerkshireLABgain from (TV)CONUnknown (new seat)
EastbourneEast SussexLIBgain fromCONCaroline Ansell
EastleighHampshireLIBgain fromCONPaul Holmes
Edinburgh WestEdinburgh areaLIBhold (TV)LIBChristine Jardine
Eltham and ChislehurstGreenwichLABgain fromCONUnknown (changed seat)
Ely and East CambridgeshireCambridgeshireLIBgain from (TV)CONLucy Frazer
ErewashDerbyshireLABgain fromCONMaggie Throup
Esher and WaltonSurreyLIBgain from (TV)CONDominic Raab
Filton and Bradley StokeBristol areaLABgain fromCONJack Lopresti
Finchley and Golders GreenBarnetLABgain from (TV)CONMike Freer
GedlingNottinghamshireLABgain fromCONTom Randall
Glasgow North EastGlasgow areaLABgain from (TV)SNPAnne McLaughlin
Glastonbury and SomertonSomersetLIBgain fromCONDavid Warburton
GloucesterGloucestershireLABgain fromCONRichard Graham
Gordon and BuchanGrampianSNPgain fromCONUnknown (changed seat)
Great Grimsby and CleethorpesHumber areaLABgain fromCONLia Nici
GuildfordSurreyLIBgain from (TV)CONAngela Richardson
Harborough, Oadby and WigstonLeicestershireLABgain from (TV)CONNeil O'Brien
Harrogate and KnaresboroughNorth YorkshireLIBgain fromCONAndrew Jones
Harrow EastHarrowLABgain fromCONBob Blackman
HartlepoolTeessideCONgain fromLABMike Hill
Hastings and RyeEast SussexLABgain fromCONSally-Ann Hart
Hazel GroveEastern ManchesterLIBgain from (TV)CONWilliam Wragg
Hemel HempsteadHertfordshireLABgain fromCONMike Penning
HendonBarnetLABgain fromCONMatthew Offord
Hertford and StortfordHertfordshireLABgain fromCONJulie Marson
Hertfordshire North EastHertfordshireLABgain from (TV)CONOliver Heald
Hertfordshire South WestHertfordshireLABgain from (TV)CONGagan Mohindra
HexhamNorthumberlandLABgain fromCONGuy Opperman
High PeakDerbyshireLABgain fromCONRobert Largan
HitchinHertfordshireLABgain fromCONBim Afolami
HyndburnLancashireLABgain fromCONSara Britcliffe
IpswichSuffolkLABgain fromCONTom Hunt
Isle of Wight WestHampshireLABgain from (TV)CONUnknown (new seat)
Keighley and IlkleyWest YorkshireLABgain fromCONRobbie Moore
Kensington and BayswaterKensington and ChelseaLABgain fromCONFelicity Buchan
Kingston upon Hull West and HaltempriceHumber areaLABgain fromCONUnknown (changed seat)
Lancaster and WyreLancashireLABgain fromCONUnknown (changed seat)
Leeds North WestWest YorkshireLABgain fromCONStuart Andrew
Leeds South West and MorleyWest YorkshireLABgain fromCONAndrea Jenkyns
Leigh and AthertonWestern ManchesterLABgain fromCONJames Grundy
LewesEast SussexLIBgain from (TV)CONMaria Caulfield
LincolnLincolnshireLABgain fromCONKarl McCartney
Lothian EastEdinburgh areaLABgain fromSNPKenny MacAskill
LoughboroughLeicestershireLABgain fromCONJane Hunt
LowestoftSuffolkLABgain from (TV)CONPeter Aldous
MacclesfieldCheshireLABgain fromCONDavid Rutley
Middlesbrough South and Cleveland EastTeessideLABgain fromCONSimon Clarke
Milton Keynes CentralBuckinghamshireLABgain fromCONIain Stewart
Milton Keynes NorthBuckinghamshireLABgain fromCONBen Everitt
MonmouthshireGwentLABgain fromCONDavid Davies
Montgomeryshire and GlyndwrPowysLABgain fromCONCraig Williams
Morecambe and LunesdaleLancashireLABgain fromCONDavid Morris
NewburyBerkshireLIBgain from (TV)CONLaura Farris
Newcastle-under-LymeStaffordshireLABgain fromCONAaron Bell
Newton Aycliffe and SpennymoorDurhamLABgain fromCONPaul Howell
Norfolk NorthNorfolkLIBgain fromCONDuncan Baker
Norfolk SouthNorfolkLABgain from (TV)CONRichard Bacon
Northampton NorthNorthamptonshireLABgain fromCONMichael Ellis
Northampton SouthNorthamptonshireLABgain fromCONAndrew Lewer
Northumberland NorthNorthumberlandLABgain from (TV)CONAnne-Marie Trevelyan
Norwich NorthNorfolkLABgain fromCONChloe Smith
NuneatonWarwickshireLABgain from (TV)CONMarcus Jones
Ossett and Denby DaleWest YorkshireLABgain fromCONImran Ahmad-Khan
Pembrokeshire Mid and SouthDyfedLABgain fromCONStephen Crabb
Pendle and ClitheroeLancashireLABgain from (TV)CONAndrew Stephenson
Penistone and StocksbridgeSouth YorkshireLABgain fromCONMiriam Cates
Penrith and SolwayCumbriaLABgain fromCONMark Jenkinson
PeterboroughCambridgeshireLABgain fromCONPaul Bristow
Plymouth Moor ViewDevonLABgain fromCONJohnny Mercer
