The predicted results in the country and in Scotland, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.
| Party | 2017 Votes | 2017 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 43.5% | 318 | 22.0% | 2 | 12 | -10 | 308 |
| LAB | 41.0% | 262 | 28.0% | 0 | 11 | -11 | 251 |
| LIB | 7.6% | 12 | 11.0% | 4 | 0 | +4 | 16 |
| Brexit | 0.0% | 0 | 21.0% | 4 | 0 | +4 | 4 |
| Green | 1.7% | 1 | 6.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| SNP | 3.1% | 35 | 3.6% | 15 | 1 | +14 | 49 |
| PlaidC | 0.5% | 4 | 0.5% | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| UKIP | 1.9% | 0 | 4.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
| Other | 0.7% | 0 | 4.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
| N.Ire | 18 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 18 |
Edit current prediction, make new prediction, or go back to home page.
| Party | 2017 Votes | 2017 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 28.6% | 13 | 21.0% | 0 | 10 | -10 | 3 |
| LAB | 27.1% | 7 | 18.0% | 0 | 5 | -5 | 2 |
| LIB | 6.8% | 4 | 11.0% | 1 | 0 | +1 | 5 |
| Brexit | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
| Green | 0.2% | 0 | 4.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
| SNP | 36.9% | 35 | 41.0% | 15 | 1 | +14 | 49 |
| UKIP | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
| Other | 0.3% | 0 | 5.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
| LAB Seats | CON Seats | Seat | MP at 2017 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | Green % | SNP % | UKIP % | MIN % | OTH % | 2017 Win | Pred Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87 | 473 | Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath | Lesley Laird | 72,721 | 63.5 | 17.3 | 51.4 | 27.0 | 4.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 97 | 463 | Edinburgh South | Ian Murray | 64,553 | 74.1 | 13.3 | 46.0 | 9.8 | 4.0 | 26.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 126 | 433 | Glasgow North East | Paul Sweeney | 59,932 | 53.0 | 9.0 | 35.6 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 46.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | SNP |
| 151 | 408 | Glasgow South West | Chris Stephens | 62,991 | 56.2 | 10.8 | 33.6 | 9.4 | 0.0 | 46.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 156 | 403 | Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill | Hugh Gaffney | 71,198 | 63.3 | 11.1 | 33.6 | 8.4 | 3.7 | 43.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | SNP |
| 182 | 377 | Glasgow Central | Alison Thewliss | 64,346 | 55.9 | 9.7 | 29.4 | 8.9 | 3.5 | 48.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 189 | 370 | Glasgow East | David Linden | 66,242 | 54.6 | 13.1 | 32.1 | 10.1 | 0.0 | 44.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 198 | 361 | Rutherglen and Hamilton West | Ged Killen | 80,098 | 63.5 | 13.5 | 31.0 | 12.6 | 0.0 | 42.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | SNP |
| 200 | 359 | Motherwell and Wishaw | Marion Fellows | 68,215 | 61.5 | 13.9 | 31.1 | 10.4 | 0.0 | 44.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 200 | 359 | Dunbartonshire West | Martin Docherty | 67,602 | 65.2 | 10.4 | 27.5 | 6.6 | 3.8 | 47.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.8 | SNP | SNP |
| 204 | 355 | Glasgow North West | Carol Monaghan | 63,773 | 60.9 | 12.3 | 28.9 | 10.9 | 0.0 | 47.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 214 | 345 | Inverclyde | Ronnie Cowan | 58,853 | 66.4 | 15.0 | 30.7 | 10.2 | 0.0 | 44.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 217 | 342 | Na h-Eileanan An Iar (Western Isles) | Angus MacNeil | 21,301 | 69.6 | 11.3 | 26.7 | 8.8 | 0.0 | 45.8 | 0.0 | 7.5 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 217 | 342 | Glasgow North | Patrick Grady | 53,863 | 62.1 | 10.2 | 25.5 | 9.6 | 13.3 | 41.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 220 | 339 | Dundee West | Chris Law | 62,644 | 61.7 | 9.8 | 24.8 | 7.9 | 0.0 | 51.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.7 | SNP | SNP |
