User-defined Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Liberal Democrat short 19 of majority

Party2015 Votes2015 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 37.8%331 30.0%168-67264
LAB 31.2%232 15.0%0228-2284
LIB 8.1%8 38.0%2990+299307
UKIP 12.9%1 5.0%00+01
Green 3.8%1 5.0%00+01
SNP 4.9%56 4.9%26-452
PlaidC 0.6%3 0.6%00+03
Other 0.8%0 1.6%00+00
N.Ire 18 00+018

Edit current prediction, make new prediction, or go back to home page.

List of predicted seat changes

SeatCounty/AreaPredicted Change  MP as at 2015
AberavonWest GlamorganLIBgain fromLABStephen Kinnock
AberconwyClwydLIBgain fromCONGuto Bebb
Alyn and DeesideClwydLIBgain fromLABMark Tami
Argyll and ButeArgyll and ButeLIBgain fromSNPBrendan O'Hara
AshfieldNottinghamshireLIBgain fromLABGloria de Piero
Ashton under LyneEastern ManchesterLIBgain fromLABAngela Rayner
BarkingBarking and DagenhamLIBgain fromLABMargaret Hodge
Barnsley CentralSouth YorkshireLIBgain fromLABDan Jarvis
Barnsley EastSouth YorkshireLIBgain fromLABMichael Dugher
Barrow and FurnessCumbriaLIBgain fromLABJohn Woodcock
BassetlawNottinghamshireLIBgain fromLABJohn Mann
BathBristol areaLIBgain fromCONBen Howlett
Batley and SpenWest YorkshireLIBgain fromLABJo Cox
BedfordBedfordshireLIBgain fromCONRichard Fuller
Bermondsey and Old SouthwarkSouthwarkLIBgain fromLABNeil Coyle
Berwick-upon-TweedNorthumberlandLIBgain fromCONAnne-Marie Trevelyan
Bethnal Green and BowTower HamletsLIBgain fromLABRushanara Ali
BirkenheadMerseysideLIBgain fromLABFrank Field
Birmingham EdgbastonBirminghamLIBgain fromLABGisela Stuart
Birmingham ErdingtonBirminghamLIBgain fromLABJack Dromey
Birmingham Hall GreenBirminghamLIBgain fromLABRoger Godsiff
Birmingham Hodge HillBirminghamLIBgain fromLABLiam Byrne
Birmingham LadywoodBirminghamLIBgain fromLABShabana Mahmood
Birmingham NorthfieldBirminghamLIBgain fromLABRichard Burden
Birmingham Perry BarrBirminghamLIBgain fromLABKhalid Mahmood
Birmingham Selly OakBirminghamLIBgain fromLABStephen McCabe
Birmingham YardleyBirminghamLIBgain fromLABJess Phillips
Bishop AucklandDurhamLIBgain fromLABHelen Goodman
BlackburnLancashireLIBgain fromLABKate Hollern
Blackley and BroughtonCentral ManchesterLIBgain fromLABGraham Stringer
Blackpool SouthLancashireLIBgain fromLABGordon Marsden
BlaydonNewcastle areaLIBgain fromLABDavid Anderson
Blyth ValleyNorthumberlandLIBgain fromLABRonnie Campbell
BolsoverDerbyshireLIBgain fromLABDennis Skinner
Bolton North EastWestern ManchesterLIBgain fromLABDavid Crausby
Bolton South EastWestern ManchesterLIBgain fromLABYasmin Qureshi
Bolton WestWestern ManchesterLIBgain fromCONChris Green
BootleMerseysideLIBgain fromLABPeter Dowd
BosworthLeicestershireLIBgain fromCONDavid Tredinnick
Bradford EastWest YorkshireLIBgain fromLABImran Hussain
Bradford SouthWest YorkshireLIBgain fromLABJudith Cummins
Bradford WestWest YorkshireLIBgain fromLABNaseem Shah
Brecon and RadnorshirePowysLIBgain fromCONChristopher Davies
