Seats Predicted to Change

Current Prediction: Conservative short 3 of majority

Party2015 Votes2015 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 37.8%331 35.4%08-8323
LAB 31.2%232 29.9%61+5237
LIB 8.1%8 7.4%00+08
UKIP 12.9%1 16.6%20+23
Green 3.8%1 4.2%00+01
SNP 4.9%56 4.9%00+056
PlaidC 0.6%3 0.6%10+14
Minor 0.8%0 1.0%00+00
N.Ire 18 00+018

See also the full majority-sorted list of seats, including vulnerables.

List of predicted seat changes

SeatCounty/AreaPredicted Change  MP as at 2015
Bury NorthWestern ManchesterLABgain fromCON: David Nuttall
Croydon CentralCroydonLABgain fromCON: Gavin Barwell
Derby NorthDerbyshireLABgain fromCON: Amanda Solloway
GowerWest GlamorganLABgain fromCON: Byron Davies
Morley and OutwoodWest YorkshireLABgain fromCON: Andrea Jenkyns
Thanet SouthKentUKIPgain fromCON: Craig Mackinlay
ThurrockEssexUKIPgain fromCON: Jackie Doyle-Price
Vale of ClwydClwydLABgain fromCON: James Davies
Ynys MonGwyneddNATgain fromLAB: Albert Owen

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2015. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.