Anglia: Sorted Seats

Anglia Prediction

Party	2024 Votes	2024 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	30.6%	23	22.9%	4	8	-4	19
LAB	29.4%	27	16.9%	0	23	-23	4
LIB	13.2%	7	12.8%	0	0	+0	7
Reform	17.5%	3	29.1%	25	0	+25	28
Green	6.9%	1	14.8%	2	0	+2	3
Other	2.4%	0	3.5%	0	0	+0	0

This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Reform votes. The seat 'Cambridge' where the LAB−Reform difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Clacton', where the Reform−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.

The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'Reform Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Castle Point (prediction: Reform), and the Reforms need to win all their seats up to Cambridge (prediction: Green).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Anglia seats with predictions

LAB Seats	Reform Seats	Seat	MP at 2024	Electorate	Turn Out%	CON %	LAB %	LIB %	Reform %	Green %	MIN %	OTH %	2024 Win	Pred Win
2	327	Cambridge	Daniel Zeichner	70,315	59.9	9.6	23.8	14.8	7.4	38.3	2.0	4.1	LAB	Green
24	306	Bedford	Mohammad Yasin	72,478	56.1	10.5	36.5	5.9	30.2	9.9	2.4	4.6	LAB	LAB
34	296	Hitchin	Alistair Strathern	75,080	69.9	22.6	24.9	13.0	19.9	17.3	1.0	1.4	LAB	LAB
46	284	Watford	Matt Turmaine	73,000	60.9	18.0	23.1	16.3	20.6	14.1	5.4	2.5	LAB	LAB
58	272	Colchester	Pam Cox	78,662	57.1	14.8	27.6	11.9	26.2	15.8	1.9	1.8	LAB	LAB
63	266	Norwich South	Clive Lewis	76,381	59.0	11.6	20.4	8.4	20.5	34.5	2.0	2.7	LAB	Green
67	262	Hertford and Stortford	Josh Dean	78,915	68.4	25.3	20.0	11.8	21.8	18.2	1.1	1.8	LAB	CON
68	261	Norfolk South	Ben Goldsborough	74,135	66.9	23.2	20.3	15.5	22.1	16.3	1.0	1.6	LAB	CON
71	259	Stevenage	Kevin Bonavia	70,086	60.9	12.6	32.4	5.7	34.8	11.1	1.9	1.5	LAB	Reform
73	257	Welwyn Hatfield	Andrew Lewin	75,259	64.4	21.8	24.0	8.6	27.0	15.3	1.5	1.7	LAB	Reform
75	254	Cambridgeshire South	Pippa Heylings	77,327	71.0	25.4	6.3	47.1	9.5	8.6	0.8	2.4	LIB	LIB
75	254	St Albans	Daisy Cooper	72,739	71.0	15.5	10.3	39.8	13.8	16.9	1.0	2.7	LIB	LIB
75	254	Epping Forest	Neil Hudson	72,229	57.8	32.7	17.6	11.3	21.2	13.0	0.9	3.2	CON	CON
78	252	Ipswich	Jack Simon Abbott	76,319	57.7	18.3	24.3	6.8	27.9	19.9	1.3	1.6	LAB	Reform
86	243	Huntingdon	Benjamin Obese-Jecty	79,074	65.8	26.5	21.9	9.9	26.4	12.9	0.9	1.5	CON	CON
86	243	Essex North West	Kemi Badenoch	79,824	68.1	29.5	19.8	10.8	24.3	13.3	0.7	1.6	CON	CON
91	238	Harpenden and Berkhamsted	Victoria Collins	72,242	75.2	30.8	1.9	54.3	6.7	4.0	0.6	1.7	LIB	LIB
95	235	Hemel Hempstead	David Taylor	71,038	62.1	22.7	19.9	14.0	25.4	15.7	0.9	1.4	LAB	Reform
96	234	Norwich North	Alice Macdonald	73,721	62.1	15.5	23.8	8.7	29.3	18.9	2.2	1.6	LAB	Reform
107	223	Hertfordshire North East	Chris Hinchliff	77,090	68.1	21.6	21.2	11.2	27.9	14.9	1.5	1.7	LAB	Reform
110	219	St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire	Ian Sollom	78,115	67.7	29.8	5.4	38.9	12.4	8.9	0.7	3.9	LIB	LIB
127	202	Chelmsford	Marie Goldman	76,972	65.9	23.9	11.5	29.7	19.6	11.8	0.8	2.7	LIB	LIB
132	197	Suffolk Coastal	Jenny Riddell-Carpenter	74,522	66.4	28.2	17.1	12.5	25.8	14.0	0.9	1.6	LAB	CON
146	183	Ely and East Cambridgeshire	Charlotte Cane	79,112	66.2	21.6	12.9	27.2	22.9	11.8	1.2	2.5	LIB	LIB
153	176	Hertfordshire South West	Gagan Mohindra	71,353	67.6	24.3	13.4	21.6	24.2	12.2	1.3	3.0	CON	CON
155	175	Luton North	Sarah Owen	74,866	51.8	14.1	17.9	7.6	28.9	16.9	6.2	8.4	LAB	Reform
