| Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 30.6% | 23 | 23.6% | 2 | 7 | -5 | 18 |
| LAB | 29.4% | 27 | 16.5% | 0 | 21 | -21 | 6 |
| LIB | 13.2% | 7 | 13.6% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 7 |
| Reform | 17.5% | 3 | 31.2% | 26 | 0 | +26 | 29 |
| Green | 6.9% | 1 | 11.8% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| Other | 2.4% | 0 | 3.4% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Reform votes. The seat 'Cambridge' where the LAB−Reform difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Clacton', where the Reform−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.
The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'Reform Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Harlow (prediction: Reform), and the Reforms need to win all their seats up to Cambridge (prediction: LAB).
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
| LAB Seats | Reform Seats | Seat | MP at 2024 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | Reform % | Green % | MIN % | OTH % | 2024 Win | Pred Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 368 | Cambridge | Daniel Zeichner | 70,315 | 59.9 | 12.4 | 29.8 | 15.7 | 8.8 | 25.6 | 7.7 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 72 | 313 | Bedford | Mohammad Yasin | 72,478 | 56.1 | 13.9 | 34.8 | 8.7 | 29.0 | 9.8 | 3.9 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 75 | 310 | Colchester | Pam Cox | 78,662 | 57.1 | 6.8 | 43.3 | 4.5 | 38.3 | 3.8 | 3.4 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 76 | 309 | Norwich South | Clive Lewis | 76,381 | 59.0 | 13.0 | 25.4 | 8.9 | 20.6 | 24.8 | 7.2 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 91 | 294 | Watford | Matt Turmaine | 73,000 | 60.9 | 19.6 | 24.8 | 15.4 | 22.1 | 12.9 | 5.2 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 105 | 280 | Hitchin | Alistair Strathern | 75,080 | 69.9 | 23.7 | 24.5 | 12.5 | 24.3 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 120 | 265 | Luton North | Sarah Owen | 74,866 | 51.8 | 22.0 | 21.0 | 8.3 | 22.9 | 18.6 | 7.2 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 126 | 259 | Stevenage | Kevin Bonavia | 70,086 | 60.9 | 11.5 | 35.0 | 6.0 | 37.8 | 6.3 | 3.4 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 129 | 256 | Norwich North | Alice Macdonald | 73,721 | 62.1 | 10.5 | 35.1 | 5.1 | 38.1 | 7.4 | 3.7 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 129 | 255 | St Albans | Daisy Cooper | 72,739 | 71.0 | 18.0 | 12.0 | 36.0 | 15.1 | 15.0 | 3.9 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 136 | 249 | Welwyn Hatfield | Andrew Lewin | 75,259 | 64.4 | 23.3 | 23.9 | 10.1 | 28.1 | 10.8 | 3.7 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 144 | 241 | Luton South and South Bedfordshire | Rachel Hopkins | 76,970 | 49.9 | 17.1 | 18.9 | 6.2 | 24.8 | 15.1 | 17.8 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 154 | 230 | Harpenden and Berkhamsted | Victoria Collins | 72,242 | 75.2 | 32.9 | 1.8 | 50.2 | 9.0 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 161 | 223 | Cambridgeshire South | Pippa Heylings | 77,327 | 71.0 | 22.6 | 10.9 | 33.8 | 18.7 | 10.9 | 3.2 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 170 | 215 | Hertford and Stortford | Josh Dean | 78,915 | 68.4 | 23.7 | 20.0 | 11.0 | 28.5 | 13.2 | 3.8 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 171 | 214 | Ipswich | Jack Simon Abbott | 76,319 | 57.7 | 19.7 | 22.8 | 8.8 | 31.6 | 12.6 | 4.5 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 176 | 209 | Hertfordshire North East | Chris Hinchliff | 77,090 | 68.1 | 23.0 | 20.3 | 13.0 | 29.7 | 10.8 | 3.3 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 186 | 198 | Norfolk South | Ben Goldsborough | 74,135 | 66.9 | 28.2 | 17.5 | 12.1 | 27.6 | 11.3 | 3.3 | 0.0 | LAB | CON |
