Scotland: New Constituency Boundaries 2018

Each new seat can be described as a combination of parts of old seats. These tables show this decomposition. The winner of the old seat at the 2017 election is shown by party colour, as is the implied winner of the new seat.

The implied results are calculated using the local election results for the wards which make up each old seat. This should give the most accurate projection, since it reflects varying political behaviour across the seat.

Scotland Change Table

  Old SeatsNew SeatsChangeDisappearSwitch OutSwitch InFresh
Con1312-1-2010
Lab7700-220
Lib42-20-200
Ukip0000000
Green0000000
Nat3532-3-5-341
Min0000000
Total5953-6-7-771

The table shows how the various changes affect each party in this area. The total old and new seats are shown for each party, as well as their difference ('Change'). The change in seats is also explained through the four explanations:

The old seats which are disappearing are: Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine; Airdrie and Shotts; Ayrshire Central; Edinburgh South West; Glasgow Central; Ochil and South Perthshire; Ross Skye and Lochaber.

The old seats which are lost to another party are: Caithness Sutherland and Easter Ross; Edinburgh East; Edinburgh West; Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath; Midlothian; Motherwell and Wishaw; Perth and North Perthshire.

The new seats which are gained from another party are: Highland North; Edinburgh East; Edinburgh West; Fife South; Midlothian and Upper Tweeddale; Lanarkshire North East; Perth and North Perthshire.

The new seats which are freshly created are: Falkirk South.

Argyll and Bute

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Argyll, Bute and South West Highland 100% of Argyll and Bute 22.6% of Ross Skye and Lochaber

Ayrshire and Lanark

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Arran and Cunninghame 59.9% of Ayrshire North and Arran 46.7% of Ayrshire Central
Ayr and Carrick 73.3% of Ayr Carrick and Cumnock 39.6% of Ayrshire Central
Dumfriesshire and Lanarkshire South East 73.5% of Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale 39.3% of Lanark and Hamilton East
0.3% of Dumfries and Galloway
0.1% of East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow
Kilmarnock, Cumnock and Doon Valley 71.3% of Kilmarnock and Loudoun 26.7% of Ayr Carrick and Cumnock
13.8% of Ayrshire Central
Lanarkshire Mid 58.8% of Lanark and Hamilton East 37.9% of Motherwell and Wishaw
4.0% of East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow
3.6% of Rutherglen and Hamilton West
Lanarkshire South West 95.9% of East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow 1.1% of Lanark and Hamilton East
Lanarkshire West 96.4% of Rutherglen and Hamilton West 0.8% of Lanark and Hamilton East

Borders

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk 100% of Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk 4.9% of Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale

Central

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Falkirk South 45.4% of Falkirk 41.3% of Linlithgow and East Falkirk
Stirling and Falkirk North 54.6% of Falkirk 42.5% of Stirling
Stirlingshire, Strathearn and Kinross 57.5% of Stirling 46.4% of Ochil and South Perthshire

Dumfries and Galloway

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Galloway and Dumfries 99.7% of Dumfries and Galloway 4.0% of Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale

Edinburgh area

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
East Lothian Unchanged
Edinburgh East 79.7% of Edinburgh East 39.0% of Edinburgh South
0.5% of Edinburgh North and Leith
Edinburgh North and Leith 91.5% of Edinburgh North and Leith 6.1% of Edinburgh West
3.8% of Edinburgh East
1.1% of Edinburgh South West
Edinburgh South 61.0% of Edinburgh South 44.9% of Edinburgh South West
16.5% of Edinburgh East
Edinburgh West 91.4% of Edinburgh West 13.9% of Edinburgh South West
8.0% of Edinburgh North and Leith
Linlithgow 58.7% of Linlithgow and East Falkirk 36.8% of Livingston
Livingston and Edinburgh Pentland 63.2% of Livingston 40.1% of Edinburgh South West
2.5% of Edinburgh West
Midlothian and Upper Tweeddale 100% of Midlothian 17.6% of Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale

Fife

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Clackmannanshire and Dunfermline 51.9% of Dunfermline and West Fife 49.8% of Ochil and South Perthshire
Fife Mid 62.9% of Glenrothes 47.3% of Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath
Fife North East 100% of Fife North East 30.8% of Glenrothes
Fife South 52.7% of Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath 48.1% of Dunfermline and West Fife
6.3% of Glenrothes

Glasgow area

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Clyde Coast 100% of Inverclyde 18.3% of Ayrshire North and Arran
8.7% of Paisley and Renfrewshire North
Dunbartonshire East 91.0% of Dunbartonshire East 26.2% of Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East
Dunbartonshire West 100% of Dunbartonshire West 9.0% of Dunbartonshire East
Eastwood and Loudoun 75.0% of Renfrewshire East 28.7% of Kilmarnock and Loudoun
Glasgow Central 49.2% of Glasgow North 38.2% of Glasgow Central
20.8% of Glasgow South West
13.6% of Glasgow North West
Glasgow East 83.8% of Glasgow East 17.1% of Glasgow Central
13.3% of Glasgow North East
Glasgow North East 86.7% of Glasgow North East 15.5% of Glasgow East
15.6% of Glasgow North
0.1% of Glasgow Central
Glasgow North West 86.4% of Glasgow North West 35.2% of Glasgow North
0.0% of Glasgow North East
Glasgow South East 77.0% of Glasgow South 30.0% of Glasgow Central
Glasgow South West 79.2% of Glasgow South West 23.0% of Glasgow South
14.6% of Glasgow Central
Lanarkshire North 73.8% of Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East 46.4% of Airdrie and Shotts
1.2% of Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill
Lanarkshire North East 56.5% of Motherwell and Wishaw 52.7% of Airdrie and Shotts
0.6% of Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill
Lanarkshire North West 98.2% of Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill 5.6% of Motherwell and Wishaw
0.8% of Airdrie and Shotts
0.6% of Glasgow East
Paisley 69.0% of Paisley and Renfrewshire South 48.3% of Paisley and Renfrewshire North
Renfrewshire West and Garnock Valley 43.0% of Paisley and Renfrewshire North 31.0% of Paisley and Renfrewshire South
25.0% of Renfrewshire East
21.9% of Ayrshire North and Arran

Grampian

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Aberdeen North 81.0% of Aberdeen North 34.9% of Gordon
0.3% of Aberdeen South
Aberdeen South 99.7% of Aberdeen South 19.0% of Aberdeen North
1.6% of Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine
Banff and Buchan 99.1% of Banff and Buchan 14.7% of Gordon
Gordon and Deeside 50.4% of Gordon 52.9% of Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine
0.9% of Banff and Buchan
Moray and Nairn 100% of Moray 12.2% of Inverness Nairn Badenoch and Strathspey

Highland

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Highland Central 85.9% of Inverness Nairn Badenoch and Strathspey 27.7% of Ross Skye and Lochaber
Highland North 100% of Caithness Sutherland and Easter Ross 49.7% of Ross Skye and Lochaber
1.9% of Inverness Nairn Badenoch and Strathspey

Orkney and Shetland

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Orkney and Shetland Unchanged

Tayside

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Angus South and Dundee East 70.3% of Dundee East 36.2% of Angus
6.4% of Dundee West
Dundee 93.6% of Dundee West 29.7% of Dundee East
Kincardine and Angus North 63.8% of Angus 45.5% of Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine
Perth and North Perthshire 100% of Perth and North Perthshire 3.8% of Ochil and South Perthshire

Western Isles

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Na h-Eileanan An Iar (Western Isles) Unchanged