The predicted results in the country and in Scotland, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.
| Party | 2017 Votes | 2017 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 43.5% | 318 | 22.0% | 2 | 12 | -10 | 308 |
| LAB | 41.0% | 262 | 28.0% | 0 | 12 | -12 | 250 |
| LIB | 7.6% | 12 | 11.0% | 4 | 0 | +4 | 16 |
| Brexit | 0.0% | 0 | 21.0% | 5 | 0 | +5 | 5 |
| Green | 1.7% | 1 | 6.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| SNP | 3.1% | 35 | 3.6% | 15 | 1 | +14 | 49 |
| PlaidC | 0.5% | 4 | 0.5% | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| UKIP | 1.9% | 0 | 4.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
| Other | 0.7% | 0 | 4.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
| N.Ire | 18 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 18 |
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| Party | 2017 Votes | 2017 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 28.6% | 13 | 21.0% | 0 | 10 | -10 | 3 |
| LAB | 27.1% | 7 | 18.0% | 0 | 5 | -5 | 2 |
| LIB | 6.8% | 4 | 11.0% | 1 | 0 | +1 | 5 |
| Brexit | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
| Green | 0.2% | 0 | 4.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
| SNP | 36.9% | 35 | 41.0% | 15 | 1 | +14 | 49 |
| UKIP | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
| Other | 0.3% | 0 | 5.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
| LAB Seats | CON Seats | Seat | MP at 2017 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | Green % | SNP % | UKIP % | MIN % | OTH % | 2017 Win | Pred Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 493 | Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath | Lesley Laird | 72,721 | 63.5 | 17.5 | 52.1 | 26.3 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 74 | 485 | Edinburgh South | Ian Murray | 64,553 | 74.1 | 13.4 | 47.0 | 9.3 | 3.7 | 26.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 95 | 463 | Glasgow North East | Paul Sweeney | 59,932 | 53.0 | 6.6 | 36.9 | 9.1 | 0.0 | 47.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | SNP |
| 122 | 436 | Glasgow South West | Chris Stephens | 62,991 | 56.2 | 9.4 | 34.7 | 9.6 | 0.0 | 46.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 122 | 436 | Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill | Hugh Gaffney | 71,198 | 63.3 | 10.0 | 34.7 | 8.4 | 3.7 | 43.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | SNP |
| 140 | 418 | Glasgow Central | Alison Thewliss | 64,346 | 55.9 | 7.7 | 30.5 | 9.3 | 3.7 | 48.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 163 | 395 | Glasgow East | David Linden | 66,242 | 54.6 | 12.9 | 33.0 | 9.7 | 0.0 | 44.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 177 | 381 | Dunbartonshire West | Martin Docherty | 67,602 | 65.2 | 9.6 | 28.6 | 6.5 | 3.7 | 46.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7 | SNP | SNP |
| 181 | 377 | Rutherglen and Hamilton West | Ged Killen | 80,098 | 63.5 | 13.5 | 31.8 | 12.1 | 0.0 | 42.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | SNP |
| 183 | 375 | Glasgow North West | Carol Monaghan | 63,773 | 60.9 | 11.7 | 29.8 | 10.7 | 0.0 | 47.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 184 | 374 | Glasgow North | Patrick Grady | 53,863 | 62.1 | 8.5 | 26.5 | 9.8 | 13.5 | 41.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 188 | 370 | Motherwell and Wishaw | Marion Fellows | 68,215 | 61.5 | 14.1 | 31.9 | 9.9 | 0.0 | 44.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 191 | 367 | Na h-Eileanan An Iar (Western Isles) | Angus MacNeil | 21,301 | 69.6 | 10.2 | 27.7 | 8.8 | 0.0 | 45.8 | 0.0 | 7.5 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 191 | 367 | Dundee West | Chris Law | 62,644 | 61.7 | 8.6 | 25.8 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 51.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.7 | SNP | SNP |
| 201 | 357 | Inverclyde | Ronnie Cowan | 58,853 | 66.4 | 15.2 | 31.5 | 9.6 | 0.0 | 43.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 203 | 355 | Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East | Stuart McDonald | 66,554 | 65.9 | 12.1 | 28.1 | 10.5 | 0.0 | 49.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 204 | 354 | Glasgow South | Stewart McDonald | 69,126 | 64.4 | 12.8 | 28.6 | 9.6 | 3.7 | 45.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 208 | 350 | Glenrothes | Peter Grant | 66,378 | 60.9 | 13.2 | 28.7 | 10.1 | 0.0 | 48.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 208 | 350 | Paisley and Renfrewshire South | Mhairi Black | 61,344 | 68.0 | 13.8 | 29.0 | 11.3 | 0.0 | 45.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 216 | 342 | Edinburgh East | Tommy Sheppard | 65,896 | 66.0 | 12.3 | 26.7 | 10.6 | 3.7 | 46.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 232 | 326 | Airdrie and Shotts | Neil Gray | 64,146 | 59.2 | 16.9 | 29.2 | 8.5 | 3.7 | 41.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 233 | 325 | Midlothian | Danielle Rowley | 68,328 | 66.3 | 19.2 | 30.3 | 10.9 | 0.0 | 39.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | SNP |
| 242 | 316 | Dunfermline and West Fife | Douglas Chapman | 75,672 | 67.4 | 18.4 | 25.9 | 12.3 | 3.7 | 39.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 246 | 312 | East Lothian | Martin Whitfield | 79,093 | 70.6 | 23.5 | 30.2 | 10.5 | 0.0 | 35.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | SNP |
