London: Sorted Seats

London Prediction

Party2024 Votes2024 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 20.5%9 15.7%14-36
LAB 43.0%59 29.9%07-752
LIB 11.0%6 15.0%00+06
Reform 8.7%0 21.2%90+99
Green 10.1%0 13.5%00+00
Other 6.7%1 4.8%10+12

This page shows all the seats in London sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The seat 'Hornsey and Friern Barnet' where the LAB−CON difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Harrow East', where the CON−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.

The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Harrow East (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Hornsey and Friern Barnet (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of London seats with predictions

LAB
Seats
CON
Seats
SeatMP at 2024ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
Reform
%
Green
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2024
Win
Pred
Win
2185Hornsey and Friern Barnet Catherine West69,88569.66.843.517.311.718.61.80.3LABLAB
3184Lewisham West and East Dulwich Ellie Reeves70,09966.26.341.513.913.522.91.30.5LABLAB
7180Walthamstow Stella Creasy76,33860.15.039.111.116.423.22.92.3LABLAB
8179Hackney South and Shoreditch Meg Hillier78,26253.34.939.012.213.427.62.50.5LABLAB
10177Dulwich and West Norwood Helen Hayes74,26561.17.141.015.113.322.50.00.9LABLAB
11176Hackney North and Stoke Newington Diane Abbott77,79752.66.539.111.714.826.20.01.6LABLAB
12175Lewisham North Vicky Foxcroft74,20459.55.337.914.014.426.21.20.9LABLAB
16171Peckham Miatta Fahnbulleh72,12353.85.336.614.617.124.00.02.5LABLAB
17170Vauxhall and Camberwell Green Florence Eshalomi69,65853.96.437.617.716.121.30.00.9LABLAB
18169Clapham and Brixton Hill Bell Ribeiro-Addy74,43557.48.039.018.713.719.40.01.1LABLAB
19168Tottenham David Lammy75,90652.95.036.012.318.123.51.43.6LABLAB
20167Islington South and Finsbury Emily Thornberry74,12257.77.037.914.817.321.10.01.9LABLAB
23164Lewisham East Janet Daby73,37655.47.736.612.922.517.81.70.9LABLAB
27160Holborn and St Pancras Keir Starmer71,30054.16.534.812.116.615.113.81.1LABLAB
30157Greenwich and Woolwich Matthew Pennycook73,57358.18.536.314.420.218.21.60.8LABLAB
32155Tooting Rosena Allin-Khan76,08269.615.843.212.612.114.01.60.7LABLAB
34153Mitcham and Morden Siobhain McDonagh77,27258.69.335.513.124.714.32.50.5LABLAB
36151Queen's Park and Maida Vale Georgia Gould75,55850.79.535.715.417.917.13.80.8LABLAB
37150Streatham and Croydon North Steve Reed82,82953.88.434.516.617.520.32.10.6LABLAB
43144Leyton and Wanstead Calvin Bailey73,36659.68.232.413.119.719.22.84.6LABLAB
45142Bermondsey and Old Southwark Neil Coyle69,47354.16.630.824.619.317.00.01.7LABLAB
50137Hammersmith and Chiswick Andy Slaughter75,86060.716.740.713.714.412.30.91.3LABLAB
51136East Ham Stephen Timms79,08647.96.430.310.922.716.312.31.1LABLAB
56131Erith and Thamesmead Abena Oppong-Asare78,88651.211.234.410.128.712.13.10.4LABLAB
57130Hampstead and Highgate Tulip Siddiq80,02960.713.036.217.515.216.80.01.3LABLAB
60127Southgate and Wood Green Bambos Charalambous77,54258.912.134.814.020.615.81.81.0LABLAB
61126Stratford and Bow Uma Kumaran80,56053.95.828.211.620.322.05.56.7LABLAB
64123Brent East Dawn Butler77,25748.910.632.514.322.614.62.13.2LABLAB
66121Ealing Southall Deirdre Costigan78,66959.59.530.812.623.714.36.72.4LABLAB
67120Croydon West Sarah Jones77,94248.910.231.315.324.016.01.91.2LABLAB
69118Ealing Central and Acton Rupa Huq78,43660.912.333.317.017.815.63.20.8LABLAB
71115Islington North Jeremy Corbyn72,58267.54.825.19.312.910.937.00.0MINMIN