159	170	Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket	Peter Prinsley	77,599	65.6	29.9	14.6	9.0	26.2	16.6	1.2	2.5	LAB	CON
160	170	Southend East and Rochford	Bayo Alaba	70,217	56.5	22.9	18.6	8.2	30.2	17.5	0.9	1.7	LAB	Reform
176	154	Southend West and Leigh	David Edmund Burton-Sampson	75,154	62.5	20.9	19.2	9.2	32.1	15.1	1.5	2.2	LAB	Reform
184	146	Broadland and Fakenham	Jerome Mayhew	76,859	64.4	22.8	17.9	12.8	31.5	12.0	1.2	1.7	CON	Reform
191	139	Luton South and South Bedfordshire	Rachel Hopkins	76,970	49.9	14.0	16.3	7.9	30.1	17.8	13.9	0.1	LAB	Reform
201	128	Hertsmere	Oliver Dowden	73,518	65.3	40.3	13.4	6.5	27.9	9.7	1.0	1.2	CON	CON
207	122	Norfolk North	Steffan Aquarone	71,438	65.9	24.8	10.4	27.9	25.4	9.5	0.7	1.3	LIB	LIB
209	121	Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard	Alex Mayer	76,742	60.0	22.3	17.7	11.8	32.9	12.6	1.1	1.7	LAB	Reform
215	115	Harwich and North Essex	Bernard Jenkin	76,579	62.7	22.2	18.4	9.6	34.3	12.8	1.3	1.5	CON	Reform
217	113	Peterborough	Andrew Pakes	73,378	57.1	20.2	16.6	6.8	32.8	14.2	6.7	2.7	LAB	Reform
230	99	Waveney Valley	Adrian Ramsay	73,056	67.2	27.3	6.9	6.8	24.3	31.7	1.5	1.5	Green	Green
237	93	Thurrock	Jennifer Craft	73,405	51.2	14.1	21.9	5.9	39.8	13.8	2.1	2.3	LAB	Reform
243	86	Bedfordshire North	Richard Fuller	78,850	65.4	44.4	10.7	5.4	29.4	8.6	0.7	0.8	CON	CON
246	84	Lowestoft	Jessica Asato	74,332	56.3	21.5	17.2	7.5	36.3	15.0	1.1	1.3	LAB	Reform
261	69	Harlow	Christopher John Vince	74,683	58.1	20.3	17.7	7.8	37.8	13.3	1.5	1.5	LAB	Reform
284	46	Suffolk Central and North Ipswich	Patrick Spencer	73,046	63.6	29.8	10.7	9.3	32.9	13.4	1.6	2.3	CON	Reform
286	44	Norfolk Mid	George Freeman	75,238	61.0	34.4	13.0	6.5	35.4	9.1	0.9	0.7	CON	Reform
289	40	Bedfordshire Mid	Blake Stephenson	76,218	65.1	41.6	9.0	5.1	32.0	8.4	1.1	2.7	CON	CON
298	31	Witham	Priti Patel	79,072	64.0	42.5	9.1	4.4	33.7	7.9	0.9	1.5	CON	CON
299	31	Cambridgeshire North West	Sam Carling	75,915	58.5	33.3	11.4	5.8	36.2	10.6	1.1	1.5	LAB	Reform
302	27	Broxbourne	Lewis Christopher Cocking	75,187	57.1	38.1	10.5	5.7	35.4	8.3	1.1	1.0	CON	CON
305	25	Norfolk South West	Terry Jermy	74,724	59.3	21.4	13.5	8.0	38.9	10.8	5.1	2.2	LAB	Reform
308	21	Suffolk South	James Cartlidge	73,385	66.5	40.1	8.2	5.8	34.4	8.6	1.2	1.6	CON	CON
309	21	Basildon and Billericay	Richard John Holden	76,873	54.8	19.6	15.2	7.7	41.7	12.5	1.4	1.9	CON	Reform
309	20	Brentwood and Ongar	Alex Burghart	75,352	64.1	41.4	9.1	5.9	35.7	6.0	0.8	1.1	CON	CON
309	20	Braintree	James Cleverly	77,781	63.0	37.7	10.7	4.0	37.6	8.1	0.8	1.1	CON	CON
315	14	Norfolk North West	James Wild	74,415	59.9	40.8	8.6	4.4	38.0	6.9	0.6	0.7	CON	CON
316	13	Maldon	John Whittingdale	78,281	63.7	42.2	7.5	4.7	38.1	6.2	0.6	0.7	CON	CON
317	13	Great Yarmouth	Rupert Lowe	73,317	55.6	16.4	15.8	6.8	46.8	11.1	1.6	1.5	Reform	Reform
318	12	Suffolk West	Nick Timothy	77,149	59.8	37.5	7.8	4.2	39.4	8.1	1.0	1.9	CON	Reform
318	11	Rayleigh and Wickford	Mark Francois	76,576	62.7	40.6	8.6	3.2	40.2	6.2	0.5	0.7	CON	CON
319	11	Basildon South and East Thurrock	James McMurdock	72,673	54.4	21.6	13.5	4.6	45.4	11.2	1.2	2.6	Reform	Reform
322	8	Cambridgeshire North East	Steve Barclay	71,511	54.8	39.2	6.6	4.4	41.7	5.9	0.8	1.3	CON	Reform
326	4	Castle Point	Rebecca Harris	70,967	57.3	38.8	6.9	1.5	46.0	5.9	0.3	0.5	CON	Reform
328	2	Clacton	Nigel Farage	78,703	58.4	32.7	4.9	2.7	52.2	6.0	0.5	1.1	Reform	Reform

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.