Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CON | 30.6% | 23 | 21.6% | 0 | 15 | -15 | 8 |
LAB | 29.4% | 27 | 18.4% | 0 | 18 | -18 | 9 |
LIB | 13.2% | 7 | 14.6% | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
Reform | 17.5% | 3 | 32.7% | 34 | 0 | +34 | 37 |
Green | 6.9% | 1 | 9.7% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
Other | 2.4% | 0 | 3.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The seat 'Bedford' where the LAB−CON difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Hertsmere', where the CON−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.
The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Hertsmere (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Bedford (prediction: LAB).
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
LAB Seats | CON Seats | Seat | MP at 2024 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | Reform % | Green % | MIN % | OTH % | 2024 Win | Pred Win |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
43 | 162 | Bedford | Mohammad Yasin | 72,478 | 56.1 | 5.0 | 46.0 | 3.4 | 37.8 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.7 | LAB | LAB |
49 | 156 | Colchester | Pam Cox | 78,662 | 57.1 | 5.5 | 46.0 | 3.8 | 40.6 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 1.2 | LAB | LAB |
54 | 151 | Norwich North | Alice Macdonald | 73,721 | 62.1 | 4.9 | 44.9 | 2.2 | 42.8 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 1.6 | LAB | LAB |
72 | 132 | Ipswich | Jack Simon Abbott | 76,319 | 57.7 | 5.6 | 42.8 | 2.3 | 44.1 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 1.6 | LAB | Reform |
98 | 106 | Luton North | Sarah Owen | 74,866 | 51.8 | 5.0 | 35.2 | 2.8 | 38.3 | 2.8 | 8.6 | 7.3 | LAB | Reform |
103 | 102 | Hitchin | Alistair Strathern | 75,080 | 69.9 | 12.2 | 41.1 | 7.4 | 32.9 | 5.3 | 0.0 | 1.1 | LAB | LAB |
117 | 88 | Norwich South | Clive Lewis | 76,381 | 59.0 | 9.2 | 33.5 | 9.9 | 26.2 | 18.3 | 0.0 | 2.8 | LAB | LAB |
122 | 83 | Cambridge | Daniel Zeichner | 70,315 | 59.9 | 8.1 | 31.6 | 21.0 | 14.1 | 20.6 | 2.2 | 2.4 | LAB | LAB |
125 | 79 | Luton South and South Bedfordshire | Rachel Hopkins | 76,970 | 49.9 | 7.9 | 29.6 | 5.3 | 35.7 | 5.4 | 10.4 | 5.6 | LAB | Reform |
129 | 76 | Watford | Matt Turmaine | 73,000 | 60.9 | 12.3 | 32.1 | 13.3 | 30.4 | 6.9 | 4.8 | 0.3 | LAB | LAB |
134 | 71 | Welwyn Hatfield | Andrew Lewin | 75,259 | 64.4 | 16.7 | 34.2 | 7.6 | 33.7 | 6.9 | 0.0 | 0.9 | LAB | LAB |
135 | 69 | Thurrock | Jennifer Craft | 73,405 | 51.2 | 11.8 | 28.8 | 5.6 | 43.6 | 6.5 | 2.3 | 1.4 | LAB | Reform |
144 | 60 | Stevenage | Kevin Bonavia | 70,086 | 60.9 | 19.1 | 25.8 | 11.0 | 31.9 | 10.4 | 0.0 | 1.7 | LAB | Reform |
150 | 54 | Hemel Hempstead | David Taylor | 71,038 | 62.1 | 21.0 | 23.8 | 13.8 | 30.1 | 9.9 | 0.0 | 1.3 | LAB | Reform |
152 | 53 | Hertford and Stortford | Josh Dean | 78,915 | 68.4 | 23.9 | 26.0 | 11.6 | 25.5 | 11.4 | 0.0 | 1.6 | LAB | LAB |
152 | 52 | Southend East and Rochford | Bayo Alaba | 70,217 | 56.5 | 21.0 | 23.0 | 9.4 | 32.9 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 2.7 | LAB | Reform |
