User-defined Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Conservative short 14 of majority

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 43.5%318 39.0%17-6312
LAB 41.0%262 37.0%27-5257
LIB 7.6%12 13.0%80+820
UKIP 1.9%0 2.0%00+00
Green 1.7%1 2.0%00+01
SNP 3.1%35 3.1%51+439
PlaidC 0.5%4 0.5%01-13
Other 0.7%0 3.4%00+00
N.Ire 18 00+018

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List of predicted seat changes

SeatCounty/AreaPredicted Change  MP as at 2017
BroxtoweNottinghamshireLABgain fromCONAnna Soubry
CeredigionDyfedLIBgain fromPlaidBen Lake
CheadleEastern ManchesterLIBgain fromCONMary Robinson
CheltenhamGloucestershireLIBgain fromCONAlex Chalk
Coatbridge, Chryston and BellshillGlasgow areaSNPgain fromLABHugh Gaffney
Dudley NorthBlack CountryCONgain fromLABIan Austin
Fife North EastFifeLIBgain fromSNPStephen Gethins
Glasgow North EastGlasgow areaSNPgain fromLABPaul Sweeney
Leeds North WestWest YorkshireLIBgain fromLABAlex Sobel
MidlothianEdinburgh areaSNPgain fromLABDanielle Rowley
Richmond ParkRichmond Upon ThamesLIBgain fromCONZac Goldsmith
Rutherglen and Hamilton WestAyrshire and LanarkSNPgain fromLABGed Killen
Sheffield HallamSouth YorkshireLIBgain fromLABJared O Mara
St IvesCornwallLIBgain fromCONDerek Thomas
StirlingCentralSNPgain fromCONStephen Kerr
Vale of GlamorganSouth GlamorganLABgain fromCONAlun Cairns

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.


© 2024 Electoral Calculus Ltd
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