Election Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Conservative short 1 of majority

Party	2017 Votes	2017 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	43.5%	318	40.0%	11	4	+7	325
LAB	41.0%	262	36.0%	0	15	-15	247
LIB	7.6%	12	11.0%	6	0	+6	18
UKIP	1.9%	0	5.0%	0	0	+0	0
Green	1.7%	1	2.0%	0	0	+0	1
SNP	3.1%	35	3.1%	5	2	+3	38
PlaidC	0.5%	4	0.5%	0	1	-1	3
Other	0.7%	0	2.4%	0	0	+0	0
N.Ire		18		0	0	+0	18

List of predicted seat changes

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2017
Ashfield	Nottinghamshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Gloria De Piero
Barrow and Furness	Cumbria	CON	gain from	LAB	John Woodcock
Bishop Auckland	Durham	CON	gain from	LAB	Helen Goodman
Canterbury	Kent	CON	gain from	LAB	Rosie Duffield
Ceredigion	Dyfed	LIB	gain from	Plaid	Ben Lake
Cheltenham	Gloucestershire	LIB	gain from	CON	Alex Chalk
Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Hugh Gaffney
Crewe and Nantwich	Cheshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Laura Smith
Dudley North	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	Ian Austin
Fife North East	Fife	LIB	gain from	SNP	Stephen Gethins
Glasgow North East	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Paul Sweeney
Keighley	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	John Grogan
Kensington	Kensington and Chelsea	CON	gain from	LAB	Emma Dent Coad
Lanark and Hamilton East	Ayrshire and Lanark	CON	gain from	SNP	Angela Crawley
Midlothian	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Danielle Rowley
Newcastle-under-Lyme	Staffordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Paul Farrelly
Peterborough	Cambridgeshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Fiona Onasanya
Richmond Park	Richmond Upon Thames	LIB	gain from	CON	Zac Goldsmith
Rutherglen and Hamilton West	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	LAB	Ged Killen
Sheffield Hallam	South Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Jared O Mara
St Ives	Cornwall	LIB	gain from	CON	Derek Thomas
Stirling	Central	SNP	gain from	CON	Stephen Kerr

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

User-defined Prediction

National Prediction: Conservative short 1 of majority

List of predicted seat changes