The predicted results in the country and in Scotland, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.
Party | 2017 Votes | 2017 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CON | 43.5% | 318 | 20.0% | 5 | 26 | -21 | 297 |
LAB | 41.0% | 262 | 20.0% | 0 | 90 | -90 | 172 |
LIB | 7.6% | 12 | 21.0% | 22 | 0 | +22 | 34 |
Brexit | 0.0% | 0 | 23.0% | 74 | 0 | +74 | 74 |
Green | 1.7% | 1 | 9.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
SNP | 3.1% | 35 | 3.9% | 16 | 0 | +16 | 51 |
PlaidC | 0.5% | 4 | 0.5% | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
UKIP | 1.9% | 0 | 1.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
Other | 0.7% | 0 | 1.8% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
N.Ire | 18 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 18 |
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Party | 2017 Votes | 2017 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CON | 28.6% | 13 | 17.0% | 0 | 11 | -11 | 2 |
LAB | 27.1% | 7 | 15.0% | 0 | 5 | -5 | 2 |
LIB | 6.8% | 4 | 12.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 4 |
Brexit | 0.0% | 0 | 8.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
Green | 0.2% | 0 | 5.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
SNP | 36.9% | 35 | 43.0% | 16 | 0 | +16 | 51 |
UKIP | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
Other | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
LAB Seats | CON Seats | Seat | MP at 2017 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | Brexit % | Green % | SNP % | UKIP % | MIN % | OTH % | 2017 Win | Pred Win |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | 442 | Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath | Lesley Laird | 72,721 | 63.5 | 12.7 | 47.0 | 25.5 | 9.6 | 5.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
65 | 405 | Edinburgh South | Ian Murray | 64,553 | 74.1 | 15.4 | 39.0 | 8.7 | 0.0 | 5.3 | 31.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
66 | 403 | Glasgow South West | Chris Stephens | 62,991 | 56.2 | 5.4 | 28.7 | 8.3 | 8.9 | 0.0 | 48.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
72 | 397 | Glasgow North East | Paul Sweeney | 59,932 | 53.0 | 8.7 | 31.2 | 8.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 51.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | SNP |
111 | 358 | Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill | Hugh Gaffney | 71,198 | 63.3 | 11.8 | 28.5 | 7.4 | 0.0 | 4.9 | 47.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | SNP |
112 | 357 | Glasgow North | Patrick Grady | 53,863 | 62.1 | 4.7 | 21.3 | 8.5 | 7.7 | 14.3 | 43.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
112 | 357 | Dundee West | Chris Law | 62,644 | 61.7 | 5.9 | 22.3 | 9.2 | 8.4 | 0.0 | 54.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
120 | 349 | Glasgow Central | Alison Thewliss | 64,346 | 55.9 | 9.5 | 25.0 | 8.1 | 0.0 | 4.7 | 52.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
123 | 346 | Glenrothes | Peter Grant | 66,378 | 60.9 | 8.9 | 23.7 | 9.0 | 8.3 | 0.0 | 50.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
124 | 345 | Glasgow South | Stewart McDonald | 69,126 | 64.4 | 8.5 | 23.0 | 8.5 | 8.0 | 4.8 | 47.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
140 | 329 | Glasgow East | David Linden | 66,242 | 54.6 | 14.5 | 27.7 | 8.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 49.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
143 | 326 | Glasgow North West | Carol Monaghan | 63,773 | 60.9 | 13.2 | 25.2 | 9.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 52.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
145 | 324 | Dunbartonshire West | Martin Docherty | 67,602 | 65.2 | 12.5 | 24.3 | 7.5 | 0.0 | 4.8 | 50.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
146 | 323 | Rutherglen and Hamilton West | Ged Killen | 80,098 | 63.5 | 15.0 | 26.8 | 10.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 47.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | SNP |
146 | 323 | Na h-Eileanan An Iar (Western Isles) | Angus MacNeil | 21,301 | 69.6 | 11.7 | 23.3 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 49.9 | 0.0 | 7.5 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
149 | 320 | Motherwell and Wishaw | Marion Fellows | 68,215 | 61.5 | 15.6 | 27.0 | 8.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 48.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
156 | 313 | Inverclyde | Ronnie Cowan | 58,853 | 66.4 | 16.4 | 26.6 | 8.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 48.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
158 | 311 | Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East | Stuart McDonald | 66,554 | 65.9 | 13.7 | 23.6 | 9.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 53.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
163 | 306 | Paisley and Renfrewshire South | Mhairi Black | 61,344 | 68.0 | 14.9 | 24.3 | 9.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 51.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
170 | 299 | Edinburgh East | Tommy Sheppard | 65,896 | 66.0 | 13.6 | 21.8 | 9.4 | 0.0 | 4.7 | 50.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
171 | 298 | Airdrie and Shotts | Neil Gray | 64,146 | 59.2 | 17.9 | 23.8 | 7.5 | 0.0 | 4.9 | 45.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
171 | 298 | Aberdeen North | Kirsty Blackman | 62,130 | 59.2 | 11.7 | 17.5 | 10.0 | 8.3 | 4.9 | 47.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
171 | 298 | Midlothian | Danielle Rowley | 68,328 | 66.3 | 20.0 | 25.7 | 10.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 44.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | SNP |
172 | 297 | Orkney and Shetland | Alistair Carmichael | 34,164 | 68.1 | 0.4 | 3.5 | 53.7 | 7.1 | 0.0 | 35.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
172 | 297 | Edinburgh North and Leith | Deidre Brock | 79,473 | 71.2 | 15.7 | 18.4 | 9.8 | 8.0 | 7.8 | 40.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
172 | 297 | Dunfermline and West Fife | Douglas Chapman | 75,672 | 67.4 | 19.2 | 21.1 | 11.2 | 0.0 | 4.8 | 43.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
