Election Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Conservative short 8 of majority

List of predicted seat changes

Party	2017 Votes	2017 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Tactical Fraction	Pred Seats
CON	43.5%	318	41.0%	15	15	+0	30%	318
LAB	41.0%	262	37.1%	9	21	-12	30%	250
LIB	7.6%	12	11.7%	6	0	+6	30%	18
Brexit	0.0%	0	2.9%	0	0	+0	30%	0
Green	1.7%	1	2.9%	0	0	+0	30%	1
SNP	3.1%	35	3.8%	9	0	+9	0%	44
PlaidC	0.5%	4	0.4%	0	3	-3	0%	1
UKIP	1.9%	0	0.0%	0	0	+0	0%	0
Other	0.7%	0	0.3%	0	0	+0	0%	0
N.Ire		18		0	0	+0	0%	18

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2017
Arfon	Gwynedd	LAB	gain from	Plaid	Hywel Williams
Ashfield	Nottinghamshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Gloria De Piero
Ayr Carrick and Cumnock	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from (TV)	CON	Bill Grant
Barrow and Furness	Cumbria	CON	gain from	LAB	John Woodcock
Bishop Auckland	Durham	CON	gain from	LAB	Helen Goodman
Blackpool South	Lancashire	CON	gain from	LAB	Gordon Marsden
Carmarthen East and Dinefwr	Dyfed	LAB	gain from	Plaid	Jonathan Edwards
Ceredigion	Dyfed	LAB	gain from	Plaid	Ben Lake
Cheltenham	Gloucestershire	LIB	gain from	CON	Alex Chalk
Chingford and Woodford Green	Waltham Forest	LAB	gain from	CON	Iain Duncan Smith
Chipping Barnet	Barnet	LAB	gain from (TV)	CON	Theresa Villiers
Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Hugh Gaffney
Crewe and Nantwich	Cheshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Laura Smith
Dagenham and Rainham	Barking and Dagenham	CON	gain from	LAB	Jon Cruddas
Don Valley	South Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Caroline Flint
Dudley North	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	Ian Austin
East Lothian	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Martin Whitfield
Glasgow North East	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Paul Sweeney
Gordon	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	Colin Clark
Great Grimsby	Humber area	CON	gain from (TV)	LAB	Melanie Onn
Harrow East	Harrow	LAB	gain from (TV)	CON	Bob Blackman
Lewes	East Sussex	LIB	gain from (TV)	CON	Maria Caulfield
Midlothian	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Danielle Rowley
Newcastle-under-Lyme	Staffordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Paul Farrelly
Ochil and South Perthshire	Central	SNP	gain from (TV)	CON	Luke Graham
Penistone and Stocksbridge	South Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Angela Smith
Peterborough	Cambridgeshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Fiona Onasanya
Putney	Wandsworth	LAB	gain from (TV)	CON	Justine Greening
Richmond Park	Richmond Upon Thames	LIB	gain from	CON	Zac Goldsmith
Rother Valley	South Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Kevin Barron
Rutherglen and Hamilton West	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	LAB	Ged Killen
Sheffield Hallam	South Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Jared O Mara
Shipley	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from (TV)	CON	Philip Davies
St Albans	Hertfordshire	LIB	gain from (TV)	CON	Anne Main
Stirling	Central	SNP	gain from	CON	Stephen Kerr
Stoke-on-Trent North	Staffordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Ruth Smeeth
Vale of Glamorgan	South Glamorgan	LAB	gain from	CON	Alun Cairns
West Bromwich West	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	Adrian Bailey
Winchester	Hampshire	LIB	gain from (TV)	CON	Steve Brine

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

User-defined Prediction

National Prediction: Conservative short 8 of majority

List of predicted seat changes