Anglia: Sorted Seats

Anglia Prediction

Party	2024 Votes	2024 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	30.6%	23	22.7%	0	18	-18	5
LAB	29.4%	27	20.0%	0	19	-19	8
LIB	13.2%	7	14.3%	0	0	+0	7
Reform	17.5%	3	31.5%	37	0	+37	40
Green	6.9%	1	9.3%	0	0	+0	1
Other	2.4%	0	2.2%	0	0	+0	0

This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The seat 'Cambridge' where the LAB−CON difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Norfolk North', where the CON−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.

The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Norfolk North (prediction: LIB), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Cambridge (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Anglia seats with predictions

LAB Seats	CON Seats	Seat	MP at 2024	Electorate	Turn Out%	CON %	LAB %	LIB %	Reform %	Green %	MIN %	OTH %	2024 Win	Pred Win
46	141	Cambridge	Daniel Zeichner	70,315	59.9	9.1	33.2	20.7	12.9	20.3	2.2	1.5	LAB	LAB
65	122	Norwich South	Clive Lewis	76,381	59.0	11.0	32.7	10.5	24.4	19.6	0.0	1.8	LAB	LAB
89	97	Norwich North	Alice Macdonald	73,721	62.1	14.1	31.6	8.0	33.5	11.8	0.0	1.0	LAB	Reform
98	89	Bedford	Mohammad Yasin	72,478	56.1	14.5	31.1	12.7	28.2	9.8	2.0	1.7	LAB	LAB
113	74	Colchester	Pam Cox	78,662	57.1	15.8	30.0	14.3	29.8	9.3	0.0	0.7	LAB	LAB
115	72	Hitchin	Alistair Strathern	75,080	69.9	19.8	33.8	12.3	25.2	8.2	0.0	0.7	LAB	LAB
116	70	Ipswich	Jack Simon Abbott	76,319	57.7	16.1	29.3	8.6	33.7	11.2	0.0	1.0	LAB	Reform
121	65	Luton North	Sarah Owen	74,866	51.8	13.6	24.0	9.9	30.7	8.6	8.6	4.7	LAB	Reform
124	63	Watford	Matt Turmaine	73,000	60.9	17.0	26.6	17.6	25.1	8.7	4.8	0.2	LAB	LAB
126	60	Luton South and South Bedfordshire	Rachel Hopkins	76,970	49.9	13.9	22.6	9.8	30.3	9.4	10.4	3.6	LAB	Reform
127	59	Thurrock	Jennifer Craft	73,405	51.2	17.1	24.9	7.7	38.2	8.8	2.3	0.9	LAB	Reform
131	56	Welwyn Hatfield	Andrew Lewin	75,259	64.4	22.8	30.2	10.1	27.5	8.8	0.0	0.6	LAB	LAB
134	52	Stevenage	Kevin Bonavia	70,086	60.9	20.8	26.6	11.1	30.0	10.4	0.0	1.1	LAB	Reform
140	46	Hemel Hempstead	David Taylor	71,038	62.1	22.1	25.5	13.4	28.7	9.5	0.0	0.9	LAB	Reform
143	44	Hertford and Stortford	Josh Dean	78,915	68.4	25.0	27.6	11.2	24.2	11.0	0.0	1.0	LAB	LAB
143	43	Southend East and Rochford	Bayo Alaba	70,217	56.5	22.1	24.7	9.2	31.8	10.6	0.0	1.7	LAB	Reform
143	43	Peterborough	Andrew Pakes	73,378	57.1	18.1	20.6	7.5	34.9	8.9	9.4	0.5	LAB	Reform
145	41	Great Yarmouth	Rupert Lowe	73,317	55.6	16.2	17.2	6.6	50.9	7.3	0.0	1.7	Reform	Reform
145	41	Norfolk South	Ben Goldsborough	74,135	66.9	23.8	24.2	13.4	26.2	11.1	0.0	1.3	LAB	Reform
145	41	Lowestoft	Jessica Asato	74,332	56.3	19.7	19.9	7.7	41.8	9.8	0.0	1.1	LAB	Reform
145	41	Harlow	Christopher John Vince	74,683	58.1	22.7	22.1	8.1	37.6	8.4	0.0	1.1	LAB	Reform
145	41	Basildon South and East Thurrock	James McMurdock	72,673	54.4	18.2	17.6	7.3	46.0	7.3	0.0	3.6	Reform	Reform
145	41	Southend West and Leigh	David Edmund Burton-Sampson	75,154	62.5	24.7	23.9	10.0	29.5	10.3	0.0	1.5	LAB	Reform
145	41	Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket	Peter Prinsley	77,599	65.6	22.2	21.4	10.3	31.0	12.8	0.0	2.2	LAB	Reform
145	41	Hertfordshire North East	Chris Hinchliff	77,090	68.1	25.8	24.4	12.9	25.9	10.0	0.0	0.8	LAB	Reform
145	41	Suffolk Coastal	Jenny Riddell-Carpenter	74,522	66.4	23.7	22.0	14.5	28.0	10.8	0.0	0.9	LAB	Reform
