North East: Majority Sorted Seats

North East Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 34.4%3 29.9%01-12
LAB 55.4%26 55.9%10+127
LIB 4.6%0 4.5%00+00
UKIP 3.9%0 6.6%00+00
Green 1.3%0 2.0%00+00
Minor 0.5%0 1.1%00+00

This page shows all the seats in North East sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Newcastle upon Tyne East, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Berwick-upon-Tweed, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Hexham (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Stockton South (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of North East seats with predictions

SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
49535Newcastle upon Tyne East Nicholas Brown62,33366.816.868.
65519Gateshead Ian Mearns65,18664.619.465.
67517Easington Grahame Morris62,38558.318.
69515Newcastle upon Tyne Central Chi Onwurah55,57166.820.
70514Jarrow Stephen Hepburn64,82866.420.565.
74510Middlesbrough Andy McDonald61,11458.322.
85499Tyneside North Mary Glindon78,91465.822.864.
90494South Shields Emma Lewell-Buck63,44964.321.462.01.610.
103481Washington and Sunderland West Sharon Hodgson67,28060.324.361.
119465Durham North Kevan Jones66,97064.625.560.
121463Houghton and Sunderland South Bridget Phillipson68,12360.925.
135449Blaydon Liz Twist68,45970.223.556.
146438Durham, City of Roberta Blackman-Woods71,13267.925.355.
150434Wansbeck Ian Lavery62,09968.428.
159425Redcar Anna Turley66,83663.728.756.
161423Sunderland Central Julie Elliott72,72862.028.856.
164420Newcastle upon Tyne North Catherine McKinnell66,31272.829.455.
168416Tynemouth Alan Campbell77,43473.431.957.
169415Stockton North Alex Cunningham66,27964.531.957.
182402Blyth Valley Ronnie Campbell63,37167.032.856.
184400Durham North West Laura Pidcock71,98266.529.953.
185399Hartlepool Mike Hill70,71859.229.753.01.814.
200384Sedgefield Phil Wilson63,89065.134.353.
236348Darlington Jenny Chapman66,34167.638.851.
255329Stockton South Paul Williams75,61971.242.348.
260324Bishop Auckland Helen Goodman67,66164.042.448.
286298Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East Simon Clarke72,33665.845.
373211Hexham Guy Opperman61,01275.849.534.
430154Berwick-upon-Tweed Anne-Marie Trevelyan58,77471.847.925.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.