North East: Majority Sorted Seats

North East Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 34.4%3 31.8%00+03
LAB 55.4%26 54.3%00+026
LIB 4.6%0 5.5%00+00
UKIP 3.9%0 5.3%00+00
Green 1.3%0 2.1%00+00
Minor 0.5%0 1.0%00+00

This page shows all the seats in North East sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Newcastle upon Tyne East, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Berwick-upon-Tweed, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Hexham (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Stockton South (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of North East seats with predictions

Lab
Seats
Con
Seats
SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
UKIP
%
Green
%
NAT
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2017
Win
Pred
Win
48522Newcastle upon Tyne East Nicholas Brown62,33366.818.766.47.14.62.70.00.00.6LABLAB
65505Gateshead Ian Mearns65,18664.621.364.05.06.92.30.00.00.6LABLAB
67503Easington Grahame Morris62,38558.320.162.52.26.22.00.06.50.6LABLAB
69501Newcastle upon Tyne Central Chi Onwurah55,57166.822.063.75.85.52.50.00.00.6LABLAB
70500Jarrow Stephen Hepburn64,82866.422.464.03.66.92.60.00.00.6LABLAB
75495Middlesbrough Andy McDonald61,11458.324.164.52.05.51.60.01.80.6LABLAB
85485Tyneside North Mary Glindon78,91465.824.763.33.85.52.10.00.00.6LABLAB
89481South Shields Emma Lewell-Buck63,44964.323.360.32.68.84.40.00.00.6LABLAB
103467Washington and Sunderland West Sharon Hodgson67,28060.326.259.63.38.32.10.00.00.6LABLAB
117453Durham North Kevan Jones66,97064.627.358.75.57.00.90.00.00.6LABLAB
120450Houghton and Sunderland South Bridget Phillipson68,12360.927.158.33.17.22.60.00.01.7LABLAB
134436Blaydon Liz Twist68,45970.225.454.910.06.62.10.00.01.0LABLAB
144426Durham, City of Roberta Blackman-Woods71,13267.927.254.210.83.82.50.00.01.5LABLAB
147423Wansbeck Ian Lavery62,09968.430.156.25.75.02.50.00.00.6LABLAB
155415Redcar Anna Turley66,83663.730.654.37.66.00.90.00.00.6LABLAB
157413Sunderland Central Julie Elliott72,72862.030.754.44.96.42.40.00.01.2LABLAB
160410Newcastle upon Tyne North Catherine McKinnell66,31272.831.354.26.25.11.90.00.01.3LABLAB
163407Tynemouth Alan Campbell77,43473.433.855.84.03.72.00.00.00.8LABLAB
164406Stockton North Alex Cunningham66,27964.533.855.72.55.71.70.00.00.6LABLAB
173397Blyth Valley Ronnie Campbell63,37167.034.754.85.51.53.00.00.00.6LABLAB
177393Durham North West Laura Pidcock71,98266.531.851.78.05.92.00.00.00.6LABLAB
178392Hartlepool Mike Hill70,71859.231.651.32.712.90.90.00.00.6LABLAB
190380Sedgefield Phil Wilson63,89065.136.252.22.95.72.50.00.00.6LABLAB
224346Darlington Jenny Chapman66,34167.640.749.43.24.12.00.00.00.6LABLAB
242328Stockton South Paul Williams75,61971.244.247.32.73.71.50.00.00.6LABLAB
247323Bishop Auckland Helen Goodman67,66164.044.346.93.71.50.90.00.02.8LABLAB
273297Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East Simon Clarke72,33665.847.046.33.81.50.90.00.00.6CONCON
357213Hexham Guy Opperman61,01275.851.432.98.03.53.60.00.00.6CONCON
416154Berwick-upon-Tweed Anne-Marie Trevelyan58,77471.849.823.422.11.52.70.00.00.6CONCON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.