North East: Majority Sorted Seats

North East Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 34.4%3 30.7%01-12
LAB 55.4%26 55.8%10+127
LIB 4.6%0 4.6%00+00
UKIP 3.9%0 6.2%00+00
Green 1.3%0 1.8%00+00
Minor 0.5%0 0.9%00+00

This page shows all the seats in North East sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Newcastle upon Tyne East, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Berwick-upon-Tweed, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Hexham (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Stockton South (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of North East seats with predictions

SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
49522Newcastle upon Tyne East Nicholas Brown62,33366.817.667.
65506Gateshead Ian Mearns65,18664.620.
67504Easington Grahame Morris62,38558.319.
69502Newcastle upon Tyne Central Chi Onwurah55,57166.820.965.
70501Jarrow Stephen Hepburn64,82866.421.365.
75496Middlesbrough Andy McDonald61,11458.323.
85486Tyneside North Mary Glindon78,91465.823.664.
89482South Shields Emma Lewell-Buck63,44964.322.
103468Washington and Sunderland West Sharon Hodgson67,28060.325.
118453Durham North Kevan Jones66,97064.626.360.
120451Houghton and Sunderland South Bridget Phillipson68,12360.926.
134437Blaydon Liz Twist68,45970.224.456.
144427Durham, City of Roberta Blackman-Woods71,13267.926.
148423Wansbeck Ian Lavery62,09968.429.
156415Redcar Anna Turley66,83663.729.555.
158413Sunderland Central Julie Elliott72,72862.029.755.
161410Newcastle upon Tyne North Catherine McKinnell66,31272.830.
164407Tynemouth Alan Campbell77,43473.432.757.
165406Stockton North Alex Cunningham66,27964.532.857.
175396Blyth Valley Ronnie Campbell63,37167.033.656.
178393Durham North West Laura Pidcock71,98266.530.853.
179392Hartlepool Mike Hill70,71859.230.552.91.813.
191380Sedgefield Phil Wilson63,89065.
225346Darlington Jenny Chapman66,34167.639.651.
244327Stockton South Paul Williams75,61971.
249322Bishop Auckland Helen Goodman67,66164.
275296Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East Simon Clarke72,33665.845.947.
359212Hexham Guy Opperman61,01275.850.334.
417154Berwick-upon-Tweed Anne-Marie Trevelyan58,77471.848.724.921.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.