Election Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Conservative short 18 of majority

List of predicted seat changes

Party	2015 Votes	2015 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	37.8%	331	32.0%	13	36	-23	308
LAB	31.2%	232	12.0%	0	232	-232	0
LIB	8.1%	8	36.0%	257	0	+257	265
UKIP	12.9%	1	8.0%	0	0	+0	1
Green	3.8%	1	6.0%	0	0	+0	1
SNP	4.9%	56	5.0%	2	4	-2	54
PlaidC	0.6%	3	0.6%	0	0	+0	3
Other	0.8%	0	0.6%	0	0	+0	0
N.Ire		18		0	0	+0	18

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2015
Aberavon	West Glamorgan	LIB	gain from	LAB	Stephen Kinnock
Alyn and Deeside	Clwyd	LIB	gain from	LAB	Mark Tami
Ashfield	Nottinghamshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Gloria de Piero
Ashton under Lyne	Eastern Manchester	LIB	gain from	LAB	Angela Rayner
Barking	Barking and Dagenham	LIB	gain from	LAB	Margaret Hodge
Barnsley Central	South Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Dan Jarvis
Barnsley East	South Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Michael Dugher
Barrow and Furness	Cumbria	CON	gain from	LAB	John Woodcock
Bassetlaw	Nottinghamshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	John Mann
Bath	Bristol area	LIB	gain from	CON	Ben Howlett
Batley and Spen	West Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Jo Cox
Bermondsey and Old Southwark	Southwark	LIB	gain from	LAB	Neil Coyle
Berwick-upon-Tweed	Northumberland	LIB	gain from	CON	Anne-Marie Trevelyan
Bethnal Green and Bow	Tower Hamlets	LIB	gain from	LAB	Rushanara Ali
Birkenhead	Merseyside	LIB	gain from	LAB	Frank Field
Birmingham Edgbaston	Birmingham	LIB	gain from	LAB	Gisela Stuart
Birmingham Erdington	Birmingham	LIB	gain from	LAB	Jack Dromey
Birmingham Hall Green	Birmingham	LIB	gain from	LAB	Roger Godsiff
Birmingham Hodge Hill	Birmingham	LIB	gain from	LAB	Liam Byrne
Birmingham Ladywood	Birmingham	LIB	gain from	LAB	Shabana Mahmood
Birmingham Northfield	Birmingham	CON	gain from	LAB	Richard Burden
Birmingham Perry Barr	Birmingham	LIB	gain from	LAB	Khalid Mahmood
Birmingham Selly Oak	Birmingham	LIB	gain from	LAB	Stephen McCabe
Birmingham Yardley	Birmingham	LIB	gain from	LAB	Jess Phillips
Bishop Auckland	Durham	CON	gain from	LAB	Helen Goodman
Blackburn	Lancashire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Kate Hollern
Blackley and Broughton	Central Manchester	LIB	gain from	LAB	Graham Stringer
Blackpool South	Lancashire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Gordon Marsden
Blaenau Gwent	Gwent	LIB	gain from	LAB	Nick Smith
Blaydon	Newcastle area	LIB	gain from	LAB	David Anderson
Blyth Valley	Northumberland	LIB	gain from	LAB	Ronnie Campbell
Bolsover	Derbyshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Dennis Skinner
Bolton North East	Western Manchester	LIB	gain from	LAB	David Crausby
Bolton South East	Western Manchester	LIB	gain from	LAB	Yasmin Qureshi
Bootle	Merseyside	LIB	gain from	LAB	Peter Dowd
Bradford East	West Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Imran Hussain
Bradford South	West Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Judith Cummins
Bradford West	West Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Naseem Shah
Brecon and Radnorshire	Powys	LIB	gain from	CON	Christopher Davies
Brent Central	Brent	LIB	gain from	LAB	Dawn Butler
Brent North	Brent	LIB	gain from	LAB	Barry Gardiner
Brentford and Isleworth	Hounslow	LIB	gain from	LAB	Ruth Cadbury
Bridgend	Mid Glamorgan	LIB	gain from	LAB	Madeleine Moon
Brighton Kemptown	East Sussex	LIB	gain from	CON	Simon Kirby
Bristol East	Bristol area	LIB	gain from	LAB	Kerry McCarthy
Bristol South	Bristol area	LIB	gain from	LAB	Karin Smyth
Bristol West	Bristol area	LIB	gain from	LAB	Thangam Debbonaire
Burnley	Lancashire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Julie Cooper
Bury South	Western Manchester	LIB	gain from	LAB	Ivan Lewis
Caerphilly	Gwent	LIB	gain from	LAB	Wayne David