| 222 | 337 | Glasgow South | Stewart McDonald | 69,126 | 64.4 | 12.9 | 27.7 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 45.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 223 | 336 | Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East | Stuart McDonald | 66,554 | 65.9 | 12.5 | 27.2 | 10.8 | 0.0 | 49.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 223 | 336 | Glenrothes | Peter Grant | 66,378 | 60.9 | 13.2 | 27.8 | 10.6 | 0.0 | 48.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 224 | 335 | Paisley and Renfrewshire South | Mhairi Black | 61,344 | 68.0 | 13.8 | 28.2 | 11.8 | 0.0 | 46.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 228 | 331 | Edinburgh East | Tommy Sheppard | 65,896 | 66.0 | 12.6 | 25.7 | 10.9 | 3.9 | 46.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 234 | 325 | Airdrie and Shotts | Neil Gray | 64,146 | 59.2 | 16.7 | 28.2 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 42.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 237 | 322 | Midlothian | Danielle Rowley | 68,328 | 66.3 | 19.0 | 29.5 | 11.5 | 0.0 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | SNP |
| 245 | 314 | Dunfermline and West Fife | Douglas Chapman | 75,672 | 67.4 | 18.2 | 25.0 | 12.8 | 4.0 | 39.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 247 | 312 | East Lothian | Martin Whitfield | 79,093 | 70.6 | 23.3 | 29.4 | 11.1 | 0.0 | 36.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | SNP |
| 247 | 312 | Livingston | Hannah Bardell | 81,208 | 64.7 | 17.9 | 23.8 | 9.8 | 4.0 | 44.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 249 | 310 | Aberdeen North | Kirsty Blackman | 62,130 | 59.2 | 16.6 | 21.5 | 12.2 | 4.0 | 45.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 249 | 310 | East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow | Lisa Cameron | 80,442 | 67.3 | 18.9 | 22.9 | 10.3 | 4.3 | 43.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 249 | 310 | Paisley and Renfrewshire North | Gavin Newlands | 67,436 | 69.1 | 21.1 | 25.0 | 10.9 | 0.0 | 43.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 250 | 309 | Kilmarnock and Loudoun | Alan Brown | 73,327 | 63.4 | 18.7 | 20.8 | 7.5 | 0.0 | 48.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.1 | SNP | SNP |
| 250 | 309 | Edinburgh North and Leith | Deidre Brock | 79,473 | 71.2 | 19.3 | 21.0 | 9.1 | 7.1 | 38.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.1 | SNP | SNP |
| 250 | 309 | Orkney and Shetland | Alistair Carmichael | 34,164 | 68.1 | 5.2 | 6.8 | 51.7 | 0.0 | 32.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 250 | 309 | Falkirk | Johnny McNally | 82,240 | 65.4 | 19.8 | 21.0 | 9.5 | 6.0 | 43.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 251 | 308 | Linlithgow and East Falkirk | Martyn Day | 86,186 | 65.1 | 21.1 | 21.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 40.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.1 | SNP | SNP |
| 251 | 308 | Lanark and Hamilton East | Angela Crawley | 77,313 | 65.3 | 25.7 | 25.2 | 10.6 | 0.0 | 38.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 251 | 308 | Dundee East | Stewart Hosie | 65,854 | 65.2 | 19.4 | 17.9 | 9.1 | 0.0 | 48.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.1 | SNP | SNP |
| 251 | 308 | Dunbartonshire East | Jo Swinson | 66,300 | 78.1 | 8.8 | 7.2 | 43.9 | 2.9 | 33.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7 | LIB | LIB |
