Our current poll-of-polls predicts what would happen if there were a general election tomorrow.Full details of our current prediction.
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Electoral Calculus analysis of the finalised new boundaries shows the Conservatives gaining eleven seats and Labour losing six.
Includes individual predictions of every new seat with maps, ward breakdown and demographics.
Prof Richard Rose says that Rishi moves the dial with MPs but not voters.
Analysis of forty years of by-election results shows that most by-election gains are overturned at the next general election.
Prof Richard Rose says that one by-election win does not a General Election victory make.
Prof Richard Rose says that Labour is going on the offensive to defend its lead.
Review of our MRP and non-MRP predictions for the local elections to see how they worked out in practice.
Prof Richard Rose says that a narrowing lead still leaves the Tories far behind.
A new poll for the Constitution Society shows Labour would remain on course to regain all the Red Wall seats and could expand overall support if it said Brexit was a mistake.
NEW WARDS 2023
New local council wards are now available for forty-nine councils across England whose ward boundaries have been changed in advance of the local elections in May 2023.
Prof Richard Rose says that tactical voting by Green voters in Labour's favour could help Labour win.
An up-to-date refresh of our unique three-D view of political attitudes shows global issues are now the most important, and analyses the prevalence of socially liberal attitudes across various identity groups.
Using advanced mathematical regression techniques, coupled with professional but low-cost polling, Electoral Calculus made the most accurate final pre-election forecast in 2019, outperforming all the competition.
See the General Election 2019 case study.
Read our in-depth analysis of the voter movements behind the 2019 General Election result, seeing how voters realigned by party, by group, by seat, and how many voted tactically.
Our new poll with Find Out Now shows the public accept fiscal discipline, and would like to see a mixture of tax rises and spending cuts. But they want the NHS protected.
Our new MRP poll with Find Out Now predicts Labour will win a majority of over 100 seats with eight cabinet ministers predicted to lose their seats.
Prof Richard Rose the Tories are on track for opposition after their leadership election.
INTEREST RATE POLL
Our new poll with Find Out Now asks voters whether they thought interest rates should be higher or lower or about the same. Generally people, and especially Conservative voters, want higher interest rates.
A poll for the Constitution Society shows that an electoral pact between Labour, the Liberal Democrats and the Greens would result in all three parties winning many more seats than otherwise, and the Conservatives would be heavily defeated.
New poll by Electoral Calculus asks the public whether they want to have more referendums and what they would vote for on some hypothetical referendum questions.
POLITICAL SEGMENTATION ANALYSIS
Our unique approach to modern politics uses economic, international and social attitudes to segment voters into seven political tribes.
Post Election 2019
Graphics and analysis of voter migration by party from 2017 to 2019. See how Leave and Remain voters have moved around the political chessboard.
Post Election 2019
Analysis of tactical voting in 2019, exploring the extent of both pro-Remain and pro-Leave tactical voting. Tactical seats of all types can be identified with our interactive tactical triangle graphic.
Electoral Calculus has pioneered low-cost MRP regression techniques for high-quality and insightful analysis of polling data.More details
Prof Richard Rose asks what effect could a Tory recovery have?
Tactical Voting POLL
Our new poll with Find Out Now, conducted for the Independent, shows Labour and the Liberal Democrats likely to benefit from anti-Conservative tactical voting at the next election.
Prof Richard Rose says that the Liberals are riding high ahead of the their party conference.
Our new MRP poll with Find Out Now, conducted for Channel 4 News, shows Labour set for a landslide election victory. The Conservatives would win less than one hundred seats, and the Liberal Democrats are fighting the SNP for third place.
A new poll from Find Out Now and Electoral Calculus says that voters think consumers are not well served by politicians. People would like to see more houses built and cheaper professionals, but demand for driverless trains has not yet left the station.
Our poll on traffic reduction measures shows that most people are opposed to LTNs, congestion charging and emission zones.
Prof Richard Rose says that Labour is still in the 400 Club.
A new poll for the Constitution Society shows public support for the monarchy, but the public are also keen on reforms, including more financial transparency and less money for minor royals.
Prof Richard Rose says that the Conservative position is not too disastrous.
VI Poll for the Sunday Telegraph with Find Out Now shows Labour's lead over the Conservatives is 23pc.
Prof Richard Rose argues that winning an agreement with Brussels doesn't win seats in Britain.
NEW MRP POLL
Our new large MRP poll with Find Out Now for the Daily Telegraph predicts Labour will win a massive majority, and the Conservatives would not even be the second-largest party.
The Conservatives are losing more support in their strongest seats, which bodes badly for them.
Current state of party support nationally as measured by the opinion pollsters. Data are shown in both graphical and tabular form for national polls taken over the last month or so.
Our uniquely detailed Data Map of Britain shows twelve political and social measures including past votes and political attitudes.
All available at various geographic levels of detail including parliamentary seats, district wards, and individual neighbourhood localities.
Data includes historical data flat files of UK elections from 1955 to date plus our track record of predictions and much more.
At the end of a tumultuous year in politics, see graphically how voters have switched their support between the parties and discover those who can't be bothered to vote any more.
Prof Richard Rose says that the Conservatives are threatened by a two-front war for votes.
A poll by Find Out Now and Electoral Calculus for Fetter Together shows support for Scottish independence. allowing for likelihood to vote.
Prof Richard Rose says that Sunak is gaining poll support but losing MPs.
Prof Richard Rose thinks that Sunak gives Tories a bounce – but it's not very high.
Our latest addition to our website is data on individual and household incomes. This can be seen on both the data map (select 'Income' as data to show) and on the details page for each individual seat.
A regression poll with Find Out Now for the Property Chronicle asked people whether they would support or oppose more house building in their own neighbourhood. Answers varied greatly depending on location.
Post Election 2019
Using a political triangle, this graphic shows how every seat moved between 2017 and 2019 elections. Changed seats can be shown separately and every seat can be identified.
Post Election 2019
See how voters moved around based on which political and demographic groups they belong to. Includes the Electoral Calculus seven political tribes, age and attitudes to the EU.