The predicted results in the country and in Scotland, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.
Party | 2017 Votes | 2017 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CON | 43.5% | 318 | 25.0% | 21 | 26 | -5 | 313 |
LAB | 41.0% | 262 | 21.0% | 0 | 32 | -32 | 230 |
LIB | 7.6% | 12 | 20.0% | 20 | 0 | +20 | 32 |
Brexit | 0.0% | 0 | 19.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
Green | 1.7% | 1 | 8.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
SNP | 3.1% | 35 | 3.9% | 18 | 0 | +18 | 53 |
PlaidC | 0.5% | 4 | 0.5% | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
UKIP | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
Other | 0.7% | 0 | 2.9% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
N.Ire | 18 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 18 |
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Party | 2017 Votes | 2017 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CON | 28.6% | 13 | 13.0% | 0 | 13 | -13 | 0 |
LAB | 27.1% | 7 | 15.0% | 0 | 5 | -5 | 2 |
LIB | 6.8% | 4 | 10.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 4 |
Brexit | 0.0% | 0 | 10.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
Green | 0.2% | 0 | 7.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
SNP | 36.9% | 35 | 42.0% | 18 | 0 | +18 | 53 |
UKIP | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
Other | 0.3% | 0 | 3.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
LAB Seats | CON Seats | Seat | MP at 2017 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | Brexit % | Green % | SNP % | UKIP % | MIN % | OTH % | 2017 Win | Pred Win |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | 520 | Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath | Lesley Laird | 72,721 | 63.5 | 10.5 | 47.0 | 23.9 | 11.7 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
53 | 490 | Glasgow South West | Chris Stephens | 62,991 | 56.2 | 4.8 | 30.0 | 7.2 | 10.5 | 0.0 | 47.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
55 | 489 | Edinburgh South | Ian Murray | 64,553 | 74.1 | 15.1 | 39.8 | 7.6 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 30.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
60 | 483 | Glasgow North East | Paul Sweeney | 59,932 | 53.0 | 9.4 | 32.5 | 7.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | SNP |
86 | 457 | Dundee West | Chris Law | 62,644 | 61.7 | 4.5 | 22.8 | 7.0 | 9.3 | 0.0 | 52.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5 | SNP | SNP |
89 | 454 | Glasgow North | Patrick Grady | 53,863 | 62.1 | 4.2 | 21.8 | 7.3 | 9.0 | 15.6 | 42.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
92 | 451 | Glenrothes | Peter Grant | 66,378 | 60.9 | 7.4 | 24.9 | 8.2 | 10.1 | 0.0 | 49.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
95 | 448 | Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill | Hugh Gaffney | 71,198 | 63.3 | 11.9 | 29.2 | 6.3 | 0.0 | 6.3 | 46.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | SNP |
100 | 443 | Glasgow South | Stewart McDonald | 69,126 | 64.4 | 7.2 | 23.6 | 7.3 | 9.7 | 6.3 | 45.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
104 | 439 | Glasgow Central | Alison Thewliss | 64,346 | 55.9 | 10.0 | 25.6 | 6.9 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 51.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
109 | 434 | Glasgow East | David Linden | 66,242 | 54.6 | 14.4 | 29.4 | 7.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 48.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
118 | 425 | Rutherglen and Hamilton West | Ged Killen | 80,098 | 63.5 | 14.7 | 28.5 | 10.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 46.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | SNP |
118 | 425 | Glasgow North West | Carol Monaghan | 63,773 | 60.9 | 13.0 | 26.6 | 8.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 51.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
119 | 424 | Motherwell and Wishaw | Marion Fellows | 68,215 | 61.5 | 15.2 | 28.6 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 48.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
121 | 422 | Na h-Eileanan An Iar (Western Isles) | Angus MacNeil | 21,301 | 69.6 | 11.7 | 24.7 | 6.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 49.2 | 0.0 | 7.5 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
122 | 421 | Dunbartonshire West | Martin Docherty | 67,602 | 65.2 | 11.7 | 24.4 | 5.3 | 0.0 | 6.2 | 49.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | SNP | SNP |
