User-defined Prediction

The predicted Westminster results in Scotland, given the Scottish levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

Scottish Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 28.6%13 15.0%012-121
LAB 27.1%7 9.0%05-52
LIB 6.8%4 16.0%10+15
Brexit 0.0%0 4.0%00+00
Green 0.2%0 3.0%00+00
SNP 36.9%35 46.0%171+1651
UKIP 0.2%0 0.0%00+00
Other 0.3%0 7.0%00+00

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Table of all seat results in Scotland

This page shows all the seats in Scotland sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 30 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Scotland seats with predictions

SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
13Kirkcaldy and CowdenbeathLesley Laird72,72163.511.543.535.
22Edinburgh SouthIan Murray64,55374.
21Glasgow North EastPaul Sweeney59,93253.08.324.514.
21Glasgow South WestChris Stephens62,99156.26.322.
21Coatbridge, Chryston and BellshillHugh Gaffney71,19863.39.623.
21Glasgow CentralAlison Thewliss64,34655.98.719.
21Glasgow EastDavid Linden66,24254.611.121.316.
21Glasgow SouthStewart McDonald69,12664.47.417.316.
21GlenrothesPeter Grant66,37860.97.517.
21Glasgow NorthPatrick Grady53,86362.15.915.315.24.712.446.
21Rutherglen and Hamilton WestGed Killen80,09863.511.220.419.
21Dundee WestChris Law62,64461.74.713.812.
21Motherwell and WishawMarion Fellows68,21561.511.520.517.
21Dunbartonshire WestMartin Docherty67,60265.27.916.911.90.02.953.
21Glasgow North WestCarol Monaghan63,77360.910.218.517.
21InverclydeRonnie Cowan58,85366.412.520.
21Na h-Eileanan An Iar (Western Isles)Angus MacNeil21,30169.69.616.514.
21Paisley and Renfrewshire SouthMhairi Black61,34468.011.417.918.
21Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch EastStuart McDonald66,55465.910.516.917.
21Edinburgh EastTommy Sheppard65,89666.010.415.917.40.02.953.
21Airdrie and ShottsNeil Gray64,14659.
21MidlothianDanielle Rowley68,32866.316.519.
21Aberdeen NorthKirsty Blackman62,13059.210.711.718.
21Dunfermline and West FifeDouglas Chapman75,67267.415.715.319.
21LivingstonHannah Bardell81,20864.715.314.
21Orkney and ShetlandAlistair Carmichael34,16468.
21East LothianMartin Whitfield79,09370.620.819.
21Edinburgh North and LeithDeidre Brock79,47371.213.010.914.
21East Kilbride, Strathaven and LesmahagowLisa Cameron80,44267.316.513.416.
21Paisley and Renfrewshire NorthGavin Newlands67,43669.118.515.
21Linlithgow and East FalkirkMartyn Day86,18665.114.910.913.
21Kilmarnock and LoudounAlan Brown73,32763.415.510.512.
21FalkirkJohnny McNally82,24065.417.311.715.90.04.850.
21Dunbartonshire EastJo Swinson66,30078.16.40.847.
21Caithness Sutherland and Easter RossJamie Stone46,86865.99.82.846.
21Lanark and Hamilton EastAngela Crawley77,31365.323.
21Dundee EastStewart Hosie65,85465.216.27.914.
21Ross Skye and LochaberIan Blackford53,63871.710.71.628.
21Edinburgh WestChristine Jardine71,50073.812.02.445.50.02.537.
21Fife North EastStephen Gethins58,68571.313.62.942.
21Edinburgh South WestJoanna Cherry71,17869.419.26.914.
21Ayrshire North and ArranPatricia Gibson73,17464.822.19.615.
21Ayrshire CentralPhilippa Whitford68,99765.325.39.816.
21Inverness Nairn Badenoch and StrathspeyDrew Hendry76,84468.718.22.323.94.62.648.
21Argyll and ButeBrendan O'Hara67,23071.522.
21Renfrewshire EastPaul Masterton70,06776.730.910.315.
21StirlingStephen Kerr66,41574.328.14.916.80.02.947.
21Ayr Carrick and CumnockBill Grant71,24164.931.07.715.
21Perth and North PerthshirePete Wishart71,74371.829.42.514.
21GordonColin Clark78,53168.430.
21Ochil and South PerthshireLuke Graham76,76770.632.24.316.
21Aberdeen SouthRoss Thomson64,96468.532.94.819.
21Dumfries and GallowayAlister Jack74,20669.534.45.316.
21AngusKirstene Hair63,84063.034.93.314.
21MorayDouglas Ross70,64967.437.
21Aberdeenshire West and KincardineAndrew Bowie72,47771.
21Banff and BuchanDavid Duguid67,60161.637.22.812.
21Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and TweeddaleDavid Mundell67,67272.439.73.816.
31Berwickshire, Roxburgh and SelkirkJohn Lamont73,19171.543.02.713.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

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