User-defined Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Conservative short 14 of majority

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 43.5%318 22.0%39-6312
LAB 41.0%262 26.0%021-21241
LIB 7.6%12 12.0%40+416
Brexit 0.0%0 25.0%120+1212
Green 1.7%1 4.0%00+01
SNP 3.1%35 3.5%120+1247
PlaidC 0.5%4 0.5%01-13
UKIP 1.9%0 2.0%00+00
Other 0.7%0 5.3%00+00
N.Ire 18 00+018

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List of predicted seat changes

SeatCounty/AreaPredicted Change  MP as at 2017
AngusTaysideSNPgain fromCONKirstene Hair
AshfieldNottinghamshireBrexitgain fromLABGloria De Piero
Ayr Carrick and CumnockAyrshire and LanarkSNPgain fromCONBill Grant
Banff and BuchanGrampianSNPgain fromCONDavid Duguid
Barrow and FurnessCumbriaBrexitgain fromLABJohn Woodcock
Bristol North WestBristol areaCONgain fromLABDarren Jones
CanterburyKentCONgain fromLABRosie Duffield
CeredigionDyfedBrexitgain fromPlaidBen Lake
CheltenhamGloucestershireLIBgain fromCONAlex Chalk
Coatbridge, Chryston and BellshillGlasgow areaSNPgain fromLABHugh Gaffney
Crewe and NantwichCheshireBrexitgain fromLABLaura Smith
Dagenham and RainhamBarking and DagenhamBrexitgain fromLABJon Cruddas
Don ValleySouth YorkshireBrexitgain fromLABCaroline Flint
Dudley NorthBlack CountryCONgain fromLABIan Austin
East LothianEdinburgh areaSNPgain fromLABMartin Whitfield
Glasgow North EastGlasgow areaSNPgain fromLABPaul Sweeney
GordonGrampianSNPgain fromCONColin Clark
Great GrimsbyHumber areaBrexitgain fromLABMelanie Onn
Leeds North WestWest YorkshireLIBgain fromLABAlex Sobel
MidlothianEdinburgh areaSNPgain fromLABDanielle Rowley
MorayGrampianSNPgain fromCONDouglas Ross
Newcastle-under-LymeStaffordshireBrexitgain fromLABPaul Farrelly
Ochil and South PerthshireCentralSNPgain fromCONLuke Graham
Penistone and StocksbridgeSouth YorkshireBrexitgain fromLABAngela Smith
Richmond ParkRichmond Upon ThamesLIBgain fromCONZac Goldsmith
Rother ValleySouth YorkshireBrexitgain fromLABKevin Barron
Rutherglen and Hamilton WestAyrshire and LanarkSNPgain fromLABGed Killen
Sheffield HallamSouth YorkshireLIBgain fromLABJared O Mara
StirlingCentralSNPgain fromCONStephen Kerr
Stoke-on-Trent NorthStaffordshireBrexitgain fromLABRuth Smeeth
West Bromwich WestBlack CountryBrexitgain fromLABAdrian Bailey

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.


© 2024 Electoral Calculus Ltd
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