Caithness Sutherland and Easter Ross	Highland	LIB	gain from	SNP	Paul Monaghan
Camberwell and Peckham	Southwark	LIB	gain from	LAB	Harriet Harman
Cambridge	Cambridgeshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Daniel Zeichner
Cardiff Central	South Glamorgan	LIB	gain from	LAB	Jo Stevens
Cardiff South and Penarth	South Glamorgan	LIB	gain from	LAB	Stephen Doughty
Cardiff West	South Glamorgan	LIB	gain from	LAB	Kevin Brennan
Cheadle	Eastern Manchester	LIB	gain from	CON	Mary Robinson
Cheltenham	Gloucestershire	LIB	gain from	CON	Alex Chalk
Chester, City of	Cheshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Chris Matheson
Chesterfield	Derbyshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Toby Perkins
Chippenham	Wiltshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Michelle Donelan
Chorley	Lancashire	CON	gain from	LAB	Lindsay Hoyle
Clwyd South	Clwyd	LIB	gain from	LAB	Susan Elan Jones
Colchester	Essex	LIB	gain from	CON	Will Quince
Copeland	Cumbria	LIB	gain from	LAB	Jamie Reed
Cornwall North	Cornwall	LIB	gain from	CON	Scott Mann
Coventry North East	Coventry and Solihull	LIB	gain from	LAB	Colleen Fletcher
Coventry North West	Coventry and Solihull	LIB	gain from	LAB	Geoffrey Robinson
Coventry South	Coventry and Solihull	LIB	gain from	LAB	Jim Cunningham
Croydon Central	Croydon	LIB	gain from	CON	Gavin Barwell
Croydon North	Croydon	LIB	gain from	LAB	Steve Reed
Cynon Valley	Mid Glamorgan	LIB	gain from	LAB	Ann Clwyd
Dagenham and Rainham	Barking and Dagenham	LIB	gain from	LAB	Jon Cruddas
Darlington	Durham	LIB	gain from	LAB	Jenny Chapman
Delyn	Clwyd	LIB	gain from	LAB	David Hanson
Denton and Reddish	Eastern Manchester	LIB	gain from	LAB	Andrew Gwynne
Derby North	Derbyshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Amanda Solloway
Derby South	Derbyshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Margaret Beckett
Derbyshire North East	Derbyshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Natascha Engel
Devon North	Devon	LIB	gain from	CON	Peter Heaton-Jones
Dewsbury	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Paula Sherriff
Don Valley	South Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Caroline Flint
Doncaster Central	South Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Rosie Winterton
Doncaster North	South Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Ed Miliband
Dudley North	Black Country	LIB	gain from	LAB	Ian Austin
Dulwich and West Norwood	Lambeth	LIB	gain from	LAB	Helen Hayes
Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale	Dumfries and Galloway	SNP	gain from	CON	David Mundell
Dunbartonshire East	Glasgow area	LIB	gain from	SNP	John Nicolson
Durham North	Durham	LIB	gain from	LAB	Kevan Jones
Durham North West	Durham	LIB	gain from	LAB	Pat Glass
Durham, City of	Durham	LIB	gain from	LAB	Roberta Blackman-Woods
Ealing Central and Acton	Ealing	LIB	gain from	LAB	Rupa Huq
Ealing North	Ealing	LIB	gain from	LAB	Stephen Pound
Ealing Southall	Ealing	LIB	gain from	LAB	Virendra Sharma
Easington	Durham	LIB	gain from	LAB	Grahame Morris
East Ham	Newham	LIB	gain from	LAB	Stephen Timms
Eastbourne	East Sussex	LIB	gain from	CON	Caroline Ansell
Eastleigh	Hampshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Mims Davies
Edinburgh South	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Ian Murray
Edinburgh West	Edinburgh area	LIB	gain from	SNP	Michelle Thomson
Edmonton	Enfield	LIB	gain from	LAB	Kate Osamor
Ellesmere Port and Neston	Cheshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Justin Madders
Eltham	Greenwich	LIB	gain from	LAB	Clive Efford
Enfield North	Enfield	LIB	gain from	LAB	Joan Ryan
Erith and Thamesmead	Bexley	LIB	gain from	LAB	Teresa Pearce
Exeter	Devon	LIB	gain from	LAB	Ben Bradshaw
Feltham and Heston	Hounslow	LIB	gain from	LAB	Seema Malhotra
Fife North East	Fife	LIB	gain from	SNP	Stephen Gethins
