Election Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Conservative short 20 of majority

List of predicted seat changes

Party	2017 Votes	2017 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	43.5%	318	24.0%	11	23	-12	306
LAB	41.0%	262	20.0%	0	66	-66	196
LIB	7.6%	12	25.0%	24	0	+24	36
Brexit	0.0%	0	22.0%	41	0	+41	41
Green	1.7%	1	3.5%	0	0	+0	1
SNP	3.1%	35	3.5%	15	1	+14	49
PlaidC	0.5%	4	0.5%	0	1	-1	3
UKIP	1.9%	0	1.0%	0	0	+0	0
Other	0.7%	0	0.8%	0	0	+0	0
N.Ire		18		0	0	+0	18

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2017
Aberdeen South	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	Ross Thomson
Angus	Tayside	SNP	gain from	CON	Kirstene Hair
Ashfield	Nottinghamshire	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Gloria De Piero
Ayr Carrick and Cumnock	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	CON	Bill Grant
Banff and Buchan	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	David Duguid
Barnsley East	South Yorkshire	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Stephanie Peacock
Barrow and Furness	Cumbria	Brexit	gain from	LAB	John Woodcock
Bassetlaw	Nottinghamshire	Brexit	gain from	LAB	John Mann
Bermondsey and Old Southwark	Southwark	LIB	gain from	LAB	Neil Coyle
Birmingham Yardley	Birmingham	LIB	gain from	LAB	Jess Phillips
Bishop Auckland	Durham	CON	gain from	LAB	Helen Goodman
Blackpool South	Lancashire	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Gordon Marsden
Bolsover	Derbyshire	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Dennis Skinner
Bradford South	West Yorkshire	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Judith Cummins
Bridgend	Mid Glamorgan	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Madeleine Moon
Bristol North West	Bristol area	CON	gain from	LAB	Darren Jones
Burnley	Lancashire	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Julie Cooper
Bury South	Western Manchester	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Ivan Lewis
Cambridge	Cambridgeshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Daniel Zeichner
Canterbury	Kent	CON	gain from	LAB	Rosie Duffield
Ceredigion	Dyfed	LIB	gain from	Plaid	Ben Lake
Cheadle	Eastern Manchester	LIB	gain from	CON	Mary Robinson
Cheltenham	Gloucestershire	LIB	gain from	CON	Alex Chalk
Chesterfield	Derbyshire	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Toby Perkins
Clwyd South	Clwyd	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Susan Elan Jones
Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Hugh Gaffney
Cornwall North	Cornwall	LIB	gain from	CON	Scott Mann
Crewe and Nantwich	Cheshire	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Laura Smith
Dagenham and Rainham	Barking and Dagenham	CON	gain from	LAB	Jon Cruddas
Derby North	Derbyshire	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Chris Williamson
Devon North	Devon	LIB	gain from	CON	Peter Heaton-Jones
Don Valley	South Yorkshire	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Caroline Flint
Doncaster Central	South Yorkshire	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Rosie Winterton
Doncaster North	South Yorkshire	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Ed Miliband
Dudley North	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	Ian Austin
Dumfries and Galloway	Dumfries and Galloway	SNP	gain from	CON	Alister Jack
Durham North West	Durham	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Laura Pidcock
Ealing North	Ealing	CON	gain from	LAB	Steve Pound
East Lothian	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Martin Whitfield
Esher and Walton	Surrey	LIB	gain from	CON	Dominic Raab
Fife North East	Fife	LIB	gain from	SNP	Stephen Gethins
Gateshead	Newcastle area	CON	gain from	LAB	Ian Mearns
Gedling	Nottinghamshire	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Vernon Coaker
Glasgow North East	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Paul Sweeney
Gordon	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	Colin Clark
Great Grimsby	Humber area	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Melanie Onn
Hartlepool	Teesside	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Mike Hill
Hemsworth	West Yorkshire	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Jon Trickett
Heywood and Middleton	Eastern Manchester	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Liz McInnes
Hornsey and Wood Green	Haringey	LIB	gain from	LAB	Catherine West
Hull East	Humber area	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Karl Turner
Hull West and Hessle	Humber area	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Emma Hardy
Hyndburn	Lancashire	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Graham Jones
Ipswich	Suffolk	CON	gain from	LAB	Sandy Martin
Kensington	Kensington and Chelsea	LIB	gain from	LAB	Emma Dent Coad
Leeds North West	West Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Alex Sobel
Leigh	Western Manchester	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Joanne Platt
Lewes	East Sussex	LIB	gain from	CON	Maria Caulfield
Makerfield	Western Manchester	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Yvonne Fovargue
Midlothian	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Danielle Rowley
Moray	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	Douglas Ross
Newcastle-under-Lyme	Staffordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Paul Farrelly
Newport East	Gwent	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Jessica Morden
Newport West	Gwent	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Paul Flynn
Normanton, Pontefract and Castleford	West Yorkshire	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Yvette Cooper
Ochil and South Perthshire	Central	SNP	gain from	CON	Luke Graham
Penistone and Stocksbridge	South Yorkshire	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Angela Smith
Peterborough	Cambridgeshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Fiona Onasanya
Portsmouth South	Hampshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Stephen Morgan
Reading East	Berkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Matt Rodda
Redcar	Teesside	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Anna Turley
Renfrewshire East	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	CON	Paul Masterton
Richmond Park	Richmond Upon Thames	LIB	gain from	CON	Zac Goldsmith
Rother Valley	South Yorkshire	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Kevin Barron
Rutherglen and Hamilton West	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	LAB	Ged Killen
Sedgefield	Durham	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Phil Wilson
Sheffield Hallam	South Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Jared O Mara
St Albans	Hertfordshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Anne Main
St Ives	Cornwall	LIB	gain from	CON	Derek Thomas
Stirling	Central	SNP	gain from	CON	Stephen Kerr
Stoke-on-Trent North	Staffordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Ruth Smeeth
Thornbury and Yate	Bristol area	LIB	gain from	CON	Luke Hall
Torfaen	Gwent	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Nick Thomas-Symonds
Wakefield	West Yorkshire	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Mary Creagh
Warrington North	Cheshire	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Helen Jones
Wells	Somerset	LIB	gain from	CON	James Heappey
West Bromwich West	Black Country	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Adrian Bailey
Winchester	Hampshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Steve Brine
Wokingham	Berkshire	LIB	gain from	CON	John Redwood
Workington	Cumbria	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Sue Hayman
Wrexham	Clwyd	Brexit	gain from	LAB	Ian Lucas

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

User-defined Prediction

National Prediction: Conservative short 20 of majority

List of predicted seat changes