User-defined Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Conservative short 10 of majority

Party2015 Votes2015 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 37.8%331 41.3%419-15316
LAB 31.2%232 40.4%210+21253
LIB 8.1%8 7.8%04-44
UKIP 12.9%1 2.4%01-10
Green 3.8%1 2.3%00+01
SNP 4.9%56 4.9%01-155
PlaidC 0.6%3 0.6%00+03
Other 0.8%0 0.4%00+00
N.Ire 18 00+018

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List of predicted seat changes

SeatCounty/AreaPredicted Change  MP as at 2015
BedfordBedfordshireLABgain fromCONRichard Fuller
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and SelkirkBordersCONgain fromSNPCalum Kerr
Bolton WestWestern ManchesterLABgain fromCONChris Green
Brighton KemptownEast SussexLABgain fromCONSimon Kirby
Bury NorthWestern ManchesterLABgain fromCONDavid Nuttall
Cardiff NorthSouth GlamorganLABgain fromCONCraig Williams
Carshalton and WallingtonSuttonCONgain fromLIBTom Brake
ClactonEssexCONgain fromUKIPDouglas Carswell
Croydon CentralCroydonLABgain fromCONGavin Barwell
Derby NorthDerbyshireLABgain fromCONAmanda Solloway
GowerWest GlamorganLABgain fromCONByron Davies
Hastings and RyeEast SussexLABgain fromCONAmber Rudd
Leeds North WestWest YorkshireLABgain fromLIBGreg Mulholland
LincolnLincolnshireLABgain fromCONKarl McCartney
Morley and OutwoodWest YorkshireLABgain fromCONAndrea Jenkyns
PeterboroughCambridgeshireLABgain fromCONStewart Jackson
Plymouth Moor ViewDevonLABgain fromCONJohnny Mercer
Plymouth Sutton and DevonportDevonLABgain fromCONOliver Colvile
Sheffield HallamSouth YorkshireLABgain fromLIBNick Clegg
Southampton ItchenHampshireLABgain fromCONRoyston Smith
SouthportMerseysideCONgain fromLIBJohn Pugh
TelfordShropshireLABgain fromCONLucy Allan
ThurrockEssexLABgain fromCONJackie Doyle-Price
Vale of ClwydClwydLABgain fromCONJames Davies
WaveneySuffolkLABgain fromCONPeter Aldous

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2015. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.


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