Election Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Conservative short 5 of majority

List of predicted seat changes

Party	2017 Votes	2017 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	43.5%	318	31.0%	19	16	+3	321
LAB	41.0%	262	26.0%	0	29	-29	233
LIB	7.6%	12	20.0%	15	0	+15	27
Brexit	0.0%	0	11.0%	0	0	+0	0
Green	1.7%	1	7.0%	0	0	+0	1
SNP	3.1%	35	3.4%	13	1	+12	47
PlaidC	0.5%	4	0.5%	0	1	-1	3
UKIP	1.9%	0	1.0%	0	0	+0	0
Other	0.7%	0	0.3%	0	0	+0	0
N.Ire		18		0	0	+0	18

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2017
Angus	Tayside	SNP	gain from	CON	Kirstene Hair
Ashfield	Nottinghamshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Gloria De Piero
Ayr Carrick and Cumnock	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	CON	Bill Grant
Banff and Buchan	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	David Duguid
Barrow and Furness	Cumbria	CON	gain from	LAB	John Woodcock
Bishop Auckland	Durham	CON	gain from	LAB	Helen Goodman
Blackpool South	Lancashire	CON	gain from	LAB	Gordon Marsden
Bristol North West	Bristol area	CON	gain from	LAB	Darren Jones
Bury South	Western Manchester	CON	gain from	LAB	Ivan Lewis
Cambridge	Cambridgeshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Daniel Zeichner
Ceredigion	Dyfed	LIB	gain from	Plaid	Ben Lake
Cheltenham	Gloucestershire	LIB	gain from	CON	Alex Chalk
Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Hugh Gaffney
Crewe and Nantwich	Cheshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Laura Smith
Dagenham and Rainham	Barking and Dagenham	CON	gain from	LAB	Jon Cruddas
Don Valley	South Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Caroline Flint
Dudley North	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	Ian Austin
East Lothian	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Martin Whitfield
Esher and Walton	Surrey	LIB	gain from	CON	Dominic Raab
Fife North East	Fife	LIB	gain from	SNP	Stephen Gethins
Glasgow North East	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Paul Sweeney
Gordon	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	Colin Clark
Great Grimsby	Humber area	CON	gain from	LAB	Melanie Onn
Ipswich	Suffolk	CON	gain from	LAB	Sandy Martin
Kensington	Kensington and Chelsea	LIB	gain from	LAB	Emma Dent Coad
Leeds North West	West Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Alex Sobel
Lewes	East Sussex	LIB	gain from	CON	Maria Caulfield
Midlothian	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Danielle Rowley
Moray	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	Douglas Ross
Newcastle-under-Lyme	Staffordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Paul Farrelly
Ochil and South Perthshire	Central	SNP	gain from	CON	Luke Graham
Penistone and Stocksbridge	South Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Angela Smith
Peterborough	Cambridgeshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Fiona Onasanya
Portsmouth South	Hampshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Stephen Morgan
Renfrewshire East	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	CON	Paul Masterton
Richmond Park	Richmond Upon Thames	LIB	gain from	CON	Zac Goldsmith
Rother Valley	South Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Kevin Barron
Rutherglen and Hamilton West	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	LAB	Ged Killen
Sheffield Hallam	South Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Jared O Mara
St Albans	Hertfordshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Anne Main
Stirling	Central	SNP	gain from	CON	Stephen Kerr
Stoke-on-Trent North	Staffordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Ruth Smeeth
Thornbury and Yate	Bristol area	LIB	gain from	CON	Luke Hall
Wells	Somerset	LIB	gain from	CON	James Heappey
West Bromwich West	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	Adrian Bailey
Winchester	Hampshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Steve Brine
Wrexham	Clwyd	CON	gain from	LAB	Ian Lucas

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

User-defined Prediction

National Prediction: Conservative short 5 of majority

List of predicted seat changes