Anglia: Majority Sorted Seats

Anglia Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 54.6%50 50.9%03-347
LAB 32.7%7 33.1%30+310
LIB 7.9%1 7.9%00+01
UKIP 2.5%0 4.9%00+00
Green 1.9%0 2.4%00+00
Minor 0.3%0 0.8%00+00

This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Cambridge, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Maldon, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Welwyn Hatfield (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Bedford (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Anglia seats with predictions

Lab
Seats
Con
Seats
SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
UKIP
%
Green
%
NAT
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2017
Win
Pred
Win
92479Cambridge Daniel Zeichner78,00371.713.352.229.31.92.70.00.00.6LABLAB
110461Luton North Kelvin Hopkins66,81169.829.364.21.72.41.90.00.00.5LABLAB
113458Norwich South Clive Lewis74,18269.226.961.45.52.43.40.00.00.5LABLAB
115456Luton South Gavin Shuker67,18868.728.562.82.34.11.50.00.00.8LABLAB
245326Bedford Mohammad Yasin71,82967.541.547.25.92.42.60.00.00.5LABLAB
246325Ipswich Sandy Martin74,79968.442.047.82.35.02.20.00.00.7LABLAB
248323Peterborough Fiona Onasanya71,52266.743.148.53.42.42.30.00.00.5LABLAB
264307Thurrock Jackie Doyle-Price78,15364.435.839.21.622.50.50.00.00.5CONLAB
266305Norwich North Chloe Smith66,92468.644.047.03.22.42.20.00.01.2CONLAB
285286Watford Richard Harrington86,50767.841.942.49.14.41.70.00.00.5CONLAB
303268Stevenage Stephen McPartland70,76569.746.543.84.12.42.70.00.00.5CONCON
316255Colchester Will Quince79,99666.942.135.717.02.42.10.00.00.8CONCON
320251Rochford and Southend East James Duddridge73,50164.345.037.42.76.12.20.06.20.5CONCON
329242Welwyn Hatfield Grant Shapps72,88870.947.337.27.45.22.10.00.00.8CONCON
335236Harlow Robert Halfon67,69766.250.338.72.26.32.00.00.00.5CONCON
345226Waveney Peter Aldous80,78465.250.637.31.96.03.00.00.01.1CONCON
347224Great Yarmouth Brandon Lewis71,40861.850.436.52.28.61.80.00.00.5CONCON
348223Hemel Hempstead Mike Penning75,01169.751.237.36.22.42.50.00.00.5CONCON
360211St Albans Anne Main72,81178.339.423.432.42.42.00.00.00.5CONCON
366205Hitchin and Harpenden Bim Afolami75,91677.449.333.010.62.42.80.00.01.9CONCON
369202Southend West David Amess67,67769.751.534.44.55.92.30.00.01.5CONCON
387184Chelmsford Vicky Ford81,04570.249.930.212.25.32.00.00.00.5CONCON
389182Huntingdon Jonathan Djanogly84,32070.851.431.38.56.02.30.00.00.5CONCON
391180Basildon South and East Thurrock Stephen Metcalfe73,54164.153.232.91.69.12.00.00.01.3CONCON
393178Cambridgeshire South Heidi Allen85,25776.248.127.618.62.42.80.00.00.5CONCON
400171Bedfordshire South West Andrew Selous79,67069.855.534.24.72.42.20.00.01.0CONCON
401170Cambridgeshire South East Lucy Frazer86,12173.249.628.119.02.40.50.00.00.5CONCON
410161Norfolk South Richard Bacon83,05673.654.531.38.32.43.10.00.00.5CONCON
415156Suffolk Coastal Therese Coffey79,36673.254.330.97.02.43.60.00.01.9CONCON
418153Harwich and North Essex Bernard Jenkin71,29471.754.830.85.55.72.60.00.00.7CONCON
419152Cambridgeshire North West Shailesh Vara93,22368.654.930.95.06.32.50.00.00.5CONCON
420151Norfolk North West Henry Bellingham72,06267.756.532.42.95.52.30.00.00.5CONCON
421150Broadland Keith Simpson77,33472.454.230.08.05.22.20.00.00.5CONCON
425146Norfolk Mid George Freeman80,02669.655.230.55.16.12.60.00.00.5CONCON
433138Bury St Edmunds Jo Churchill87,75870.855.529.95.72.44.70.00.01.8CONCON
435136Basildon and Billericay John Baron69,14965.057.231.53.56.80.50.00.00.5CONCON
440131Hertfordshire North East Oliver Heald75,96773.254.928.77.72.45.90.00.00.5CONCON
443128Suffolk Central and Ipswich North Dan Poulter78,11672.456.430.14.35.33.50.00.00.5CONCON
449122Hertford and Stortford Mark Prisk82,42972.856.629.08.12.43.50.00.00.5CONCON
449121Norfolk North Norman Lamb69,26375.337.910.348.42.40.50.00.00.5LIBLIB
452119Hertfordshire South West David Gauke80,29375.554.226.111.74.53.10.00.00.5CONCON
453118Hertsmere Oliver Dowden73,55471.057.429.15.45.42.40.00.00.5CONCON
454117Bedfordshire North East Alistair Burt86,98873.857.228.85.85.32.40.00.00.5CONCON
457114Suffolk South James Cartlidge75,96771.456.828.25.85.03.70.00.00.5CONCON
462109Suffolk West Matt Hancock76,98467.257.428.64.27.02.30.00.00.5CONCON
467104Bedfordshire Mid Nadine Dorries83,80075.457.928.86.02.43.40.00.01.5CONCON
468103Broxbourne Charles Walker73,50264.658.429.33.16.42.30.00.00.5CONCON
48586Norfolk South West Elizabeth Truss77,87467.359.028.24.57.30.50.00.00.5CONCON
49279Braintree James Cleverly75,31669.559.128.04.35.92.30.00.00.5CONCON
49873Clacton Giles Watling69,26363.757.525.82.010.02.10.01.01.6CONCON
49972Epping Forest Eleanor Laing74,73767.958.226.45.76.02.90.00.00.7CONCON
51259Witham Priti Patel69,13771.260.626.85.52.44.20.00.00.5CONCON
53239Cambridgeshire North East Stephen Barclay84,40463.160.724.94.56.42.40.00.01.0CONCON
53734Saffron Walden Kemi Badenoch83,69072.858.021.214.05.80.50.00.00.5CONCON
54328Castle Point Rebecca Harris69,47064.463.525.42.47.70.50.00.00.5CONCON
54526Rayleigh and Wickford Mark Francois78,55670.463.024.72.86.62.40.00.00.5CONCON
55615Brentwood and Ongar Alex Burghart74,91170.662.120.88.45.92.20.00.00.7CONCON
5629Maldon John Whittingdale66,96075.064.221.74.46.12.70.00.01.0CONCON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.