Anglia: Majority Sorted Seats

Anglia Prediction

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	57.2%	52	30.4%	0	31	-31	21
LAB	24.4%	5	36.1%	28	0	+28	33
LIB	13.4%	1	13.3%	3	0	+3	4
Reform	0.4%	0	13.6%	0	0	+0	0
Green	3.0%	0	6.1%	0	0	+0	0
Other	1.7%	0	0.5%	0	0	+0	0

This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Luton North, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Norfolk North, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Colchester (prediction: LAB), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Ipswich (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Anglia seats with predictions

LAB Seats	CON Seats	Seat	MP at 2019	Electorate	Turn Out%	CON %	LAB %	LIB %	Reform %	Green %	MIN %	OTH %	2019 Win	Pred Win
83	483	Luton North	Sarah Owen	68,185	62.5	15.3	65.2	3.7	11.1	4.2	0.0	0.5	LAB	LAB
96	470	Luton South	Rachel Hopkins	69,338	60.7	15.3	62.3	3.8	12.9	4.9	0.0	0.7	LAB	LAB
125	441	Cambridge	Daniel Zeichner	79,951	67.2	8.7	52.4	19.5	10.1	8.9	0.0	0.3	LAB	LAB
127	439	Norwich South	Clive Lewis	77,845	66.4	12.0	55.6	7.6	12.5	11.8	0.0	0.5	LAB	LAB
213	353	Bedford	Mohammad Yasin	71,581	66.1	20.3	52.7	7.1	13.2	6.2	0.0	0.5	LAB	LAB
233	333	Peterborough	Paul Bristow	72,560	65.9	23.4	52.9	5.4	13.3	4.4	0.0	0.6	CON	LAB
234	332	Ipswich	Tom Hunt	75,525	65.6	24.1	53.1	4.6	12.1	5.6	0.0	0.5	CON	LAB
284	282	Norwich North	Chloe Smith	67,172	68.9	26.1	49.9	5.5	12.0	6.0	0.0	0.4	CON	LAB
301	265	Watford	Dean Russell	83,359	69.7	22.9	44.7	14.8	12.5	4.7	0.0	0.4	CON	LAB
304	262	Stevenage	Stephen McPartland	71,562	66.6	26.8	48.4	6.4	12.3	5.8	0.0	0.4	CON	LAB
309	257	Thurrock	Jackie Doyle-Price	79,659	59.6	28.0	48.4	4.6	13.4	5.1	0.0	0.5	CON	LAB
327	239	Colchester	Will Quince	82,625	64.6	25.2	42.0	13.2	12.5	6.7	0.0	0.4	CON	LAB
337	229	Welwyn Hatfield	Grant Shapps	74,892	69.5	28.4	43.3	9.9	12.0	6.0	0.0	0.4	CON	LAB
340	226	Rochford and Southend East	James Duddridge	75,624	61.0	29.9	44.6	6.2	13.9	4.7	0.0	0.7	CON	LAB
354	212	Hemel Hempstead	Mike Penning	74,035	69.3	28.3	40.2	12.1	13.2	5.8	0.0	0.4	CON	LAB
355	211	Harlow	Robert Halfon	68,078	63.7	32.8	44.5	5.4	12.7	4.2	0.0	0.5	CON	LAB
369	197	Bedfordshire South West	Andrew Selous	79,926	66.7	29.3	39.3	10.3	14.2	6.3	0.0	0.6	CON	LAB
375	191	Waveney	Peter Aldous	82,791	61.8	31.9	40.0	6.2	14.2	7.3	0.0	0.4	CON	LAB
384	182	Huntingdon	Jonathan Djanogly	84,657	69.9	28.2	35.1	16.2	13.8	6.2	0.0	0.5	CON	LAB
404	162	Bedfordshire North East	Richard Fuller	90,678	71.7	31.0	36.1	12.6	14.1	5.7	0.0	0.5	CON	LAB
407	159	Basildon South and East Thurrock	Stephen Metcalfe	74,441	60.8	34.1	38.7	6.1	16.0	4.2	0.0	0.9	CON	LAB
409	157	Great Yarmouth	Brandon Lewis	71,957	60.4	35.8	40.2	5.6	13.4	4.6	0.0	0.4	CON	LAB
421	145	Hitchin and Harpenden	Bim Afolami	76,323	77.1	27.1	30.2	26.2	11.1	5.0	0.0	0.3	CON	LAB
423	143	Hertfordshire North East	Oliver Heald	76,123	72.7	32.2	35.2	12.9	12.5	6.9	0.0	0.3	CON	LAB
425	141	Suffolk West	Matt Hancock	80,193	64.1	32.9	35.9	8.9	15.3	6.5	0.0	0.5	CON	LAB
428	138	Chelmsford	Vicky Ford	80,394	71.1	27.6	30.3	23.9	12.9	4.8	0.0	0.4	CON	LAB
