West Midlands: Majority Sorted Seats

West Midlands Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 49.0%35 44.5%03-332
LAB 42.5%24 42.9%30+327
LIB 4.4%0 4.4%00+00
UKIP 1.8%0 4.7%00+00
Green 1.7%0 2.5%00+00
Minor 0.6%0 1.1%00+00

This page shows all the seats in West Midlands sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Birmingham Ladywood, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Staffordshire South, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Shrewsbury and Atcham (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Warwick and Leamington (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of West Midlands seats with predictions

SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
8568Birmingham Ladywood Shabana Mahmood70,02359.
12564Birmingham Hodge Hill Liam Byrne75,69861.310.981.
17559Birmingham Hall Green Roger Godsiff78,27169.411.677.
63513Birmingham Perry Barr Khalid Mahmood70,10663.021.968.
66510Warley John Spellar63,72463.121.667.
85491Birmingham Yardley Jess Phillips72,58161.315.357.417.
96480Coventry North East Colleen Fletcher75,79261.425.363.
109467Birmingham Selly Oak Steve McCabe74,37065.927.363.
154422Wolverhampton South East Pat McFadden69,95151.930.
170406Walsall South Valerie Vaz67,41765.432.657.
175401West Bromwich East Tom Watson63,83361.333.658.
176400Birmingham Erdington Jack Dromey65,06757.233.858.
185391Coventry North West Geoffrey Robinson75,21466.332.
186390Coventry South James Cunningham70,75466.433.555.
192384Birmingham Edgbaston Preet Gill68,09164.034.955.
204372Wolverhampton North East Emma Reynolds60,79960.035.753.
206370West Bromwich West Adrian Bailey65,95654.735.
208368Stoke-on-Trent Central Gareth Snell58,19657.
216360Birmingham Northfield Richard Burden72,32261.338.
238338Stoke-on-Trent North Ruth Smeeth72,36857.740.751.
240336Wolverhampton South West Eleanor Smith60,00370.639.649.
249327Warwick and Leamington Matt Western74,23772.839.847.
263313Newcastle-under-Lyme Paul Farrelly65,54066.943.548.
264312Dudley North Ian Austin62,04362.741.846.
273303Stoke-on-Trent South Jack Brereton66,04663.144.547.
275301Telford Lucy Allan68,16465.644.
298278Worcester Robin Walker72,81570.643.543.
307269Walsall North Eddie Hughes67,30956.645.
320256Nuneaton Marcus Jones69,20166.647.
326250Shrewsbury and Atcham Daniel Kawczynski79,04373.645.438.
328248Halesowen and Rowley Regis James Morris68,85664.547.340.
337239Stafford Jeremy Lefroy68,44575.950.
342234Rugby Mark Pawsey72,17571.149.738.
343233Stourbridge Margot James70,21567.149.938.
344232Redditch Rachel Maclean64,33470.347.736.
350226Cannock Chase Amanda Milling74,54064.250.437.
352224Warwickshire North Craig Tracey72,27765.352.339.
363213Wrekin, The Mark Pritchard68,64272.150.836.
369207Burton Andrew Griffiths73,95467.553.438.
371205Dudley South Mike Wood61,32362.451.936.
394182Staffordshire Moorlands Karen Bradley66,00967.653.534.
409167Wyre Forest Mark Garnier77,73465.853.832.
410166Tamworth Christopher Pincher71,31966.156.435.
434142Sutton Coldfield Andrew Mitchell75,65269.956.432.
436140Shropshire North Owen Paterson80,53569.055.931.
440136Hereford and South Herefordshire Jesse Norman71,08871.048.924.
452124Bromsgrove Sajid Javid73,57173.557.431.
48690Lichfield Michael Fabricant74,43071.959.
49185Stone Bill Cash67,82473.858.628.
49680Meriden Caroline Spelman81,43767.157.427.
49878Kenilworth and Southam Jeremy Wright66,32377.456.
50175Aldridge-Brownhills Wendy Morton60,36366.760.830.
50868Solihull Julian Knight77,78473.053.522.
51561Worcestershire West Harriett Baldwin74,38575.956.924.
52650Ludlow Philip Dunne68,03473.458.324.710.
53640Stratford-on-Avon Nadhim Zahawi72,60972.357.622.612.
54927Worcestershire Mid Nigel Huddleston76,06572.460.723.
55620Herefordshire North Bill Wiggin67,75174.157.419.311.
56115Staffordshire South Gavin Williamson73,45369.665.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.