Brent CentralBrentLIBgain fromLABDawn Butler
Brent NorthBrentLIBgain fromLABBarry Gardiner
Brentford and IsleworthHounslowLIBgain fromLABRuth Cadbury
BridgendMid GlamorganLIBgain fromLABMadeleine Moon
Bridgwater and West SomersetSomersetLIBgain fromCONIan Liddell-Grainger
Brighton KemptownEast SussexLIBgain fromCONSimon Kirby
Bristol EastBristol areaLIBgain fromLABKerry McCarthy
Bristol SouthBristol areaLIBgain fromLABKarin Smyth
Bristol WestBristol areaLIBgain fromLABThangam Debbonaire
BurnleyLancashireLIBgain fromLABJulie Cooper
Bury SouthWestern ManchesterLIBgain fromLABIvan Lewis
CaerphillyGwentLIBgain fromLABWayne David
Caithness Sutherland and Easter RossHighlandLIBgain fromSNPPaul Monaghan
Calder ValleyWest YorkshireLIBgain fromCONCraig Whittaker
Camberwell and PeckhamSouthwarkLIBgain fromLABHarriet Harman
Camborne and RedruthCornwallLIBgain fromCONGeorge Eustice
CambridgeCambridgeshireLIBgain fromLABDaniel Zeichner
Cambridgeshire South EastCambridgeshireLIBgain fromCONLucy Frazer
CanterburyKentLIBgain fromCONJulian Brazier
Cardiff CentralSouth GlamorganLIBgain fromLABJo Stevens
Cardiff South and PenarthSouth GlamorganLIBgain fromLABStephen Doughty
Cardiff WestSouth GlamorganLIBgain fromLABKevin Brennan
CheadleEastern ManchesterLIBgain fromCONMary Robinson
CheltenhamGloucestershireLIBgain fromCONAlex Chalk
Chester, City ofCheshireLIBgain fromLABChris Matheson
ChesterfieldDerbyshireLIBgain fromLABToby Perkins
ChippenhamWiltshireLIBgain fromCONMichelle Donelan
ChorleyLancashireLIBgain fromLABLindsay Hoyle
Clwyd SouthClwydLIBgain fromLABSusan Elan Jones
ColchesterEssexLIBgain fromCONWill Quince
Colne ValleyWest YorkshireLIBgain fromCONJason McCartney
CopelandCumbriaLIBgain fromLABJamie Reed
CorbyNorthamptonshireLIBgain fromCONTom Pursglove
Cornwall NorthCornwallLIBgain fromCONScott Mann
Coventry North EastCoventry and SolihullLIBgain fromLABColleen Fletcher
Coventry North WestCoventry and SolihullLIBgain fromLABGeoffrey Robinson
Coventry SouthCoventry and SolihullLIBgain fromLABJim Cunningham
Croydon CentralCroydonLIBgain fromCONGavin Barwell
Croydon NorthCroydonLIBgain fromLABSteve Reed
Cynon ValleyMid GlamorganLIBgain fromLABAnn Clwyd
Dagenham and RainhamBarking and DagenhamLIBgain fromLABJon Cruddas
DarlingtonDurhamLIBgain fromLABJenny Chapman
DelynClwydLIBgain fromLABDavid Hanson
Denton and ReddishEastern ManchesterLIBgain fromLABAndrew Gwynne
Derby NorthDerbyshireLIBgain fromCONAmanda Solloway
Derby SouthDerbyshireLIBgain fromLABMargaret Beckett
Derbyshire North EastDerbyshireLIBgain fromLABNatascha Engel
Devon NorthDevonLIBgain fromCONPeter Heaton-Jones
DewsburyWest YorkshireLIBgain fromLABPaula Sherriff
Don ValleySouth YorkshireLIBgain fromLABCaroline Flint
Doncaster CentralSouth YorkshireLIBgain fromLABRosie Winterton
Doncaster NorthSouth YorkshireLIBgain fromLABEd Miliband
Dorset Mid and Poole NorthDorsetLIBgain fromCONMichael Tomlinson
