London: Majority Sorted Seats

London Prediction

Party	2017 Votes	2017 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	33.1%	21	31.1%	0	2	-2	19
LAB	54.5%	49	53.1%	1	0	+1	50
LIB	8.8%	3	9.1%	1	0	+1	4
UKIP	1.3%	0	2.6%	0	0	+0	0
Green	1.8%	0	2.9%	0	0	+0	0
Minor	0.5%	0	1.3%	0	0	+0	0

This page shows all the seats in London sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, East Ham, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Orpington, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Croydon South (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Battersea (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of London seats with predictions

Lab Seats	Con Seats	Seat	MP at 2017	Electorate	Turn Out%	CON %	LAB %	LIB %	UKIP %	Green %	NAT %	MIN %	OTH %	2017 Win	Pred Win
6	568	East Ham	Stephen Timms	83,827	67.6	11.4	81.8	1.4	2.3	1.7	0.0	0.0	1.4	LAB	LAB
7	567	Tottenham	David Lammy	72,883	67.7	10.2	80.1	3.6	1.9	3.4	0.0	0.0	0.6	LAB	LAB
10	564	Hackney South and Shoreditch	Meg Hillier	82,004	67.5	9.7	78.0	5.9	1.0	3.6	0.0	0.0	1.8	LAB	LAB
13	561	Walthamstow	Stella Creasy	68,144	70.6	12.5	79.2	3.1	1.1	3.4	0.0	0.0	0.7	LAB	LAB
14	560	Camberwell and Peckham	Harriet Harman	85,586	67.1	11.4	76.4	6.2	1.0	3.7	0.0	0.0	1.3	LAB	LAB
15	559	Lewisham Deptford	Vicky Foxcroft	78,472	70.2	12.2	75.6	5.5	1.1	3.9	0.0	0.0	1.6	LAB	LAB
18	556	Hackney North and Stoke Newington	Diane Abbott	83,955	67.1	11.3	73.6	7.0	1.0	5.5	0.0	0.0	1.5	LAB	LAB
20	554	West Ham	Lyn Brown	92,243	65.8	14.4	75.3	3.3	3.0	2.6	0.0	0.0	1.3	LAB	LAB
22	552	Islington North	Jeremy Corbyn	74,831	73.4	11.1	71.6	9.2	1.8	5.0	0.0	0.0	1.3	LAB	LAB
23	551	Bethnal Green and Bow	Rushanara Ali	86,071	69.5	11.3	70.4	5.2	2.5	3.4	0.0	6.5	0.6	LAB	LAB
26	548	Ilford South	Mike Gapes	85,358	67.5	18.8	74.4	1.6	2.2	2.1	0.0	0.0	0.9	LAB	LAB
27	547	Croydon North	Steve Reed	87,461	68.2	17.7	72.7	3.1	2.6	2.8	0.0	0.0	1.1	LAB	LAB
28	546	Brent Central	Dawn Butler	80,845	64.7	17.4	71.6	5.1	2.4	2.7	0.0	0.0	0.8	LAB	LAB
31	543	Holborn and St Pancras	Keir Starmer	88,088	67.0	16.4	68.6	7.1	2.5	4.5	0.0	0.0	0.9	LAB	LAB
34	540	Dulwich and West Norwood	Helen Hayes	77,947	72.0	17.4	68.2	8.3	1.3	3.6	0.0	0.0	1.2	LAB	LAB
36	538	Hornsey and Wood Green	Catherine West	79,944	77.9	13.2	64.0	16.3	1.8	2.9	0.0	0.9	0.9	LAB	LAB
39	535	Leyton and Wanstead	John Cryer	65,285	70.7	18.7	68.4	6.7	1.3	4.1	0.0	0.0	0.8	LAB	LAB
40	534	Ealing Southall	Virendra Sharma	65,188	69.3	19.1	68.8	4.5	2.4	3.5	0.0	0.0	1.6	LAB	LAB
43	531	Edmonton	Kate Osamor	65,705	66.5	20.9	70.1	2.3	3.3	2.6	0.0	0.0	0.8	LAB	LAB
