Anglia: Sorted Seats

Anglia Prediction

Party2024 Votes2024 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 30.6%23 22.0%017-176
LAB 29.4%27 16.7%022-225
LIB 13.2%7 13.7%02-25
Reform 17.5%3 33.2%410+4144
Green 6.9%1 11.0%00+01
Other 2.4%0 3.3%00+00

This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Reform votes. The seat 'Cambridge' where the LAB−Reform difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Clacton', where the Reform−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.

The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'Reform Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Bedfordshire North (prediction: CON), and the Reforms need to win all their seats up to Norwich South (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Anglia seats with predictions

LAB
Seats
Reform
Seats
SeatMP at 2024ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
Reform
%
Green
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2024
Win
Pred
Win
18415Cambridge Daniel Zeichner70,31559.910.730.016.010.724.97.70.0LABLAB
56377Bedford Mohammad Yasin72,47856.16.046.43.336.83.83.90.0LABLAB
86347Colchester Pam Cox78,66257.15.544.13.840.13.03.40.0LABLAB
90343Watford Matt Turmaine73,00060.915.130.012.826.810.15.20.0LABLAB
93340Norwich South Clive Lewis76,38159.011.425.79.122.524.17.20.0LABLAB
118315Hitchin Alistair Strathern75,08069.922.124.812.626.210.34.00.0LABReform
128305Norwich North Alice Macdonald73,72162.16.040.72.742.93.93.70.0LABReform
131302Stevenage Kevin Bonavia70,08660.96.740.63.242.93.33.40.0LABReform
136297Luton North Sarah Owen74,86651.819.321.29.424.918.07.20.0LABReform
143289St Albans Daisy Cooper72,73971.016.512.336.117.014.23.90.0LIBLIB
149284Welwyn Hatfield Andrew Lewin75,25964.421.724.110.230.110.03.70.0LABReform
158275Luton South and South Bedfordshire Rachel Hopkins76,97049.915.819.26.126.714.317.80.0LABReform
170262Harpenden and Berkhamsted Victoria Collins72,24275.227.76.141.814.96.62.90.0LIBLIB
182250Cambridgeshire South Pippa Heylings77,32771.021.111.133.920.610.13.20.0LIBLIB
186247Norfolk South Ben Goldsborough74,13566.923.519.213.629.011.53.30.0LABReform
188245Hertford and Stortford Josh Dean78,91568.422.220.211.130.412.43.80.0LABReform
191242Ipswich Jack Simon Abbott76,31957.717.923.19.033.611.84.50.0LABReform
195238Hertfordshire North East Chris Hinchliff77,09068.121.520.513.031.710.03.30.0LABReform
204229Hemel Hempstead David Taylor71,03862.121.619.612.331.511.04.00.0LABReform
204228St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire Ian Sollom78,11567.723.210.827.122.811.94.10.0LIBLIB
220213Huntingdon Benjamin Obese-Jecty79,07465.829.817.011.331.09.01.90.0CONReform
230203Suffolk Coastal Jenny Riddell-Carpenter74,52266.421.917.613.632.011.63.20.0LABReform
241192Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard Alex Mayer76,74260.022.218.013.933.49.13.30.0LABReform
248185Ely and East Cambridgeshire Charlotte Cane79,11266.222.412.126.327.98.72.60.0LIBReform
253179Epping Forest Neil Hudson72,22957.842.510.98.927.08.52.20.0CONCON
254179Thurrock Jennifer Craft73,40551.25.834.72.650.83.32.90.0LABReform
258175Southend West and Leigh David Edmund Burton-Sampson75,15462.521.518.710.635.310.53.40.0LABReform
259174Hertfordshire South West Gagan Mohindra71,35367.624.213.020.229.710.12.80.0CONReform
267166Chelmsford Marie Goldman76,97265.922.510.727.327.98.82.90.0LIBReform
267165Essex North West Kemi Badenoch79,82468.138.412.89.230.07.52.10.0CONCON
279154Southend East and Rochford Bayo Alaba70,21756.521.118.19.036.111.54.20.0LABReform
280153Peterborough Andrew Pakes73,37857.123.015.88.533.911.87.00.0LABReform
295138Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket Peter Prinsley77,59965.626.214.48.534.312.83.80.0LABReform
296137Harwich and North Essex Bernard Jenkin76,57962.724.816.910.336.98.52.70.0CONReform
301132Broadland and Fakenham Jerome Mayhew76,85964.426.915.211.535.38.52.60.0CONReform
313120Cambridgeshire North West Sam Carling75,91558.526.814.88.736.39.73.70.0LABReform
321111Bedfordshire Mid Blake Stephenson76,21865.137.011.47.233.37.63.60.0CONCON
33993Bedfordshire North Richard Fuller78,85065.443.79.26.332.56.31.90.0CONCON
34587Hertsmere Oliver Dowden73,51865.344.49.35.333.35.91.80.0CONCON
35181Waveney Valley Adrian Ramsay73,05667.221.65.76.030.531.84.40.0GreenGreen
35479Harlow Christopher John Vince74,68358.121.217.08.141.78.93.10.0LABReform
36469Suffolk South James Cartlidge73,38566.532.010.79.236.58.43.20.0CONReform
38350Norfolk South West Terry Jermy74,72459.318.514.79.842.48.85.70.0LABReform
39241Lowestoft Jessica Asato74,33256.321.514.87.343.69.73.10.0LABReform
39637Suffolk Central and North Ipswich Patrick Spencer73,04663.632.98.47.738.69.43.10.0CONReform
39736Basildon South and East Thurrock James McMurdock72,67354.417.116.57.546.69.42.90.0ReformReform
40032Witham Priti Patel79,07264.040.07.95.238.86.41.70.0CONCON
40231Suffolk West Nick Timothy77,14959.835.28.76.039.76.83.60.0CONReform
40528Basildon and Billericay Richard John Holden76,87354.820.714.08.645.88.12.80.0CONReform
40726Norfolk North West James Wild74,41559.938.97.76.639.85.31.70.0CONReform
40924Norfolk Mid George Freeman75,23861.038.78.25.241.05.51.40.0CONReform
41023Braintree James Cleverly77,78163.038.08.44.841.35.81.70.0CONReform
41122Brentwood and Ongar Alex Burghart75,35264.139.27.56.640.94.61.20.0CONReform
41419Broxbourne Lewis Christopher Cocking75,18757.138.47.95.041.75.61.40.0CONReform
41617Rayleigh and Wickford Mark Francois76,57662.738.67.95.041.95.11.50.0CONReform
41815Maldon John Whittingdale78,28163.740.36.66.040.84.91.30.0CONReform
42013Great Yarmouth Rupert Lowe73,31755.616.515.97.350.57.62.20.0ReformReform
4258Castle Point Rebecca Harris70,96757.336.57.23.445.65.51.80.0CONReform
4275Norfolk North Steffan Aquarone71,43865.97.81.845.441.92.11.00.0LIBLIB
4285Cambridgeshire North East Steve Barclay71,51154.838.25.34.745.65.01.20.0CONReform
4321Clacton Nigel Farage78,70358.428.54.13.257.94.51.80.0ReformReform

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.