Election Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Conservative short 20 of majority

List of predicted seat changes

Party	2017 Votes	2017 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	43.5%	318	15.0%	3	15	-12	306
LAB	41.0%	262	22.0%	0	41	-41	221
LIB	7.6%	12	10.0%	14	0	+14	26
UKIP	1.9%	0	27.0%	28	0	+28	28
Green	1.7%	1	8.0%	0	0	+0	1
SNP	3.1%	35	3.1%	12	1	+11	46
PlaidC	0.5%	4	0.6%	1	1	+0	4
Other	0.7%	0	14.4%	0	0	+0	0
N.Ire		18		0	0	+0	18

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2017
Angus	Tayside	SNP	gain from	CON	Kirstene Hair
Ashfield	Nottinghamshire	UKIP	gain from	LAB	Gloria De Piero
Ayr Carrick and Cumnock	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	CON	Bill Grant
Banff and Buchan	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	David Duguid
Barrow and Furness	Cumbria	UKIP	gain from	LAB	John Woodcock
Bedford	Bedfordshire	UKIP	gain from	LAB	Mohammad Yasin
Bermondsey and Old Southwark	Southwark	LIB	gain from	LAB	Neil Coyle
Blackpool South	Lancashire	UKIP	gain from	LAB	Gordon Marsden
Bolsover	Derbyshire	UKIP	gain from	LAB	Dennis Skinner
Bolton North East	Western Manchester	UKIP	gain from	LAB	David Crausby
Bristol North West	Bristol area	CON	gain from	LAB	Darren Jones
Burnley	Lancashire	UKIP	gain from	LAB	Julie Cooper
Cambridge	Cambridgeshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Daniel Zeichner
Canterbury	Kent	CON	gain from	LAB	Rosie Duffield
Ceredigion	Dyfed	LIB	gain from	Plaid	Ben Lake
Cheadle	Eastern Manchester	LIB	gain from	CON	Mary Robinson
Cheltenham	Gloucestershire	LIB	gain from	CON	Alex Chalk
Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Hugh Gaffney
Colne Valley	West Yorkshire	UKIP	gain from	LAB	Thelma Walker
Cornwall North	Cornwall	LIB	gain from	CON	Scott Mann
Crewe and Nantwich	Cheshire	UKIP	gain from	LAB	Laura Smith
Dagenham and Rainham	Barking and Dagenham	UKIP	gain from	LAB	Jon Cruddas
Darlington	Durham	UKIP	gain from	LAB	Jenny Chapman
Derby North	Derbyshire	UKIP	gain from	LAB	Chris Williamson
Devon North	Devon	LIB	gain from	CON	Peter Heaton-Jones
Dudley North	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	Ian Austin
East Lothian	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Martin Whitfield
Fife North East	Fife	LIB	gain from	SNP	Stephen Gethins
Glasgow North East	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Paul Sweeney
Gordon	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	Colin Clark
Great Grimsby	Humber area	UKIP	gain from	LAB	Melanie Onn
Hartlepool	Teesside	UKIP	gain from	LAB	Mike Hill
Heywood and Middleton	Eastern Manchester	UKIP	gain from	LAB	Liz McInnes
Ipswich	Suffolk	UKIP	gain from	LAB	Sandy Martin
Kensington	Kensington and Chelsea	UKIP	gain from	LAB	Emma Dent Coad
Leeds North West	West Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Alex Sobel
Lewes	East Sussex	LIB	gain from	CON	Maria Caulfield
Lincoln	Lincolnshire	UKIP	gain from	LAB	Karen Lee
Midlothian	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Danielle Rowley
Moray	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	Douglas Ross
Newcastle-under-Lyme	Staffordshire	UKIP	gain from	LAB	Paul Farrelly
Ochil and South Perthshire	Central	SNP	gain from	CON	Luke Graham
Penistone and Stocksbridge	South Yorkshire	UKIP	gain from	LAB	Angela Smith
Peterborough	Cambridgeshire	UKIP	gain from	LAB	Fiona Onasanya
Portsmouth South	Hampshire	UKIP	gain from	LAB	Stephen Morgan
Richmond Park	Richmond Upon Thames	LIB	gain from	CON	Zac Goldsmith
Rother Valley	South Yorkshire	UKIP	gain from	LAB	Kevin Barron
Rutherglen and Hamilton West	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	LAB	Ged Killen
Scunthorpe	Humber area	UKIP	gain from	LAB	Nic Dakin
Sheffield Hallam	South Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Jared O Mara
St Ives	Cornwall	LIB	gain from	CON	Derek Thomas
Stirling	Central	SNP	gain from	CON	Stephen Kerr
Stoke-on-Trent Central	Staffordshire	UKIP	gain from	LAB	Gareth Snell
Warwick and Leamington	Warwickshire	UKIP	gain from	LAB	Matt Western
Wells	Somerset	LIB	gain from	CON	James Heappey
West Bromwich West	Black Country	UKIP	gain from	LAB	Adrian Bailey
Workington	Cumbria	UKIP	gain from	LAB	Sue Hayman
Ynys Mon	Gwynedd	Plaid	gain from	LAB	Albert Owen

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

User-defined Prediction

National Prediction: Conservative short 20 of majority

List of predicted seat changes