Anglia: Majority Sorted Seats

Anglia Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 54.6%50 52.0%02-248
LAB 32.7%7 31.5%20+29
LIB 7.9%1 8.8%00+01
UKIP 2.5%0 4.0%00+00
Green 1.9%0 2.8%00+00
Minor 0.3%0 0.9%00+00

This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Cambridge, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Maldon, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Welwyn Hatfield (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Ipswich (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Anglia seats with predictions

Lab
Seats
Con
Seats
SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
UKIP
%
Green
%
NAT
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2017
Win
Pred
Win
90480Cambridge Daniel Zeichner78,00371.714.250.730.11.33.00.00.00.7LABLAB
110460Luton North Kelvin Hopkins66,81169.830.462.72.71.52.20.00.00.6LABLAB
113457Norwich South Clive Lewis74,18269.228.059.86.51.53.80.00.00.6LABLAB
114456Luton South Gavin Shuker67,18868.729.661.33.23.21.80.00.00.9LABLAB
243327Bedford Mohammad Yasin71,82967.542.645.76.81.52.90.00.00.6LABLAB
244326Ipswich Sandy Martin74,79968.443.146.23.34.12.50.00.00.8LABLAB
246324Peterborough Fiona Onasanya71,52266.744.246.94.31.52.60.00.00.6LABLAB
261309Thurrock Jackie Doyle-Price78,15364.436.937.62.521.60.90.00.00.6CONLAB
264306Norwich North Chloe Smith66,92468.645.145.44.21.52.60.00.01.3CONLAB
283287Watford Richard Harrington86,50767.843.040.910.13.52.10.00.00.6CONCON
301269Stevenage Stephen McPartland70,76569.747.642.25.11.53.10.00.00.6CONCON
313257Colchester Will Quince79,99666.943.234.117.91.52.40.00.00.9CONCON
318252Rochford and Southend East James Duddridge73,50164.346.135.83.65.22.60.06.20.6CONCON
326244Welwyn Hatfield Grant Shapps72,88870.948.435.68.44.32.50.00.00.9CONCON
332238Harlow Robert Halfon67,69766.251.437.23.15.42.30.00.00.6CONCON
343227Waveney Peter Aldous80,78465.251.735.72.95.13.40.00.01.2CONCON
345225Great Yarmouth Brandon Lewis71,40861.851.534.93.27.72.10.00.00.6CONCON
346224Hemel Hempstead Mike Penning75,01169.752.335.77.11.52.80.00.00.6CONCON
358212St Albans Anne Main72,81178.340.521.933.31.52.30.00.00.6CONCON
363207Hitchin and Harpenden Bim Afolami75,91677.450.431.411.61.53.10.00.02.0CONCON
367203Southend West David Amess67,67769.752.532.85.45.02.60.00.01.6CONCON
385185Chelmsford Vicky Ford81,04570.251.028.613.14.42.30.00.00.6CONCON
387183Huntingdon Jonathan Djanogly84,32070.852.529.79.55.12.70.00.00.6CONCON
390180Basildon South and East Thurrock Stephen Metcalfe73,54164.154.331.32.58.22.30.00.01.4CONCON
392178Cambridgeshire South Heidi Allen85,25776.249.226.019.61.53.20.00.00.6CONCON
399171Bedfordshire South West Andrew Selous79,67069.856.632.65.71.52.60.00.01.1CONCON
400170Cambridgeshire South East Lucy Frazer86,12173.250.726.519.91.50.90.00.00.6CONCON
409161Norfolk South Richard Bacon83,05673.655.629.79.31.53.40.00.00.6CONCON
413157Suffolk Coastal Therese Coffey79,36673.255.429.37.91.54.00.00.02.0CONCON
417153Harwich and North Essex Bernard Jenkin71,29471.755.929.36.44.82.90.00.00.8CONCON
418152Cambridgeshire North West Shailesh Vara93,22368.656.029.35.95.42.80.00.00.6CONCON
419151Norfolk North West Henry Bellingham72,06267.757.630.83.84.62.60.00.00.6CONCON
420150Broadland Keith Simpson77,33472.455.328.58.94.32.50.00.00.6CONCON
424146Norfolk Mid George Freeman80,02669.656.328.96.15.22.90.00.00.6CONCON
432138Bury St Edmunds Jo Churchill87,75870.856.528.36.71.55.00.00.01.9CONCON
434136Basildon and Billericay John Baron69,14965.058.329.94.45.90.90.00.00.6CONCON
438132Hertfordshire North East Oliver Heald75,96773.256.027.28.61.56.20.00.00.6CONCON
440130Suffolk Central and Ipswich North Dan Poulter78,11672.457.528.65.24.43.80.00.00.6CONCON
445124Norfolk North Norman Lamb69,26375.339.09.349.21.20.70.00.00.5LIBLIB
448122Hertford and Stortford Mark Prisk82,42972.857.727.49.01.53.90.00.00.6CONCON
451119Hertfordshire South West David Gauke80,29375.555.324.512.63.63.50.00.00.6CONCON
452118Hertsmere Oliver Dowden73,55471.058.527.56.34.52.80.00.00.6CONCON
453117Bedfordshire North East Alistair Burt86,98873.858.327.36.74.42.80.00.00.6CONCON
456114Suffolk South James Cartlidge75,96771.457.926.66.84.14.00.00.00.6CONCON
463107Suffolk West Matt Hancock76,98467.258.527.05.26.12.70.00.00.6CONCON
465105Bedfordshire Mid Nadine Dorries83,80075.459.027.27.01.53.70.00.01.6CONCON
466104Broxbourne Charles Walker73,50264.659.527.74.15.52.60.00.00.6CONCON
48486Norfolk South West Elizabeth Truss77,87467.360.126.65.56.40.90.00.00.6CONCON
49080Braintree James Cleverly75,31669.560.226.45.25.02.60.00.00.6CONCON
49773Clacton Giles Watling69,26363.758.624.23.09.12.50.01.01.7CONCON
49872Epping Forest Eleanor Laing74,73767.959.324.86.65.13.30.00.00.8CONCON
51159Witham Priti Patel69,13771.261.725.36.51.54.60.00.00.6CONCON
53139Cambridgeshire North East Stephen Barclay84,40463.161.823.35.45.52.80.00.01.1CONCON
53733Saffron Walden Kemi Badenoch83,69072.859.119.614.94.90.90.00.00.6CONCON
54228Castle Point Rebecca Harris69,47064.464.623.93.36.80.90.00.00.6CONCON
54426Rayleigh and Wickford Mark Francois78,55670.464.123.23.85.72.80.00.00.6CONCON
55614Brentwood and Ongar Alex Burghart74,91170.663.119.29.35.02.60.00.00.8CONCON
5619Maldon John Whittingdale66,96075.065.320.15.35.23.00.00.01.1CONCON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.