East Midlands: Majority Sorted Seats

East Midlands Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 50.7%31 47.8%03-328
LAB 40.5%15 40.1%30+318
LIB 4.3%0 4.4%00+00
UKIP 2.4%0 4.7%00+00
Green 1.5%0 1.8%00+00
Minor 0.6%0 1.1%00+00

This page shows all the seats in East Midlands sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Leicester South, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, South Holland and The Deepings, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Rushcliffe (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Lincoln (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of East Midlands seats with predictions

SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
30544Leicester South Jon Ashworth75,53466.918.673.
37537Nottingham East Chris Leslie61,76263.718.771.
59515Leicester East Keith Vaz77,78867.421.366.
105469Nottingham South Lilian Greenwood71,17867.627.962.
123451Leicester West Liz Kendall64,83457.928.460.
127447Nottingham North Alex Norris66,89457.328.
147427Derby South Margaret Beckett69,91864.830.658.
167407Chesterfield Toby Perkins72,06366.531.854.
206368Bolsover Dennis Skinner73,42963.437.651.
216358Bassetlaw John Mann78,53566.540.452.
218356Gedling Vernon Coaker71,22172.639.951.
238336High Peak Ruth George73,25473.542.449.
240334Derby North Chris Williamson69,91969.641.548.
242332Lincoln Karen Lee73,11166.641.847.
252322Ashfield Gloria De Piero78,09964.038.842.
269305Broxtowe Anna Soubry74,01775.043.944.
274300Northampton North Michael Ellis58,18369.444.344.
275299Mansfield Ben Bradley77,81164.543.744.
279295Northampton South Andrew Lewer60,99367.343.943.
290284Corby Tom Pursglove82,43972.846.344.
297277Derbyshire North East Lee Rowley72,09769.946.343.
306268Loughborough Nicky Morgan79,60768.
311263Erewash Maggie Throup72,99168.
313261Sherwood Mark Spencer76,19670.048.641.
329245Rushcliffe Kenneth Clarke74,74078.048.937.
351223Amber Valley Nigel Mills68,06567.353.638.
375199Kettering Philip Hollobone71,52369.
376198Harborough Neil O'Brien78,64773.249.430.412.
382192Derbyshire South Heather Wheeler76,34168.955.835.
383191Derbyshire Mid Pauline Latham67,46674.755.735.
387187Wellingborough Peter Bone79,25867.254.533.
398176Leicestershire North West Andrew Bridgen75,36271.055.333.
429145Derbyshire Dales Patrick McLoughlin64,41877.
434140Charnwood Edward Argar78,07170.757.530.
461113Bosworth David Tredinnick80,63369.753.823.717.
465109Leicestershire South Alberto Costa78,89571.958.528.
467107Newark Robert Jenrick75,52672.959.729.
469105Gainsborough Edward Leigh75,89367.858.928.
49579Northamptonshire South Andrea Leadsom85,75675.859.527.
49975Grantham and Stamford Nick Boles81,76269.
51064Louth and Horncastle Victoria Atkins79,00666.861.
52252Sleaford and North Hykeham Caroline Johnson90,92572.461.325.
52747Boston and Skegness Matt Warman68,39162.760.724.61.910.
52945Daventry Chris Heaton-Harris75,33573.960.824.
53737Rutland and Melton Alan Duncan78,46373.459.922.
5713South Holland and The Deepings John Hayes76,38165.967.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.