North East: Majority Sorted Seats

North East Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 34.4%3 31.8%00+03
LAB 55.4%26 54.3%00+026
LIB 4.6%0 5.5%00+00
UKIP 3.9%0 5.3%00+00
Green 1.3%0 2.1%00+00
Minor 0.5%0 1.0%00+00

This page shows all the seats in North East sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Newcastle upon Tyne East, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Berwick-upon-Tweed, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Hexham (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Stockton South (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of North East seats with predictions

SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
48522Newcastle upon Tyne East Nicholas Brown62,33366.818.766.
65505Gateshead Ian Mearns65,18664.621.364.
67503Easington Grahame Morris62,38558.320.
69501Newcastle upon Tyne Central Chi Onwurah55,57166.822.
70500Jarrow Stephen Hepburn64,82866.422.464.
75495Middlesbrough Andy McDonald61,11458.324.
85485Tyneside North Mary Glindon78,91465.824.763.
89481South Shields Emma Lewell-Buck63,44964.323.360.
103467Washington and Sunderland West Sharon Hodgson67,28060.326.
117453Durham North Kevan Jones66,97064.627.358.
120450Houghton and Sunderland South Bridget Phillipson68,12360.927.
134436Blaydon Liz Twist68,45970.225.454.910.
144426Durham, City of Roberta Blackman-Woods71,13267.927.
147423Wansbeck Ian Lavery62,09968.430.
155415Redcar Anna Turley66,83663.730.654.
157413Sunderland Central Julie Elliott72,72862.030.754.
160410Newcastle upon Tyne North Catherine McKinnell66,31272.831.354.
163407Tynemouth Alan Campbell77,43473.433.855.
164406Stockton North Alex Cunningham66,27964.533.855.
173397Blyth Valley Ronnie Campbell63,37167.034.754.
177393Durham North West Laura Pidcock71,98266.531.851.
178392Hartlepool Mike Hill70,71859.231.651.32.712.
190380Sedgefield Phil Wilson63,89065.
224346Darlington Jenny Chapman66,34167.640.749.
242328Stockton South Paul Williams75,61971.
247323Bishop Auckland Helen Goodman67,66164.044.346.
273297Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East Simon Clarke72,33665.847.
357213Hexham Guy Opperman61,01275.851.432.
416154Berwick-upon-Tweed Anne-Marie Trevelyan58,77471.849.823.422.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.