North East: Majority Sorted Seats

North East Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 34.4%3 33.4%00+03
LAB 55.4%26 55.4%00+026
LIB 4.6%0 4.5%00+00
UKIP 3.9%0 4.5%00+00
Green 1.3%0 1.7%00+00
Minor 0.5%0 0.5%00+00

This page shows all the seats in North East sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Newcastle upon Tyne East, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Berwick-upon-Tweed, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Hexham (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Bishop Auckland (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of North East seats with predictions

Lab
Seats
Con
Seats
SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
UKIP
%
Green
%
NAT
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2017
Win
Pred
Win
48529Newcastle upon Tyne East Nicholas Brown62,33366.820.367.56.03.82.30.00.00.0LABLAB
65512Gateshead Ian Mearns65,18664.622.965.14.06.11.90.00.00.0LABLAB
67510Easington Grahame Morris62,38558.321.763.61.25.41.50.06.50.0LABLAB
68509Newcastle upon Tyne Central Chi Onwurah55,57166.823.664.94.84.72.00.00.00.0LABLAB
70507Jarrow Stephen Hepburn64,82866.424.065.12.66.12.10.00.00.0LABLAB
75502Middlesbrough Andy McDonald61,11458.325.865.61.04.71.10.01.80.0LABLAB
86491Tyneside North Mary Glindon78,91465.826.364.42.84.71.70.00.00.0LABLAB
90487South Shields Emma Lewell-Buck63,44964.324.961.51.68.03.90.00.00.0LABLAB
103474Washington and Sunderland West Sharon Hodgson67,28060.327.860.72.37.41.70.00.00.0LABLAB
118459Durham North Kevan Jones66,97064.629.059.84.56.20.40.00.00.0LABLAB
120457Houghton and Sunderland South Bridget Phillipson68,12360.928.759.42.16.42.20.00.01.2LABLAB
136441Blaydon Liz Twist68,45970.227.156.18.95.81.70.00.00.4LABLAB
146431Durham, City of Roberta Blackman-Woods71,13267.928.855.49.73.02.10.00.01.0LABLAB
149428Wansbeck Ian Lavery62,09968.431.857.34.64.22.10.00.00.0LABLAB
157420Redcar Anna Turley66,83663.732.255.56.55.30.40.00.00.0LABLAB
158419Sunderland Central Julie Elliott72,72862.032.455.53.85.62.00.00.00.7LABLAB
162415Newcastle upon Tyne North Catherine McKinnell66,31272.832.955.35.14.41.50.00.00.8LABLAB
164413Tynemouth Alan Campbell77,43473.435.556.93.02.91.50.00.00.3LABLAB
166411Stockton North Alex Cunningham66,27964.535.556.81.54.91.20.00.00.0LABLAB
175402Blyth Valley Ronnie Campbell63,37167.036.355.94.50.72.60.00.00.0LABLAB
178399Durham North West Laura Pidcock71,98266.533.552.86.95.21.60.00.00.0LABLAB
179398Hartlepool Mike Hill70,71859.233.252.51.712.10.40.00.00.0LABLAB
191386Sedgefield Phil Wilson63,89065.137.853.31.94.92.10.00.00.0LABLAB
227350Darlington Jenny Chapman66,34167.642.350.62.23.31.60.00.00.0LABLAB
246331Stockton South Paul Williams75,61971.245.948.51.72.81.10.00.00.0LABLAB
251326Bishop Auckland Helen Goodman67,66164.045.948.02.70.60.40.00.02.3LABLAB
277300Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East Simon Clarke72,33665.848.747.52.80.60.40.00.00.0CONCON
364213Hexham Guy Opperman61,01275.853.134.16.92.73.20.00.00.0CONCON
422155Berwick-upon-Tweed Anne-Marie Trevelyan58,77471.851.524.520.70.92.40.00.00.0CONCON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.