North East: Majority Sorted Seats

North East Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 34.4%3 29.9%01-12
LAB 55.4%26 55.9%10+127
LIB 4.6%0 4.5%00+00
UKIP 3.9%0 6.6%00+00
Green 1.3%0 2.0%00+00
Minor 0.5%0 1.1%00+00

This page shows all the seats in North East sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Newcastle upon Tyne East, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Berwick-upon-Tweed, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Hexham (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Stockton South (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of North East seats with predictions

Lab
Seats
Con
Seats
SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
UKIP
%
Green
%
NAT
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2017
Win
Pred
Win
49535Newcastle upon Tyne East Nicholas Brown62,33366.816.868.06.15.92.60.00.00.6LABLAB
65519Gateshead Ian Mearns65,18664.619.465.64.08.22.20.00.00.6LABLAB
67517Easington Grahame Morris62,38558.318.264.11.27.51.90.06.50.6LABLAB
69515Newcastle upon Tyne Central Chi Onwurah55,57166.820.165.34.86.82.40.00.00.6LABLAB
70514Jarrow Stephen Hepburn64,82866.420.565.62.78.22.50.00.00.6LABLAB
74510Middlesbrough Andy McDonald61,11458.322.266.11.06.81.40.01.80.6LABLAB
85499Tyneside North Mary Glindon78,91465.822.864.92.86.82.00.00.00.6LABLAB
90494South Shields Emma Lewell-Buck63,44964.321.462.01.610.14.30.00.00.6LABLAB
103481Washington and Sunderland West Sharon Hodgson67,28060.324.361.22.39.62.00.00.00.6LABLAB
119465Durham North Kevan Jones66,97064.625.560.34.58.30.80.00.00.6LABLAB
121463Houghton and Sunderland South Bridget Phillipson68,12360.925.259.92.28.52.50.00.01.8LABLAB
135449Blaydon Liz Twist68,45970.223.556.69.07.92.00.00.01.0LABLAB
146438Durham, City of Roberta Blackman-Woods71,13267.925.355.99.85.12.40.00.01.6LABLAB
150434Wansbeck Ian Lavery62,09968.428.257.84.76.32.40.00.00.6LABLAB
159425Redcar Anna Turley66,83663.728.756.06.67.40.80.00.00.6LABLAB
161423Sunderland Central Julie Elliott72,72862.028.856.03.97.72.30.00.01.3LABLAB
164420Newcastle upon Tyne North Catherine McKinnell66,31272.829.455.85.26.51.80.00.01.4LABLAB
168416Tynemouth Alan Campbell77,43473.431.957.43.05.01.90.00.00.8LABLAB
169415Stockton North Alex Cunningham66,27964.531.957.31.57.01.60.00.00.6LABLAB
182402Blyth Valley Ronnie Campbell63,37167.032.856.44.52.82.90.00.00.6LABLAB
184400Durham North West Laura Pidcock71,98266.529.953.37.07.31.90.00.00.6LABLAB
185399Hartlepool Mike Hill70,71859.229.753.01.814.20.70.00.00.6LABLAB
200384Sedgefield Phil Wilson63,89065.134.353.81.97.02.40.00.00.6LABLAB
236348Darlington Jenny Chapman66,34167.638.851.12.35.41.90.00.00.6LABLAB
255329Stockton South Paul Williams75,61971.242.348.91.75.01.40.00.00.6LABLAB
260324Bishop Auckland Helen Goodman67,66164.042.448.52.72.80.70.00.02.9LABLAB
286298Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East Simon Clarke72,33665.845.148.02.82.80.70.00.00.6CONLAB
373211Hexham Guy Opperman61,01275.849.534.57.04.83.50.00.00.6CONCON
430154Berwick-upon-Tweed Anne-Marie Trevelyan58,77471.847.925.020.82.92.70.00.00.7CONCON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.