| Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 27.6% | 15 | 21.0% | 1 | 1 | +0 | 15 |
| LAB | 34.0% | 38 | 17.7% | 0 | 33 | -33 | 5 |
| LIB | 8.8% | 2 | 10.7% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 2 |
| Reform | 18.1% | 0 | 30.2% | 32 | 0 | +32 | 32 |
| Green | 6.6% | 1 | 12.1% | 2 | 1 | +1 | 2 |
| Other | 4.9% | 1 | 8.3% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
This page shows all the seats in West Midlands sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Reform votes. The seat 'Warwick and Leamington' where the LAB−Reform difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Kingswinford and South Staffordshire', where the Reform−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.
The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'Reform Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Lichfield (prediction: Reform), and the Reforms need to win all their seats up to Warwick and Leamington (prediction: LAB).
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
| LAB Seats | Reform Seats | Seat | MP at 2024 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | Reform % | Green % | MIN % | OTH % | 2024 Win | Pred Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 307 | Warwick and Leamington | Matt Western | 76,294 | 64.5 | 13.5 | 37.2 | 7.5 | 25.8 | 10.1 | 5.8 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 86 | 264 | Birmingham Ladywood | Shabana Mahmood | 83,693 | 43.7 | 5.3 | 18.8 | 5.9 | 13.3 | 38.5 | 18.3 | 0.0 | LAB | Green |
| 95 | 256 | Worcester | Tom Collins | 74,931 | 61.4 | 5.8 | 42.5 | 2.5 | 37.8 | 3.7 | 7.7 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 114 | 237 | Coventry North West | Taiwo Owatemi | 75,057 | 56.0 | 5.8 | 41.6 | 2.1 | 38.8 | 3.8 | 7.9 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 132 | 219 | Birmingham Selly Oak | Alistair Carns | 75,678 | 50.8 | 10.9 | 24.9 | 7.6 | 24.3 | 24.7 | 7.5 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 139 | 212 | Birmingham Edgbaston | Preet Kaur Gill | 71,787 | 52.1 | 15.2 | 29.2 | 7.5 | 29.0 | 12.7 | 6.4 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 147 | 203 | Birmingham Perry Barr | Ayoub Khan | 76,350 | 49.1 | 9.4 | 18.3 | 7.8 | 18.9 | 22.0 | 23.7 | 0.0 | MIN | MIN |
| 150 | 201 | West Bromwich | Sarah Coombes | 74,026 | 49.3 | 6.9 | 35.7 | 2.7 | 36.5 | 6.2 | 12.0 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 154 | 197 | Coventry East | Mary Creagh | 75,801 | 48.8 | 11.2 | 25.1 | 6.0 | 26.4 | 20.4 | 10.8 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 159 | 192 | Telford | Shaun Davies | 73,808 | 55.2 | 4.9 | 37.1 | 1.7 | 39.4 | 3.5 | 13.3 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 173 | 178 | Smethwick | Gurinder Singh Josan | 72,863 | 48.2 | 9.4 | 23.7 | 5.7 | 27.3 | 23.5 | 10.3 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 174 | 177 | Wolverhampton West | Warinder Juss | 77,851 | 56.1 | 20.3 | 24.4 | 7.3 | 28.0 | 12.6 | 7.5 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 178 | 173 | Wolverhampton South East | Pat McFadden | 77,473 | 43.1 | 9.6 | 27.9 | 4.2 | 31.8 | 13.8 | 12.8 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 192 | 159 | Shrewsbury | Julia Buckley | 76,633 | 67.3 | 12.6 | 30.8 | 10.0 | 35.4 | 4.9 | 6.2 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 221 | 130 | Stafford | Leigh Ingham | 70,608 | 65.2 | 21.5 | 22.9 | 8.5 | 30.1 | 10.4 | 6.5 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 223 | 127 | Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley | Tahir Ali | 76,936 | 54.1 | 7.8 | 16.4 | 9.2 | 23.8 | 32.2 | 10.6 | 0.0 | LAB | Green |
