Yorks/Humber: Majority Sorted Seats

Yorks/Humber Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 40.4%17 37.8%02-215
LAB 49.0%37 47.8%20+239
LIB 5.0%0 5.9%00+00
UKIP 2.6%0 4.1%00+00
Green 1.3%0 2.1%00+00
Minor 1.7%0 2.3%00+00

This page shows all the seats in Yorks/Humber sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Sheffield Central, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Richmond, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to York Outer (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Penistone and Stocksbridge (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Yorks/Humber seats with predictions

SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
25545Sheffield Central Paul Blomfield77,56061.711.369.
38532Leeds Central Hilary Benn89,53753.217.869.
45525Bradford West Naz Shah67,56867.414.463.
50520Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough Gill Furniss70,34459.519.
53517Bradford East Imran Hussain70,38964.817.764.
71499Barnsley Central Dan Jarvis64,20460.921.562.72.410.
77493Hull North Diana Johnson64,66657.522.562.
79491Leeds West Rachel Reeves67,95562.123.562.
91479York Central Rachael Maskell77,31568.727.564.
94476Wentworth and Dearne John Healey74,89058.728.663.
97473Doncaster North Ed Miliband72,37258.525.
100470Barnsley East Stephanie Peacock69,20458.924.358.
102468Leeds North East Fabian Hamilton70,11275.628.461.
106464Sheffield Heeley Louise Haigh68,04065.
111459Leeds East Richard Burgon65,95062.827.960.
116454Rotherham Sarah Champion63,23760.023.855.35.610.
122448Normanton, Pontefract and Castleford Yvette Cooper81,64160.327.458.
133437Hull East Karl Turner65,95955.527.357.
135435Huddersfield Barry Sheerman67,03365.430.359.
136434Sheffield South East Clive Betts68,94563.228.857.
149421Leeds North West Alex Sobel68,15267.917.042.935.
150420Doncaster Central Rosie Winterton71,71660.031.756.
152418Hull West and Hessle Emma Hardy60,18157.427.
156414Hemsworth Jon Trickett71,87063.931.
182388Batley and Spen Tracy Brabin80,15367.
184386Bradford South Judith Cummins67,75260.635.553.
189381Sheffield Hallam Jared O Mara73,45577.621.
205365Don Valley Caroline Flint73,98862.
206364Halifax Holly Lynch71,22467.839.
219351Scunthorpe Nic Dakin61,57865.340.850.
222348Rother Valley Kevin Barron75,23065.837.647.
225345Great Grimsby Melanie Onn61,74357.539.548.
229341Dewsbury Paula Sherriff81,33869.542.449.
233337Wakefield Mary Creagh70,34065.842.348.
240330Penistone and Stocksbridge Angela Smith71,29369.840.544.
245325Colne Valley Thelma Walker84,38171.643.546.
251319Keighley John Grogan71,42972.443.445.
259311Pudsey Stuart Andrew72,62274.344.745.
263307Calder Valley Craig Whittaker79,04573.443.543.
285285Morley and Outwood Andrea Jenkyns76,49568.448.
298272Scarborough and Whitby Robert Goodwill73,59368.645.740.
307263Shipley Philip Davies73,13373.048.741.
327243York Outer Julian Sturdy75,85675.748.535.511.
339231Elmet and Rothwell Alec Shelbrooke80,29174.251.736.
370200Cleethorpes Martin Vickers73,04765.554.434.
391179Selby and Ainsty Nigel Adams75,76574.
396174Beverley and Holderness Graham Stuart80,65769.055.732.
411159Brigg and Goole Andrew Percy66,06968.257.731.
415155Yorkshire East Greg Knight81,06566.655.629.
435135Haltemprice and Howden David Davis71,52071.958.329.
469101Thirsk and Malton Kevin Hollinrake78,67071.157.424.
47595Skipton and Ripon Julian Smith78,10874.460.
49278Harrogate and Knaresborough Andrew Jones77,26573.452.818.924.
53535Richmond Rishi Sunak80,92070.561.322.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.