London: Majority Sorted Seats

London Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 33.1%21 30.1%03-318
LAB 54.5%49 53.5%20+251
LIB 8.8%3 8.8%10+14
UKIP 1.3%0 4.3%00+00
Green 1.8%0 2.9%00+00
Minor 0.5%0 0.3%00+00

This page shows all the seats in London sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, East Ham, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Orpington, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Croydon South (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Battersea (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of London seats with predictions

Lab
Seats
Con
Seats
SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
UKIP
%
Green
%
NAT
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2017
Win
Pred
Win
6570East Ham Stephen Timms83,82767.610.782.21.23.81.80.00.00.2LABLAB
7569Tottenham David Lammy72,88367.79.680.53.53.03.40.00.00.0LABLAB
9567Hackney South and Shoreditch Meg Hillier82,00467.59.278.45.82.63.80.00.00.3LABLAB
13563Walthamstow Stella Creasy68,14470.611.879.62.92.33.40.00.00.0LABLAB
14562Camberwell and Peckham Harriet Harman85,58667.110.776.86.02.53.80.00.00.2LABLAB
16560Lewisham Deptford Vicky Foxcroft78,47270.211.576.05.32.84.10.00.00.2LABLAB
18558Hackney North and Stoke Newington Diane Abbott83,95567.110.674.06.82.65.60.00.00.2LABLAB
19557West Ham Lyn Brown92,24365.813.675.73.14.82.70.00.00.1LABLAB
22554Islington North Jeremy Corbyn74,83173.410.572.09.13.35.00.00.00.2LABLAB
24552Bethnal Green and Bow Rushanara Ali86,07169.510.670.85.03.73.40.06.50.0LABLAB
26550Ilford South Mike Gapes85,35867.517.774.81.43.92.10.00.00.0LABLAB
27549Croydon North Steve Reed87,46168.216.773.12.84.42.90.00.00.1LABLAB
28548Brent Central Dawn Butler80,84564.716.472.04.94.02.70.00.00.0LABLAB
31545Holborn and St Pancras Keir Starmer88,08867.015.469.06.94.14.50.00.00.0LABLAB
34542Dulwich and West Norwood Helen Hayes77,94772.016.468.68.03.23.70.00.00.1LABLAB
36540Hornsey and Wood Green Catherine West79,94477.912.564.416.13.22.90.00.90.1LABLAB
39537Leyton and Wanstead John Cryer65,28570.717.668.86.53.04.10.00.00.0LABLAB
40536Ealing Southall Virendra Sharma65,18869.318.169.24.34.63.60.00.00.2LABLAB
42534Edmonton Kate Osamor65,70566.519.970.52.05.02.60.00.00.0LABLAB
46530Poplar and Limehouse Jim Fitzpatrick87,27467.416.966.26.84.62.90.02.50.1LABLAB
47529Streatham Chuka Umunna78,53271.018.267.56.53.64.20.00.00.0LABLAB
51525Barking Margaret Hodge77,02061.919.266.81.39.72.80.00.00.2LABLAB
52524Lewisham East Heidi Alexander68,12669.319.866.94.55.43.10.00.00.3LABLAB
54522Mitcham and Morden Siobhain McDonagh68,70570.021.067.63.25.52.60.00.00.1LABLAB
56520Lewisham West and Penge Ellie Reeves72,90273.019.865.56.34.73.50.00.00.2LABLAB
62514Islington South and Finsbury Emily Thornberry69,53469.117.461.812.15.03.70.00.00.0LABLAB
74502Bermondsey and Old Southwark Neil Coyle87,22767.110.952.231.13.72.00.00.00.0LABLAB
75501Greenwich and Woolwich Matthew Pennycook77,19068.822.263.47.23.04.20.00.00.0LABLAB
77499Vauxhall Kate Hoey81,90767.215.756.320.63.63.50.00.00.3LABLAB
79497Hayes and Harlington John McDonnell73,26865.225.465.51.35.42.40.00.00.0LABLAB
82494Ealing North Steve Pound74,76470.225.264.92.54.82.60.00.00.0LABLAB
88488Hammersmith Andy Slaughter72,80371.825.062.85.44.02.70.00.00.0LABLAB
