Election Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Conservative short 30 of majority

List of predicted seat changes

Party	2017 Votes	2017 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	43.5%	318	24.0%	15	37	-22	296
LAB	41.0%	262	17.0%	0	161	-161	101
LIB	7.6%	12	30.0%	141	0	+141	153
Brexit	0.0%	0	19.0%	27	0	+27	27
Green	1.7%	1	4.0%	0	0	+0	1
SNP	3.1%	35	3.4%	15	1	+14	49
PlaidC	0.5%	4	0.5%	1	1	+0	4
UKIP	1.9%	0	2.0%	0	0	+0	0
Other	0.7%	0	0.3%	1	0	+1	1
N.Ire		18		0	0	+0	18

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2017
Aberdeen South	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	Ross Thomson
Alyn and Deeside	Clwyd	LIB	gain from	LAB	Mark Tami
Angus	Tayside	SNP	gain from	CON	Kirstene Hair
Ashfield	Nottinghamshire	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Gloria De Piero
Ashton under Lyne	Eastern Manchester	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Angela Rayner
Ayr Carrick and Cumnock	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	CON	Bill Grant
Banff and Buchan	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	David Duguid
Barnsley Central	South Yorkshire	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Dan Jarvis
Barnsley East	South Yorkshire	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Stephanie Peacock
Barrow and Furness	Cumbria	CON	gain from	LAB	John Woodcock
Bassetlaw	Nottinghamshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	John Mann
Batley and Spen	West Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Tracy Brabin
Battersea	Wandsworth	LIB	gain from	LAB	Marsha De Cordova
Bedford	Bedfordshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Mohammad Yasin
Bermondsey and Old Southwark	Southwark	LIB	gain from	LAB	Neil Coyle
Birkenhead	Merseyside	MIN	gain from	LAB	Frank Field
Birmingham Edgbaston	Birmingham	LIB	gain from	LAB	Preet Gill
Birmingham Erdington	Birmingham	LIB	gain from	LAB	Jack Dromey
Birmingham Northfield	Birmingham	LIB	gain from	LAB	Richard Burden
Birmingham Selly Oak	Birmingham	LIB	gain from	LAB	Steve McCabe
Birmingham Yardley	Birmingham	LIB	gain from	LAB	Jess Phillips
Bishop Auckland	Durham	CON	gain from	LAB	Helen Goodman
Blackpool South	Lancashire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Gordon Marsden
Blaenau Gwent	Gwent	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Nick Smith
Blaydon	Newcastle area	LIB	gain from	LAB	Liz Twist
Blyth Valley	Northumberland	LIB	gain from	LAB	Ronnie Campbell
Bolsover	Derbyshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Dennis Skinner
Bolton North East	Western Manchester	Brexit	gain from	LAB	David Crausby
Bradford South	West Yorkshire	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Judith Cummins
Brentford and Isleworth	Hounslow	LIB	gain from	LAB	Ruth Cadbury
Bridgend	Mid Glamorgan	LIB	gain from	LAB	Madeleine Moon
Brighton Kemptown	East Sussex	LIB	gain from	LAB	Lloyd Russell-Moyle
Bristol East	Bristol area	LIB	gain from	LAB	Kerry McCarthy
Bristol North West	Bristol area	CON	gain from	LAB	Darren Jones
Bristol South	Bristol area	LIB	gain from	LAB	Karin Smyth
Burnley	Lancashire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Julie Cooper
Bury North	Western Manchester	LIB	gain from	LAB	James Frith
Bury South	Western Manchester	LIB	gain from	LAB	Ivan Lewis
Cambridge	Cambridgeshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Daniel Zeichner
Cambridgeshire South	Cambridgeshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Heidi Allen
Canterbury	Kent	CON	gain from	LAB	Rosie Duffield
Cardiff Central	South Glamorgan	LIB	gain from	LAB	Jo Stevens
Cardiff North	South Glamorgan	LIB	gain from	LAB	Anna McMorrin
Ceredigion	Dyfed	LIB	gain from	Plaid	Ben Lake
Cheadle	Eastern Manchester	LIB	gain from	CON	Mary Robinson
Chelsea and Fulham	Hammersmith and Fulham	LIB	gain from	CON	Greg Hands
Cheltenham	Gloucestershire	LIB	gain from	CON	Alex Chalk
Chester, City of	Cheshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Chris Matheson
Chesterfield	Derbyshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Toby Perkins
Chippenham	Wiltshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Michelle Donelan
Clwyd South	Clwyd	LIB	gain from	LAB	Susan Elan Jones
Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Hugh Gaffney
Colne Valley	West Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Thelma Walker
Cornwall North	Cornwall	LIB	gain from	CON	Scott Mann
Coventry North East	Coventry and Solihull	LIB	gain from	LAB	Colleen Fletcher
Coventry North West	Coventry and Solihull	LIB	gain from	LAB	Geoffrey Robinson
Coventry South	Coventry and Solihull	LIB	gain from	LAB	James Cunningham
Crewe and Nantwich	Cheshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Laura Smith
Croydon Central	Croydon	LIB	gain from	LAB	Sarah Jones
Dagenham and Rainham	Barking and Dagenham	CON	gain from	LAB	Jon Cruddas
Darlington	Durham	LIB	gain from	LAB	Jenny Chapman
Denton and Reddish	Eastern Manchester	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Andrew Gwynne