| 246 | 312 | Livingston | Hannah Bardell | 81,208 | 64.7 | 18.1 | 24.7 | 9.3 | 3.7 | 44.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 247 | 311 | Aberdeen North | Kirsty Blackman | 62,130 | 59.2 | 16.8 | 22.4 | 11.7 | 3.7 | 45.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 248 | 310 | East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow | Lisa Cameron | 80,442 | 67.3 | 19.1 | 23.9 | 9.8 | 4.0 | 43.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 248 | 310 | Paisley and Renfrewshire North | Gavin Newlands | 67,436 | 69.1 | 21.3 | 25.8 | 10.3 | 0.0 | 42.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 249 | 309 | Kilmarnock and Loudoun | Alan Brown | 73,327 | 63.4 | 19.1 | 21.6 | 7.1 | 0.0 | 47.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7 | SNP | SNP |
| 249 | 309 | Edinburgh North and Leith | Deidre Brock | 79,473 | 71.2 | 19.6 | 22.1 | 8.8 | 6.8 | 38.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7 | SNP | SNP |
| 249 | 309 | Orkney and Shetland | Alistair Carmichael | 34,164 | 68.1 | 2.1 | 4.2 | 53.6 | 0.0 | 34.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.8 | LIB | LIB |
| 249 | 309 | Falkirk | Johnny McNally | 82,240 | 65.4 | 20.0 | 21.9 | 9.0 | 5.7 | 43.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 250 | 308 | Linlithgow and East Falkirk | Martyn Day | 86,186 | 65.1 | 21.5 | 22.0 | 7.6 | 3.7 | 40.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7 | SNP | SNP |
| 250 | 308 | Lanark and Hamilton East | Angela Crawley | 77,313 | 65.3 | 25.9 | 26.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 38.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 250 | 308 | Dundee East | Stewart Hosie | 65,854 | 65.2 | 19.7 | 18.8 | 8.7 | 0.0 | 48.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7 | SNP | SNP |
| 250 | 308 | Dunbartonshire East | Jo Swinson | 66,300 | 78.1 | 7.0 | 5.4 | 44.8 | 3.7 | 34.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7 | LIB | LIB |
| 251 | 307 | Ayrshire North and Arran | Patricia Gibson | 73,174 | 64.8 | 25.0 | 19.6 | 8.8 | 3.7 | 43.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 252 | 306 | Ayrshire Central | Philippa Whitford | 68,997 | 65.3 | 28.1 | 20.0 | 9.4 | 0.0 | 42.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 252 | 306 | Edinburgh South West | Joanna Cherry | 71,178 | 69.4 | 25.7 | 17.7 | 8.5 | 3.7 | 39.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7 | SNP | SNP |
| 252 | 306 | Edinburgh West | Christine Jardine | 71,500 | 73.8 | 15.7 | 7.0 | 40.8 | 3.7 | 32.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 254 | 304 | Caithness Sutherland and Easter Ross | Jamie Stone | 46,868 | 65.9 | 16.3 | 6.3 | 42.9 | 0.0 | 34.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 256 | 302 | Ross Skye and Lochaber | Ian Blackford | 53,638 | 71.7 | 17.2 | 5.0 | 25.8 | 0.0 | 45.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.5 | SNP | SNP |
| 256 | 302 | Renfrewshire East | Paul Masterton | 70,067 | 76.7 | 33.7 | 20.6 | 9.2 | 0.0 | 36.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
| 260 | 298 | Fife North East | Stephen Gethins | 58,685 | 71.3 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 40.1 | 0.0 | 38.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | LIB |
| 268 | 290 | Inverness Nairn Badenoch and Strathspey | Drew Hendry | 76,844 | 68.7 | 24.6 | 8.5 | 19.2 | 3.7 | 43.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 268 | 290 | Ayr Carrick and Cumnock | Bill Grant | 71,241 | 64.9 | 33.9 | 17.8 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 39.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
| 269 | 289 | Stirling | Stephen Kerr | 66,415 | 74.3 | 31.0 | 14.3 | 10.1 | 3.7 | 40.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
| 286 | 272 | Argyll and Bute | Brendan O'Hara | 67,230 | 71.5 | 27.0 | 6.5 | 25.3 | 0.0 | 41.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 288 | 270 | Ochil and South Perthshire | Luke Graham | 76,767 | 70.6 | 35.2 | 14.0 | 10.3 | 0.0 | 40.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
| 289 | 269 | Aberdeen South | Ross Thomson | 64,964 | 68.5 | 35.9 | 14.5 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 36.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
| 295 | 263 | Dumfries and Galloway | Alister Jack | 74,206 | 69.5 | 37.3 | 15.1 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 37.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
| 328 | 230 | Gordon | Colin Clark | 78,531 | 68.4 | 34.4 | 5.7 | 18.7 | 0.0 | 41.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
| 356 | 202 | Perth and North Perthshire | Pete Wishart | 71,743 | 71.8 | 36.0 | 4.3 | 12.1 | 0.0 | 47.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 358 | 200 | Angus | Kirstene Hair | 63,840 | 63.0 | 38.9 | 7.0 | 10.4 | 0.0 | 43.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
| 367 | 192 | Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale | David Mundell | 67,672 | 72.4 | 43.1 | 10.5 | 11.1 | 0.0 | 35.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 408 | 150 | Moray | Douglas Ross | 70,649 | 67.4 | 41.4 | 5.0 | 9.6 | 0.0 | 44.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
| 413 | 146 | Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine | Andrew Bowie | 72,477 | 71.2 | 41.6 | 5.0 | 15.8 | 0.0 | 37.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 426 | 132 | Banff and Buchan | David Duguid | 67,601 | 61.6 | 41.7 | 3.8 | 10.4 | 0.0 | 44.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
| 509 | 50 | Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk | John Lamont | 73,191 | 71.5 | 47.5 | 3.6 | 11.3 | 0.0 | 37.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.
© 2024 Electoral Calculus Ltd
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