46	528	Poplar and Limehouse	Jim Fitzpatrick	87,274	67.4	17.9	65.8	7.0	2.8	2.8	0.0	2.5	1.1	LAB	LAB
47	527	Streatham	Chuka Umunna	78,532	71.0	19.2	67.1	6.8	2.0	4.2	0.0	0.0	0.8	LAB	LAB
51	523	Barking	Margaret Hodge	77,020	61.9	20.3	66.4	1.6	7.7	2.7	0.0	0.0	1.4	LAB	LAB
52	522	Lewisham East	Heidi Alexander	68,126	69.3	20.8	66.5	4.7	3.0	2.9	0.0	0.0	2.1	LAB	LAB
54	520	Mitcham and Morden	Siobhain McDonagh	68,705	70.0	22.0	67.2	3.4	3.5	2.5	0.0	0.0	1.3	LAB	LAB
56	518	Lewisham West and Penge	Ellie Reeves	72,902	73.0	20.8	65.1	6.5	2.6	3.3	0.0	0.0	1.5	LAB	LAB
62	512	Islington South and Finsbury	Emily Thornberry	69,534	69.1	18.5	61.4	12.4	3.3	3.7	0.0	0.0	0.8	LAB	LAB
72	502	Bermondsey and Old Southwark	Neil Coyle	87,227	67.1	11.5	51.8	31.3	2.5	2.0	0.0	0.0	0.8	LAB	LAB
74	500	Greenwich and Woolwich	Matthew Pennycook	77,190	68.8	23.2	63.0	7.4	1.3	4.2	0.0	0.0	0.8	LAB	LAB
76	498	Vauxhall	Kate Hoey	81,907	67.2	16.6	55.9	20.9	1.3	3.2	0.0	0.0	2.1	LAB	LAB
78	496	Hayes and Harlington	John McDonnell	73,268	65.2	26.4	65.1	1.6	3.7	2.4	0.0	0.0	0.8	LAB	LAB
81	493	Ealing North	Steve Pound	74,764	70.2	26.3	64.5	2.7	3.1	2.6	0.0	0.0	0.8	LAB	LAB
87	487	Hammersmith	Andy Slaughter	72,803	71.8	26.0	62.4	5.7	2.3	2.7	0.0	0.0	0.9	LAB	LAB
113	461	Brent North	Barry Gardiner	82,556	68.4	30.5	61.5	3.2	1.3	2.3	0.0	0.0	1.2	LAB	LAB
121	453	Feltham and Heston	Seema Malhotra	81,707	64.9	29.6	59.8	2.9	4.2	2.7	0.0	0.0	0.8	LAB	LAB
138	436	Hampstead and Kilburn	Tulip Siddiq	82,957	70.4	30.2	57.6	7.3	1.3	2.4	0.0	0.0	1.2	LAB	LAB
139	435	Westminster North	Karen Buck	63,846	67.8	31.1	58.5	5.5	1.3	2.5	0.0	0.0	1.0	LAB	LAB
141	433	Tooting	Rosena Allin-Khan	77,960	74.6	30.9	58.2	5.6	1.9	2.6	0.0	0.0	0.8	LAB	LAB
142	432	Harrow West	Gareth Thomas	69,798	72.1	32.2	59.4	2.8	2.3	2.5	0.0	0.0	0.8	LAB	LAB
146	428	Ealing Central and Acton	Rupa Huq	74,200	74.6	32.6	58.3	5.9	1.3	1.2	0.0	0.0	0.8	LAB	LAB
154	420	Erith and Thamesmead	Teresa Pearce	69,724	63.8	32.8	56.1	2.0	5.2	2.3	0.0	0.0	1.6	LAB	LAB
162	412	Enfield North	Joan Ryan	68,454	70.9	34.7	56.6	2.4	3.1	2.3	0.0	0.0	0.8	LAB	LAB
169	405	Brentford and Isleworth	Ruth Cadbury	85,151	72.4	35.4	56.0	5.3	1.3	1.2	0.0	0.0	0.8	LAB	LAB
178	396	Ilford North	Wes Streeting	72,997	72.5	37.4	56.4	2.3	1.3	1.2	0.0	0.0	1.5	LAB	LAB
193	381	Eltham	Clive Efford	64,474	71.6	38.6	53.0	3.5	1.3	1.2	0.0	0.0	2.4	LAB	LAB
211	363	Dagenham and Rainham	Jon Cruddas	70,620	64.9	37.7	48.7	1.3	8.4	2.3	0.0	0.0	1.5	LAB	LAB
212	362	Croydon Central	Sarah Jones	80,045	71.3	40.2	50.9	2.2	3.2	2.3	0.0	0.0	1.3	LAB	LAB
216	358	Enfield Southgate	Bambos Charalambous	65,137	74.2	40.5	50.3	4.3	1.3	2.8	0.0	0.0	0.8	LAB	LAB