Garston and Halewood	Merseyside	LIB	gain from	LAB	Maria Eagle
Gateshead	Newcastle area	LIB	gain from	LAB	Ian Mearns
Gedling	Nottinghamshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Vernon Coaker
Gower	West Glamorgan	LIB	gain from	CON	Byron Davies
Great Grimsby	Humber area	LIB	gain from	LAB	Melanie Onn
Greenwich and Woolwich	Greenwich	LIB	gain from	LAB	Matthew Pennycook
Hackney North and Stoke Newington	Hackney	LIB	gain from	LAB	Diane Abbott
Hackney South and Shoreditch	Hackney	LIB	gain from	LAB	Meg Hillier
Halifax	West Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Holly Lynch
Halton	Cheshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Derek Twigg
Hammersmith	Hammersmith and Fulham	LIB	gain from	LAB	Andy Slaughter
Hampstead and Kilburn	Camden	LIB	gain from	LAB	Tulip Siddiq
Harrow West	Harrow	LIB	gain from	LAB	Gareth Thomas
Hartlepool	Teesside	LIB	gain from	LAB	Iain Wright
Hayes and Harlington	Hillingdon	LIB	gain from	LAB	John McDonnell
Hazel Grove	Eastern Manchester	LIB	gain from	CON	William Wragg
Hemsworth	West Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Jon Trickett
Heywood and Middleton	Eastern Manchester	LIB	gain from	LAB	Liz McInnes
Holborn and St Pancras	Camden	LIB	gain from	LAB	Keir Starmer
Hornsey and Wood Green	Haringey	LIB	gain from	LAB	Catherine West
Houghton and Sunderland South	Newcastle area	LIB	gain from	LAB	Bridget Phillipson
Hove	East Sussex	CON	gain from	LAB	Peter Kyle
Huddersfield	West Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Barry Sheerman
Hull East	Humber area	LIB	gain from	LAB	Karl Turner
Hull North	Humber area	LIB	gain from	LAB	Diana Johnson
Hull West and Hessle	Humber area	LIB	gain from	LAB	Alan Johnson
Hyndburn	Lancashire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Graham Jones
Ilford North	Redbridge	LIB	gain from	LAB	Wes Streeting
Ilford South	Redbridge	LIB	gain from	LAB	Mike Gapes
Islington North	Islington	LIB	gain from	LAB	Jeremy Corbyn
Islington South and Finsbury	Islington	LIB	gain from	LAB	Emily Thornberry
Islwyn	Gwent	LIB	gain from	LAB	Christopher Evans
Jarrow	Newcastle area	LIB	gain from	LAB	Stephen Hepburn
Kingston and Surbiton	Kingston Upon Thames	LIB	gain from	CON	James Berry
Knowsley	Merseyside	LIB	gain from	LAB	George Howarth
Lancashire West	Lancashire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Rosie Cooper
Lancaster and Fleetwood	Lancashire	CON	gain from	LAB	Catherine Smith
Leeds Central	West Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Hilary Benn
Leeds East	West Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Richard Burgon
Leeds North East	West Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Fabian Hamilton
Leeds West	West Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Rachel Reeves
Leicester East	Leicestershire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Keith Vaz
Leicester South	Leicestershire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Jonathan Ashworth
Leicester West	Leicestershire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Elizabeth Kendall
Leigh	Western Manchester	LIB	gain from	LAB	Andrew Burnham
Lewes	East Sussex	LIB	gain from	CON	Maria Caulfield
Lewisham Deptford	Lewisham	LIB	gain from	LAB	Vicky Foxcroft
Lewisham East	Lewisham	LIB	gain from	LAB	Heidi Alexander
Lewisham West and Penge	Lewisham	LIB	gain from	LAB	Jim Dowd
Leyton and Wanstead	Waltham Forest	LIB	gain from	LAB	John Cryer
Liverpool Riverside	Merseyside	LIB	gain from	LAB	Louise Ellman
Liverpool Walton	Merseyside	LIB	gain from	LAB	Steve Rotheram
Liverpool Wavertree	Merseyside	LIB	gain from	LAB	Luciana Berger
Liverpool West Derby	Merseyside	LIB	gain from	LAB	Stephen Twigg
Llanelli	Dyfed	LIB	gain from	LAB	Nia Griffith
Luton North	Bedfordshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Kelvin Hopkins
