Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CON | 30.6% | 23 | 22.7% | 0 | 18 | -18 | 5 |
LAB | 29.4% | 27 | 20.0% | 0 | 19 | -19 | 8 |
LIB | 13.2% | 7 | 14.3% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 7 |
Reform | 17.5% | 3 | 31.5% | 37 | 0 | +37 | 40 |
Green | 6.9% | 1 | 9.3% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
Other | 2.4% | 0 | 2.2% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The seat 'Cambridge' where the LAB−CON difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Norfolk North', where the CON−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.
The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Norfolk North (prediction: LIB), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Cambridge (prediction: LAB).
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
LAB Seats | CON Seats | Seat | MP at 2024 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | Reform % | Green % | MIN % | OTH % | 2024 Win | Pred Win |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
46 | 141 | Cambridge | Daniel Zeichner | 70,315 | 59.9 | 9.1 | 33.2 | 20.7 | 12.9 | 20.3 | 2.2 | 1.5 | LAB | LAB |
65 | 122 | Norwich South | Clive Lewis | 76,381 | 59.0 | 11.0 | 32.7 | 10.5 | 24.4 | 19.6 | 0.0 | 1.8 | LAB | LAB |
89 | 97 | Norwich North | Alice Macdonald | 73,721 | 62.1 | 14.1 | 31.6 | 8.0 | 33.5 | 11.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | LAB | Reform |
98 | 89 | Bedford | Mohammad Yasin | 72,478 | 56.1 | 14.5 | 31.1 | 12.7 | 28.2 | 9.8 | 2.0 | 1.7 | LAB | LAB |
113 | 74 | Colchester | Pam Cox | 78,662 | 57.1 | 15.8 | 30.0 | 14.3 | 29.8 | 9.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | LAB | LAB |
115 | 72 | Hitchin | Alistair Strathern | 75,080 | 69.9 | 19.8 | 33.8 | 12.3 | 25.2 | 8.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 | LAB | LAB |
116 | 70 | Ipswich | Jack Simon Abbott | 76,319 | 57.7 | 16.1 | 29.3 | 8.6 | 33.7 | 11.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | LAB | Reform |
121 | 65 | Luton North | Sarah Owen | 74,866 | 51.8 | 13.6 | 24.0 | 9.9 | 30.7 | 8.6 | 8.6 | 4.7 | LAB | Reform |
124 | 63 | Watford | Matt Turmaine | 73,000 | 60.9 | 17.0 | 26.6 | 17.6 | 25.1 | 8.7 | 4.8 | 0.2 | LAB | LAB |
126 | 60 | Luton South and South Bedfordshire | Rachel Hopkins | 76,970 | 49.9 | 13.9 | 22.6 | 9.8 | 30.3 | 9.4 | 10.4 | 3.6 | LAB | Reform |
127 | 59 | Thurrock | Jennifer Craft | 73,405 | 51.2 | 17.1 | 24.9 | 7.7 | 38.2 | 8.8 | 2.3 | 0.9 | LAB | Reform |
131 | 56 | Welwyn Hatfield | Andrew Lewin | 75,259 | 64.4 | 22.8 | 30.2 | 10.1 | 27.5 | 8.8 | 0.0 | 0.6 | LAB | LAB |
134 | 52 | Stevenage | Kevin Bonavia | 70,086 | 60.9 | 20.8 | 26.6 | 11.1 | 30.0 | 10.4 | 0.0 | 1.1 | LAB | Reform |
140 | 46 | Hemel Hempstead | David Taylor | 71,038 | 62.1 | 22.1 | 25.5 | 13.4 | 28.7 | 9.5 | 0.0 | 0.9 | LAB | Reform |
143 | 44 | Hertford and Stortford | Josh Dean | 78,915 | 68.4 | 25.0 | 27.6 | 11.2 | 24.2 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | LAB | LAB |
143 | 43 | Southend East and Rochford | Bayo Alaba | 70,217 | 56.5 | 22.1 | 24.7 | 9.2 | 31.8 | 10.6 | 0.0 | 1.7 | LAB | Reform |