| 188 | 197 | Hemel Hempstead | David Taylor | 71,038 | 62.1 | 23.2 | 19.3 | 12.2 | 29.6 | 11.7 | 4.0 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 189 | 195 | St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire | Ian Sollom | 78,115 | 67.7 | 24.9 | 10.6 | 26.8 | 20.9 | 12.6 | 4.1 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 192 | 192 | Epping Forest | Neil Hudson | 72,229 | 57.8 | 38.8 | 13.2 | 11.2 | 24.1 | 10.6 | 2.2 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 214 | 170 | Essex North West | Kemi Badenoch | 79,824 | 68.1 | 37.5 | 13.9 | 10.3 | 27.6 | 8.7 | 2.1 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 220 | 164 | Ely and East Cambridgeshire | Charlotte Cane | 79,112 | 66.2 | 23.9 | 11.8 | 26.3 | 26.0 | 9.4 | 2.6 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 228 | 157 | Suffolk Coastal | Jenny Riddell-Carpenter | 74,522 | 66.4 | 26.6 | 15.8 | 12.1 | 30.7 | 11.5 | 3.2 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 229 | 156 | Southend West and Leigh | David Edmund Burton-Sampson | 75,154 | 62.5 | 23.0 | 18.5 | 10.5 | 33.4 | 11.3 | 3.4 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 241 | 143 | Chelmsford | Marie Goldman | 76,972 | 65.9 | 24.1 | 10.4 | 27.1 | 25.9 | 9.6 | 2.9 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 242 | 143 | Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard | Alex Mayer | 76,742 | 60.0 | 26.6 | 16.4 | 12.5 | 32.0 | 9.2 | 3.3 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 248 | 137 | Hertfordshire South West | Gagan Mohindra | 71,353 | 67.6 | 28.0 | 12.1 | 18.7 | 28.2 | 10.3 | 2.8 | 0.0 | CON | Reform |
| 249 | 135 | Huntingdon | Benjamin Obese-Jecty | 79,074 | 65.8 | 37.0 | 13.9 | 8.9 | 30.1 | 8.2 | 1.9 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 251 | 134 | Southend East and Rochford | Bayo Alaba | 70,217 | 56.5 | 22.8 | 17.9 | 8.8 | 34.2 | 12.2 | 4.2 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 253 | 132 | Thurrock | Jennifer Craft | 73,405 | 51.2 | 10.3 | 29.7 | 4.7 | 46.1 | 6.4 | 2.9 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 286 | 99 | Peterborough | Andrew Pakes | 73,378 | 57.1 | 30.8 | 12.6 | 6.2 | 33.0 | 10.4 | 7.0 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 298 | 86 | Bedfordshire North | Richard Fuller | 78,850 | 65.4 | 45.3 | 9.1 | 6.2 | 30.6 | 6.8 | 1.9 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 300 | 84 | Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket | Peter Prinsley | 77,599 | 65.6 | 33.4 | 11.6 | 6.5 | 33.3 | 11.4 | 3.8 | 0.0 | LAB | CON |
| 301 | 84 | Harwich and North Essex | Bernard Jenkin | 76,579 | 62.7 | 31.1 | 14.1 | 8.3 | 35.8 | 8.0 | 2.8 | 0.0 | CON | Reform |
| 304 | 81 | Broadland and Fakenham | Jerome Mayhew | 76,859 | 64.4 | 33.4 | 12.6 | 9.2 | 34.3 | 7.9 | 2.6 | 0.0 | CON | Reform |