73114Poplar and Limehouse Apsana Begum84,46951.07.928.014.621.019.07.81.7LABLAB
78109West Ham and Beckton James Edward Asser78,79046.17.226.310.325.615.214.50.8LABLAB
81106Putney Fleur Anderson72,61467.920.038.614.914.010.61.20.5LABLAB
82105Battersea Marsha de Cordova72,76764.719.838.414.113.512.11.11.0LABLAB
82104Bethnal Green and Stepney Rushanara Ali81,92256.94.322.614.616.318.324.00.0LABMIN
85102Ealing North James Murray74,82057.814.732.810.923.011.85.90.8LABLAB
86101Hayes and Harlington John McDonnell74,40551.515.133.18.729.19.54.60.0LABLAB
8899Edmonton and Winchmore Hill Kate Osamor75,79254.215.633.312.422.612.01.42.6LABLAB
9295Enfield North Feryal Clark78,77055.215.733.011.025.511.51.51.9LABLAB
9294Barking Nesil Caliskan79,82545.77.424.69.134.016.17.21.5LABReform
9493Beckenham and Penge Liam Conlon76,87667.920.036.912.020.310.10.00.6LABLAB
10482Dagenham and Rainham Margaret Mullane76,47850.811.727.37.839.412.10.01.6LABReform
10680Ilford South Jas Athwal80,99350.88.924.210.425.613.415.81.7LABReform
11077Eltham and Chislehurst Clive Efford74,22461.417.832.510.128.29.70.90.9LABLAB
11770Brentford and Isleworth Ruth Cadbury79,28357.117.430.512.022.911.55.20.5LABLAB
12066Feltham and Heston Seema Malhotra76,98350.514.726.39.232.39.64.33.4LABReform
12265Finchley and Golders Green Sarah Sackman77,50063.624.534.912.716.610.00.01.2LABLAB
12661Harrow West Gareth Thomas79,90256.621.029.911.123.39.80.04.9LABLAB
12760Croydon East Natasha Dawn Irons76,66057.120.228.711.827.511.00.00.7LABLAB
12958Chipping Barnet Dan Tomlinson78,03865.225.433.110.920.29.50.00.9LABLAB
13057Ilford North Wes Streeting77,83560.215.823.47.922.77.322.80.0LABLAB
13552Cities of London and Westminster Rachel Blake73,36953.426.331.914.415.49.61.60.9LABLAB
13651Brent West Barry Gardiner79,93751.822.527.711.622.710.05.50.0LABLAB
13750Kensington and Bayswater Joe Powell77,30654.228.032.711.714.78.73.30.9LABLAB
14146Chelsea and Fulham Ben Coleman78,46860.029.132.512.415.68.91.30.1LABLAB
14245Hendon David Pinto-Duschinsky74,86555.125.228.010.722.510.13.00.4LABLAB
14541Wimbledon Paul Christopher Kohler76,35272.019.520.337.214.47.11.00.5LIBLIB
14541Bexleyheath and Crayford Daniel Francis69,47062.622.822.29.936.27.90.00.9LABReform
14541Twickenham Munira Wilson74,98071.515.814.544.315.68.21.60.0LIBLIB
14640Kingston and Surbiton Ed Davey77,34065.515.813.639.220.68.30.81.7LIBLIB
14938Uxbridge and South Ruislip Danny Boy Beales74,74661.427.023.79.126.512.60.01.3LABCON
15037Chingford and Woodford Green Iain Duncan Smith75,17864.524.220.58.123.36.117.80.0CONCON
15135Sutton and Cheam Luke Taylor72,30265.820.415.930.525.96.40.00.8LIBLIB
15334Bromley and Biggin Hill Peter Fortune70,71366.228.423.712.625.78.80.00.8CONCON
15333Romford Andrew Rosindell72,97860.424.919.58.836.27.72.60.3CONReform
15531Carshalton and Wallington Bobby Dean74,36262.818.212.333.828.15.91.20.5LIBLIB
15729Hornchurch and Upminster Julia Lopez75,43862.224.017.29.140.97.50.01.2CONReform
15828Richmond Park Sarah Olney68,10376.720.112.744.513.78.00.01.1LIBLIB
15928Croydon South Chris Philp74,96865.931.924.513.218.79.61.80.3CONCON
16026Old Bexley and Sidcup Louie French72,29065.927.619.78.934.77.90.01.2CONReform
16323Orpington Gareth Bacon71,20364.728.718.013.731.17.50.01.0CONReform
17116Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner David Simmonds71,68365.735.420.513.421.09.20.00.6CONCON
1807Harrow East Bob Blackman76,38662.538.318.49.421.98.41.32.3CONCON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.