| 252 | 99 | Rugby | John Anthony Slinger | 74,901 | 65.4 | 24.3 | 20.1 | 9.4 | 29.6 | 9.2 | 7.3 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 266 | 85 | Birmingham Erdington | Paulette Hamilton | 77,463 | 43.6 | 12.8 | 21.4 | 6.9 | 32.2 | 17.4 | 9.4 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 269 | 82 | Birmingham Northfield | Laurence Turner | 74,048 | 50.8 | 17.5 | 21.9 | 7.8 | 33.0 | 11.1 | 8.7 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 276 | 75 | Stoke-on-Trent Central | Gareth Snell | 73,693 | 47.9 | 11.1 | 22.7 | 5.5 | 34.6 | 14.6 | 11.5 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 280 | 71 | Newcastle-under-Lyme | Adam Jogee | 67,839 | 58.4 | 21.6 | 19.3 | 9.9 | 32.0 | 10.0 | 7.3 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 293 | 58 | Nuneaton | Jodie Gosling | 71,662 | 57.5 | 19.7 | 18.6 | 7.9 | 31.9 | 12.5 | 9.5 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 294 | 57 | Coventry South | Zarah Sultana | 76,262 | 56.0 | 17.9 | 15.7 | 9.4 | 29.0 | 16.5 | 11.6 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 299 | 52 | Redditch | Christopher James Bloore | 71,038 | 59.7 | 22.9 | 18.3 | 7.5 | 32.3 | 9.6 | 9.3 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 300 | 51 | Wolverhampton North East | Sureena Brackenridge | 70,715 | 47.1 | 18.8 | 18.5 | 7.8 | 32.7 | 11.7 | 10.5 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 301 | 50 | Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North | Liam Byrne | 77,737 | 43.9 | 10.1 | 16.8 | 5.6 | 31.1 | 20.6 | 15.7 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 307 | 44 | Birmingham Yardley | Jess Phillips | 73,203 | 49.4 | 10.8 | 15.3 | 10.7 | 30.9 | 15.3 | 16.9 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 308 | 43 | Halesowen | Alex Ballinger | 68,549 | 56.3 | 21.2 | 17.8 | 10.1 | 33.5 | 9.7 | 7.6 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 310 | 41 | Stourbridge | Cat Eccles | 68,311 | 58.4 | 25.3 | 18.0 | 7.5 | 33.9 | 8.1 | 7.3 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 312 | 39 | Burton and Uttoxeter | Jacob Collier | 77,994 | 58.5 | 22.0 | 17.7 | 7.1 | 33.6 | 10.1 | 9.4 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 315 | 35 | Stratford-on-Avon | Manuela Perteghella | 75,714 | 69.9 | 25.3 | 6.1 | 35.8 | 22.8 | 5.4 | 4.6 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 319 | 32 | Walsall and Bloxwich | Valerie Vaz | 75,968 | 49.0 | 16.7 | 18.0 | 6.1 | 35.6 | 13.5 | 10.2 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 320 | 31 | Stoke-on-Trent North | David Williams | 69,790 | 51.8 | 17.3 | 19.8 | 6.8 | 37.8 | 8.3 | 10.0 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 321 | 30 | Tipton and Wednesbury | Antonia Bance | 74,100 | 43.0 | 15.5 | 17.9 | 5.5 | 35.9 | 10.9 | 14.3 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 322 | 29 | Cannock Chase | Josh Newbury | 76,974 | 55.8 | 19.0 | 18.3 | 7.0 | 36.4 | 9.4 | 9.9 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 322 | 28 | Kenilworth and Southam | Jeremy Wright | 74,923 | 