Luton South	Bedfordshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Gavin Shuker
Maidstone and The Weald	Kent	LIB	gain from	CON	Helen Grant
Makerfield	Western Manchester	LIB	gain from	LAB	Yvonne Fovargue
Manchester Central	Central Manchester	LIB	gain from	LAB	Lucy Powell
Manchester Gorton	Central Manchester	LIB	gain from	LAB	Sir Gerald Kaufman
Manchester Withington	Central Manchester	LIB	gain from	LAB	Jeff Smith
Mansfield	Nottinghamshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Alan Meale
Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney	Mid Glamorgan	LIB	gain from	LAB	Gerald Jones
Middlesbrough	Teesside	LIB	gain from	LAB	Andy McDonald
Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East	Teesside	CON	gain from	LAB	Tom Blenkinsop
Mitcham and Morden	Merton	LIB	gain from	LAB	Siobhain McDonagh
Montgomeryshire	Powys	LIB	gain from	CON	Glyn Davies
Neath	West Glamorgan	LIB	gain from	LAB	Christina Rees
Newcastle upon Tyne Central	Newcastle area	LIB	gain from	LAB	Chi Onwurah
Newcastle upon Tyne East	Newcastle area	LIB	gain from	LAB	Nick Brown
Newcastle upon Tyne North	Newcastle area	LIB	gain from	LAB	Catherine McKinnell
Newcastle-under-Lyme	Staffordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Paul Farrelly
Newport East	Gwent	LIB	gain from	LAB	Jessica Morden
Newport West	Gwent	LIB	gain from	LAB	Paul Flynn
Normanton, Pontefract and Castleford	West Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Yvette Cooper
Norwich South	Norfolk	LIB	gain from	LAB	Clive Lewis
Nottingham East	Nottinghamshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Christopher Leslie
Nottingham North	Nottinghamshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Graham Allen
Nottingham South	Nottinghamshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Lilian Greenwood
Ogmore	Mid Glamorgan	LIB	gain from	LAB	Huw Irranca-Davies
Oldham East and Saddleworth	Eastern Manchester	LIB	gain from	LAB	Debbie Abrahams
Oldham West and Royton	Eastern Manchester	LIB	gain from	LAB	Michael Meacher
Oxford East	Oxfordshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Andrew Smith
Oxford West and Abingdon	Oxfordshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Nicola Blackwood
Penistone and Stocksbridge	South Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Angela Smith
Pontypridd	Mid Glamorgan	LIB	gain from	LAB	Owen Smith
Poplar and Limehouse	Tower Hamlets	LIB	gain from	LAB	Jim Fitzpatrick
Portsmouth South	Hampshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Flick Drummond
Preston	Lancashire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Mark Hendrick
Redcar	Teesside	LIB	gain from	LAB	Anna Turley
Rhondda	Mid Glamorgan	LIB	gain from	LAB	Chris Bryant
Rochdale	Eastern Manchester	LIB	gain from	LAB	Simon Danczuk
Rother Valley	South Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Kevin Barron
Rotherham	South Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Sarah Champion
Salford and Eccles	Central Manchester	LIB	gain from	LAB	Rebecca Long-Bailey
Scunthorpe	Humber area	LIB	gain from	LAB	Nic Dakin
Sedgefield	Durham	LIB	gain from	LAB	Phil Wilson
Sefton Central	Merseyside	LIB	gain from	LAB	Bill Esterson
Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough	South Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Harry Harpham
Sheffield Central	South Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Paul Blomfield
Sheffield Heeley	South Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Louise Haigh
Sheffield South East	South Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Clive Betts
Slough	Berkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Fiona Mactaggart
South Shields	Newcastle area	LIB	gain from	LAB	Emma Lewell-Buck
Southampton Test	Hampshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Alan Whitehead
St Albans	Hertfordshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Anne Main
