West Midlands: Majority Sorted Seats

West Midlands Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 49.0%35 45.3%02-233
LAB 42.5%24 42.9%20+226
LIB 4.4%0 4.4%00+00
UKIP 1.8%0 4.2%00+00
Green 1.7%0 2.2%00+00
Minor 0.6%0 1.0%00+00

This page shows all the seats in West Midlands sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Birmingham Ladywood, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Staffordshire South, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Stafford (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Warwick and Leamington (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of West Midlands seats with predictions

SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
8563Birmingham Ladywood Shabana Mahmood70,02359.010.783.
12559Birmingham Hodge Hill Liam Byrne75,69861.311.581.
17554Birmingham Hall Green Roger Godsiff78,27169.412.
63508Birmingham Perry Barr Khalid Mahmood70,10663.022.768.
66505Warley John Spellar63,72463.122.467.
84487Birmingham Yardley Jess Phillips72,58161.316.157.517.
96475Coventry North East Colleen Fletcher75,79261.426.
109462Birmingham Selly Oak Steve McCabe74,37065.928.
152419Wolverhampton South East Pat McFadden69,95151.931.
166405Walsall South Valerie Vaz67,41765.433.457.
171400West Bromwich East Tom Watson63,83361.334.558.
172399Birmingham Erdington Jack Dromey65,06757.234.658.
181390Coventry North West Geoffrey Robinson75,21466.333.
182389Coventry South James Cunningham70,75466.434.455.
187384Birmingham Edgbaston Preet Gill68,09164.035.755.
198373Wolverhampton North East Emma Reynolds60,79960.036.553.
200371West Bromwich West Adrian Bailey65,95654.735.952.
202369Stoke-on-Trent Central Gareth Snell58,19657.
210361Birmingham Northfield Richard Burden72,32261.338.953.
231340Stoke-on-Trent North Ruth Smeeth72,36857.741.551.
234337Wolverhampton South West Eleanor Smith60,00370.640.449.
243328Warwick and Leamington Matt Western74,23772.840.747.
257314Newcastle-under-Lyme Paul Farrelly65,54066.944.348.
258313Dudley North Ian Austin62,04362.742.746.
267304Stoke-on-Trent South Jack Brereton66,04663.145.347.
268303Telford Lucy Allan68,16465.644.947.
292279Worcester Robin Walker72,81570.644.343.
301270Walsall North Eddie Hughes67,30956.645.843.
314257Nuneaton Marcus Jones69,20166.647.841.
319252Shrewsbury and Atcham Daniel Kawczynski79,04373.646.
321250Halesowen and Rowley Regis James Morris68,85664.548.
331240Stafford Jeremy Lefroy68,44575.951.
336235Rugby Mark Pawsey72,17571.150.538.
337234Stourbridge Margot James70,21567.150.838.
338233Redditch Rachel Maclean64,33470.348.536.
344227Cannock Chase Amanda Milling74,54064.
346225Warwickshire North Craig Tracey72,27765.353.
356215Wrekin, The Mark Pritchard68,64272.151.636.
361210Burton Andrew Griffiths73,95467.554.
363208Dudley South Mike Wood61,32362.452.736.
388183Staffordshire Moorlands Karen Bradley66,00967.654.434.
403168Wyre Forest Mark Garnier77,73465.854.632.
404167Tamworth Christopher Pincher71,31966.
428143Sutton Coldfield Andrew Mitchell75,65269.957.
430141Shropshire North Owen Paterson80,53569.056.731.
434137Hereford and South Herefordshire Jesse Norman71,08871.049.724.
445126Bromsgrove Sajid Javid73,57173.558.
47992Lichfield Michael Fabricant74,43071.959.829.
48487Stone Bill Cash67,82473.859.428.
48982Meriden Caroline Spelman81,43767.
49180Kenilworth and Southam Jeremy Wright66,32377.457.
49477Aldridge-Brownhills Wendy Morton60,36366.761.630.
50071Solihull Julian Knight77,78473.054.322.315.
50962Worcestershire West Harriett Baldwin74,38575.957.724.
52051Ludlow Philip Dunne68,03473.459.124.710.
53140Stratford-on-Avon Nadhim Zahawi72,60972.358.422.712.
54427Worcestershire Mid Nigel Huddleston76,06572.461.523.
55021Herefordshire North Bill Wiggin67,75174.158.219.311.
55516Staffordshire South Gavin Williamson73,45369.666.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.