429	137	Norfolk South	Richard Bacon	86,214	72.5	31.1	33.7	15.1	13.1	6.7	0.0	0.2	CON	LAB
430	136	Harwich and North Essex	Bernard Jenkin	74,153	70.1	33.2	35.5	12.3	13.2	5.6	0.0	0.3	CON	LAB
431	135	Bedfordshire Mid	Nadine Dorries	87,795	73.7	31.1	33.3	16.5	12.4	4.0	2.3	0.5	CON	LAB
432	134	Cambridgeshire North West	Shailesh Vara	94,909	68.0	33.0	35.2	11.7	13.6	6.2	0.0	0.4	CON	LAB
447	118	Cambridgeshire South	Anthony Browne	87,288	76.7	23.5	24.2	36.5	11.2	4.4	0.0	0.2	CON	LIB
448	118	Norfolk North West	James Wild	72,080	64.7	35.2	35.9	8.0	14.9	5.5	0.0	0.4	CON	LAB
448	117	Cambridgeshire South East	Lucy Frazer	86,769	74.2	26.4	26.9	30.6	11.7	4.2	0.0	0.2	CON	LIB
449	117	Suffolk Coastal	Therese Coffey	81,910	71.2	29.2	29.6	16.5	15.5	8.8	0.0	0.4	CON	LAB
449	116	St Albans	Daisy Cooper	73,727	78.1	21.1	21.3	40.5	11.3	5.6	0.0	0.3	LIB	LIB
451	115	Hertford and Stortford	Julie Marson	81,765	73.5	30.5	30.5	12.5	14.5	11.4	0.0	0.6	CON	LAB
456	110	Broadland	Jerome Mayhew	78,151	72.9	30.8	30.3	19.3	13.7	5.6	0.0	0.2	CON	CON
458	108	Norfolk Mid	George Freeman	82,203	68.4	35.3	34.7	12.6	13.0	4.1	0.0	0.3	CON	CON
468	98	Bury St Edmunds	Jo Churchill	89,644	69.1	32.2	30.4	7.0	15.1	14.8	0.0	0.5	CON	CON
470	96	Hertsmere	Oliver Dowden	73,971	70.6	37.1	35.2	9.5	12.1	5.8	0.0	0.4	CON	CON
473	93	Suffolk South	James Cartlidge	76,201	70.2	31.0	28.5	14.5	16.1	9.5	0.0	0.4	CON	CON
475	91	Braintree	James Cleverly	75,208	67.1	37.1	34.4	8.8	14.7	4.5	0.0	0.5	CON	CON
476	90	Epping Forest	Eleanor Laing	74,304	67.7	35.2	32.5	10.0	15.2	6.5	0.0	0.7	CON	CON
478	88	Broxbourne	Charles Walker	73,182	63.8	38.4	35.6	7.3	13.0	5.3	0.0	0.5	CON	CON
486	80	Basildon and Billericay	John Baron	69,906	63.1	39.4	36.0	6.3	12.5	5.3	0.0	0.4	CON	CON
493	73	Norfolk South West	Liz Truss	78,455	65.6	37.3	33.2	9.0	15.0	5.2	0.0	0.4	CON	CON
495	71	Hertfordshire South West	Gagan Mohindra	80,449	76.1	32.2	28.1	17.3	15.7	5.7	0.0	1.0	CON	CON
502	64	Suffolk Central and Ipswich North	Dan Poulter	80,037	70.3	34.2	29.7	11.9	14.7	9.2	0.0	0.4	CON	CON
503	63	Southend West	David Amess	69,043	67.4	39.2	34.5	8.3	12.9	4.3	0.0	0.8	CON	CON
506	60	Castle Point	Rebecca Harris	69,608	63.6	36.9	31.7	6.6	18.9	4.7	0.0	1.2	CON	CON
512	54	Witham	Priti Patel	70,402	70.1	37.0	30.8	10.7	14.1	7.1	0.0	0.4	CON	CON
513	53	Saffron Walden	Kemi Badenoch	87,017	72.5	33.9	27.7	17.9	13.9	6.3	0.0	0.3	CON	CON
523	43	Rayleigh and Wickford	Mark Francois	78,930	69.6	38.5	30.1	8.6	15.9	6.2	0.0	0.7	CON	CON
527	39	Clacton	Giles Watling	70,930	61.3	39.0	30.5	7.3	17.6	4.8	0.0	0.8	CON	CON
533	33	Cambridgeshire North East	Steve Barclay	83,699	63.3	39.8	30.9	10.1	14.1	4.7	0.0	0.4	CON	CON
546	20	Maldon	John Whittingdale	72,438	69.6	39.3	27.8	12.1	14.6	5.7	0.0	0.4	CON	CON
555	11	Brentwood and Ongar	Alex Burghart	75,255	70.4	40.6	26.7	14.0	13.1	5.2	0.0	0.3	CON	CON
558	7	Norfolk North	Duncan Baker	70,729	71.9	30.5	15.2	37.1	14.1	3.0	0.0	0.1	CON	LIB

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2019. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.