114462Brent North Barry Gardiner82,55668.429.461.92.93.22.40.00.00.1LABLAB
123453Feltham and Heston Seema Malhotra81,70764.928.660.22.75.92.70.00.00.0LABLAB
141435Hampstead and Kilburn Tulip Siddiq82,95770.429.158.07.13.22.50.00.00.1LABLAB
142434Westminster North Karen Buck63,84667.830.158.95.33.12.60.00.00.1LABLAB
143433Tooting Rosena Allin-Khan77,96074.629.958.65.33.62.60.00.00.0LABLAB
145431Harrow West Gareth Thomas69,79872.131.259.82.64.02.50.00.00.0LABLAB
149427Ealing Central and Acton Rupa Huq74,20074.631.558.75.63.01.20.00.00.0LABLAB
158418Erith and Thamesmead Teresa Pearce69,72463.831.856.51.77.32.50.00.00.2LABLAB
166410Enfield North Joan Ryan68,45470.933.757.02.24.82.40.00.00.0LABLAB
173403Brentford and Isleworth Ruth Cadbury85,15172.434.456.45.13.01.20.00.00.0LABLAB
182394Ilford North Wes Streeting72,99772.536.456.82.03.41.30.00.00.2LABLAB
199377Eltham Clive Efford64,47471.637.653.43.23.91.50.00.00.4LABLAB
218358Dagenham and Rainham Jon Cruddas70,62064.936.749.11.110.52.50.00.00.2LABLAB
219357Croydon Central Sarah Jones80,04571.339.251.32.05.12.40.00.00.1LABLAB
223353Enfield Southgate Bambos Charalambous65,13774.239.550.74.03.02.80.00.00.0LABLAB
242334Battersea Marsha De Cordova77,57271.038.344.98.03.72.80.02.20.0LABLAB
262314Kensington Emma Dent Coad60,59463.839.041.212.33.83.40.00.00.4LABLAB
266310Chipping Barnet Theresa Villiers77,02072.043.144.75.53.03.70.00.00.0CONLAB
277299Hendon Matthew Offord76,32968.444.844.93.94.12.30.00.00.0CONLAB
286290Finchley and Golders Green Mike Freer73,13871.643.742.86.73.92.90.00.00.0CONCON
288288Putney Justine Greening65,02672.140.939.811.74.13.60.00.00.0CONCON
289287Harrow East Bob Blackman71,75770.946.244.93.13.02.70.00.00.0CONCON
300276Chingford and Woodford Green Iain Duncan Smith66,07871.145.942.94.43.03.70.00.00.0CONCON
313263Cities of London and Westminster Mark Field61,53362.843.437.411.14.53.40.00.00.2CONCON
323253Uxbridge and South Ruislip Boris Johnson69,93866.847.639.04.06.43.10.00.00.0CONCON
324252Wimbledon Stephen Hammond66,77177.243.334.514.64.13.60.00.00.0CONCON
360216Croydon South Chris Philp83,51873.351.234.85.85.03.10.00.00.1CONCON
363213Chelsea and Fulham Greg Hands63,72866.149.432.211.04.33.10.00.00.0CONCON
365210Carshalton and Wallington Tom Brake70,84971.635.117.541.13.22.20.00.90.1LIBLIB
366210Bexleyheath and Crayford David Evennett65,31569.252.434.52.77.72.60.00.00.2CONCON
372204Bromley and Chislehurst Bob Neill65,11371.750.732.47.36.03.60.00.00.0CONCON
385190Kingston and Surbiton Ed Davey81,58476.234.914.044.84.12.00.00.00.1LIBLIB
408168Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner Nick Hurd73,42572.754.030.07.25.23.50.00.00.0CONCON
419157Romford Andrew Rosindell73,51667.956.230.82.57.72.80.00.00.0CONCON
424151Twickenham Vince Cable83,36279.534.88.752.82.61.00.00.00.0LIBLIB
435141Beckenham Bob Stewart67,92876.056.129.17.93.03.80.00.00.0CONCON
449127Sutton and Cheam Paul Scully70,40473.847.919.526.73.02.80.00.00.0CONCON
456120Hornchurch and Upminster Julia Dockerill80,82169.456.927.52.59.63.20.00.00.2CONCON
460116Old Bexley and Sidcup James Brokenshire66,00572.858.328.33.36.83.10.00.00.2CONCON
50075Richmond Park Zac Goldsmith80,02579.141.98.645.13.31.00.00.00.0CONLIB
52650Orpington Jo Johnson67,90674.359.723.36.67.03.30.00.00.0CONCON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.