Dorset WestDorsetLIBgain fromCONOliver Letwin
Dudley NorthBlack CountryLIBgain fromLABIan Austin
Dulwich and West NorwoodLambethLIBgain fromLABHelen Hayes
Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and TweeddaleDumfries and GallowaySNPgain fromCONDavid Mundell
Dunbartonshire EastGlasgow areaLIBgain fromSNPJohn Nicolson
Durham NorthDurhamLIBgain fromLABKevan Jones
Durham North WestDurhamLIBgain fromLABPat Glass
Durham, City ofDurhamLIBgain fromLABRoberta Blackman-Woods
Ealing Central and ActonEalingLIBgain fromLABRupa Huq
Ealing NorthEalingLIBgain fromLABStephen Pound
Ealing SouthallEalingLIBgain fromLABVirendra Sharma
EasingtonDurhamLIBgain fromLABGrahame Morris
East HamNewhamLIBgain fromLABStephen Timms
EastbourneEast SussexLIBgain fromCONCaroline Ansell
EastleighHampshireLIBgain fromCONMims Davies
Edinburgh SouthEdinburgh areaSNPgain fromLABIan Murray
Edinburgh WestEdinburgh areaLIBgain fromSNPMichelle Thomson
EdmontonEnfieldLIBgain fromLABKate Osamor
Ellesmere Port and NestonCheshireLIBgain fromLABJustin Madders
ElthamGreenwichLIBgain fromLABClive Efford
Enfield NorthEnfieldLIBgain fromLABJoan Ryan
Erith and ThamesmeadBexleyLIBgain fromLABTeresa Pearce
Feltham and HestonHounslowLIBgain fromLABSeema Malhotra
Fife North EastFifeLIBgain fromSNPStephen Gethins
Garston and HalewoodMerseysideLIBgain fromLABMaria Eagle
GatesheadNewcastle areaLIBgain fromLABIan Mearns
GedlingNottinghamshireLIBgain fromLABVernon Coaker
GordonGrampianLIBgain fromSNPAlex Salmond
GowerWest GlamorganLIBgain fromCONByron Davies
Great GrimsbyHumber areaLIBgain fromLABMelanie Onn
Greenwich and WoolwichGreenwichLIBgain fromLABMatthew Pennycook
Hackney North and Stoke NewingtonHackneyLIBgain fromLABDiane Abbott
Hackney South and ShoreditchHackneyLIBgain fromLABMeg Hillier
HalifaxWest YorkshireLIBgain fromLABHolly Lynch
HaltonCheshireLIBgain fromLABDerek Twigg
HammersmithHammersmith and FulhamLIBgain fromLABAndy Slaughter
Hampstead and KilburnCamdenLIBgain fromLABTulip Siddiq
Harrogate and KnaresboroughNorth YorkshireLIBgain fromCONAndrew Jones
Harrow WestHarrowLIBgain fromLABGareth Thomas
HartlepoolTeessideLIBgain fromLABIain Wright
Hastings and RyeEast SussexLIBgain fromCONAmber Rudd
Hayes and HarlingtonHillingdonLIBgain fromLABJohn McDonnell
Hazel GroveEastern ManchesterLIBgain fromCONWilliam Wragg
HemsworthWest YorkshireLIBgain fromLABJon Trickett
Heywood and MiddletonEastern ManchesterLIBgain fromLABLiz McInnes
Holborn and St PancrasCamdenLIBgain fromLABKeir Starmer
Hornsey and Wood GreenHaringeyLIBgain fromLABCatherine West
Houghton and Sunderland SouthNewcastle areaLIBgain fromLABBridget Phillipson
HoveEast SussexLIBgain fromLABPeter Kyle
HuddersfieldWest YorkshireLIBgain fromLABBarry Sheerman
Hull EastHumber areaLIBgain fromLABKarl Turner
Hull NorthHumber areaLIBgain fromLABDiana Johnson
Hull West and HessleHumber areaLIBgain fromLABAlan Johnson