152 | 52 | Peterborough | Andrew Pakes | 73,378 | 57.1 | 17.1 | 19.0 | 8.0 | 36.4 | 9.3 | 9.4 | 0.8 | LAB | Reform |
153 | 51 | Great Yarmouth | Rupert Lowe | 73,317 | 55.6 | 15.2 | 15.6 | 6.9 | 52.0 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 2.6 | Reform | Reform |
153 | 51 | Norfolk South | Ben Goldsborough | 74,135 | 66.9 | 22.8 | 22.6 | 13.7 | 27.5 | 11.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | LAB | Reform |
153 | 51 | Lowestoft | Jessica Asato | 74,332 | 56.3 | 18.7 | 18.3 | 8.1 | 43.1 | 10.2 | 0.0 | 1.7 | LAB | Reform |
153 | 51 | Harlow | Christopher John Vince | 74,683 | 58.1 | 21.7 | 20.5 | 8.4 | 38.9 | 8.8 | 0.0 | 1.7 | LAB | Reform |
153 | 51 | Basildon South and East Thurrock | James McMurdock | 72,673 | 54.4 | 17.2 | 16.0 | 7.3 | 46.6 | 7.4 | 0.0 | 5.6 | Reform | Reform |
153 | 51 | Southend West and Leigh | David Edmund Burton-Sampson | 75,154 | 62.5 | 23.7 | 22.3 | 10.3 | 30.7 | 10.6 | 0.0 | 2.4 | LAB | Reform |
153 | 51 | Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket | Peter Prinsley | 77,599 | 65.6 | 21.2 | 19.7 | 10.5 | 32.0 | 13.1 | 0.0 | 3.5 | LAB | Reform |
153 | 51 | Hertfordshire North East | Chris Hinchliff | 77,090 | 68.1 | 24.8 | 22.8 | 13.3 | 27.3 | 10.5 | 0.0 | 1.3 | LAB | Reform |
153 | 51 | Suffolk Coastal | Jenny Riddell-Carpenter | 74,522 | 66.4 | 22.6 | 20.4 | 14.9 | 29.4 | 11.2 | 0.0 | 1.4 | LAB | Reform |
153 | 51 | Norfolk South West | Terry Jermy | 74,724 | 59.3 | 16.5 | 14.1 | 8.8 | 40.0 | 7.1 | 12.3 | 1.1 | LAB | Reform |
154 | 50 | Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard | Alex Mayer | 76,742 | 60.0 | 23.3 | 19.8 | 14.7 | 32.0 | 8.7 | 0.0 | 1.5 | LAB | Reform |
154 | 50 | Cambridgeshire North West | Sam Carling | 75,915 | 58.5 | 22.4 | 18.3 | 10.8 | 36.8 | 10.1 | 0.0 | 1.6 | LAB | Reform |
155 | 49 | Broadland and Fakenham | Jerome Mayhew | 76,859 | 64.4 | 24.7 | 19.9 | 12.7 | 31.8 | 9.5 | 0.0 | 1.4 | CON | Reform |
156 | 48 | St Albans | Daisy Cooper | 72,739 | 71.0 | 16.1 | 10.4 | 44.0 | 19.8 | 8.4 | 0.0 | 1.4 | LIB | LIB |
157 | 47 | St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire | Ian Sollom | 78,115 | 67.7 | 13.5 | 7.3 | 38.5 | 30.1 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 5.1 | LIB | LIB |
157 | 47 | Basildon and Billericay | Richard John Holden | 76,873 | 54.8 | 22.4 | 15.7 | 9.3 | 42.3 | 7.9 | 0.0 | 2.4 | CON | Reform |
158 | 46 | Hertfordshire South West | Gagan Mohindra | 71,353 | 67.6 | 23.4 | 15.6 | 22.9 | 28.9 | 7.4 | 0.0 | 1.9 | CON | Reform |
160 | 44 | Cambridgeshire South | Pippa Heylings | 77,327 | 71.0 | 19.5 | 10.8 | 38.2 | 22.5 | 7.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | LIB | LIB |
161 | 43 | Harwich and North Essex | Bernard Jenkin | 76,579 | 62.7 | 28.4 | 17.9 | 9.6 | 34.1 | 8.6 | 0.0 | 1.4 | CON | Reform |
162 | 43 | Epping Forest | Neil Hudson | 72,229 | 57.8 | 30.3 | 18.0 | 15.1 | 21.2 | 8.6 | 0.0 | 6.9 | CON | CON |
