| Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 27.6% | 15 | 23.8% | 1 | 2 | -1 | 14 |
| LAB | 34.0% | 38 | 26.6% | 1 | 11 | -10 | 28 |
| LIB | 8.8% | 2 | 6.9% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 2 |
| Reform | 18.1% | 0 | 23.7% | 13 | 0 | +13 | 13 |
| Green | 6.6% | 1 | 9.6% | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| Other | 4.9% | 1 | 9.3% | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
This page shows all the seats in West Midlands sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Reform votes. The seat 'Birmingham Ladywood' where the LAB−Reform difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Herefordshire North', where the Reform−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.
The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'Reform Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Wolverhampton North East (prediction: LAB), and the Reforms need to win all their seats up to Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley (prediction: LAB).
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
| LAB Seats | Reform Seats | Seat | MP at 2024 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | Reform % | Green % | MIN % | OTH % | 2024 Win | Pred Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 375 | Birmingham Ladywood | Shabana Mahmood | 83,693 | 43.7 | 8.1 | 40.4 | 0.8 | 6.3 | 35.1 | 9.2 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 95 | 328 | Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley | Tahir Ali | 76,936 | 54.1 | 16.6 | 34.7 | 4.0 | 9.2 | 28.5 | 7.1 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 125 | 298 | Birmingham Perry Barr | Ayoub Khan | 76,350 | 49.1 | 24.6 | 32.3 | 3.5 | 10.7 | 16.1 | 12.8 | 0.0 | MIN | LAB |
| 145 | 278 | Warwick and Leamington | Matt Western | 76,294 | 64.5 | 19.5 | 36.8 | 6.7 | 17.3 | 13.6 | 6.1 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 147 | 276 | Birmingham Selly Oak | Alistair Carns | 75,678 | 50.8 | 15.5 | 35.9 | 3.9 | 16.8 | 18.2 | 9.7 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 171 | 252 | Coventry East | Mary Creagh | 75,801 | 48.8 | 13.7 | 38.1 | 2.4 | 21.3 | 12.9 | 11.5 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 172 | 251 | Birmingham Edgbaston | Preet Kaur Gill | 71,787 | 52.1 | 21.8 | 34.7 | 5.9 | 17.9 | 12.8 | 7.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 176 | 247 | Smethwick | Gurinder Singh Josan | 72,863 | 48.2 | 14.7 | 35.5 | 2.7 | 18.9 | 17.0 | 11.3 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 184 | 239 | Wolverhampton South East | Pat McFadden | 77,473 | 43.1 | 5.1 | 47.2 | 0.5 | 31.4 | 1.7 | 14.1 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 205 | 218 | Birmingham Erdington | Paulette Hamilton | 77,463 | 43.6 | 9.9 | 41.8 | 1.5 | 27.8 | 6.3 | 12.7 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 207 | 216 | Coventry South | Zarah Sultana | 76,262 | 56.0 | 27.4 | 29.8 | 3.9 | 15.9 | 12.2 | 10.9 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 209 | 214 | Wolverhampton West | Warinder Juss | 77,851 | 56.1 | 22.6 | 34.5 | 4.3 | 20.7 | 10.3 | 7.6 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 220 | 203 | Coventry North West | Taiwo Owatemi | 75,057 | 56.0 | 16.6 | 36.4 | 4.0 | 23.2 | 11.5 | 8.4 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 226 | 196 | Sutton Coldfield | Andrew Mitchell | 74,080 | 65.2 | 33.2 | 29.8 | 3.6 | 16.9 | 8.3 | 8.2 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 227 | 196 | West Bromwich | Sarah Coombes | 74,026 | 49.3 | 14.4 | 38.1 | 2.7 | 25.3 | 9.7 | 9.7 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 247 | 176 | Stoke-on-Trent Central | Gareth Snell | 73,693 | 47.9 | 5.8 | 44.9 | 0.5 | 33.4 | 1.6 | 13.7 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 248 | 175 | Telford | Shaun Davies | 73,808 | 55.2 | 5.9 | 46.5 | 0.6 | 35.1 | 1.5 | 10.4 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 262 | 161 | Worcester | Tom Collins | 74,931 | 61.4 | 19.2 | 32.1 | 5.4 | 21.7 | 13.9 | 7.7 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 276 | 147 | Stafford | Leigh Ingham | 70,608 | 65.2 | 24.7 | 32.9 | 4.2 | 23.5 | 8.5 | 6.2 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 301 | 122 | Shrewsbury | Julia Buckley | 76,633 | 67.3 | 21.3 | 31.3 | 9.8 | 23.9 | 6.9 | 6.8 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 315 | 108 | Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North | Liam Byrne | 77,737 | 43.9 | 18.3 | 27.4 | 2.4 | 21.0 | 18.3 | 12.7 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 317 | 106 | Birmingham Northfield | Laurence Turner | 74,048 | 50.8 | 15.5 | 35.4 | 3.1 | 29.1 | 7.6 | 9.4 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 325 | 98 | Newcastle-under-Lyme | Adam Jogee | 67,839 | 58.4 | 23.5 | 31.5 | 4.8 | 25.9 | 7.1 | 7.1 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 326 | 97 | Wolverhampton North East | Sureena Brackenridge | 70,715 | 47.1 | 17.9 | 34.8 | 3.0 | 29.3 | 6.7 | 8.3 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 330 | 92 | Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge | Gavin Williamson | 71,561 | 59.8 | 33.8 | 25.4 | 6.5 | 20.4 | 6.6 | 7.3 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 334 | 89 | Birmingham Yardley | Jess Phillips | 73,203 | 49.4 | 21.8 | 24.9 | 7.6 | 20.5 | 13.9 | 11.3 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 340 | 83 | Nuneaton | Jodie Gosling | 71,662 | 57.5 | 23.5 | 29.9 | 3.6 | 25.8 | 9.5 | 7.7 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 344 | 78 | Wrekin, The | Mark Pritchard | 78,942 | 63.4 | 30.2 | 23.2 | 7.9 | 19.6 | 7.6 | 11.5 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 351 | 72 | Rugby | John Anthony Slinger | 74,901 | 65.4 | 25.5 | 28.4 | 6.0 | 25.2 | 6.7 | 8.2 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 352 | 71 | Halesowen | Alex Ballinger | 68,549 | 56.3 | 23.7 | 29.1 | 5.5 | 26.6 | 8.0 | 7.2 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 353 | 70 | Stoke-on-Trent North | David Williams | 69,790 | 51.8 | 8.3 | 40.5 | 0.8 | 38.2 | 1.7 | 10.5 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 355 | 67 | Kenilworth and Southam | Jeremy Wright | 74,923 | 71.2 | 29.1 | 22.1 | 13.3 | 20.2 | 8.3 | 7.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 355 | 67 | Solihull West and Shirley | Neil Shastri-Hurst | 71,813 | 65.3 | 27.2 | 22.7 | 11.0 | 20.9 | 10.1 | 8.1 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 357 | 65 | Bromsgrove | Bradley Anthony Thomas | 76,468 | 65.9 | 32.1 | 21.2 | 11.7 | 19.8 | 5.4 | 9.9 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 364 | 58 | Wyre Forest | Mark Garnier | 77,394 | 58.3 | 29.6 | 22.8 | 6.7 | 22.7 | 6.1 | 12.1 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 370 | 53 | Walsall and Bloxwich | Valerie Vaz | 75,968 | 49.0 | 21.6 | 26.1 | 3.7 | 26.5 | 9.5 | 12.5 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 371 | 51 | Hereford and South Herefordshire | Jesse Norman | 72,203 | 63.1 | 29.9 | 20.9 | 10.2 | 21.5 | 7.0 | 10.5 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 372 | 51 | Tipton and Wednesbury | Antonia Bance | 74,100 | 43.0 | 13.2 | 33.7 | 1.6 | 34.3 | 5.4 | 11.9 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 374 | 49 | Cannock Chase | Josh Newbury | 76,974 | 55.8 | 18.6 | 31.6 | 2.5 | 32.8 | 6.0 | 8.5 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 376 | 46 | Meriden and Solihull East | Saqib Bhatti | 73,659 | 59.8 | 28.1 | 22.9 | 6.5 | 24.2 | 8.8 | 9.4 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 378 | 45 | Stourbridge | Cat Eccles | 68,311 | 58.4 | 24.9 | 26.7 | 4.7 | 28.2 | 6.0 | 9.5 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 381 | 42 | Burton and Uttoxeter | Jacob Collier | 77,994 | 58.5 | 24.5 | 26.2 | 3.8 | 28.1 | 7.3 | 10.1 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 384 | 39 | Lichfield | Dave Robertson | 76,118 | 64.5 | 27.3 | 25.5 | 6.0 | 28.1 | 4.8 | 8.4 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 385 | 38 | Redditch | Christopher James Bloore | 71,038 | 59.7 | 25.2 | 25.7 | 4.4 | 28.2 | 6.8 | 9.7 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 398 | 25 | Dudley | Sonia Kumar | 70,151 | 51.0 | 24.2 | 26.0 | 3.8 | 30.7 | 6.7 | 8.6 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 399 | 24 | Staffordshire Moorlands | Karen Bradley | 69,892 | 62.0 | 24.2 | 24.8 | 3.9 | 29.5 | 7.3 | 10.4 | 0.0 | CON | Reform |
| 403 | 20 | Stoke-on-Trent South | Allison Gardner | 68,263 | 60.0 | 26.4 | 24.5 | 4.7 | 30.3 | 4.6 | 9.5 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 403 | 19 | Droitwich and Evesham | Nigel Huddleston | 76,624 | 64.7 | 29.2 | 20.2 | 6.7 | 26.0 | 8.5 | 9.5 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 404 | 19 | Aldridge-Brownhills | Wendy Morton | 70,871 | 57.7 | 26.7 | 22.7 | 4.6 | 28.7 | 6.6 | 10.8 | 0.0 | CON | Reform |
| 404 | 18 | Shropshire South | Stuart Anderson | 76,723 | 67.3 | 32.9 | 13.9 | 17.9 | 20.1 | 4.3 | 10.8 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 410 | 13 | Tamworth | Sarah Edwards | 75,059 | 58.3 | 24.3 | 24.1 | 4.0 | 31.8 | 5.3 | 10.4 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 411 | 12 | Warwickshire North and Bedworth | Rachel Margaret Taylor | 69,752 | 58.7 | 23.4 | 24.6 | 3.9 | 32.5 | 5.1 | 10.5 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 413 | 9 | Kingswinford and South Staffordshire | Mike Wood | 71,662 | 63.0 | 33.5 | 18.7 | 3.8 | 28.7 | 5.6 | 9.7 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 414 | 8 | Worcestershire West | Harriett Baldwin | 79,242 | 69.0 | 35.2 | 13.9 | 11.1 | 24.3 | 7.5 | 8.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 414 | 8 | Stratford-on-Avon | Manuela Perteghella | 75,714 | 69.9 | 33.5 | 6.9 | 34.4 | 18.1 | 2.3 | 4.7 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 417 | 5 | Shropshire North | Helen Morgan | 77,594 | 63.9 | 22.5 | 10.6 | 33.1 | 24.7 | 3.9 | 5.1 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 417 | 5 | Herefordshire North | Ellie Chowns | 72,797 | 69.2 | 42.1 | 8.9 | 2.8 | 25.9 | 11.9 | 8.5 | 0.0 | Green | CON |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.