St Austell and Newquay	Cornwall	LIB	gain from	CON	Steve Double
St Helens North	Merseyside	LIB	gain from	LAB	Conor McGinn
St Helens South and Whiston	Merseyside	LIB	gain from	LAB	Marie Rimmer
St Ives	Cornwall	LIB	gain from	CON	Derek Thomas
Stalybridge and Hyde	Eastern Manchester	LIB	gain from	LAB	Jonathan Reynolds
Stockport	Eastern Manchester	LIB	gain from	LAB	Ann Coffey
Stockton North	Teesside	LIB	gain from	LAB	Alex Cunningham
Stoke-on-Trent Central	Staffordshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Tristram Hunt
Stoke-on-Trent North	Staffordshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Ruth Smeeth
Stoke-on-Trent South	Staffordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Robert Flello
Streatham	Lambeth	LIB	gain from	LAB	Chuka Umunna
Stretford and Urmston	Central Manchester	LIB	gain from	LAB	Kate Green
Sunderland Central	Newcastle area	LIB	gain from	LAB	Julie Elliott
Sutton and Cheam	Sutton	LIB	gain from	CON	Paul Scully
Swansea East	West Glamorgan	LIB	gain from	LAB	Carolyn Harris
Swansea West	West Glamorgan	LIB	gain from	LAB	Geraint Davies
Taunton Deane	Somerset	LIB	gain from	CON	Rebecca Pow
Thornbury and Yate	Bristol area	LIB	gain from	CON	Luke Hall
Thurrock	Essex	LIB	gain from	CON	Jackie Doyle-Price
Tooting	Wandsworth	LIB	gain from	LAB	Sadiq Khan
Torbay	Devon	LIB	gain from	CON	Kevin Foster
Torfaen	Gwent	LIB	gain from	LAB	Nick Thomas-Symonds
Tottenham	Haringey	LIB	gain from	LAB	David Lammy
Truro and Falmouth	Cornwall	LIB	gain from	CON	Sarah Newton
Twickenham	Richmond Upon Thames	LIB	gain from	CON	Tania Mathias
Tynemouth	Newcastle area	LIB	gain from	LAB	Alan Campbell
Tyneside North	Newcastle area	LIB	gain from	LAB	Mary Glindon
Vauxhall	Lambeth	LIB	gain from	LAB	Kate Hoey
Wakefield	West Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Mary Creagh
Wallasey	Merseyside	LIB	gain from	LAB	Angela Eagle
Walsall North	Black Country	LIB	gain from	LAB	David Winnick
Walsall South	Black Country	LIB	gain from	LAB	Valerie Vaz
Walthamstow	Waltham Forest	LIB	gain from	LAB	Stella Creasy
Wansbeck	Northumberland	LIB	gain from	LAB	Ian Lavery
Warley	Black Country	LIB	gain from	LAB	John Spellar
Warrington North	Cheshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Helen Jones
Washington and Sunderland West	Newcastle area	LIB	gain from	LAB	Sharon Hodgson
Watford	Hertfordshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Richard Harrington
Wells	Somerset	LIB	gain from	CON	James Heappey
Wentworth and Dearne	South Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	John Healey
West Bromwich East	Black Country	LIB	gain from	LAB	Tom Watson
West Bromwich West	Black Country	LIB	gain from	LAB	Adrian Bailey
West Ham	Newham	LIB	gain from	LAB	Lyn Brown
Westminster North	City of Westminster	LIB	gain from	LAB	Karen Buck
Wigan	Western Manchester	LIB	gain from	LAB	Lisa Nandy
Wirral South	Merseyside	LIB	gain from	LAB	Alison McGovern
Wirral West	Merseyside	CON	gain from	LAB	Margaret Greenwood
Wolverhampton North East	Black Country	LIB	gain from	LAB	Emma Reynolds
Wolverhampton South East	Black Country	LIB	gain from	LAB	Pat McFadden
Wolverhampton South West	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	Rob Marris
Workington	Cumbria	LIB	gain from	LAB	Sue Hayman
Worsley and Eccles South	Central Manchester	LIB	gain from	LAB	Barbara Keeley
Wrexham	Clwyd	LIB	gain from	LAB	Ian Lucas
Wythenshawe and Sale East	Central Manchester	LIB	gain from	LAB	Mike Kane
Yeovil	Somerset	LIB	gain from	CON	Marcus Fysh
Ynys Mon	Gwynedd	LIB	gain from	LAB	Albert Owen
York Central	North Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Rachael Maskell

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2015. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

User-defined Prediction

National Prediction: Conservative short 18 of majority

List of predicted seat changes