| 252 | 307 | Ayrshire North and Arran | Patricia Gibson | 73,174 | 64.8 | 24.8 | 18.6 | 9.3 | 4.0 | 43.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 252 | 307 | Edinburgh West | Christine Jardine | 71,500 | 73.8 | 15.3 | 8.5 | 40.3 | 3.5 | 32.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 253 | 306 | Caithness Sutherland and Easter Ross | Jamie Stone | 46,868 | 65.9 | 15.8 | 8.7 | 41.8 | 0.0 | 33.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 253 | 306 | Ayrshire Central | Philippa Whitford | 68,997 | 65.3 | 27.9 | 19.2 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 42.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 254 | 305 | Edinburgh South West | Joanna Cherry | 71,178 | 69.4 | 25.4 | 16.6 | 8.8 | 4.0 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.1 | SNP | SNP |
| 254 | 305 | Ross Skye and Lochaber | Ian Blackford | 53,638 | 71.7 | 16.9 | 7.6 | 25.1 | 0.0 | 44.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.7 | SNP | SNP |
| 255 | 304 | Fife North East | Stephen Gethins | 58,685 | 71.3 | 17.4 | 7.2 | 38.6 | 0.0 | 36.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | LIB |
| 258 | 301 | Renfrewshire East | Paul Masterton | 70,067 | 76.7 | 33.5 | 19.8 | 9.8 | 0.0 | 36.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
| 265 | 294 | Inverness Nairn Badenoch and Strathspey | Drew Hendry | 76,844 | 68.7 | 24.2 | 9.4 | 19.0 | 3.6 | 43.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 270 | 289 | Ayr Carrick and Cumnock | Bill Grant | 71,241 | 64.9 | 33.6 | 17.0 | 9.6 | 0.0 | 39.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
| 273 | 286 | Stirling | Stephen Kerr | 66,415 | 74.3 | 30.8 | 13.4 | 10.6 | 4.0 | 41.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
| 274 | 285 | Argyll and Bute | Brendan O'Hara | 67,230 | 71.5 | 26.4 | 8.8 | 24.3 | 0.0 | 40.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 290 | 269 | Ochil and South Perthshire | Luke Graham | 76,767 | 70.6 | 35.0 | 13.2 | 10.9 | 0.0 | 40.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
| 292 | 267 | Aberdeen South | Ross Thomson | 64,964 | 68.5 | 35.7 | 13.7 | 13.5 | 0.0 | 37.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
| 298 | 261 | Dumfries and Galloway | Alister Jack | 74,206 | 69.5 | 37.1 | 14.3 | 10.6 | 0.0 | 38.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
| 309 | 250 | Gordon | Colin Clark | 78,531 | 68.4 | 33.9 | 8.4 | 17.5 | 0.0 | 40.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
| 320 | 239 | Perth and North Perthshire | Pete Wishart | 71,743 | 71.8 | 35.4 | 7.5 | 10.6 | 0.0 | 46.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 327 | 232 | Angus | Kirstene Hair | 63,840 | 63.0 | 38.4 | 9.1 | 9.4 | 0.0 | 43.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
| 347 | 213 | Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale | David Mundell | 67,672 | 72.4 | 42.7 | 11.1 | 10.9 | 0.0 | 35.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 361 | 198 | Moray | Douglas Ross | 70,649 | 67.4 | 40.8 | 8.0 | 8.2 | 0.0 | 43.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
| 365 | 195 | Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine | Andrew Bowie | 72,477 | 71.2 | 41.0 | 7.9 | 14.4 | 0.0 | 36.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 377 | 182 | Banff and Buchan | David Duguid | 67,601 | 61.6 | 41.1 | 7.0 | 8.9 | 0.0 | 43.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
| 448 | 112 | Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk | John Lamont | 73,191 | 71.5 | 46.9 | 6.5 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 36.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.
© 2021 Electoral Calculus Ltd
Powered by TigerLib (31-Dec-2020 17:12, Py3L, sc1)