East Midlands: Majority Sorted Seats

East Midlands Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 50.7%31 47.7%02-229
LAB 40.5%15 39.5%20+217
LIB 4.3%0 4.4%00+00
UKIP 2.4%0 5.4%00+00
Green 1.5%0 2.6%00+00
Minor 0.6%0 0.5%00+00

This page shows all the seats in East Midlands sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Leicester South, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, South Holland and The Deepings, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Rushcliffe (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Lincoln (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of East Midlands seats with predictions

SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
30546Leicester South Jon Ashworth75,53466.918.672.
37539Nottingham East Chris Leslie61,76263.718.670.
59517Leicester East Keith Vaz77,78867.421.
106470Nottingham South Lilian Greenwood71,17867.627.861.
125451Leicester West Liz Kendall64,83457.928.359.
129447Nottingham North Alex Norris66,89457.328.
150426Derby South Margaret Beckett69,91864.830.557.
171405Chesterfield Toby Perkins72,06366.531.753.
212364Bolsover Dennis Skinner73,42963.437.550.
222354Bassetlaw John Mann78,53566.540.351.
224352Gedling Vernon Coaker71,22172.639.850.
243333High Peak Ruth George73,25473.542.448.
245331Derby North Chris Williamson69,91969.641.447.
247329Lincoln Karen Lee73,11166.641.746.
257319Ashfield Gloria De Piero78,09964.038.741.
274302Broxtowe Anna Soubry74,01775.043.844.
279297Northampton North Michael Ellis58,18369.444.
280296Mansfield Ben Bradley77,81164.543.643.
284292Northampton South Andrew Lewer60,99367.343.943.
295281Corby Tom Pursglove82,43972.846.
302274Derbyshire North East Lee Rowley72,09769.946.
312264Loughborough Nicky Morgan79,60768.046.941.
317259Erewash Maggie Throup72,99168.
319257Sherwood Mark Spencer76,19670.048.540.
334242Rushcliffe Kenneth Clarke74,74078.048.837.
357219Amber Valley Nigel Mills68,06567.353.537.
378198Kettering Philip Hollobone71,52369.154.935.
379197Harborough Neil O'Brien78,64773.249.329.712.
385191Derbyshire South Heather Wheeler76,34168.955.735.
386190Derbyshire Mid Pauline Latham67,46674.755.634.
390186Wellingborough Peter Bone79,25867.254.433.
401175Leicestershire North West Andrew Bridgen75,36271.
433143Derbyshire Dales Patrick McLoughlin64,41877.
438138Charnwood Edward Argar78,07170.757.429.
465111Bosworth David Tredinnick80,63369.753.723.
471105Leicestershire South Alberto Costa78,89571.958.427.
472104Newark Robert Jenrick75,52672.959.728.
474102Gainsborough Edward Leigh75,89367.858.827.
49878Northamptonshire South Andrea Leadsom85,75675.859.426.
50274Grantham and Stamford Nick Boles81,76269.
51264Louth and Horncastle Victoria Atkins79,00666.860.925.
52551Sleaford and North Hykeham Caroline Johnson90,92572.461.
52947Boston and Skegness Matt Warman68,39162.760.623.91.910.
53145Daventry Chris Heaton-Harris75,33573.960.723.
54036Rutland and Melton Alan Duncan78,46373.459.821.
5733South Holland and The Deepings John Hayes76,38165.966.919.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.