145	41	Norfolk South West	Terry Jermy	74,724	59.3	17.6	15.8	8.4	38.6	6.7	12.3	0.7	LAB	Reform
148	38	Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard	Alex Mayer	76,742	60.0	24.3	21.4	14.3	30.7	8.3	0.0	1.0	LAB	Reform
149	37	Cambridgeshire North West	Sam Carling	75,915	58.5	23.4	20.0	10.5	35.5	9.7	0.0	1.0	LAB	Reform
151	35	Broadland and Fakenham	Jerome Mayhew	76,859	64.4	25.7	21.6	12.3	30.5	9.0	0.0	0.9	CON	Reform
152	34	Basildon and Billericay	Richard John Holden	76,873	54.8	22.5	17.8	9.3	41.0	7.8	0.0	1.6	CON	Reform
153	33	St Albans	Daisy Cooper	72,739	71.0	17.1	12.0	43.7	18.4	8.0	0.0	0.9	LIB	LIB
153	33	Harwich and North Essex	Bernard Jenkin	76,579	62.7	26.5	21.2	10.2	32.3	8.9	0.0	0.9	CON	Reform
153	33	Bedfordshire Mid	Blake Stephenson	76,218	65.1	27.5	21.8	11.2	28.3	8.6	0.0	2.5	CON	Reform
154	33	Essex North West	Kemi Badenoch	79,824	68.1	27.4	21.6	14.2	26.6	8.0	0.0	2.3	CON	CON
155	32	Huntingdon	Benjamin Obese-Jecty	79,074	65.8	27.6	21.8	11.8	27.6	9.3	0.0	1.9	CON	CON
156	30	Suffolk South	James Cartlidge	73,385	66.5	24.3	18.0	14.6	32.4	9.7	0.0	0.9	CON	Reform
157	29	Norfolk Mid	George Freeman	75,238	61.0	25.1	18.5	9.8	37.3	8.3	0.0	1.0	CON	Reform
158	28	Suffolk West	Nick Timothy	77,149	59.8	23.9	16.8	11.3	37.2	8.8	0.0	1.9	CON	Reform
158	28	Hertfordshire South West	Gagan Mohindra	71,353	67.6	24.4	17.2	22.5	27.6	7.1	0.0	1.2	CON	Reform
158	28	St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire	Ian Sollom	78,115	67.7	20.1	12.8	30.5	25.6	7.8	0.0	3.3	LIB	LIB
159	27	Broxbourne	Lewis Christopher Cocking	75,187	57.1	26.5	18.9	10.2	35.3	8.0	0.0	1.1	CON	Reform
159	27	Braintree	James Cleverly	77,781	63.0	25.4	17.8	9.4	37.6	8.1	0.0	1.6	CON	Reform
160	26	Cambridgeshire South	Pippa Heylings	77,327	71.0	20.5	12.4	37.9	21.1	7.1	0.0	1.0	LIB	LIB
161	25	Suffolk Central and North Ipswich	Patrick Spencer	73,046	63.6	23.9	15.2	13.5	33.3	12.6	0.0	1.6	CON	Reform
162	24	Clacton	Nigel Farage	78,703	58.4	18.5	9.3	6.8	58.2	5.7	0.0	1.5	Reform	Reform
162	24	Witham	Priti Patel	79,072	64.0	27.0	17.7	10.3	34.2	8.9	0.0	2.0	CON	Reform
162	24	Norfolk North West	James Wild	74,415	59.9	24.6	14.9	14.1	38.2	7.2	0.0	1.0	CON	Reform
162	24	Rayleigh and Wickford	Mark Francois	76,576	62.7	26.8	16.4	10.7	38.7	6.6	0.0	0.9	CON	Reform
163	24	Bedfordshire North	Richard Fuller	78,850	65.4	30.2	19.5	12.5	28.1	8.8	0.0	0.9	CON	CON
163	23	Castle Point	Rebecca Harris	70,967	57.3	25.8	14.6	6.9	45.1	6.7	0.0	0.9	CON	Reform
165	22	Epping Forest	Neil Hudson	72,229	57.8	31.3	19.6	15.2	20.9	8.5	0.0	4.4	CON	CON
165	21	Brentwood and Ongar	Alex Burghart	75,352	64.1	28.3	16.2	13.9	34.6	6.0	0.0	1.0	CON	Reform
165	21	Ely and East Cambridgeshire	Charlotte Cane	79,112	66.2	25.8	13.6	26.7	24.7	7.7	0.0	1.5	LIB	LIB
166	20	Harpenden and Berkhamsted	Victoria Collins	72,242	75.2	23.7	10.5	41.1	18.4	5.6	0.0	0.7	LIB	LIB
169	17	Cambridgeshire North East	Steve Barclay	71,511	54.8	26.0	11.7	8.7	44.0	6.9	0.6	1.9	CON	Reform
170	17	Hertsmere	Oliver Dowden	73,518	65.3	33.4	18.5	12.4	27.1	7.5	0.0	1.2	CON	CON
171	15	Chelmsford	Marie Goldman	76,972	65.9	25.4	10.3	31.5	24.8	6.6	0.4	1.2	LIB	LIB
171	15	Maldon	John Whittingdale	78,281	63.7	28.6	13.5	13.0	37.8	6.4	0.0	0.9	CON	Reform
172	14	Waveney Valley	Adrian Ramsay	73,056	67.2	22.6	7.2	6.8	30.6	31.6	0.0	1.2	Green	Green
181	5	Norfolk North	Steffan Aquarone	71,438	65.9	27.7	6.5	30.1	29.5	5.3	0.0	1.0	LIB	LIB

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.