143 | 43 | Peterborough | Andrew Pakes | 73,378 | 57.1 | 18.1 | 20.6 | 7.5 | 34.9 | 8.9 | 9.4 | 0.5 | LAB | Reform |
145 | 41 | Great Yarmouth | Rupert Lowe | 73,317 | 55.6 | 16.2 | 17.2 | 6.6 | 50.9 | 7.3 | 0.0 | 1.7 | Reform | Reform |
145 | 41 | Norfolk South | Ben Goldsborough | 74,135 | 66.9 | 23.8 | 24.2 | 13.4 | 26.2 | 11.1 | 0.0 | 1.3 | LAB | Reform |
145 | 41 | Lowestoft | Jessica Asato | 74,332 | 56.3 | 19.7 | 19.9 | 7.7 | 41.8 | 9.8 | 0.0 | 1.1 | LAB | Reform |
145 | 41 | Harlow | Christopher John Vince | 74,683 | 58.1 | 22.7 | 22.1 | 8.1 | 37.6 | 8.4 | 0.0 | 1.1 | LAB | Reform |
145 | 41 | Basildon South and East Thurrock | James McMurdock | 72,673 | 54.4 | 18.2 | 17.6 | 7.3 | 46.0 | 7.3 | 0.0 | 3.6 | Reform | Reform |
145 | 41 | Southend West and Leigh | David Edmund Burton-Sampson | 75,154 | 62.5 | 24.7 | 23.9 | 10.0 | 29.5 | 10.3 | 0.0 | 1.5 | LAB | Reform |
145 | 41 | Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket | Peter Prinsley | 77,599 | 65.6 | 22.2 | 21.4 | 10.3 | 31.0 | 12.8 | 0.0 | 2.2 | LAB | Reform |
145 | 41 | Hertfordshire North East | Chris Hinchliff | 77,090 | 68.1 | 25.8 | 24.4 | 12.9 | 25.9 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | LAB | Reform |
145 | 41 | Suffolk Coastal | Jenny Riddell-Carpenter | 74,522 | 66.4 | 23.7 | 22.0 | 14.5 | 28.0 | 10.8 | 0.0 | 0.9 | LAB | Reform |
145 | 41 | Norfolk South West | Terry Jermy | 74,724 | 59.3 | 17.6 | 15.8 | 8.4 | 38.6 | 6.7 | 12.3 | 0.7 | LAB | Reform |
148 | 38 | Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard | Alex Mayer | 76,742 | 60.0 | 24.3 | 21.4 | 14.3 | 30.7 | 8.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | LAB | Reform |
149 | 37 | Cambridgeshire North West | Sam Carling | 75,915 | 58.5 | 23.4 | 20.0 | 10.5 | 35.5 | 9.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | LAB | Reform |
151 | 35 | Broadland and Fakenham | Jerome Mayhew | 76,859 | 64.4 | 25.7 | 21.6 | 12.3 | 30.5 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.9 | CON | Reform |
152 | 34 | Basildon and Billericay | Richard John Holden | 76,873 | 54.8 | 22.5 | 17.8 | 9.3 | 41.0 | 7.8 | 0.0 | 1.6 | CON | Reform |
153 | 33 | St Albans | Daisy Cooper | 72,739 | 71.0 | 17.1 | 12.0 | 43.7 | 18.4 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.9 | LIB | LIB |
153 | 33 | Harwich and North Essex | Bernard Jenkin | 76,579 | 62.7 | 26.5 | 21.2 | 10.2 | 32.3 | 8.9 | 0.0 | 0.9 | CON | Reform |
153 | 33 | Bedfordshire Mid | Blake Stephenson | 76,218 | 65.1 | 27.5 | 21.8 | 11.2 | 28.3 | 8.6 | 0.0 | 2.5 | CON | Reform |
154 | 33 | Essex North West | Kemi Badenoch | 79,824 | 68.1 | 27.4 | 21.6 | 14.2 | 26.6 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 2.3 | CON | CON |
155 | 32 | Huntingdon | Benjamin Obese-Jecty | 79,074 | 65.8 | 27.6 | 21.8 | 11.8 | 27.6 | 9.3 | 0.0 | 1.9 | CON | CON |
156 | 30 | Suffolk South | James Cartlidge | 73,385 | 66.5 | 24.3 | 18.0 | 14.6 | 32.4 | 9.7 | 0.0 | 0.9 | CON | Reform |
157 | 29 | Norfolk Mid | George Freeman | 75,238 | 61.0 | 25.1 | 18.5 | 9.8 | 37.3 | 8.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | CON | Reform |
