Yorks/Humber: Majority Sorted Seats

Yorks/Humber Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 40.4%17 36.7%03-314
LAB 49.0%37 49.4%30+340
LIB 5.0%0 5.0%00+00
UKIP 2.6%0 5.0%00+00
Green 1.3%0 1.8%00+00
Minor 1.7%0 2.2%00+00

This page shows all the seats in Yorks/Humber sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Sheffield Central, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Richmond, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to York Outer (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Penistone and Stocksbridge (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Yorks/Humber seats with predictions

SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
25546Sheffield Central Paul Blomfield77,56061.710.571.
37534Leeds Central Hilary Benn89,53753.216.770.
45526Bradford West Naz Shah67,56867.413.465.
50521Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough Gill Furniss70,34459.517.867.
53518Bradford East Imran Hussain70,38964.816.665.
71500Barnsley Central Dan Jarvis64,20460.920.464.31.410.
77494Hull North Diana Johnson64,66657.521.464.
79492Leeds West Rachel Reeves67,95562.122.464.
91480York Central Rachael Maskell77,31568.726.465.
95476Wentworth and Dearne John Healey74,89058.727.565.
97474Doncaster North Ed Miliband72,37258.523.961.
100471Barnsley East Stephanie Peacock69,20458.923.259.91.810.
102469Leeds North East Fabian Hamilton70,11275.627.363.
107464Sheffield Heeley Louise Haigh68,04065.024.960.
111460Leeds East Richard Burgon65,95062.826.861.
116455Rotherham Sarah Champion63,23760.022.656.84.611.
122449Normanton, Pontefract and Castleford Yvette Cooper81,64160.326.359.
133438Hull East Karl Turner65,95955.526.
135436Huddersfield Barry Sheerman67,03365.429.
136435Sheffield South East Clive Betts68,94563.227.758.
150421Leeds North West Alex Sobel68,15267.916.044.535.
151420Doncaster Central Rosie Winterton71,71660.030.658.
153418Hull West and Hessle Emma Hardy60,18157.426.
157414Hemsworth Jon Trickett71,87063.930.
183388Batley and Spen Tracy Brabin80,15367.
185386Bradford South Judith Cummins67,75260.634.454.
190381Sheffield Hallam Jared O Mara73,45577.620.038.834.
206365Don Valley Caroline Flint73,98862.237.953.
207364Halifax Holly Lynch71,22467.837.953.
220351Scunthorpe Nic Dakin61,57865.339.752.
223348Rother Valley Kevin Barron75,23065.836.548.
227344Great Grimsby Melanie Onn61,74357.538.449.
230341Dewsbury Paula Sherriff81,33869.541.351.
235336Wakefield Mary Creagh70,34065.841.
242329Penistone and Stocksbridge Angela Smith71,29369.839.446.
247324Colne Valley Thelma Walker84,38171.642.448.
253318Keighley John Grogan71,42972.442.346.
261310Pudsey Stuart Andrew72,62274.343.647.
265306Calder Valley Craig Whittaker79,04573.442.445.
288283Morley and Outwood Andrea Jenkyns76,49568.446.947.
302269Scarborough and Whitby Robert Goodwill73,59368.644.641.
309262Shipley Philip Davies73,13373.047.643.
330241York Outer Julian Sturdy75,85675.747.437.
341230Elmet and Rothwell Alec Shelbrooke80,29174.250.638.
372199Cleethorpes Martin Vickers73,04765.553.335.
392179Selby and Ainsty Nigel Adams75,76574.054.934.
398173Beverley and Holderness Graham Stuart80,65769.054.633.
413158Brigg and Goole Andrew Percy66,06968.256.633.
416155Yorkshire East Greg Knight81,06566.654.530.
438133Haltemprice and Howden David Davis71,52071.957.
471100Thirsk and Malton Kevin Hollinrake78,67071.156.326.
47695Skipton and Ripon Julian Smith78,10874.458.928.
49378Harrogate and Knaresborough Andrew Jones77,26573.451.720.523.
53635Richmond Rishi Sunak80,92070.560.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.