Portsmouth NorthHampshireLABgain from (TV)CONPenny Mordaunt
Reading West and Mid BerkshireBerkshireLABgain from (TV)CONAlok Sharma
RedcarTeessideLABgain fromCONJacob Young
Ribble SouthLancashireLABgain fromCONKatherine Fletcher
RochdaleEastern ManchesterCONgain fromLABTony Lloyd
Rossendale and DarwenLancashireLABgain fromCONJake Berry
Rother ValleySouth YorkshireLABgain fromCONAlexander Stafford
RugbyWarwickshireLABgain fromCONMark Pawsey
RushcliffeNottinghamshireLABgain fromCONRuth Edwards
RutherglenAyrshire and LanarkLABgain fromSNPMargaret Ferrier
Scarborough and WhitbyNorth YorkshireLABgain fromCONRobert Goodwill
ScunthorpeHumber areaLABgain fromCONHolly Mumby-Croft
SelbyNorth YorkshireLABgain fromCONNigel Adams
Sheffield HallamSouth YorkshireLIBgain fromLABOlivia Blake
Sherwood ForestNottinghamshireLABgain fromCONMark Spencer
ShipleyWest YorkshireLABgain fromCONPhilip Davies
ShrewsburyShropshireLABgain fromCONDaniel Kawczynski
Somerset NorthBristol areaLABgain fromCONLiam Fox
Somerset North East and HanhamBristol areaLABgain from (TV)CONJacob Rees-Mogg
Southampton ItchenHampshireLABgain fromCONRoyston Smith
Southend East and RochfordEssexLABgain from (TV)CONJames Duddridge
SouthportMerseysideLABgain fromCONDamien Moore
Spen ValleyWest YorkshireLABgain from (TV)CONUnknown (changed seat)
St IvesCornwallLIBgain fromCONDerek Thomas
St Neots and Mid CambridgeshireCambridgeshireLABgain from (TV)CONUnknown (new seat)
StaffordStaffordshireLABgain fromCONTheo Clarke
StevenageHertfordshireLABgain fromCONStephen McPartland
Stockton WestTeessideLABgain fromCONMatt Vickers
Stoke-on-Trent CentralStaffordshireLABgain fromCONJo Gideon
Stoke-on-Trent NorthStaffordshireLABgain fromCONJonathan Gullis
StroudGloucestershireLABgain fromCONSiobhan Baillie
Suffolk CoastalSuffolkLABgain from (TV)CONTherese Coffey
Sutton and CheamSuttonLIBgain from (TV)CONPaul Scully
Swindon SouthWiltshireLABgain fromCONRobert Buckland
Taunton and WellingtonSomersetLIBgain fromCONRebecca Pow
TelfordShropshireLABgain fromCONLucy Allan
Thanet EastKentLABgain fromCONCraig Mackinlay
Thornbury and YateBristol areaLIBgain fromCONLuke Hall
ThurrockEssexLABgain from (TV)CONJackie Doyle-Price
Tipton and WednesburyBlack CountryLABgain fromCONShaun Bailey
Truro and FalmouthCornwallLABgain fromCONCherilyn Mackrory
Uxbridge and South RuislipHillingdonLABgain from (TV)CONBoris Johnson
Vale of GlamorganSouth GlamorganLABgain fromCONAlun Cairns
Wakefield and RothwellWest YorkshireLABgain fromCONUnknown (new seat)
Walsall and BloxwichBlack CountryLABgain fromCONEddie Hughes
Warrington SouthCheshireLABgain fromCONAndy Carter
WatfordHertfordshireLABgain fromCONDean Russell
Wellingborough and RushdenNorthamptonshireLABgain fromCONPeter Bone
Wells and Mendip HillsSomersetLIBgain from (TV)CONJames Heappey
Welwyn HatfieldHertfordshireLABgain fromCONGrant Shapps
West BromwichBlack CountryLABgain fromCONNicola Richards
Westmorland and LonsdaleCumbriaLIBgain fromCONUnknown (changed seat)
Weston-super-MareBristol areaLABgain fromCONJohn Penrose
Whitehaven and WorkingtonCumbriaLABgain fromCONTrudy Harrison
WimbledonMertonLIBgain fromCONStephen Hammond
WinchesterHampshireLIBgain fromCONSteve Brine
Wirral WestMerseysideLABgain fromCONUnknown (changed seat)
Wolverhampton North EastBlack CountryLABgain fromCONJane Stevenson
Wolverhampton WestBlack CountryLABgain fromCONStuart Anderson
WorcesterHereford and WorcestershireLABgain fromCONRobin Walker
Worthing East and ShorehamWest SussexLABgain fromCONTim Loughton
Worthing WestWest SussexLABgain from (TV)CONPeter Bottomley
WrexhamClwydLABgain fromCONSarah Atherton
WycombeBuckinghamshireLABgain from (TV)CONSteve Baker
YeovilSomersetLIBgain fromCONMarcus Fysh
Ynys Mon (Anglesey)GwyneddPlaidgain fromCONVirginia Crosbie
York OuterNorth YorkshireLABgain fromCONJulian Sturdy

Seats whose winner changed due to tactical voting effects are marked '(TV)'.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2019. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.


© 2024 Electoral Calculus Ltd
Powered by TigerLib (14-Mar-2024 12:19, Py3L, sc1561)