Derby North	Derbyshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Chris Williamson
Devon North	Devon	LIB	gain from	CON	Peter Heaton-Jones
Dewsbury	West Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Paula Sherriff
Don Valley	South Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Caroline Flint
Doncaster Central	South Yorkshire	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Rosie Winterton
Doncaster North	South Yorkshire	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Ed Miliband
Dudley North	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	Ian Austin
Dumfries and Galloway	Dumfries and Galloway	SNP	gain from	CON	Alister Jack
Durham North	Durham	LIB	gain from	LAB	Kevan Jones
Durham North West	Durham	LIB	gain from	LAB	Laura Pidcock
Durham, City of	Durham	LIB	gain from	LAB	Roberta Blackman-Woods
Ealing Central and Acton	Ealing	LIB	gain from	LAB	Rupa Huq
Ealing North	Ealing	CON	gain from	LAB	Steve Pound
Easington	Durham	LIB	gain from	LAB	Grahame Morris
East Lothian	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Martin Whitfield
Eastleigh	Hampshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Mims Davies
Ellesmere Port and Neston	Cheshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Justin Madders
Eltham	Greenwich	LIB	gain from	LAB	Clive Efford
Enfield North	Enfield	LIB	gain from	LAB	Joan Ryan
Enfield Southgate	Enfield	LIB	gain from	LAB	Bambos Charalambous
Erith and Thamesmead	Bexley	LIB	gain from	LAB	Teresa Pearce
Esher and Walton	Surrey	LIB	gain from	CON	Dominic Raab
Fife North East	Fife	LIB	gain from	SNP	Stephen Gethins
Finchley and Golders Green	Barnet	LIB	gain from	CON	Mike Freer
Gateshead	Newcastle area	CON	gain from	LAB	Ian Mearns
Gedling	Nottinghamshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Vernon Coaker
Glasgow North East	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Paul Sweeney
Gordon	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	Colin Clark
Great Grimsby	Humber area	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Melanie Onn
Guildford	Surrey	LIB	gain from	CON	Anne Milton
Halifax	West Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Holly Lynch
Hampstead and Kilburn	Camden	LIB	gain from	LAB	Tulip Siddiq
Harrow West	Harrow	LIB	gain from	LAB	Gareth Thomas
Hartlepool	Teesside	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Mike Hill
Hazel Grove	Eastern Manchester	LIB	gain from	CON	William Wragg
Hemsworth	West Yorkshire	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Jon Trickett
Heywood and Middleton	Eastern Manchester	LIB	gain from	LAB	Liz McInnes
High Peak	Derbyshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Ruth George
Hornsey and Wood Green	Haringey	LIB	gain from	LAB	Catherine West
Houghton and Sunderland South	Newcastle area	LIB	gain from	LAB	Bridget Phillipson
Hove	East Sussex	LIB	gain from	LAB	Peter Kyle
Hull East	Humber area	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Karl Turner
Hull West and Hessle	Humber area	LIB	gain from	LAB	Emma Hardy
Hyndburn	Lancashire	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Graham Jones
Ilford North	Redbridge	LIB	gain from	LAB	Wes Streeting
Ipswich	Suffolk	CON	gain from	LAB	Sandy Martin
Islington South and Finsbury	Islington	LIB	gain from	LAB	Emily Thornberry
Islwyn	Gwent	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Chris Evans
Keighley	West Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	John Grogan
Kensington	Kensington and Chelsea	LIB	gain from	LAB	Emma Dent Coad
Lancashire West	Lancashire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Rosie Cooper
Lancaster and Fleetwood	Lancashire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Cat Smith
Leeds North West	West Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Alex Sobel
Leigh	Western Manchester	LIB	gain from	LAB	Joanne Platt
Lewes	East Sussex	LIB	gain from	CON	Maria Caulfield
Lincoln	Lincolnshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Karen Lee
Makerfield	Western Manchester	LIB	gain from	LAB	Yvonne Fovargue
Manchester Withington	Central Manchester	LIB	gain from	LAB	Jeff Smith
Midlothian	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Danielle Rowley
Moray	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	Douglas Ross
Neath	West Glamorgan	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Christina Rees
Newcastle upon Tyne East	Newcastle area	CON	gain from	LAB	Nicholas Brown
Newcastle upon Tyne North	Newcastle area	LIB	gain from	LAB	Catherine McKinnell
Newcastle-under-Lyme	Staffordshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Paul Farrelly
Newport East	Gwent	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Jessica Morden
Newport West	Gwent	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Paul Flynn
Normanton, Pontefract and Castleford	West Yorkshire	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Yvette Cooper
Norwich South	Norfolk	LIB	gain from	LAB	Clive Lewis
Ochil and South Perthshire	Central	SNP	gain from	CON	Luke Graham
Ogmore	Mid Glamorgan	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Chris Elmore
