Anglia: Majority Sorted Seats

Anglia Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 54.6%50 50.1%03-347
LAB 32.7%7 33.1%30+310
LIB 7.9%1 7.8%00+01
UKIP 2.5%0 5.4%00+00
Green 1.9%0 2.7%00+00
Minor 0.3%0 0.8%00+00

This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Cambridge, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Maldon, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Rochford and Southend East (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Luton South (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Anglia seats with predictions

Lab
Seats
Con
Seats
SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
UKIP
%
Green
%
NAT
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2017
Win
Pred
Win
93483Cambridge Daniel Zeichner78,00371.712.652.229.12.43.00.00.00.6LABLAB
110466Luton North Kelvin Hopkins66,81169.828.564.21.72.92.20.00.00.5LABLAB
113463Norwich South Clive Lewis74,18269.226.161.35.52.93.80.00.00.5LABLAB
115461Luton South Gavin Shuker67,18868.727.762.82.34.61.80.00.00.8LABLAB
251325Bedford Mohammad Yasin71,82967.540.747.25.82.92.90.00.00.5LABLAB
252324Ipswich Sandy Martin74,79968.441.247.72.35.62.50.00.00.7LABLAB
254322Peterborough Fiona Onasanya71,52266.742.348.43.32.92.60.00.00.5LABLAB
270306Thurrock Jackie Doyle-Price78,15364.435.039.21.623.00.80.00.00.5CONLAB
272304Norwich North Chloe Smith66,92468.643.247.03.22.92.60.00.01.2CONLAB
291285Watford Richard Harrington86,50767.841.142.49.04.92.10.00.00.5CONLAB
309267Stevenage Stephen McPartland70,76569.745.743.84.12.93.00.00.00.5CONCON
323253Colchester Will Quince79,99666.941.335.616.82.92.40.00.00.8CONCON
327249Rochford and Southend East James Duddridge73,50164.344.237.32.76.62.50.06.20.5CONCON
335241Welwyn Hatfield Grant Shapps72,88870.946.537.17.45.72.50.00.00.8CONCON
341235Harlow Robert Halfon67,69766.249.538.72.16.92.30.00.00.5CONCON
351225Waveney Peter Aldous80,78465.249.837.21.96.53.40.00.01.1CONCON
353223Great Yarmouth Brandon Lewis71,40861.849.636.42.29.12.10.00.00.5CONCON
354222Hemel Hempstead Mike Penning75,01169.750.437.36.12.92.80.00.00.5CONCON
368208St Albans Anne Main72,81178.338.623.432.23.02.30.00.00.5CONCON
374202Hitchin and Harpenden Bim Afolami75,91677.448.533.010.52.93.10.00.02.0CONCON
377199Southend West David Amess67,67769.750.634.44.46.42.60.00.01.5CONCON
393183Chelmsford Vicky Ford81,04570.249.130.212.15.82.30.00.00.5CONCON
395181Huntingdon Jonathan Djanogly84,32070.850.631.28.56.62.70.00.00.5CONCON
397179Basildon South and East Thurrock Stephen Metcalfe73,54164.152.432.91.59.62.30.00.01.3CONCON
399177Cambridgeshire South Heidi Allen85,25776.247.327.618.53.03.20.00.00.5CONCON
406170Bedfordshire South West Andrew Selous79,67069.854.734.14.72.92.60.00.01.0CONCON
407169Cambridgeshire South East Lucy Frazer86,12173.248.828.118.83.00.90.00.00.5CONCON
417159Norfolk South Richard Bacon83,05673.653.731.38.22.93.40.00.00.5CONCON
421155Suffolk Coastal Therese Coffey79,36673.253.530.86.92.94.00.00.01.9CONCON
424152Harwich and North Essex Bernard Jenkin71,29471.754.030.85.46.22.90.00.00.8CONCON
425151Cambridgeshire North West Shailesh Vara93,22368.654.130.94.96.82.80.00.00.5CONCON
426150Norfolk North West Henry Bellingham72,06267.755.732.42.86.02.60.00.00.5CONCON
427149Broadland Keith Simpson77,33472.453.430.07.95.82.50.00.00.5CONCON
431145Norfolk Mid George Freeman80,02669.654.430.45.16.62.90.00.00.5CONCON
439137Bury St Edmunds Jo Churchill87,75870.854.629.95.72.95.00.00.01.9CONCON
442134Basildon and Billericay John Baron69,14965.056.431.53.47.40.80.00.00.5CONCON
448128Hertfordshire North East Oliver Heald75,96773.254.128.77.62.96.20.00.00.5CONCON
450126Suffolk Central and Ipswich North Dan Poulter78,11672.455.630.14.35.83.80.00.00.5CONCON
456120Hertford and Stortford Mark Prisk82,42972.855.828.98.02.93.90.00.00.5CONCON
456119Norfolk North Norman Lamb69,26375.337.110.348.23.00.90.00.00.5LIBLIB
459117Hertfordshire South West David Gauke80,29375.553.426.011.65.13.50.00.00.5CONCON
460116Hertsmere Oliver Dowden73,55471.056.629.05.35.92.70.00.00.5CONCON
461115Bedfordshire North East Alistair Burt86,98873.856.428.85.75.82.70.00.00.5CONCON
464112Suffolk South James Cartlidge75,96771.456.028.25.85.64.00.00.00.5CONCON
468108Suffolk West Matt Hancock76,98467.256.628.54.27.52.70.00.00.5CONCON
473103Bedfordshire Mid Nadine Dorries83,80075.457.128.86.02.93.70.00.01.5CONCON
474102Broxbourne Charles Walker73,50264.657.629.33.16.92.60.00.00.5CONCON
49284Norfolk South West Elizabeth Truss77,87467.358.228.24.57.80.80.00.00.5CONCON
49977Braintree James Cleverly75,31669.558.328.04.36.42.60.00.00.5CONCON
50670Clacton Giles Watling69,26363.756.725.72.010.52.50.01.01.6CONCON
50769Epping Forest Eleanor Laing74,73767.957.426.45.66.63.30.00.00.7CONCON
51858Witham Priti Patel69,13771.259.826.85.52.94.60.00.00.5CONCON
53739Cambridgeshire North East Stephen Barclay84,40463.159.924.94.47.02.80.00.01.0CONCON
54234Saffron Walden Kemi Badenoch83,69072.857.221.213.96.40.90.00.00.5CONCON
54828Castle Point Rebecca Harris69,47064.462.725.42.38.20.80.00.00.5CONCON
55125Rayleigh and Wickford Mark Francois78,55670.462.224.72.87.12.80.00.00.5CONCON
56214Brentwood and Ongar Alex Burghart74,91170.661.220.88.36.42.60.00.00.7CONCON
5679Maldon John Whittingdale66,96075.063.421.64.36.73.00.00.01.0CONCON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.