West Midlands: Majority Sorted Seats

West Midlands Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 49.0%35 45.3%02-233
LAB 42.5%24 42.9%20+226
LIB 4.4%0 4.4%00+00
UKIP 1.8%0 4.2%00+00
Green 1.7%0 2.2%00+00
Minor 0.6%0 1.0%00+00

This page shows all the seats in West Midlands sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Birmingham Ladywood, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Staffordshire South, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Stafford (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Warwick and Leamington (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of West Midlands seats with predictions

Lab
Seats
Con
Seats
SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
UKIP
%
Green
%
NAT
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2017
Win
Pred
Win
8563Birmingham Ladywood Shabana Mahmood70,02359.010.783.02.81.61.60.00.00.3LABLAB
12559Birmingham Hodge Hill Liam Byrne75,69861.311.581.31.73.91.20.00.00.3LABLAB
17554Birmingham Hall Green Roger Godsiff78,27169.412.277.95.81.81.90.00.00.4LABLAB
63508Birmingham Perry Barr Khalid Mahmood70,10663.022.768.52.52.41.90.01.30.7LABLAB
66505Warley John Spellar63,72463.122.467.61.95.71.90.00.00.5LABLAB
84487Birmingham Yardley Jess Phillips72,58161.316.157.517.96.71.10.00.00.7LABLAB
96475Coventry North East Colleen Fletcher75,79261.426.163.82.55.31.60.00.00.6LABLAB
109462Birmingham Selly Oak Steve McCabe74,37065.928.163.33.42.42.30.00.00.5LABLAB
152419Wolverhampton South East Pat McFadden69,95151.931.058.61.27.01.70.00.00.5LABLAB
166405Walsall South Valerie Vaz67,41765.433.457.81.36.50.50.00.00.5LABLAB
171400West Bromwich East Tom Watson63,83361.334.558.41.62.41.90.00.01.3LABLAB
172399Birmingham Erdington Jack Dromey65,06757.234.658.42.02.42.20.00.00.5LABLAB
181390Coventry North West Geoffrey Robinson75,21466.333.054.32.65.51.90.02.30.5LABLAB
182389Coventry South James Cunningham70,75466.434.455.42.94.61.80.00.00.9LABLAB
187384Birmingham Edgbaston Preet Gill68,09164.035.755.73.62.41.80.00.00.8LABLAB
198373Wolverhampton North East Emma Reynolds60,79960.036.553.21.66.41.80.00.00.5LABLAB
200371West Bromwich West Adrian Bailey65,95654.735.952.40.98.81.40.00.00.5LABLAB
202369Stoke-on-Trent Central Gareth Snell58,19657.036.051.92.17.21.70.00.01.1LABLAB
210361Birmingham Northfield Richard Burden72,32261.338.953.62.22.42.50.00.00.5LABLAB
231340Stoke-on-Trent North Ruth Smeeth72,36857.741.551.32.22.42.20.00.00.5LABLAB
234337Wolverhampton South West Eleanor Smith60,00370.640.449.71.94.81.90.00.01.3LABLAB
243328Warwick and Leamington Matt Western74,23772.840.747.15.23.92.70.00.00.5LABLAB
257314Newcastle-under-Lyme Paul Farrelly65,54066.944.348.63.72.40.50.00.00.5LABLAB
258313Dudley North Ian Austin62,04362.742.746.91.07.91.10.00.00.5LABLAB
267304Stoke-on-Trent South Jack Brereton66,04663.145.347.91.92.42.10.00.00.5CONLAB
268303Telford Lucy Allan68,16465.644.947.52.12.42.50.00.00.5CONLAB
292279Worcester Robin Walker72,81570.644.343.63.45.02.90.00.00.8CONCON
301270Walsall North Eddie Hughes67,30956.645.843.21.58.40.50.00.00.5CONCON
314257Nuneaton Marcus Jones69,20166.647.841.72.05.92.20.00.00.5CONCON
319252Shrewsbury and Atcham Daniel Kawczynski79,04373.646.239.07.34.72.40.00.00.5CONCON
321250Halesowen and Rowley Regis James Morris68,85664.548.140.41.97.21.50.00.00.9CONCON
331240Stafford Jeremy Lefroy68,44575.951.040.23.02.43.00.00.00.5CONCON
336235Rugby Mark Pawsey72,17571.150.538.75.62.42.40.00.00.5CONCON
337234Stourbridge Margot James70,21567.150.838.72.36.21.60.00.00.5CONCON
338233Redditch Rachel Maclean64,33470.348.536.42.65.41.40.05.00.7CONCON
344227Cannock Chase Amanda Milling74,54064.251.237.81.76.62.20.00.00.5CONCON
346225Warwickshire North Craig Tracey72,27765.353.139.32.22.42.50.00.00.5CONCON
356215Wrekin, The Mark Pritchard68,64272.151.636.52.75.72.10.00.01.2CONCON
361210Burton Andrew Griffiths73,95467.554.238.22.52.42.20.00.00.5CONCON
363208Dudley South Mike Wood61,32362.452.736.61.67.11.50.00.00.5CONCON
388183Staffordshire Moorlands Karen Bradley66,00967.654.434.33.42.41.70.03.40.5CONCON
403168Wyre Forest Mark Garnier77,73465.854.632.73.85.92.50.00.00.5CONCON
404167Tamworth Christopher Pincher71,31966.157.235.24.22.40.50.00.00.5CONCON
428143Sutton Coldfield Andrew Mitchell75,65269.957.232.34.42.42.30.00.01.4CONCON
430141Shropshire North Owen Paterson80,53569.056.731.55.32.43.60.00.00.5CONCON
434137Hereford and South Herefordshire Jesse Norman71,08871.049.724.17.14.72.90.011.00.5CONCON
445126Bromsgrove Sajid Javid73,57173.558.231.74.62.42.60.00.00.5CONCON
47992Lichfield Michael Fabricant74,43071.959.829.25.02.43.20.00.00.5CONCON
48487Stone Bill Cash67,82473.859.428.64.45.11.90.00.00.5CONCON
48982Meriden Caroline Spelman81,43767.158.227.24.96.13.10.00.00.5CONCON
49180Kenilworth and Southam Jeremy Wright66,32377.457.026.09.64.22.70.00.00.5CONCON
49477Aldridge-Brownhills Wendy Morton60,36366.761.630.23.32.40.50.00.01.9CONCON
50071Solihull Julian Knight77,78473.054.322.315.74.72.60.00.00.5CONCON
50962Worcestershire West Harriett Baldwin74,38575.957.724.19.45.03.40.00.00.5CONCON
52051Ludlow Philip Dunne68,03473.459.124.710.72.42.60.00.00.5CONCON
53140Stratford-on-Avon Nadhim Zahawi72,60972.358.422.712.12.43.10.00.01.4CONCON
54427Worcestershire Mid Nigel Huddleston76,06572.461.523.36.35.43.00.00.00.5CONCON
55021Herefordshire North Bill Wiggin67,75174.158.219.311.72.46.00.00.02.3CONCON
55516Staffordshire South Gavin Williamson73,45369.666.025.72.62.42.80.00.00.5CONCON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.