172 | 297 | East Lothian | Martin Whitfield | 79,093 | 70.6 | 23.9 | 25.5 | 9.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 40.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | SNP |
172 | 297 | Livingston | Hannah Bardell | 81,208 | 64.7 | 18.9 | 20.1 | 8.1 | 0.0 | 4.8 | 48.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
172 | 297 | Linlithgow and East Falkirk | Martyn Day | 86,186 | 65.1 | 17.4 | 18.4 | 8.7 | 8.1 | 4.8 | 42.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
172 | 297 | Paisley and Renfrewshire North | Gavin Newlands | 67,436 | 69.1 | 21.7 | 21.8 | 9.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 47.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
172 | 297 | East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow | Lisa Cameron | 80,442 | 67.3 | 20.0 | 19.3 | 8.4 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 47.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
173 | 296 | Kilmarnock and Loudoun | Alan Brown | 73,327 | 63.4 | 20.8 | 19.2 | 8.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 51.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
173 | 296 | Falkirk | Johnny McNally | 82,240 | 65.4 | 20.7 | 17.6 | 7.6 | 0.0 | 6.7 | 47.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
173 | 296 | Lanark and Hamilton East | Angela Crawley | 77,313 | 65.3 | 26.1 | 22.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
173 | 296 | Dundee East | Stewart Hosie | 65,854 | 65.2 | 21.4 | 16.7 | 9.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 52.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
173 | 296 | Dunbartonshire East | Jo Swinson | 66,300 | 78.1 | 9.3 | 4.6 | 45.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 37.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
174 | 295 | Edinburgh South West | Joanna Cherry | 71,178 | 69.4 | 21.2 | 14.7 | 9.6 | 8.0 | 4.8 | 41.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
174 | 295 | Caithness Sutherland and Easter Ross | Jamie Stone | 46,868 | 65.9 | 11.7 | 4.4 | 41.1 | 7.3 | 0.0 | 35.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
175 | 294 | Ross Skye and Lochaber | Ian Blackford | 53,638 | 71.7 | 13.7 | 4.4 | 26.7 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 47.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
175 | 294 | Ayrshire North and Arran | Patricia Gibson | 73,174 | 64.8 | 25.0 | 15.7 | 7.6 | 0.0 | 4.8 | 47.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
175 | 294 | Ayrshire Central | Philippa Whitford | 68,997 | 65.3 | 27.8 | 16.9 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 46.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
175 | 294 | Edinburgh West | Christine Jardine | 71,500 | 73.8 | 16.0 | 4.9 | 39.0 | 0.0 | 4.2 | 35.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
178 | 291 | Inverness Nairn Badenoch and Strathspey | Drew Hendry | 76,844 | 68.7 | 18.7 | 5.7 | 17.4 | 7.8 | 4.7 | 45.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
181 | 288 | Fife North East | Stephen Gethins | 58,685 | 71.3 | 17.9 | 2.8 | 38.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 41.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
181 | 288 | Renfrewshire East | Paul Masterton | 70,067 | 76.7 | 33.0 | 17.5 | 8.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 41.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
184 | 285 | Ayr Carrick and Cumnock | Bill Grant | 71,241 | 64.9 | 33.0 | 15.0 | 8.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 43.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
185 | 284 | Stirling | Stephen Kerr | 66,415 | 74.3 | 30.3 | 11.1 | 8.8 | 0.0 | 4.9 | 45.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
194 | 275 | Argyll and Bute | Brendan O'Hara | 67,230 | 71.5 | 26.3 | 5.1 | 23.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 44.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
198 | 271 | Ochil and South Perthshire | Luke Graham | 76,767 | 70.6 | 34.1 | 11.7 | 9.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 44.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
198 | 271 | Aberdeen South | Ross Thomson | 64,964 | 68.5 | 34.7 | 12.1 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 41.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
208 | 261 | Dumfries and Galloway | Alister Jack | 74,206 | 69.5 | 36.0 | 12.6 | 8.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
226 | 243 | Perth and North Perthshire | Pete Wishart | 71,743 | 71.8 | 29.1 | 2.8 | 10.8 | 7.9 | 0.0 | 49.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
244 | 225 | Gordon | Colin Clark | 78,531 | 68.4 | 33.1 | 4.5 | 17.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 44.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
273 | 196 | Angus | Kirstene Hair | 63,840 | 63.0 | 37.2 | 5.6 | 9.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 47.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
281 | 189 | Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale | David Mundell | 67,672 | 72.4 | 41.2 | 8.8 | 10.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 39.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
324 | 145 | Moray | Douglas Ross | 70,649 | 67.4 | 39.4 | 3.9 | 8.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 48.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
330 | 139 | Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine | Andrew Bowie | 72,477 | 71.2 | 39.6 | 4.0 | 14.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 41.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
342 | 127 | Banff and Buchan | David Duguid | 67,601 | 61.6 | 39.6 | 3.0 | 9.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 48.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
440 | 30 | Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk | John Lamont | 73,191 | 71.5 | 44.8 | 2.9 | 10.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 41.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.
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