West Midlands: Majority Sorted Seats

West Midlands Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 49.0%35 46.1%02-233
LAB 42.5%24 42.1%20+226
LIB 4.4%0 4.6%00+00
UKIP 1.8%0 4.1%00+00
Green 1.7%0 2.0%00+00
Minor 0.6%0 1.1%00+00

This page shows all the seats in West Midlands sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Birmingham Ladywood, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Staffordshire South, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Stafford (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Warwick and Leamington (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of West Midlands seats with predictions

SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
8566Birmingham Ladywood Shabana Mahmood70,02359.
12562Birmingham Hodge Hill Liam Byrne75,69861.312.
17557Birmingham Hall Green Roger Godsiff78,27169.412.977.
63511Birmingham Perry Barr Khalid Mahmood70,10663.023.667.
66508Warley John Spellar63,72463.
85489Birmingham Yardley Jess Phillips72,58161.316.956.718.
96478Coventry North East Colleen Fletcher75,79261.427.
109465Birmingham Selly Oak Steve McCabe74,37065.928.962.
152422Wolverhampton South East Pat McFadden69,95151.931.857.
166408Walsall South Valerie Vaz67,41765.434.
171403West Bromwich East Tom Watson63,83361.335.357.
172402Birmingham Erdington Jack Dromey65,06757.235.457.
181393Coventry North West Geoffrey Robinson75,21466.333.853.
182392Coventry South James Cunningham70,75466.435.
187387Birmingham Edgbaston Preet Gill68,09164.036.554.
199375Wolverhampton North East Emma Reynolds60,79960.037.352.
200374West Bromwich West Adrian Bailey65,95654.736.751.
203371Stoke-on-Trent Central Gareth Snell58,19657.036.851.
211363Birmingham Northfield Richard Burden72,32261.339.752.
233341Stoke-on-Trent North Ruth Smeeth72,36857.742.350.
235339Wolverhampton South West Eleanor Smith60,00370.641.
244330Warwick and Leamington Matt Western74,23772.841.546.
258316Newcastle-under-Lyme Paul Farrelly65,54066.945.
259315Dudley North Ian Austin62,04362.743.546.
268306Stoke-on-Trent South Jack Brereton66,04663.
270304Telford Lucy Allan68,16465.645.846.
293281Worcester Robin Walker72,81570.645.
302272Walsall North Eddie Hughes67,30956.646.742.
315259Nuneaton Marcus Jones69,20166.648.640.
321253Shrewsbury and Atcham Daniel Kawczynski79,04373.647.
323251Halesowen and Rowley Regis James Morris68,85664.548.939.
333241Stafford Jeremy Lefroy68,44575.951.839.
338236Rugby Mark Pawsey72,17571.151.337.
339235Stourbridge Margot James70,21567.151.637.
340234Redditch Rachel Maclean64,33470.349.435.
346228Cannock Chase Amanda Milling74,54064.
348226Warwickshire North Craig Tracey72,27765.354.
358216Wrekin, The Mark Pritchard68,64272.152.535.
365209Burton Andrew Griffiths73,95467.555.
367207Dudley South Mike Wood61,32362.453.535.
391183Staffordshire Moorlands Karen Bradley66,00967.655.
406168Wyre Forest Mark Garnier77,73465.855.432.
407167Tamworth Christopher Pincher71,31966.
430144Sutton Coldfield Andrew Mitchell75,65269.958.
433141Shropshire North Owen Paterson80,53569.057.530.
437137Hereford and South Herefordshire Jesse Norman71,08871.050.523.
449125Bromsgrove Sajid Javid73,57173.559.
48490Lichfield Michael Fabricant74,43071.960.628.
48985Stone Bill Cash67,82473.860.
49480Meriden Caroline Spelman81,43767.
49777Kenilworth and Southam Jeremy Wright66,32377.457.925.
50074Aldridge-Brownhills Wendy Morton60,36366.762.429.
50569Solihull Julian Knight77,78473.055.221.515.
51361Worcestershire West Harriett Baldwin74,38575.958.523.
52549Ludlow Philip Dunne68,03473.459.923.910.
53440Stratford-on-Avon Nadhim Zahawi72,60972.359.221.912.
54727Worcestershire Mid Nigel Huddleston76,06572.462.322.
55321Herefordshire North Bill Wiggin67,75174.159.018.611.
55915Staffordshire South Gavin Williamson73,45369.666.824.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.