158 | 28 | Suffolk West | Nick Timothy | 77,149 | 59.8 | 23.9 | 16.8 | 11.3 | 37.2 | 8.8 | 0.0 | 1.9 | CON | Reform |
158 | 28 | Hertfordshire South West | Gagan Mohindra | 71,353 | 67.6 | 24.4 | 17.2 | 22.5 | 27.6 | 7.1 | 0.0 | 1.2 | CON | Reform |
158 | 28 | St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire | Ian Sollom | 78,115 | 67.7 | 20.1 | 12.8 | 30.5 | 25.6 | 7.8 | 0.0 | 3.3 | LIB | LIB |
159 | 27 | Broxbourne | Lewis Christopher Cocking | 75,187 | 57.1 | 26.5 | 18.9 | 10.2 | 35.3 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.1 | CON | Reform |
159 | 27 | Braintree | James Cleverly | 77,781 | 63.0 | 25.4 | 17.8 | 9.4 | 37.6 | 8.1 | 0.0 | 1.6 | CON | Reform |
160 | 26 | Cambridgeshire South | Pippa Heylings | 77,327 | 71.0 | 20.5 | 12.4 | 37.9 | 21.1 | 7.1 | 0.0 | 1.0 | LIB | LIB |
161 | 25 | Suffolk Central and North Ipswich | Patrick Spencer | 73,046 | 63.6 | 23.9 | 15.2 | 13.5 | 33.3 | 12.6 | 0.0 | 1.6 | CON | Reform |
162 | 24 | Clacton | Nigel Farage | 78,703 | 58.4 | 18.5 | 9.3 | 6.8 | 58.2 | 5.7 | 0.0 | 1.5 | Reform | Reform |
162 | 24 | Witham | Priti Patel | 79,072 | 64.0 | 27.0 | 17.7 | 10.3 | 34.2 | 8.9 | 0.0 | 2.0 | CON | Reform |
162 | 24 | Norfolk North West | James Wild | 74,415 | 59.9 | 24.6 | 14.9 | 14.1 | 38.2 | 7.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | CON | Reform |
162 | 24 | Rayleigh and Wickford | Mark Francois | 76,576 | 62.7 | 26.8 | 16.4 | 10.7 | 38.7 | 6.6 | 0.0 | 0.9 | CON | Reform |
163 | 24 | Bedfordshire North | Richard Fuller | 78,850 | 65.4 | 30.2 | 19.5 | 12.5 | 28.1 | 8.8 | 0.0 | 0.9 | CON | CON |
163 | 23 | Castle Point | Rebecca Harris | 70,967 | 57.3 | 25.8 | 14.6 | 6.9 | 45.1 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 0.9 | CON | Reform |
165 | 22 | Epping Forest | Neil Hudson | 72,229 | 57.8 | 31.3 | 19.6 | 15.2 | 20.9 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 4.4 | CON | CON |
165 | 21 | Brentwood and Ongar | Alex Burghart | 75,352 | 64.1 | 28.3 | 16.2 | 13.9 | 34.6 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | CON | Reform |
165 | 21 | Ely and East Cambridgeshire | Charlotte Cane | 79,112 | 66.2 | 25.8 | 13.6 | 26.7 | 24.7 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 1.5 | LIB | LIB |
166 | 20 | Harpenden and Berkhamsted | Victoria Collins | 72,242 | 75.2 | 23.7 | 10.5 | 41.1 | 18.4 | 5.6 | 0.0 | 0.7 | LIB | LIB |
169 | 17 | Cambridgeshire North East | Steve Barclay | 71,511 | 54.8 | 26.0 | 11.7 | 8.7 | 44.0 | 6.9 | 0.6 | 1.9 | CON | Reform |
170 | 17 | Hertsmere | Oliver Dowden | 73,518 | 65.3 | 33.4 | 18.5 | 12.4 | 27.1 | 7.5 | 0.0 | 1.2 | CON | CON |
171 | 15 | Chelmsford | Marie Goldman | 76,972 | 65.9 | 25.4 | 10.3 | 31.5 | 24.8 | 6.6 | 0.4 | 1.2 | LIB | LIB |
171 | 15 | Maldon | John Whittingdale | 78,281 | 63.7 | 28.6 | 13.5 | 13.0 | 37.8 | 6.4 | 0.0 | 0.9 | CON | Reform |
172 | 14 | Waveney Valley | Adrian Ramsay | 73,056 | 67.2 | 22.6 | 7.2 | 6.8 | 30.6 | 31.6 | 0.0 | 1.2 | Green | Green |
181 | 5 | Norfolk North | Steffan Aquarone | 71,438 | 65.9 | 27.7 | 6.5 | 30.1 | 29.5 | 5.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | LIB | LIB |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.