HyndburnLancashireLIBgain fromLABGraham Jones
Ilford NorthRedbridgeLIBgain fromLABWes Streeting
Ilford SouthRedbridgeLIBgain fromLABMike Gapes
IpswichSuffolkLIBgain fromCONBen Gummer
Isle of WightHampshireLIBgain fromCONAndrew Turner
Islington NorthIslingtonLIBgain fromLABJeremy Corbyn
Islington South and FinsburyIslingtonLIBgain fromLABEmily Thornberry
IslwynGwentLIBgain fromLABChristopher Evans
JarrowNewcastle areaLIBgain fromLABStephen Hepburn
Kingston and SurbitonKingston Upon ThamesLIBgain fromCONJames Berry
KnowsleyMerseysideLIBgain fromLABGeorge Howarth
Lancashire WestLancashireLIBgain fromLABRosie Cooper
Lancaster and FleetwoodLancashireLIBgain fromLABCatherine Smith
Leeds CentralWest YorkshireLIBgain fromLABHilary Benn
Leeds EastWest YorkshireLIBgain fromLABRichard Burgon
Leeds North EastWest YorkshireLIBgain fromLABFabian Hamilton
Leeds WestWest YorkshireLIBgain fromLABRachel Reeves
Leicester EastLeicestershireLIBgain fromLABKeith Vaz
Leicester SouthLeicestershireLIBgain fromLABJonathan Ashworth
Leicester WestLeicestershireLIBgain fromLABElizabeth Kendall
LeighWestern ManchesterLIBgain fromLABAndrew Burnham
LewesEast SussexLIBgain fromCONMaria Caulfield
Lewisham DeptfordLewishamLIBgain fromLABVicky Foxcroft
Lewisham EastLewishamLIBgain fromLABHeidi Alexander
Lewisham West and PengeLewishamLIBgain fromLABJim Dowd
Leyton and WansteadWaltham ForestLIBgain fromLABJohn Cryer
LincolnLincolnshireLIBgain fromCONKarl McCartney
Liverpool RiversideMerseysideLIBgain fromLABLouise Ellman
Liverpool WavertreeMerseysideLIBgain fromLABLuciana Berger
LlanelliDyfedLIBgain fromLABNia Griffith
Luton NorthBedfordshireLIBgain fromLABKelvin Hopkins
Luton SouthBedfordshireLIBgain fromLABGavin Shuker
Maidstone and The WealdKentLIBgain fromCONHelen Grant
MakerfieldWestern ManchesterLIBgain fromLABYvonne Fovargue
Manchester CentralCentral ManchesterLIBgain fromLABLucy Powell
Manchester GortonCentral ManchesterLIBgain fromLABSir Gerald Kaufman
Manchester WithingtonCentral ManchesterLIBgain fromLABJeff Smith
MansfieldNottinghamshireLIBgain fromLABAlan Meale
Merthyr Tydfil and RhymneyMid GlamorganLIBgain fromLABGerald Jones
MiddlesbroughTeessideLIBgain fromLABAndy McDonald
Middlesbrough South and Cleveland EastTeessideLIBgain fromLABTom Blenkinsop
Mitcham and MordenMertonLIBgain fromLABSiobhain McDonagh
MontgomeryshirePowysLIBgain fromCONGlyn Davies
Morley and OutwoodWest YorkshireLIBgain fromCONAndrea Jenkyns
NeathWest GlamorganLIBgain fromLABChristina Rees
Newcastle upon Tyne CentralNewcastle areaLIBgain fromLABChi Onwurah
Newcastle upon Tyne EastNewcastle areaLIBgain fromLABNick Brown
Newcastle upon Tyne NorthNewcastle areaLIBgain fromLABCatherine McKinnell
Newcastle-under-LymeStaffordshireLIBgain fromLABPaul Farrelly
Newport EastGwentLIBgain fromLABJessica Morden
Newport WestGwentLIBgain fromLABPaul Flynn
Newton AbbotDevonLIBgain fromCONAnne-Marie Morris