163 | 42 | Bedfordshire Mid | Blake Stephenson | 76,218 | 65.1 | 30.6 | 17.8 | 9.8 | 29.9 | 7.9 | 0.0 | 4.0 | CON | CON |
163 | 41 | Ely and East Cambridgeshire | Charlotte Cane | 79,112 | 66.2 | 24.7 | 12.0 | 27.0 | 25.9 | 8.1 | 0.0 | 2.3 | LIB | LIB |
164 | 41 | Huntingdon | Benjamin Obese-Jecty | 79,074 | 65.8 | 31.0 | 17.7 | 10.3 | 29.5 | 8.6 | 0.0 | 2.9 | CON | CON |
165 | 40 | Essex North West | Kemi Badenoch | 79,824 | 68.1 | 30.8 | 17.5 | 12.3 | 28.4 | 7.4 | 0.0 | 3.6 | CON | CON |
166 | 38 | Harpenden and Berkhamsted | Victoria Collins | 72,242 | 75.2 | 22.6 | 8.9 | 41.5 | 19.8 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.1 | LIB | LIB |
172 | 32 | Chelmsford | Marie Goldman | 76,972 | 65.9 | 24.3 | 8.6 | 31.8 | 26.0 | 7.0 | 0.4 | 1.8 | LIB | LIB |
172 | 32 | Waveney Valley | Adrian Ramsay | 73,056 | 67.2 | 21.5 | 5.8 | 7.1 | 31.7 | 32.0 | 0.0 | 1.9 | Green | Green |
172 | 32 | Suffolk South | James Cartlidge | 73,385 | 66.5 | 29.5 | 13.5 | 12.0 | 34.9 | 8.6 | 0.0 | 1.5 | CON | Reform |
173 | 31 | Norfolk Mid | George Freeman | 75,238 | 61.0 | 29.9 | 13.7 | 7.9 | 39.7 | 7.3 | 0.0 | 1.5 | CON | Reform |
175 | 29 | Suffolk West | Nick Timothy | 77,149 | 59.8 | 30.4 | 11.5 | 8.3 | 39.6 | 7.2 | 0.0 | 3.0 | CON | Reform |
178 | 26 | Clacton | Nigel Farage | 78,703 | 58.4 | 25.0 | 4.4 | 3.6 | 60.8 | 3.8 | 0.0 | 2.3 | Reform | Reform |
179 | 25 | Braintree | James Cleverly | 77,781 | 63.0 | 32.8 | 11.6 | 6.5 | 40.3 | 6.3 | 0.0 | 2.6 | CON | Reform |
179 | 25 | Norfolk North | Steffan Aquarone | 71,438 | 65.9 | 26.7 | 5.3 | 30.4 | 30.6 | 5.6 | 0.0 | 1.5 | LIB | Reform |
179 | 25 | Broxbourne | Lewis Christopher Cocking | 75,187 | 57.1 | 34.1 | 12.5 | 7.1 | 38.2 | 6.4 | 0.0 | 1.7 | CON | Reform |
184 | 20 | Norfolk North West | James Wild | 74,415 | 59.9 | 34.6 | 8.6 | 8.4 | 41.7 | 5.3 | 0.0 | 1.6 | CON | Reform |
184 | 20 | Suffolk Central and North Ipswich | Patrick Spencer | 73,046 | 63.6 | 35.4 | 8.7 | 7.9 | 36.7 | 8.9 | 0.0 | 2.4 | CON | Reform |
184 | 20 | Castle Point | Rebecca Harris | 70,967 | 57.3 | 35.1 | 7.3 | 3.5 | 48.3 | 4.4 | 0.0 | 1.4 | CON | Reform |
185 | 19 | Cambridgeshire North East | Steve Barclay | 71,511 | 54.8 | 35.0 | 5.7 | 4.3 | 46.9 | 4.5 | 0.6 | 3.0 | CON | Reform |
185 | 19 | Rayleigh and Wickford | Mark Francois | 76,576 | 62.7 | 38.3 | 8.3 | 5.4 | 42.4 | 4.3 | 0.0 | 1.3 | CON | Reform |
186 | 19 | Witham | Priti Patel | 79,072 | 64.0 | 39.2 | 9.2 | 5.2 | 37.6 | 5.8 | 0.0 | 3.2 | CON | CON |
191 | 14 | Brentwood and Ongar | Alex Burghart | 75,352 | 64.1 | 40.8 | 8.2 | 6.9 | 38.5 | 3.9 | 0.0 | 1.6 | CON | CON |
192 | 12 | Maldon | John Whittingdale | 78,281 | 63.7 | 39.8 | 6.6 | 6.4 | 41.5 | 4.2 | 0.0 | 1.4 | CON | Reform |
195 | 10 | Bedfordshire North | Richard Fuller | 78,850 | 65.4 | 44.4 | 10.1 | 6.2 | 32.3 | 5.7 | 0.0 | 1.4 | CON | CON |
199 | 6 | Hertsmere | Oliver Dowden | 73,518 | 65.3 | 46.6 | 9.5 | 6.1 | 31.0 | 4.9 | 0.0 | 1.9 | CON | CON |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.