Oldham East and Saddleworth	Eastern Manchester	LIB	gain from	LAB	Debbie Abrahams
Oxford East	Oxfordshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Anneliese Dodds
Penistone and Stocksbridge	South Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Angela Smith
Peterborough	Cambridgeshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Fiona Onasanya
Plymouth Sutton and Devonport	Devon	LIB	gain from	LAB	Luke Pollard
Portsmouth South	Hampshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Stephen Morgan
Reading East	Berkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Matt Rodda
Redcar	Teesside	LIB	gain from	LAB	Anna Turley
Renfrewshire East	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	CON	Paul Masterton
Richmond Park	Richmond Upon Thames	LIB	gain from	CON	Zac Goldsmith
Rochdale	Eastern Manchester	LIB	gain from	LAB	Tony Lloyd
Romsey and Southampton North	Hampshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Caroline Nokes
Rother Valley	South Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Kevin Barron
Rotherham	South Yorkshire	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Sarah Champion
Rutherglen and Hamilton West	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	LAB	Ged Killen
Scunthorpe	Humber area	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Nic Dakin
Sedgefield	Durham	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Phil Wilson
Sefton Central	Merseyside	LIB	gain from	LAB	Bill Esterson
Sheffield Hallam	South Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Jared O Mara
Sheffield Heeley	South Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Louise Haigh
Sheffield South East	South Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Clive Betts
South Shields	Newcastle area	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Emma Lewell-Buck
Southampton Test	Hampshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Alan Whitehead
Southport	Merseyside	LIB	gain from	CON	Damien Moore
St Albans	Hertfordshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Anne Main
St Helens North	Merseyside	LIB	gain from	LAB	Conor McGinn
St Ives	Cornwall	LIB	gain from	CON	Derek Thomas
Stalybridge and Hyde	Eastern Manchester	LIB	gain from	LAB	Jonathan Reynolds
Stirling	Central	SNP	gain from	CON	Stephen Kerr
Stockport	Eastern Manchester	LIB	gain from	LAB	Ann Coffey
Stockton North	Teesside	LIB	gain from	LAB	Alex Cunningham
Stockton South	Teesside	LIB	gain from	LAB	Paul Williams
Stoke-on-Trent North	Staffordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Ruth Smeeth
Sunderland Central	Newcastle area	LIB	gain from	LAB	Julie Elliott
Sutton and Cheam	Sutton	LIB	gain from	CON	Paul Scully
Taunton Deane	Somerset	LIB	gain from	CON	Rebecca Pow
Thornbury and Yate	Bristol area	LIB	gain from	CON	Luke Hall
Tooting	Wandsworth	LIB	gain from	LAB	Rosena Allin-Khan
Torfaen	Gwent	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Nick Thomas-Symonds
Totnes	Devon	LIB	gain from	CON	Sarah Wollaston
Tynemouth	Newcastle area	LIB	gain from	LAB	Alan Campbell
Vauxhall	Lambeth	LIB	gain from	LAB	Kate Hoey
Wakefield	West Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Mary Creagh
Walsall South	Black Country	LIB	gain from	LAB	Valerie Vaz
Wansbeck	Northumberland	LIB	gain from	LAB	Ian Lavery
Warrington North	Cheshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Helen Jones
Warrington South	Cheshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Faisal Rashid
Warwick and Leamington	Warwickshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Matt Western
Washington and Sunderland West	Newcastle area	LIB	gain from	LAB	Sharon Hodgson
Weaver Vale	Cheshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Mike Amesbury
Wells	Somerset	LIB	gain from	CON	James Heappey
Wentworth and Dearne	South Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	John Healey
West Bromwich East	Black Country	LIB	gain from	LAB	Tom Watson
West Bromwich West	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	Adrian Bailey
Wigan	Western Manchester	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Lisa Nandy
Wimbledon	Merton	LIB	gain from	CON	Stephen Hammond
Winchester	Hampshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Steve Brine
Wirral South	Merseyside	LIB	gain from	LAB	Alison McGovern
Wirral West	Merseyside	LIB	gain from	LAB	Margaret Greenwood
Wokingham	Berkshire	LIB	gain from	CON	John Redwood
Wolverhampton North East	Black Country	LIB	gain from	LAB	Emma Reynolds
Wolverhampton South East	Black Country	LIB	gain from	LAB	Pat McFadden
Wolverhampton South West	Black Country	LIB	gain from	LAB	Eleanor Smith
Workington	Cumbria	LIB	gain from	LAB	Sue Hayman
Worsley and Eccles South	Central Manchester	LIB	gain from	LAB	Barbara Keeley
Wrexham	Clwyd	LIB	gain from	LAB	Ian Lucas
Yeovil	Somerset	LIB	gain from	CON	Marcus Fysh
Ynys Mon	Gwynedd	Plaid	gain from	LAB	Albert Owen

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

User-defined Prediction

National Prediction: Conservative short 30 of majority

List of predicted seat changes