Normanton, Pontefract and CastlefordWest YorkshireLIBgain fromLABYvette Cooper
Northampton NorthNorthamptonshireLIBgain fromCONMichael Ellis
Northampton SouthNorthamptonshireLIBgain fromCONDavid Mackintosh
Norwich SouthNorfolkLIBgain fromLABClive Lewis
Nottingham EastNottinghamshireLIBgain fromLABChristopher Leslie
Nottingham NorthNottinghamshireLIBgain fromLABGraham Allen
Nottingham SouthNottinghamshireLIBgain fromLABLilian Greenwood
OgmoreMid GlamorganLIBgain fromLABHuw Irranca-Davies
Oldham East and SaddleworthEastern ManchesterLIBgain fromLABDebbie Abrahams
Oldham West and RoytonEastern ManchesterLIBgain fromLABMichael Meacher
Oxford EastOxfordshireLIBgain fromLABAndrew Smith
Oxford West and AbingdonOxfordshireLIBgain fromCONNicola Blackwood
Penistone and StocksbridgeSouth YorkshireLIBgain fromLABAngela Smith
PeterboroughCambridgeshireLIBgain fromCONStewart Jackson
Plymouth Moor ViewDevonLIBgain fromCONJohnny Mercer
Plymouth Sutton and DevonportDevonLIBgain fromCONOliver Colvile
PontypriddMid GlamorganLIBgain fromLABOwen Smith
Poplar and LimehouseTower HamletsLIBgain fromLABJim Fitzpatrick
Portsmouth SouthHampshireLIBgain fromCONFlick Drummond
Preseli PembrokeshireDyfedLIBgain fromCONStephen Crabb
PrestonLancashireLIBgain fromLABMark Hendrick
RedcarTeessideLIBgain fromLABAnna Turley
RhonddaMid GlamorganLIBgain fromLABChris Bryant
RochdaleEastern ManchesterLIBgain fromLABSimon Danczuk
Rother ValleySouth YorkshireLIBgain fromLABKevin Barron
RotherhamSouth YorkshireLIBgain fromLABSarah Champion
Salford and EcclesCentral ManchesterLIBgain fromLABRebecca Long-Bailey
ScunthorpeHumber areaLIBgain fromLABNic Dakin
SedgefieldDurhamLIBgain fromLABPhil Wilson
Sefton CentralMerseysideLIBgain fromLABBill Esterson
Sheffield Brightside and HillsboroughSouth YorkshireLIBgain fromLABHarry Harpham
Sheffield CentralSouth YorkshireLIBgain fromLABPaul Blomfield
Sheffield HeeleySouth YorkshireLIBgain fromLABLouise Haigh
Sheffield South EastSouth YorkshireLIBgain fromLABClive Betts
SloughBerkshireLIBgain fromLABFiona Mactaggart
SolihullCoventry and SolihullLIBgain fromCONJulian Knight
South ShieldsNewcastle areaLIBgain fromLABEmma Lewell-Buck
Southampton ItchenHampshireLIBgain fromCONRoyston Smith
Southampton TestHampshireLIBgain fromLABAlan Whitehead
St AlbansHertfordshireLIBgain fromCONAnne Main
St Austell and NewquayCornwallLIBgain fromCONSteve Double
St Helens NorthMerseysideLIBgain fromLABConor McGinn
St Helens South and WhistonMerseysideLIBgain fromLABMarie Rimmer
St IvesCornwallLIBgain fromCONDerek Thomas
Stalybridge and HydeEastern ManchesterLIBgain fromLABJonathan Reynolds
StockportEastern ManchesterLIBgain fromLABAnn Coffey
Stockton NorthTeessideLIBgain fromLABAlex Cunningham
Stoke-on-Trent CentralStaffordshireLIBgain fromLABTristram Hunt
Stoke-on-Trent NorthStaffordshireLIBgain fromLABRuth Smeeth
Stoke-on-Trent SouthStaffordshireLIBgain fromLABRobert Flello
