North East: Majority Sorted Seats

North East Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 34.4%3 30.7%01-12
LAB 55.4%26 55.8%10+127
LIB 4.6%0 4.6%00+00
UKIP 3.9%0 6.2%00+00
Green 1.3%0 1.8%00+00
Minor 0.5%0 0.9%00+00

This page shows all the seats in North East sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Newcastle upon Tyne East, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Berwick-upon-Tweed, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Hexham (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Stockton South (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of North East seats with predictions

Lab
Seats
Con
Seats
SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
UKIP
%
Green
%
NAT
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2017
Win
Pred
Win
49522Newcastle upon Tyne East Nicholas Brown62,33366.817.667.96.25.52.30.00.00.5LABLAB
65506Gateshead Ian Mearns65,18664.620.265.54.17.82.00.00.00.5LABLAB
67504Easington Grahame Morris62,38558.319.064.11.37.11.60.06.50.5LABLAB
69502Newcastle upon Tyne Central Chi Onwurah55,57166.820.965.34.96.42.10.00.00.5LABLAB
70501Jarrow Stephen Hepburn64,82866.421.365.52.77.82.20.00.00.5LABLAB
75496Middlesbrough Andy McDonald61,11458.323.066.11.06.41.20.01.80.5LABLAB
85486Tyneside North Mary Glindon78,91465.823.664.92.96.41.80.00.00.5LABLAB
89482South Shields Emma Lewell-Buck63,44964.322.261.91.79.74.00.00.00.5LABLAB
103468Washington and Sunderland West Sharon Hodgson67,28060.325.161.12.49.21.80.00.00.5LABLAB
118453Durham North Kevan Jones66,97064.626.360.34.67.90.50.00.00.5LABLAB
120451Houghton and Sunderland South Bridget Phillipson68,12360.926.059.82.28.12.30.00.01.6LABLAB
134437Blaydon Liz Twist68,45970.224.456.59.17.51.70.00.00.9LABLAB
144427Durham, City of Roberta Blackman-Woods71,13267.926.155.89.94.72.20.00.01.4LABLAB
148423Wansbeck Ian Lavery62,09968.429.057.74.85.92.20.00.00.5LABLAB
156415Redcar Anna Turley66,83663.729.555.96.76.90.50.00.00.5LABLAB
158413Sunderland Central Julie Elliott72,72862.029.755.93.97.32.10.00.01.1LABLAB
161410Newcastle upon Tyne North Catherine McKinnell66,31272.830.255.75.36.01.60.00.01.2LABLAB
164407Tynemouth Alan Campbell77,43473.432.757.43.04.61.60.00.00.7LABLAB
165406Stockton North Alex Cunningham66,27964.532.857.31.56.61.40.00.00.5LABLAB
175396Blyth Valley Ronnie Campbell63,37167.033.656.34.62.42.70.00.00.5LABLAB
178393Durham North West Laura Pidcock71,98266.530.853.27.16.81.60.00.00.5LABLAB
179392Hartlepool Mike Hill70,71859.230.552.91.813.80.50.00.00.5LABLAB
191380Sedgefield Phil Wilson63,89065.135.153.81.96.62.20.00.00.5LABLAB
225346Darlington Jenny Chapman66,34167.639.651.02.35.01.70.00.00.5LABLAB
244327Stockton South Paul Williams75,61971.243.148.91.84.61.20.00.00.5LABLAB
249322Bishop Auckland Helen Goodman67,66164.043.248.52.72.40.50.00.02.8LABLAB
275296Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East Simon Clarke72,33665.845.947.92.92.40.50.00.00.5CONLAB
359212Hexham Guy Opperman61,01275.850.334.57.14.43.20.00.00.5CONCON
417154Berwick-upon-Tweed Anne-Marie Trevelyan58,77471.848.724.921.12.42.40.00.00.5CONCON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.