The predicted results in the country and in North East, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.
| Party | 2019 Votes | 2019 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 44.7% | 365 | 31.9% | 1 | 166 | -165 | 200 |
| LAB | 33.0% | 203 | 44.9% | 163 | 1 | +162 | 365 |
| LIB | 11.8% | 11 | 8.0% | 4 | 1 | +3 | 14 |
| Reform | 2.1% | 0 | 4.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
| Green | 2.8% | 1 | 6.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| SNP | 4.0% | 48 | 4.4% | 7 | 7 | +0 | 48 |
| PlaidC | 0.5% | 4 | 0.7% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 4 |
| Other | 1.1% | 0 | 0.1% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
| N.Ire | 18 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 18 |
Edit current prediction, make new prediction, or go back to home page.
| Party | 2019 Votes | 2019 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 38.3% | 10 | 28.2% | 1 | 9 | -8 | 2 |
| LAB | 42.6% | 19 | 55.9% | 9 | 1 | +8 | 27 |
| LIB | 6.8% | 0 | 3.7% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
| Reform | 8.1% | 0 | 6.1% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
| Green | 2.4% | 0 | 6.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
| Other | 1.9% | 0 | 0.2% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
| LAB Seats | CON Seats | Seat | MP at 2019 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | Reform % | Green % | MIN % | OTH % | 2019 Win | Pred Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 518 | Newcastle upon Tyne East | Nick Brown | 63,796 | 68.0 | 17.0 | 69.0 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 56 | 510 | Newcastle upon Tyne Central | Chi Onwurah | 57,845 | 64.8 | 18.5 | 68.0 | 2.6 | 4.5 | 6.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 82 | 484 | Middlesbrough | Andy McDonald | 60,764 | 56.1 | 21.4 | 65.4 | 1.7 | 6.3 | 5.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 83 | 483 | Gateshead | Ian Mearns | 64,449 | 59.2 | 21.2 | 64.7 | 3.0 | 4.2 | 6.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 96 | 470 | Easington | Grahame Morris | 61,182 | 56.5 | 21.8 | 62.3 | 2.3 | 8.9 | 4.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 100 | 466 | Tyneside North | Mary Glindon | 78,902 | 63.9 | 22.6 | 62.6 | 2.9 | 5.8 | 6.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 121 | 445 | Jarrow | Kate Osborne | 65,103 | 62.6 | 23.6 | 60.7 | 2.6 | 6.9 | 6.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 133 | 433 | Washington and Sunderland West | Sharon Hodgson | 66,278 | 56.6 | 24.5 | 60.3 | 2.3 | 6.9 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 141 | 425 | South Shields | Emma Lewell-Buck | 62,793 | 60.3 | 22.5 | 56.7 | 2.4 | 9.7 | 8.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 145 | 421 | Durham North | Kevan Jones | 66,796 | 63.2 | 25.0 | 58.8 | 3.1 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 156 | 410 | Tynemouth | Alan Campbell | 77,261 | 72.5 | 27.1 | 59.6 | 2.6 | 4.3 | 6.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 159 | 407 | Houghton and Sunderland South | Bridget Phillipson | 68,835 | 57.8 | 25.9 | 57.9 | 2.9 | 7.4 | 5.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 161 | 405 | Durham, City of | Mary Foy | 71,271 | 68.6 | 23.3 | 54.6 | 9.8 | 4.9 | 7.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 168 | 398 | Newcastle upon Tyne North | Catherine McKinnell | 68,486 | 68.6 | 26.5 | 56.9 | 4.1 | 5.8 | 6.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 169 | 397 | Blaydon | Liz Twist | 67,853 | 67.3 | 26.3 | 56.6 | 3.7 | 7.0 | 6.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 172 | 394 | Sunderland Central | Julie Elliott | 72,680 | 59.8 | 27.4 | 57.5 | 3.6 | 6.0 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 180 | 386 | Stockton North | Alex Cunningham | 66,649 | 61.8 | 28.7 | 58.1 | 2.1 | 6.4 | 4.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 199 | 367 | Blyth Valley | Ian Levy | 64,429 | 63.4 | 29.1 | 55.8 | 2.9 | 6.2 | 5.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | LAB |
| 203 | 363 | Wansbeck | Ian Lavery | 63,339 | 64.0 | 29.2 | 55.5 | 3.5 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 205 | 361 | Durham North West | Richard Holden | 72,166 | 66.0 | 28.9 | 54.7 | 3.8 | 6.9 | 5.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | LAB |
| 228 | 338 | Sedgefield | Paul Howell | 64,325 | 64.6 | 30.9 | 52.7 | 3.6 | 7.5 | 5.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | LAB |
| 232 | 334 | Darlington | Peter Gibson | 66,397 | 65.5 | 32.0 | 53.0 | 2.6 | 5.4 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | LAB |
| 252 | 314 | Stockton South | Matt Vickers | 76,870 | 71.3 | 34.3 | 53.2 | 2.8 | 5.3 | 4.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | LAB |
| 259 | 307 | Redcar | Jacob Young | 65,864 | 62.0 | 32.7 | 50.7 | 3.9 | 7.5 | 5.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | LAB |
| 268 | 298 | Bishop Auckland | Dehenna Davison | 68,170 | 65.7 | 34.2 | 51.6 | 3.2 | 6.8 | 4.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | LAB |
| 281 | 285 | Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East | Simon Clarke | 72,348 | 66.1 | 34.6 | 50.0 | 2.9 | 6.7 | 5.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | LAB |
| 345 | 221 | Hexham | Guy Opperman | 61,324 | 75.3 | 39.4 | 42.9 | 6.4 | 4.8 | 6.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | LAB |
| 387 | 179 | Hartlepool | Mike Hill | 70,855 | 57.9 | 44.3 | 41.2 | 1.6 | 5.2 | 2.9 | 4.8 | 0.0 | LAB | CON |
| 421 | 145 | Berwick-upon-Tweed | Anne-Marie Trevelyan | 59,939 | 70.3 | 40.5 | 34.2 | 13.9 | 5.7 | 5.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2019. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.
© 2024 Electoral Calculus Ltd
Powered by TigerLib (14-Mar-2024 12:19, Py3L, sc1)