North East: Majority Sorted Seats

North East Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 34.4%3 33.4%00+03
LAB 55.4%26 55.4%00+026
LIB 4.6%0 4.5%00+00
UKIP 3.9%0 4.5%00+00
Green 1.3%0 1.7%00+00
Minor 0.5%0 0.5%00+00

This page shows all the seats in North East sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Newcastle upon Tyne East, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Berwick-upon-Tweed, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Hexham (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Bishop Auckland (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of North East seats with predictions

SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
48529Newcastle upon Tyne East Nicholas Brown62,33366.820.367.
65512Gateshead Ian Mearns65,18664.622.965.
67510Easington Grahame Morris62,38558.321.763.
68509Newcastle upon Tyne Central Chi Onwurah55,57166.823.664.
70507Jarrow Stephen Hepburn64,82866.424.
75502Middlesbrough Andy McDonald61,11458.325.865.
86491Tyneside North Mary Glindon78,91465.826.364.
90487South Shields Emma Lewell-Buck63,44964.324.961.
103474Washington and Sunderland West Sharon Hodgson67,28060.327.860.
118459Durham North Kevan Jones66,97064.629.
120457Houghton and Sunderland South Bridget Phillipson68,12360.928.759.
136441Blaydon Liz Twist68,45970.
146431Durham, City of Roberta Blackman-Woods71,13267.928.855.
149428Wansbeck Ian Lavery62,09968.431.857.
157420Redcar Anna Turley66,83663.732.
158419Sunderland Central Julie Elliott72,72862.032.455.
162415Newcastle upon Tyne North Catherine McKinnell66,31272.832.955.
164413Tynemouth Alan Campbell77,43473.435.556.
166411Stockton North Alex Cunningham66,27964.535.556.
175402Blyth Valley Ronnie Campbell63,37167.036.355.
178399Durham North West Laura Pidcock71,98266.533.552.
179398Hartlepool Mike Hill70,71859.
191386Sedgefield Phil Wilson63,89065.137.853.
227350Darlington Jenny Chapman66,34167.642.350.
246331Stockton South Paul Williams75,61971.245.948.
251326Bishop Auckland Helen Goodman67,66164.045.948.
277300Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East Simon Clarke72,33665.848.747.
364213Hexham Guy Opperman61,01275.853.
422155Berwick-upon-Tweed Anne-Marie Trevelyan58,77471.851.524.520.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.