Anglia: Sorted Seats

Anglia Prediction

Party2024 Votes2024 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 30.6%23 23.4%02-221
LAB 29.4%27 15.9%024-243
LIB 13.2%7 13.9%00+07
Reform 17.5%3 28.9%261+2528
Green 6.9%1 10.8%11+01
Other 2.4%0 7.0%10+11

This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Reform votes. The seat 'Cambridge' where the LAB−Reform difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Clacton', where the Reform−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.

The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'Reform Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Peterborough (prediction: Reform), and the Reforms need to win all their seats up to Cambridge (prediction: Green).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Anglia seats with predictions

LAB
Seats
Reform
Seats
SeatMP at 2024ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
Reform
%
Green
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2024
Win
Pred
Win
24326Cambridge Daniel Zeichner70,31559.910.328.614.413.429.33.90.0LABGreen
53298Norwich South Clive Lewis76,38159.09.931.48.221.223.95.40.0LABLAB
111240Bedford Mohammad Yasin72,47856.17.439.24.136.04.78.50.0LABLAB
119232Norwich North Alice Macdonald73,72162.15.841.72.139.53.77.20.0LABLAB
143208Hitchin Alistair Strathern75,08069.922.223.712.923.811.75.70.0LABReform
155195Great Yarmouth Rupert Lowe73,31755.617.316.48.418.56.532.90.0ReformMIN
166185Colchester Pam Cox78,66257.114.627.210.730.39.18.20.0LABReform
172179Hertford and Stortford Josh Dean78,91568.421.224.010.827.511.15.50.0LABReform
183168Ipswich Jack Simon Abbott76,31957.717.521.28.925.416.810.20.0LABReform
188163Stevenage Kevin Bonavia70,08660.915.426.18.230.59.99.80.0LABReform
198153Welwyn Hatfield Andrew Lewin75,25964.424.820.89.325.911.37.90.0LABReform
212138St Albans Daisy Cooper72,73971.016.18.843.815.212.43.60.0LIBLIB
222128Harpenden and Berkhamsted Victoria Collins72,24275.229.81.654.08.82.83.10.0LIBLIB
233117Cambridgeshire South Pippa Heylings77,32771.024.65.146.713.06.83.80.0LIBLIB
236115Hertfordshire North East Chris Hinchliff77,09068.123.720.111.328.19.96.90.0LABReform
250101Norfolk South Ben Goldsborough74,13566.924.918.114.127.610.25.20.0LABReform
251100Watford Matt Turmaine73,00060.919.818.615.828.19.77.90.0LABReform
25695Hemel Hempstead David Taylor71,03862.122.318.813.628.99.96.40.0LABReform
26289Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket Peter Prinsley77,59965.621.420.59.730.911.95.50.0LABReform
26288St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire Ian Sollom78,11567.723.48.833.819.410.44.10.0LIBLIB
27080Ely and East Cambridgeshire Charlotte Cane79,11266.228.28.831.520.17.14.30.0LIBLIB
27279Luton North Sarah Owen74,86651.814.220.17.931.718.67.50.0LABReform
27378Southend West and Leigh David Edmund Burton-Sampson75,15462.523.919.28.830.910.07.20.0LABReform
27576Southend East and Rochford Bayo Alaba70,21756.521.419.09.630.911.77.40.0LABReform
28269Thurrock Jennifer Craft73,40551.213.623.36.136.19.711.20.0LABReform
28566Suffolk Coastal Jenny Riddell-Carpenter74,52266.420.718.814.331.78.85.70.0LABReform
28862Hertfordshire South West Gagan Mohindra71,35367.628.110.821.023.910.35.90.0CONCON
29555Chelmsford Marie Goldman76,97265.923.86.736.220.37.75.30.0LIBLIB
30249Luton South and South Bedfordshire Rachel Hopkins76,97049.913.818.28.332.518.78.50.0LABReform
31833Lowestoft Jessica Asato74,33256.320.318.17.935.710.17.90.0LABReform
32328Waveney Valley Adrian Ramsay73,05667.221.910.810.229.521.06.50.0GreenReform
32525Suffolk South James Cartlidge73,38566.533.112.39.331.47.95.90.0CONCON
32922Peterborough Andrew Pakes73,37857.126.114.36.333.810.78.80.0LABReform
33021Harlow Christopher John Vince74,68358.129.914.55.734.37.87.80.0LABReform
33020Hertsmere Oliver Dowden73,51865.346.17.74.727.87.76.00.0CONCON
33120Cambridgeshire North West Sam Carling75,91558.531.014.26.434.56.87.20.0LABReform
33119Epping Forest Neil Hudson72,22957.846.37.95.828.37.04.70.0CONCON
33119Bedfordshire Mid Blake Stephenson76,21865.142.69.75.330.46.55.50.0CONCON
33119Essex North West Kemi Badenoch79,82468.143.89.25.730.16.24.90.0CONCON
33318Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard Alex Mayer76,74260.031.712.58.733.65.87.70.0LABReform
33516Basildon South and East Thurrock James McMurdock72,67354.417.216.67.438.26.913.70.0ReformReform
33515Huntingdon Benjamin Obese-Jecty79,07465.842.38.95.430.66.86.00.0CONCON
33515Norfolk North Steffan Aquarone71,43865.928.14.930.826.94.74.70.0LIBLIB
33515Bedfordshire North Richard Fuller78,85065.444.58.25.330.56.25.30.0CONCON
33614Harwich and North Essex Bernard Jenkin76,57962.740.58.75.431.26.97.30.0CONCON
33614Broadland and Fakenham Jerome Mayhew76,85964.439.49.57.032.25.95.90.0CONCON
33812Suffolk Central and North Ipswich Patrick Spencer73,04663.637.98.66.531.78.96.30.0CONCON
34010Basildon and Billericay Richard John Holden76,87354.835.38.24.833.08.610.10.0CONCON
34010Suffolk West Nick Timothy77,14959.839.47.75.233.26.87.80.0CONCON
34010Witham Priti Patel79,07264.041.77.94.434.36.45.40.0CONCON
34010Broxbourne Lewis Christopher Cocking75,18757.142.07.14.633.76.65.90.0CONCON
34010Norfolk Mid George Freeman75,23861.041.57.84.634.85.95.50.0CONCON
3428Braintree James Cleverly77,78163.039.67.74.035.56.36.90.0CONCON
3447Norfolk South West Terry Jermy74,72459.319.014.98.542.97.07.70.0LABReform
3446Brentwood and Ongar Alex Burghart75,35264.141.76.06.034.94.96.40.0CONCON
3446Norfolk North West James Wild74,41559.939.26.95.835.95.27.00.0CONCON
3446Maldon John Whittingdale78,28163.741.15.75.337.04.66.30.0CONCON
3456Rayleigh and Wickford Mark Francois76,57662.738.36.84.238.74.67.30.0CONReform
3464Cambridgeshire North East Steve Barclay71,51154.840.74.94.239.44.76.10.0CONCON
3483Castle Point Rebecca Harris70,96757.335.16.62.542.94.48.50.0CONReform
3501Clacton Nigel Farage78,70358.429.84.64.447.43.011.00.0ReformReform

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.