StreathamLambethLIBgain fromLABChuka Umunna
Stretford and UrmstonCentral ManchesterLIBgain fromLABKate Green
Sunderland CentralNewcastle areaLIBgain fromLABJulie Elliott
Sutton and CheamSuttonLIBgain fromCONPaul Scully
Swansea EastWest GlamorganLIBgain fromLABCarolyn Harris
Swansea WestWest GlamorganLIBgain fromLABGeraint Davies
Taunton DeaneSomersetLIBgain fromCONRebecca Pow
Thanet SouthKentLIBgain fromCONCraig Mackinlay
Thornbury and YateBristol areaLIBgain fromCONLuke Hall
ThurrockEssexLIBgain fromCONJackie Doyle-Price
TootingWandsworthLIBgain fromLABSadiq Khan
TorbayDevonLIBgain fromCONKevin Foster
TorfaenGwentLIBgain fromLABNick Thomas-Symonds
TottenhamHaringeyLIBgain fromLABDavid Lammy
Truro and FalmouthCornwallLIBgain fromCONSarah Newton
TwickenhamRichmond Upon ThamesLIBgain fromCONTania Mathias
TynemouthNewcastle areaLIBgain fromLABAlan Campbell
Tyneside NorthNewcastle areaLIBgain fromLABMary Glindon
Vale of ClwydClwydLIBgain fromCONJames Davies
VauxhallLambethLIBgain fromLABKate Hoey
WakefieldWest YorkshireLIBgain fromLABMary Creagh
WallaseyMerseysideLIBgain fromLABAngela Eagle
Walsall NorthBlack CountryLIBgain fromLABDavid Winnick
Walsall SouthBlack CountryLIBgain fromLABValerie Vaz
WalthamstowWaltham ForestLIBgain fromLABStella Creasy
WansbeckNorthumberlandLIBgain fromLABIan Lavery
WarleyBlack CountryLIBgain fromLABJohn Spellar
Warrington NorthCheshireLIBgain fromLABHelen Jones
Washington and Sunderland WestNewcastle areaLIBgain fromLABSharon Hodgson
WatfordHertfordshireLIBgain fromCONRichard Harrington
WaveneySuffolkLIBgain fromCONPeter Aldous
WellsSomersetLIBgain fromCONJames Heappey
Wentworth and DearneSouth YorkshireLIBgain fromLABJohn Healey
West Bromwich EastBlack CountryLIBgain fromLABTom Watson
West Bromwich WestBlack CountryLIBgain fromLABAdrian Bailey
West HamNewhamLIBgain fromLABLyn Brown
Westminster NorthCity of WestminsterLIBgain fromLABKaren Buck
WiganWestern ManchesterLIBgain fromLABLisa Nandy
WinchesterHampshireLIBgain fromCONSteve Brine
Wirral SouthMerseysideLIBgain fromLABAlison McGovern
Wirral WestMerseysideCONgain fromLABMargaret Greenwood
Wolverhampton North EastBlack CountryLIBgain fromLABEmma Reynolds
Wolverhampton South EastBlack CountryLIBgain fromLABPat McFadden
Wolverhampton South WestBlack CountryLIBgain fromLABRob Marris
WorkingtonCumbriaLIBgain fromLABSue Hayman
Worsley and Eccles SouthCentral ManchesterLIBgain fromLABBarbara Keeley
WrexhamClwydLIBgain fromLABIan Lucas
Wythenshawe and Sale EastCentral ManchesterLIBgain fromLABMike Kane
YeovilSomersetLIBgain fromCONMarcus Fysh
Ynys MonGwyneddLIBgain fromLABAlbert Owen
York CentralNorth YorkshireLIBgain fromLABRachael Maskell

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2015. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.


© 2024 Electoral Calculus Ltd
Powered by TigerLib (29-Jul-2024 10:12, Py3L, sc1)

Pause to inspect. Press Enter to continue...