| 305 | 79 | Hertsmere | Oliver Dowden | 73,518 | 65.3 | 46.1 | 9.2 | 5.3 | 31.3 | 6.3 | 1.8 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 306 | 78 | Bedfordshire Mid | Blake Stephenson | 76,218 | 65.1 | 42.4 | 9.5 | 5.6 | 32.0 | 7.0 | 3.6 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 310 | 74 | Waveney Valley | Adrian Ramsay | 73,056 | 67.2 | 23.0 | 5.6 | 5.9 | 28.5 | 32.6 | 4.4 | 0.0 | Green | Green |
| 313 | 72 | Cambridgeshire North West | Sam Carling | 75,915 | 58.5 | 33.3 | 12.1 | 6.8 | 35.2 | 8.9 | 3.7 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 332 | 53 | Harlow | Christopher John Vince | 74,683 | 58.1 | 25.2 | 15.3 | 7.2 | 40.2 | 8.9 | 3.1 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 345 | 39 | Suffolk South | James Cartlidge | 73,385 | 66.5 | 38.6 | 8.4 | 6.8 | 35.5 | 7.5 | 3.2 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 347 | 38 | Norfolk South West | Terry Jermy | 74,724 | 59.3 | 22.1 | 13.5 | 8.8 | 40.8 | 9.0 | 5.7 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 354 | 31 | Basildon South and East Thurrock | James McMurdock | 72,673 | 54.4 | 19.0 | 16.3 | 7.1 | 44.7 | 10.1 | 2.9 | 0.0 | Reform | Reform |
| 355 | 29 | Witham | Priti Patel | 79,072 | 64.0 | 41.7 | 7.8 | 5.2 | 36.9 | 6.9 | 1.7 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 358 | 27 | Suffolk Central and North Ipswich | Patrick Spencer | 73,046 | 63.6 | 36.6 | 7.5 | 6.7 | 37.0 | 9.2 | 3.1 | 0.0 | CON | Reform |
| 362 | 23 | Lowestoft | Jessica Asato | 74,332 | 56.3 | 27.4 | 12.3 | 5.8 | 42.4 | 9.0 | 3.1 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 362 | 22 | Suffolk West | Nick Timothy | 77,149 | 59.8 | 38.5 | 7.8 | 5.2 | 38.1 | 6.8 | 3.6 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 362 | 22 | Norfolk North West | James Wild | 74,415 | 59.9 | 40.5 | 7.6 | 6.5 | 37.9 | 5.7 | 1.7 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 363 | 21 | Norfolk Mid | George Freeman | 75,238 | 61.0 | 40.3 | 8.0 | 5.2 | 39.1 | 6.0 | 1.4 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 363 | 21 | Braintree | James Cleverly | 77,781 | 63.0 | 39.6 | 8.3 | 4.7 | 39.4 | 6.2 | 1.7 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 364 | 20 | Brentwood and Ongar | Alex Burghart | 75,352 | 64.1 | 40.8 | 7.4 | 6.6 | 39.0 | 5.1 | 1.2 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 366 | 18 | Broxbourne | Lewis Christopher Cocking | 75,187 | 57.1 | 40.0 | 7.8 | 5.0 | 39.7 | 6.1 | 1.4 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 367 | 17 | Rayleigh and Wickford | Mark Francois | 76,576 | 62.7 | 40.3 | 7.8 | 5.0 | 40.0 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 367 | 17 | Norfolk North | Steffan Aquarone | 71,438 | 65.9 | 14.5 | 4.0 | 39.9 | 36.4 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 367 | 17 | Maldon | John Whittingdale | 78,281 | 63.7 | 41.9 | 6.4 | 6.0 | 38.9 | 5.4 | 1.3 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 368 | 17 | Great Yarmouth | Rupert Lowe | 73,317 | 55.6 | 18.1 | 15.7 | 7.1 | 48.6 | 8.4 | 2.2 | 0.0 | Reform | Reform |
| 369 | 16 | Basildon and Billericay | Richard John Holden | 76,873 | 54.8 | 26.5 | 11.6 | 6.8 | 44.6 | 7.6 | 2.8 | 0.0 | CON | Reform |
| 376 | 9 | Castle Point | Rebecca Harris | 70,967 | 57.3 | 38.2 | 7.1 | 3.3 | 43.7 | 6.0 | 1.8 | 0.0 | CON | Reform |
| 380 | 5 | Cambridgeshire North East | Steve Barclay | 71,511 | 54.8 | 39.8 | 5.1 | 4.7 | 43.6 | 5.5 | 1.2 | 0.0 | CON | Reform |
| 384 | 1 | Clacton | Nigel Farage | 78,703 | 58.4 | 30.1 | 4.0 | 3.1 | 56.0 | 4.9 | 1.8 | 0.0 | Reform | Reform |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.