East Midlands: Majority Sorted Seats

East Midlands Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 50.7%31 47.0%04-427
LAB 40.5%15 40.9%40+419
LIB 4.3%0 4.3%00+00
UKIP 2.4%0 4.7%00+00
Green 1.5%0 2.0%00+00
Minor 0.6%0 1.1%00+00

This page shows all the seats in East Midlands sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Leicester South, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, South Holland and The Deepings, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Rushcliffe (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Lincoln (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of East Midlands seats with predictions

Lab
Seats
Con
Seats
SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
UKIP
%
Green
%
NAT
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2017
Win
Pred
Win
29542Leicester South Jon Ashworth75,53466.917.873.92.62.42.80.00.00.5LABLAB
36535Nottingham East Chris Leslie61,76263.717.971.82.64.42.30.00.01.0LABLAB
59512Leicester East Keith Vaz77,78867.420.567.42.62.42.60.03.31.3LABLAB
105466Nottingham South Lilian Greenwood71,17867.627.162.73.34.61.80.00.00.5LABLAB
123448Leicester West Liz Kendall64,83457.927.661.22.16.12.10.00.00.8LABLAB
127444Nottingham North Alex Norris66,89457.327.360.61.87.91.90.00.00.5LABLAB
146425Derby South Margaret Beckett69,91864.829.858.72.76.81.50.00.00.5LABLAB
169402Chesterfield Toby Perkins72,06366.531.055.25.55.72.10.00.00.5LABLAB
205366Bolsover Dennis Skinner73,42963.436.852.33.06.90.50.00.00.5LABLAB
216355Bassetlaw John Mann78,53566.539.653.02.22.40.50.01.90.5LABLAB
217354Gedling Vernon Coaker71,22172.639.152.32.04.61.50.00.00.5LABLAB
238333High Peak Ruth George73,25473.541.650.15.02.40.50.00.00.5LABLAB
239332Derby North Chris Williamson69,91969.640.748.94.74.80.50.00.00.5LABLAB
241330Lincoln Karen Lee73,11166.641.048.32.65.01.70.00.01.4LABLAB
251320Ashfield Gloria De Piero78,09964.038.043.01.96.11.30.09.20.5LABLAB
269302Broxtowe Anna Soubry74,01775.043.145.64.15.01.70.00.00.5CONLAB
273298Northampton North Michael Ellis58,18369.443.545.62.55.82.10.00.00.5CONLAB
274297Mansfield Ben Bradley77,81164.542.944.91.47.60.50.02.20.5CONLAB
279292Northampton South Andrew Lewer60,99367.343.144.43.46.32.20.00.00.5CONLAB
289282Corby Tom Pursglove82,43972.845.545.12.64.81.50.00.00.5CONCON
296275Derbyshire North East Lee Rowley72,09769.945.543.92.85.51.90.00.00.5CONCON
306265Loughborough Nicky Morgan79,60768.046.242.43.65.12.30.00.00.5CONCON
310261Erewash Maggie Throup72,99168.248.443.42.52.41.90.00.01.5CONCON
312259Sherwood Mark Spencer76,19670.047.842.22.15.71.80.00.00.5CONCON
327244Rushcliffe Kenneth Clarke74,74078.048.138.54.74.93.30.00.00.5CONCON
349222Amber Valley Nigel Mills68,06567.352.838.82.42.41.90.00.01.7CONCON
370201Kettering Philip Hollobone71,52369.154.236.93.32.42.80.00.00.5CONCON
371200Harborough Neil O'Brien78,64773.248.631.112.74.72.40.00.00.5CONCON
378193Derbyshire South Heather Wheeler76,34168.955.036.43.62.42.30.00.00.5CONCON
381190Derbyshire Mid Pauline Latham67,46674.754.935.93.62.42.80.00.00.5CONCON
384187Wellingborough Peter Bone79,25867.253.734.43.45.72.30.00.00.5CONCON
395176Leicestershire North West Andrew Bridgen75,36271.054.533.86.42.42.60.00.00.5CONCON
426145Derbyshire Dales Patrick McLoughlin64,41877.056.331.56.32.42.50.00.01.0CONCON
432139Charnwood Edward Argar78,07170.756.731.23.75.02.40.00.01.0CONCON
456115Bosworth David Tredinnick80,63369.753.024.417.42.42.40.00.00.5CONCON
460111Leicestershire South Alberto Costa78,89571.957.728.94.26.32.40.00.00.5CONCON
463108Newark Robert Jenrick75,52672.958.930.15.14.90.50.00.00.5CONCON
465106Gainsborough Edward Leigh75,89367.858.129.17.12.42.90.00.00.5CONCON
49081Northamptonshire South Andrea Leadsom85,75675.858.727.75.64.52.60.00.00.9CONCON
49576Grantham and Stamford Nick Boles81,76269.258.326.95.55.41.90.01.50.5CONCON
50467Louth and Horncastle Victoria Atkins79,00666.860.227.13.87.00.50.00.01.4CONCON
51853Sleaford and North Hykeham Caroline Johnson90,92572.460.526.24.15.32.00.00.01.8CONCON
52348Boston and Skegness Matt Warman68,39162.759.925.31.810.11.80.00.01.1CONCON
52645Daventry Chris Heaton-Harris75,33573.960.025.17.25.02.20.00.00.5CONCON
53437Rutland and Melton Alan Duncan78,46373.459.123.18.25.63.60.00.00.5CONCON
5683South Holland and The Deepings John Hayes76,38165.966.220.82.96.72.30.00.01.1CONCON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.