User-defined Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Conservative short 12 of majority

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 43.5%318 26.0%26-4314
LAB 41.0%262 29.0%09-9253
LIB 7.6%12 8.0%70+719
UKIP 1.9%0 14.0%00+00
Green 1.7%1 1.7%00+01
SNP 3.1%35 3.1%81+742
PlaidC 0.5%4 0.5%01-13
Other 0.7%0 17.7%00+00
N.Ire 18 00+018

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List of predicted seat changes

SeatCounty/AreaPredicted Change  MP as at 2017
AngusTaysideSNPgain fromCONKirstene Hair
CanterburyKentCONgain fromLABRosie Duffield
CeredigionDyfedLIBgain fromPlaidBen Lake
CheltenhamGloucestershireLIBgain fromCONAlex Chalk
Coatbridge, Chryston and BellshillGlasgow areaSNPgain fromLABHugh Gaffney
Dudley NorthBlack CountryCONgain fromLABIan Austin
East LothianEdinburgh areaSNPgain fromLABMartin Whitfield
Fife North EastFifeLIBgain fromSNPStephen Gethins
Glasgow North EastGlasgow areaSNPgain fromLABPaul Sweeney
GordonGrampianSNPgain fromCONColin Clark
Leeds North WestWest YorkshireLIBgain fromLABAlex Sobel
MidlothianEdinburgh areaSNPgain fromLABDanielle Rowley
Richmond ParkRichmond Upon ThamesLIBgain fromCONZac Goldsmith
Rutherglen and Hamilton WestAyrshire and LanarkSNPgain fromLABGed Killen
Sheffield HallamSouth YorkshireLIBgain fromLABJared O Mara
St IvesCornwallLIBgain fromCONDerek Thomas
StirlingCentralSNPgain fromCONStephen Kerr

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.


© 2024 Electoral Calculus Ltd
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