236	338	Battersea	Marsha De Cordova	77,572	71.0	39.4	44.5	8.3	2.0	2.7	0.0	2.2	0.9	LAB	LAB
256	318	Kensington	Emma Dent Coad	60,594	63.8	40.0	40.8	12.5	1.3	3.1	0.0	0.0	2.2	LAB	LAB
260	314	Chipping Barnet	Theresa Villiers	77,020	72.0	44.1	44.3	5.7	1.3	3.7	0.0	0.0	0.8	CON	LAB
272	302	Hendon	Matthew Offord	76,329	68.4	45.8	44.5	4.1	2.4	2.3	0.0	0.0	0.8	CON	CON
280	294	Finchley and Golders Green	Mike Freer	73,138	71.6	44.8	42.4	6.9	2.2	2.9	0.0	0.0	0.8	CON	CON
282	292	Putney	Justine Greening	65,026	72.1	41.9	39.4	11.9	2.3	3.5	0.0	0.0	0.9	CON	CON
283	291	Harrow East	Bob Blackman	71,757	70.9	47.2	44.5	3.4	1.3	2.7	0.0	0.0	0.8	CON	CON
294	280	Chingford and Woodford Green	Iain Duncan Smith	66,078	71.1	46.9	42.5	4.7	1.3	3.7	0.0	0.0	0.8	CON	CON
306	268	Cities of London and Westminster	Mark Field	61,533	62.8	44.4	37.0	11.3	2.4	3.3	0.0	0.0	1.5	CON	CON
316	258	Uxbridge and South Ruislip	Boris Johnson	69,938	66.8	48.6	38.6	4.2	4.7	3.1	0.0	0.0	0.8	CON	CON
317	257	Wimbledon	Stephen Hammond	66,771	77.2	44.3	34.1	14.8	2.4	3.5	0.0	0.0	0.8	CON	CON
353	221	Croydon South	Chris Philp	83,518	73.3	52.2	34.4	6.1	3.2	3.0	0.0	0.0	1.2	CON	CON
357	217	Chelsea and Fulham	Greg Hands	63,728	66.1	50.5	31.8	11.3	2.6	3.1	0.0	0.0	0.8	CON	CON
358	215	Carshalton and Wallington	Tom Brake	70,849	71.6	36.1	17.1	41.3	1.3	2.1	0.0	0.9	1.2	LIB	LIB
359	215	Bexleyheath and Crayford	David Evennett	65,315	69.2	53.4	34.1	3.0	5.6	2.5	0.0	0.0	1.5	CON	CON
365	209	Bromley and Chislehurst	Bob Neill	65,113	71.7	51.8	32.0	7.5	4.3	3.6	0.0	0.0	0.8	CON	CON
380	193	Kingston and Surbiton	Ed Davey	81,584	76.2	35.9	13.7	45.0	2.3	1.9	0.0	0.0	1.2	LIB	LIB
405	169	Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner	Nick Hurd	73,425	72.7	55.0	29.6	7.4	3.5	3.5	0.0	0.0	0.8	CON	CON
415	159	Romford	Andrew Rosindell	73,516	67.9	57.2	30.4	2.7	6.0	2.8	0.0	0.0	0.8	CON	CON
419	154	Twickenham	Vince Cable	83,362	79.5	35.8	8.6	53.0	1.0	0.9	0.0	0.0	0.7	LIB	LIB
431	143	Beckenham	Bob Stewart	67,928	76.0	57.1	28.7	8.2	1.3	3.8	0.0	0.0	0.8	CON	CON
446	128	Sutton and Cheam	Paul Scully	70,404	73.8	48.9	19.1	27.0	1.3	2.8	0.0	0.0	0.8	CON	CON
450	124	Hornchurch and Upminster	Julia Dockerill	80,821	69.4	58.0	27.1	2.7	7.6	3.1	0.0	0.0	1.5	CON	CON
455	119	Old Bexley and Sidcup	James Brokenshire	66,005	72.8	59.3	27.9	3.6	4.7	2.9	0.0	0.0	1.7	CON	CON
492	81	Richmond Park	Zac Goldsmith	80,025	79.1	42.9	8.5	45.3	1.7	0.9	0.0	0.0	0.6	CON	LIB
524	50	Orpington	Jo Johnson	67,906	74.3	60.8	23.0	6.9	5.3	3.3	0.0	0.0	0.8	CON	CON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.