71.2 | 39.9 | 9.7 | 11.0 | 27.9 | 7.0 | 4.5 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 324 | 27 | Tamworth | Sarah Edwards | 75,059 | 58.3 | 23.4 | 17.2 | 6.5 | 35.9 | 7.7 | 9.4 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 324 | 26 | Sutton Coldfield | Andrew Mitchell | 74,080 | 65.2 | 45.9 | 9.3 | 4.7 | 28.4 | 6.9 | 4.6 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 328 | 23 | Lichfield | Dave Robertson | 76,118 | 64.5 | 32.1 | 14.4 | 7.2 | 33.9 | 5.7 | 6.7 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 330 | 20 | Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge | Gavin Williamson | 71,561 | 59.8 | 47.3 | 9.0 | 4.7 | 29.0 | 5.8 | 4.1 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 332 | 19 | Shropshire South | Stuart Anderson | 76,723 | 67.3 | 26.7 | 7.4 | 24.6 | 28.4 | 6.9 | 5.9 | 0.0 | CON | Reform |
| 334 | 17 | Dudley | Sonia Kumar | 70,151 | 51.0 | 19.9 | 15.7 | 7.3 | 37.0 | 9.7 | 10.4 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 334 | 16 | Solihull West and Shirley | Neil Shastri-Hurst | 71,813 | 65.3 | 44.4 | 7.8 | 7.1 | 29.0 | 6.8 | 4.8 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 337 | 13 | Wrekin, The | Mark Pritchard | 78,942 | 63.4 | 39.7 | 8.1 | 6.0 | 30.9 | 7.4 | 7.8 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 338 | 13 | Warwickshire North and Bedworth | Rachel Margaret Taylor | 69,752 | 58.7 | 27.6 | 14.8 | 5.7 | 37.7 | 6.3 | 7.8 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 340 | 10 | Bromsgrove | Bradley Anthony Thomas | 76,468 | 65.9 | 40.9 | 7.8 | 7.3 | 31.8 | 5.6 | 6.5 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 340 | 10 | Meriden and Solihull East | Saqib Bhatti | 73,659 | 59.8 | 44.0 | 7.4 | 5.0 | 31.9 | 6.4 | 5.3 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 340 | 10 | Herefordshire North | Ellie Chowns | 72,797 | 69.2 | 33.7 | 6.6 | 7.2 | 31.3 | 14.9 | 6.3 | 0.0 | Green | CON |
| 340 | 10 | Hereford and South Herefordshire | Jesse Norman | 72,203 | 63.1 | 39.0 | 8.3 | 6.4 | 33.6 | 5.7 | 7.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 340 | 10 | Worcestershire West | Harriett Baldwin | 79,242 | 69.0 | 42.4 | 6.0 | 8.7 | 31.6 | 6.3 | 4.9 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 340 | 10 | Staffordshire Moorlands | Karen Bradley | 69,892 | 62.0 | 36.0 | 9.9 | 3.9 | 35.7 | 6.5 | 8.1 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 342 | 8 | Wyre Forest | Mark Garnier | 77,394 | 58.3 | 39.1 | 8.3 | 5.0 | 35.6 | 5.8 | 6.2 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 342 | 8 | Droitwich and Evesham | Nigel Huddleston | 76,624 | 64.7 | 43.1 | 6.6 | 5.5 | 34.0 | 5.7 | 5.1 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 343 | 8 | Stoke-on-Trent South | Allison Gardner | 68,263 | 60.0 | 36.8 | 10.2 | 4.2 | 38.2 | 4.3 | 6.4 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 344 | 6 | Aldridge-Brownhills | Wendy Morton | 70,871 | 57.7 | 42.9 | 6.8 | 4.0 | 36.1 | 5.1 | 5.2 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 344 | 6 | Shropshire North | Helen Morgan | 77,594 | 63.9 | 8.2 | 2.4 | 49.9 | 31.8 | 2.2 | 5.6 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 344 | 6 | Kingswinford and South Staffordshire | Mike Wood | 71,662 | 63.0 | 42.8 | 6.9 | 4.1 | 36.4 | 4.7 | 5.1 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.