Anglia: Majority Sorted Seats

Anglia Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 54.6%50 52.0%02-248
LAB 32.7%7 31.5%20+29
LIB 7.9%1 8.8%00+01
UKIP 2.5%0 4.0%00+00
Green 1.9%0 2.8%00+00
Minor 0.3%0 0.9%00+00

This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Cambridge, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Maldon, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Welwyn Hatfield (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Ipswich (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Anglia seats with predictions

SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
90480Cambridge Daniel Zeichner78,00371.714.250.730.
110460Luton North Kelvin Hopkins66,81169.830.462.
113457Norwich South Clive Lewis74,18269.
114456Luton South Gavin Shuker67,18868.729.661.
243327Bedford Mohammad Yasin71,82967.542.645.
244326Ipswich Sandy Martin74,79968.443.
246324Peterborough Fiona Onasanya71,52266.744.
261309Thurrock Jackie Doyle-Price78,15364.436.937.62.521.
264306Norwich North Chloe Smith66,92468.645.
283287Watford Richard Harrington86,50767.843.040.910.
301269Stevenage Stephen McPartland70,76569.747.642.
313257Colchester Will Quince79,99666.943.
318252Rochford and Southend East James Duddridge73,50164.346.
326244Welwyn Hatfield Grant Shapps72,88870.948.435.
332238Harlow Robert Halfon67,69766.251.437.
343227Waveney Peter Aldous80,78465.251.735.
345225Great Yarmouth Brandon Lewis71,40861.851.534.
346224Hemel Hempstead Mike Penning75,01169.752.335.
358212St Albans Anne Main72,81178.340.521.933.
363207Hitchin and Harpenden Bim Afolami75,91677.450.431.411.
367203Southend West David Amess67,67769.752.532.
385185Chelmsford Vicky Ford81,04570.251.028.613.
387183Huntingdon Jonathan Djanogly84,32070.852.529.
390180Basildon South and East Thurrock Stephen Metcalfe73,54164.154.331.
392178Cambridgeshire South Heidi Allen85,25776.
399171Bedfordshire South West Andrew Selous79,67069.856.632.
400170Cambridgeshire South East Lucy Frazer86,12173.250.726.519.
409161Norfolk South Richard Bacon83,05673.655.629.
413157Suffolk Coastal Therese Coffey79,36673.255.429.
417153Harwich and North Essex Bernard Jenkin71,29471.755.929.
418152Cambridgeshire North West Shailesh Vara93,22368.656.
419151Norfolk North West Henry Bellingham72,06267.757.630.
420150Broadland Keith Simpson77,33472.455.328.
424146Norfolk Mid George Freeman80,02669.656.328.
432138Bury St Edmunds Jo Churchill87,75870.856.528.
434136Basildon and Billericay John Baron69,14965.058.329.
438132Hertfordshire North East Oliver Heald75,96773.
440130Suffolk Central and Ipswich North Dan Poulter78,11672.457.528.
445124Norfolk North Norman Lamb69,26375.339.09.349.
448122Hertford and Stortford Mark Prisk82,42972.857.727.
451119Hertfordshire South West David Gauke80,29375.555.324.512.
452118Hertsmere Oliver Dowden73,55471.058.527.
453117Bedfordshire North East Alistair Burt86,98873.858.327.
456114Suffolk South James Cartlidge75,96771.457.926.
463107Suffolk West Matt Hancock76,98467.258.527.
465105Bedfordshire Mid Nadine Dorries83,80075.459.
466104Broxbourne Charles Walker73,50264.659.527.
48486Norfolk South West Elizabeth Truss77,87467.360.
49080Braintree James Cleverly75,31669.560.
49773Clacton Giles Watling69,26363.758.624.
49872Epping Forest Eleanor Laing74,73767.959.324.
51159Witham Priti Patel69,13771.261.725.
53139Cambridgeshire North East Stephen Barclay84,40463.161.823.
53733Saffron Walden Kemi Badenoch83,69072.859.119.614.
54228Castle Point Rebecca Harris69,47064.464.623.
54426Rayleigh and Wickford Mark Francois78,55670.464.
55614Brentwood and Ongar Alex Burghart74,91170.663.
5619Maldon John Whittingdale66,96075.065.320.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.