Election Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Conservative short 25 of majority

Party	2017 Votes	2017 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	43.5%	318	38.0%	1	18	-17	301
LAB	41.0%	262	41.0%	16	1	+15	277
LIB	7.6%	12	10.0%	5	0	+5	17
UKIP	1.9%	0	4.0%	0	0	+0	0
Green	1.7%	1	0.0%	0	1	-1	0
SNP	3.1%	35	3.1%	1	1	+0	35
PlaidC	0.5%	4	0.5%	0	2	-2	2
Other	0.7%	0	3.4%	0	0	+0	0
N.Ire		18		0	0	+0	18

List of predicted seat changes

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2017
Aberconwy	Clwyd	LAB	gain from	CON	Guto Bebb
Arfon	Gwynedd	LAB	gain from	Plaid	Hywel Williams
Brighton Pavilion	East Sussex	LAB	gain from	Green	Caroline Lucas
Broxtowe	Nottinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Anna Soubry
Ceredigion	Dyfed	LIB	gain from	Plaid	Ben Lake
Cheltenham	Gloucestershire	LIB	gain from	CON	Alex Chalk
Chipping Barnet	Barnet	LAB	gain from	CON	Theresa Villiers
Dudley North	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	Ian Austin
Fife North East	Fife	LIB	gain from	SNP	Stephen Gethins
Hastings and Rye	East Sussex	LAB	gain from	CON	Amber Rudd
Hendon	Barnet	LAB	gain from	CON	Matthew Offord
Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East	Teesside	LAB	gain from	CON	Simon Clarke
Norwich North	Norfolk	LAB	gain from	CON	Chloe Smith
Pendle	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Andrew Stephenson
Preseli Pembrokeshire	Dyfed	LAB	gain from	CON	Stephen Crabb
Pudsey	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Stuart Andrew
Richmond Park	Richmond Upon Thames	LIB	gain from	CON	Zac Goldsmith
Southampton Itchen	Hampshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Royston Smith
St Ives	Cornwall	LIB	gain from	CON	Derek Thomas
Stirling	Central	SNP	gain from	CON	Stephen Kerr
Stoke-on-Trent South	Staffordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Jack Brereton
Telford	Shropshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Lucy Allan
Vale of Glamorgan	South Glamorgan	LAB	gain from	CON	Alun Cairns

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

User-defined Prediction

National Prediction: Conservative short 25 of majority

List of predicted seat changes