User-defined Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Conservative majority 162

Party2015 Votes2015 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 37.8%331 48.0%750+75406
LAB 31.2%232 28.0%071-71161
LIB 8.1%8 7.0%13-26
UKIP 12.9%1 5.0%01-10
Green 3.8%1 3.0%00+01
SNP 4.9%56 4.9%01-155
PlaidC 0.6%3 0.6%00+03
Other 0.8%0 3.6%00+00
N.Ire 18 00+018

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List of predicted seat changes

SeatCounty/AreaPredicted Change  MP as at 2015
Alyn and DeesideClwydCONgain fromLABMark Tami
Barrow and FurnessCumbriaCONgain fromLABJohn Woodcock
BassetlawNottinghamshireCONgain fromLABJohn Mann
Batley and SpenWest YorkshireCONgain fromLABJo Cox
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and SelkirkBordersCONgain fromSNPCalum Kerr
Birmingham EdgbastonBirminghamCONgain fromLABGisela Stuart
Birmingham ErdingtonBirminghamCONgain fromLABJack Dromey
Birmingham NorthfieldBirminghamCONgain fromLABRichard Burden
Birmingham Selly OakBirminghamCONgain fromLABStephen McCabe
Bishop AucklandDurhamCONgain fromLABHelen Goodman
Blackpool SouthLancashireCONgain fromLABGordon Marsden
Blyth ValleyNorthumberlandCONgain fromLABRonnie Campbell
Bolton North EastWestern ManchesterCONgain fromLABDavid Crausby
Brentford and IsleworthHounslowCONgain fromLABRuth Cadbury
BridgendMid GlamorganCONgain fromLABMadeleine Moon
Bristol EastBristol areaCONgain fromLABKerry McCarthy
Bury SouthWestern ManchesterCONgain fromLABIvan Lewis
CambridgeCambridgeshireLIBgain fromLABDaniel Zeichner
Carshalton and WallingtonSuttonCONgain fromLIBTom Brake
Chester, City ofCheshireCONgain fromLABChris Matheson
ChorleyLancashireCONgain fromLABLindsay Hoyle
ClactonEssexCONgain fromUKIPDouglas Carswell
Clwyd SouthClwydCONgain fromLABSusan Elan Jones
CopelandCumbriaCONgain fromLABJamie Reed
Coventry North WestCoventry and SolihullCONgain fromLABGeoffrey Robinson
Coventry SouthCoventry and SolihullCONgain fromLABJim Cunningham
Dagenham and RainhamBarking and DagenhamCONgain fromLABJon Cruddas
DarlingtonDurhamCONgain fromLABJenny Chapman
DelynClwydCONgain fromLABDavid Hanson
Derbyshire North EastDerbyshireCONgain fromLABNatascha Engel
DewsburyWest YorkshireCONgain fromLABPaula Sherriff
Don ValleySouth YorkshireCONgain fromLABCaroline Flint
Dudley NorthBlack CountryCONgain fromLABIan Austin
Ealing Central and ActonEalingCONgain fromLABRupa Huq
Ellesmere Port and NestonCheshireCONgain fromLABJustin Madders
ElthamGreenwichCONgain fromLABClive Efford
Enfield NorthEnfieldCONgain fromLABJoan Ryan
GedlingNottinghamshireCONgain fromLABVernon Coaker
Great GrimsbyHumber areaCONgain fromLABMelanie Onn
HalifaxWest YorkshireCONgain fromLABHolly Lynch
Hampstead and KilburnCamdenCONgain fromLABTulip Siddiq
Harrow WestHarrowCONgain fromLABGareth Thomas
HartlepoolTeessideCONgain fromLABIain Wright
HoveEast SussexCONgain fromLABPeter Kyle
HuddersfieldWest YorkshireCONgain fromLABBarry Sheerman
HyndburnLancashireCONgain fromLABGraham Jones
Ilford NorthRedbridgeCONgain fromLABWes Streeting
Lancashire WestLancashireCONgain fromLABRosie Cooper
Lancaster and FleetwoodLancashireCONgain fromLABCatherine Smith
Luton SouthBedfordshireCONgain fromLABGavin Shuker
MansfieldNottinghamshireCONgain fromLABAlan Meale
Middlesbrough South and Cleveland EastTeessideCONgain fromLABTom Blenkinsop
Newcastle-under-LymeStaffordshireCONgain fromLABPaul Farrelly
Newport WestGwentCONgain fromLABPaul Flynn
Norfolk NorthNorfolkCONgain fromLIBNorman Lamb
Norwich SouthNorfolkCONgain fromLABClive Lewis
Oldham East and SaddleworthEastern ManchesterCONgain fromLABDebbie Abrahams
ScunthorpeHumber areaCONgain fromLABNic Dakin
Southampton TestHampshireCONgain fromLABAlan Whitehead
SouthportMerseysideCONgain fromLIBJohn Pugh
Stalybridge and HydeEastern ManchesterCONgain fromLABJonathan Reynolds
Stoke-on-Trent NorthStaffordshireCONgain fromLABRuth Smeeth
Stoke-on-Trent SouthStaffordshireCONgain fromLABRobert Flello
TootingWandsworthCONgain fromLABSadiq Khan
TynemouthNewcastle areaCONgain fromLABAlan Campbell
WakefieldWest YorkshireCONgain fromLABMary Creagh
Walsall NorthBlack CountryCONgain fromLABDavid Winnick
Walsall SouthBlack CountryCONgain fromLABValerie Vaz
Westminster NorthCity of WestminsterCONgain fromLABKaren Buck
Wirral SouthMerseysideCONgain fromLABAlison McGovern
Wirral WestMerseysideCONgain fromLABMargaret Greenwood
Wolverhampton South WestBlack CountryCONgain fromLABRob Marris
WorkingtonCumbriaCONgain fromLABSue Hayman
Worsley and Eccles SouthCentral ManchesterCONgain fromLABBarbara Keeley
WrexhamClwydCONgain fromLABIan Lucas
York CentralNorth YorkshireCONgain fromLABRachael Maskell

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2015. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

© 2024 Electoral Calculus Ltd
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