West Midlands: Majority Sorted Seats

West Midlands Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 49.0%35 46.4%00+035
LAB 42.5%24 41.3%00+024
LIB 4.4%0 5.4%00+00
UKIP 1.8%0 3.3%00+00
Green 1.7%0 2.5%00+00
Minor 0.6%0 1.1%00+00

This page shows all the seats in West Midlands sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Birmingham Ladywood, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Staffordshire South, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Stafford (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Warwick and Leamington (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of West Midlands seats with predictions

Lab
Seats
Con
Seats
SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
UKIP
%
Green
%
NAT
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2017
Win
Pred
Win
8562Birmingham Ladywood Shabana Mahmood70,02359.011.481.53.51.11.90.00.00.4LABLAB
12558Birmingham Hodge Hill Liam Byrne75,69861.312.379.92.53.41.50.00.00.4LABLAB
17553Birmingham Hall Green Roger Godsiff78,27169.413.176.46.61.22.20.00.00.5LABLAB
63507Birmingham Perry Barr Khalid Mahmood70,10663.023.966.93.41.52.20.01.30.8LABLAB
66504Warley John Spellar63,72463.123.566.02.94.82.20.00.00.6LABLAB
84486Birmingham Yardley Jess Phillips72,58161.317.255.918.95.81.50.00.00.8LABLAB
95475Coventry North East Colleen Fletcher75,79261.427.362.33.44.41.90.00.00.7LABLAB
109461Birmingham Selly Oak Steve McCabe74,37065.929.261.84.31.52.70.00.00.6LABLAB
151419Wolverhampton South East Pat McFadden69,95151.932.157.02.26.12.00.00.00.6LABLAB
165405Walsall South Valerie Vaz67,41765.434.556.22.35.60.90.00.00.6LABLAB
170400West Bromwich East Tom Watson63,83361.335.656.82.61.52.20.00.01.4LABLAB
171399Birmingham Erdington Jack Dromey65,06757.235.756.83.01.52.50.00.00.6LABLAB
180390Coventry North West Geoffrey Robinson75,21466.334.152.83.54.52.20.02.30.6LABLAB
181389Coventry South James Cunningham70,75466.435.553.93.83.72.10.00.01.0LABLAB
186384Birmingham Edgbaston Preet Gill68,09164.036.854.14.51.52.20.00.00.9LABLAB
197373Wolverhampton North East Emma Reynolds60,79960.037.651.62.55.52.20.00.00.6LABLAB
198372West Bromwich West Adrian Bailey65,95654.737.050.91.97.91.80.00.00.6LABLAB
201369Stoke-on-Trent Central Gareth Snell58,19657.037.150.43.06.32.00.00.01.2LABLAB
209361Birmingham Northfield Richard Burden72,32261.340.052.03.11.52.80.00.00.6LABLAB
230340Stoke-on-Trent North Ruth Smeeth72,36857.742.649.73.11.52.50.00.00.6LABLAB
232338Wolverhampton South West Eleanor Smith60,00370.641.548.22.83.92.20.00.01.4LABLAB
241329Warwick and Leamington Matt Western74,23772.841.845.56.23.03.10.00.00.6LABLAB
255315Newcastle-under-Lyme Paul Farrelly65,54066.945.447.04.71.50.90.00.00.6LABLAB
256314Dudley North Ian Austin62,04362.743.845.31.97.01.50.00.00.6LABLAB
265305Stoke-on-Trent South Jack Brereton66,04663.146.446.32.91.52.40.00.00.6CONCON
267303Telford Lucy Allan68,16465.646.145.93.11.52.90.00.00.6CONCON
289281Worcester Robin Walker72,81570.645.442.04.44.13.20.00.00.8CONCON
299271Walsall North Eddie Hughes67,30956.647.041.62.57.50.90.00.00.6CONCON
311259Nuneaton Marcus Jones69,20166.648.940.12.95.02.50.00.00.6CONCON
317253Shrewsbury and Atcham Daniel Kawczynski79,04373.647.337.48.33.82.70.00.00.6CONCON
319251Halesowen and Rowley Regis James Morris68,85664.549.238.82.96.31.90.00.01.0CONCON
328242Stafford Jeremy Lefroy68,44575.952.138.73.91.53.30.00.00.6CONCON
334236Rugby Mark Pawsey72,17571.151.637.16.51.52.70.00.00.6CONCON
335235Stourbridge Margot James70,21567.151.937.13.35.31.90.00.00.6CONCON
336234Redditch Rachel Maclean64,33470.349.634.93.54.51.70.05.00.8CONCON
342228Cannock Chase Amanda Milling74,54064.252.336.32.65.72.60.00.00.6CONCON
344226Warwickshire North Craig Tracey72,27765.354.337.73.11.52.90.00.00.6CONCON
353217Wrekin, The Mark Pritchard68,64272.152.834.93.74.82.50.00.01.3CONCON
359211Burton Andrew Griffiths73,95467.555.336.73.51.52.50.00.00.6CONCON
360210Dudley South Mike Wood61,32362.453.835.12.66.21.90.00.00.6CONCON
386184Staffordshire Moorlands Karen Bradley66,00967.655.532.74.31.52.10.03.40.6CONCON
402168Wyre Forest Mark Garnier77,73465.855.731.14.84.92.90.00.00.6CONCON
403167Tamworth Christopher Pincher71,31966.158.333.65.11.50.90.00.00.6CONCON
426144Sutton Coldfield Andrew Mitchell75,65269.958.330.85.31.52.70.00.01.5CONCON
429141Shropshire North Owen Paterson80,53569.057.829.96.31.54.00.00.00.6CONCON
433137Hereford and South Herefordshire Jesse Norman71,08871.050.822.68.03.83.30.011.00.6CONCON
444126Bromsgrove Sajid Javid73,57173.559.330.15.61.53.00.00.00.6CONCON
47892Lichfield Michael Fabricant74,43071.960.927.75.91.53.50.00.00.6CONCON
48387Stone Bill Cash67,82473.860.527.05.44.22.30.00.00.6CONCON
48783Meriden Caroline Spelman81,43767.159.325.75.85.23.50.00.00.6CONCON
49179Kenilworth and Southam Jeremy Wright66,32377.458.124.410.53.33.10.00.00.6CONCON
49476Aldridge-Brownhills Wendy Morton60,36366.762.728.74.31.50.90.00.02.0CONCON
49971Solihull Julian Knight77,78473.055.520.716.63.72.90.00.00.6CONCON
50862Worcestershire West Harriett Baldwin74,38575.958.822.510.44.13.70.00.00.6CONCON
52050Ludlow Philip Dunne68,03473.460.223.111.61.53.00.00.00.6CONCON
53040Stratford-on-Avon Nadhim Zahawi72,60972.359.521.113.11.53.40.00.01.5CONCON
54327Worcestershire Mid Nigel Huddleston76,06572.462.621.87.24.53.40.00.00.6CONCON
55119Herefordshire North Bill Wiggin67,75174.159.317.812.61.46.40.00.02.4CONCON
55416Staffordshire South Gavin Williamson73,45369.667.124.13.61.53.20.00.00.6CONCON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.