Anglia: Sorted Seats

Anglia Prediction

Party2024 Votes2024 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 30.6%23 21.6%015-158
LAB 29.4%27 18.4%018-189
LIB 13.2%7 14.6%01-16
Reform 17.5%3 32.7%340+3437
Green 6.9%1 9.7%00+01
Other 2.4%0 3.0%00+00

This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The seat 'Bedford' where the LAB−CON difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Hertsmere', where the CON−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.

The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Hertsmere (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Bedford (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Anglia seats with predictions

LAB
Seats
CON
Seats
SeatMP at 2024ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
Reform
%
Green
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2024
Win
Pred
Win
43162Bedford Mohammad Yasin72,47856.15.046.03.437.83.02.02.7LABLAB
49156Colchester Pam Cox78,66257.15.546.03.840.62.90.01.2LABLAB
54151Norwich North Alice Macdonald73,72162.14.944.92.242.83.70.01.6LABLAB
72132Ipswich Jack Simon Abbott76,31957.75.642.82.344.13.50.01.6LABReform
98106Luton North Sarah Owen74,86651.85.035.22.838.32.88.67.3LABReform
103102Hitchin Alistair Strathern75,08069.912.241.17.432.95.30.01.1LABLAB
11788Norwich South Clive Lewis76,38159.09.233.59.926.218.30.02.8LABLAB
12283Cambridge Daniel Zeichner70,31559.98.131.621.014.120.62.22.4LABLAB
12579Luton South and South Bedfordshire Rachel Hopkins76,97049.97.929.65.335.75.410.45.6LABReform
12976Watford Matt Turmaine73,00060.912.332.113.330.46.94.80.3LABLAB
13471Welwyn Hatfield Andrew Lewin75,25964.416.734.27.633.76.90.00.9LABLAB
13569Thurrock Jennifer Craft73,40551.211.828.85.643.66.52.31.4LABReform
14460Stevenage Kevin Bonavia70,08660.919.125.811.031.910.40.01.7LABReform
15054Hemel Hempstead David Taylor71,03862.121.023.813.830.19.90.01.3LABReform
15253Hertford and Stortford Josh Dean78,91568.423.926.011.625.511.40.01.6LABLAB
15252Southend East and Rochford Bayo Alaba70,21756.521.023.09.432.911.00.02.7LABReform
15252Peterborough Andrew Pakes73,37857.117.119.08.036.49.39.40.8LABReform
15351Great Yarmouth Rupert Lowe73,31755.615.215.66.952.07.70.02.6ReformReform
15351Norfolk South Ben Goldsborough74,13566.922.822.613.727.511.50.02.0LABReform
15351Lowestoft Jessica Asato74,33256.318.718.38.143.110.20.01.7LABReform
15351Harlow Christopher John Vince74,68358.121.720.58.438.98.80.01.7LABReform
15351Basildon South and East Thurrock James McMurdock72,67354.417.216.07.346.67.40.05.6ReformReform
15351Southend West and Leigh David Edmund Burton-Sampson75,15462.523.722.310.330.710.60.02.4LABReform
15351Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket Peter Prinsley77,59965.621.219.710.532.013.10.03.5LABReform
15351Hertfordshire North East Chris Hinchliff77,09068.124.822.813.327.310.50.01.3LABReform
15351Suffolk Coastal Jenny Riddell-Carpenter74,52266.422.620.414.929.411.20.01.4LABReform
15351Norfolk South West Terry Jermy74,72459.316.514.18.840.07.112.31.1LABReform
15450Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard Alex Mayer76,74260.023.319.814.732.08.70.01.5LABReform
15450Cambridgeshire North West Sam Carling75,91558.522.418.310.836.810.10.01.6LABReform
15549Broadland and Fakenham Jerome Mayhew76,85964.424.719.912.731.89.50.01.4CONReform
15648St Albans Daisy Cooper72,73971.016.110.444.019.88.40.01.4LIBLIB
15747St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire Ian Sollom78,11567.713.57.338.530.15.50.05.1LIBLIB
15747Basildon and Billericay Richard John Holden76,87354.822.415.79.342.37.90.02.4CONReform
15846Hertfordshire South West Gagan Mohindra71,35367.623.415.622.928.97.40.01.9CONReform
16044Cambridgeshire South Pippa Heylings77,32771.019.510.838.222.57.50.01.5LIBLIB
16143Harwich and North Essex Bernard Jenkin76,57962.728.417.99.634.18.60.01.4CONReform
16243Epping Forest Neil Hudson72,22957.830.318.015.121.28.60.06.9CONCON
16342Bedfordshire Mid Blake Stephenson76,21865.130.617.89.829.97.90.04.0CONCON
16341Ely and East Cambridgeshire Charlotte Cane79,11266.224.712.027.025.98.10.02.3LIBLIB
16441Huntingdon Benjamin Obese-Jecty79,07465.831.017.710.329.58.60.02.9CONCON
16540Essex North West Kemi Badenoch79,82468.130.817.512.328.47.40.03.6CONCON
16638Harpenden and Berkhamsted Victoria Collins72,24275.222.68.941.519.86.00.01.1LIBLIB
17232Chelmsford Marie Goldman76,97265.924.38.631.826.07.00.41.8LIBLIB
17232Waveney Valley Adrian Ramsay73,05667.221.55.87.131.732.00.01.9GreenGreen
17232Suffolk South James Cartlidge73,38566.529.513.512.034.98.60.01.5CONReform
17331Norfolk Mid George Freeman75,23861.029.913.77.939.77.30.01.5CONReform
17529Suffolk West Nick Timothy77,14959.830.411.58.339.67.20.03.0CONReform
17826Clacton Nigel Farage78,70358.425.04.43.660.83.80.02.3ReformReform
17925Braintree James Cleverly77,78163.032.811.66.540.36.30.02.6CONReform
17925Norfolk North Steffan Aquarone71,43865.926.75.330.430.65.60.01.5LIBReform
17925Broxbourne Lewis Christopher Cocking75,18757.134.112.57.138.26.40.01.7CONReform
18420Norfolk North West James Wild74,41559.934.68.68.441.75.30.01.6CONReform
18420Suffolk Central and North Ipswich Patrick Spencer73,04663.635.48.77.936.78.90.02.4CONReform
18420Castle Point Rebecca Harris70,96757.335.17.33.548.34.40.01.4CONReform
18519Cambridgeshire North East Steve Barclay71,51154.835.05.74.346.94.50.63.0CONReform
18519Rayleigh and Wickford Mark Francois76,57662.738.38.35.442.44.30.01.3CONReform
18619Witham Priti Patel79,07264.039.29.25.237.65.80.03.2CONCON
19114Brentwood and Ongar Alex Burghart75,35264.140.88.26.938.53.90.01.6CONCON
19212Maldon John Whittingdale78,28163.739.86.66.441.54.20.01.4CONReform
19510Bedfordshire North Richard Fuller78,85065.444.410.16.232.35.70.01.4CONCON
1996Hertsmere Oliver Dowden73,51865.346.69.56.131.04.90.01.9CONCON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.