123 | 420 | Inverclyde | Ronnie Cowan | 58,853 | 66.4 | 15.7 | 28.2 | 8.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 47.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
129 | 414 | Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East | Stuart McDonald | 66,554 | 65.9 | 13.5 | 25.1 | 8.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 53.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
133 | 410 | Paisley and Renfrewshire South | Mhairi Black | 61,344 | 68.0 | 14.7 | 26.0 | 9.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 49.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
149 | 394 | Edinburgh East | Tommy Sheppard | 65,896 | 66.0 | 13.4 | 22.4 | 8.4 | 0.0 | 6.2 | 49.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
157 | 386 | Midlothian | Danielle Rowley | 68,328 | 66.3 | 18.8 | 27.4 | 9.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 44.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | SNP |
161 | 382 | Aberdeen North | Kirsty Blackman | 62,130 | 59.2 | 10.0 | 18.4 | 9.3 | 9.9 | 6.4 | 46.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
165 | 378 | Airdrie and Shotts | Neil Gray | 64,146 | 59.2 | 17.0 | 24.6 | 6.6 | 0.0 | 6.7 | 45.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
180 | 363 | Edinburgh North and Leith | Deidre Brock | 79,473 | 71.2 | 12.0 | 18.5 | 7.8 | 10.0 | 9.8 | 39.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7 | SNP | SNP |
191 | 352 | East Lothian | Martin Whitfield | 79,093 | 70.6 | 22.1 | 27.5 | 9.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 40.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | SNP |
194 | 349 | Linlithgow and East Falkirk | Martyn Day | 86,186 | 65.1 | 13.3 | 18.4 | 6.7 | 10.2 | 6.9 | 41.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8 | SNP | SNP |
204 | 339 | Dunfermline and West Fife | Douglas Chapman | 75,672 | 67.4 | 18.1 | 21.8 | 10.4 | 0.0 | 6.7 | 43.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
206 | 337 | Orkney and Shetland | Alistair Carmichael | 34,164 | 68.1 | 0.3 | 3.8 | 51.7 | 7.3 | 0.0 | 33.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | LIB | LIB |
210 | 333 | Paisley and Renfrewshire North | Gavin Newlands | 67,436 | 69.1 | 20.2 | 23.5 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 47.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
213 | 330 | Livingston | Hannah Bardell | 81,208 | 64.7 | 17.8 | 20.8 | 7.3 | 0.0 | 6.6 | 47.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
224 | 319 | Kilmarnock and Loudoun | Alan Brown | 73,327 | 63.4 | 18.6 | 20.2 | 6.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 51.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7 | SNP | SNP |
227 | 316 | East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow | Lisa Cameron | 80,442 | 67.3 | 18.8 | 20.0 | 7.6 | 0.0 | 6.9 | 46.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
230 | 313 | Lanark and Hamilton East | Angela Crawley | 77,313 | 65.3 | 24.0 | 24.0 | 8.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 43.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
233 | 310 | Falkirk | Johnny McNally | 82,240 | 65.4 | 19.4 | 18.4 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 8.7 | 46.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
234 | 309 | Dundee East | Stewart Hosie | 65,854 | 65.2 | 19.0 | 17.8 | 8.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 52.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7 | SNP | SNP |
234 | 309 | Edinburgh South West | Joanna Cherry | 71,178 | 69.4 | 16.2 | 14.7 | 7.7 | 10.5 | 7.1 | 40.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9 | SNP | SNP |
240 | 303 | Caithness Sutherland and Easter Ross | Jamie Stone | 46,868 | 65.9 | 9.5 | 5.6 | 40.5 | 9.2 | 0.0 | 35.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
241 | 302 | Dunbartonshire East | Jo Swinson | 66,300 | 78.1 | 8.9 | 4.6 | 43.1 | 0.0 | 5.2 | 36.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1 | LIB | LIB |
243 | 300 | Ross Skye and Lochaber | Ian Blackford | 53,638 | 71.7 | 10.4 | 5.0 | 24.8 | 9.2 | 0.0 | 46.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.1 | SNP | SNP |
245 | 298 | Ayrshire Central | Philippa Whitford | 68,997 | 65.3 | 25.2 | 18.9 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 47.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
245 | 298 | Ayrshire North and Arran | Patricia Gibson | 73,174 | 64.8 | 22.8 | 16.4 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 46.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
249 | 294 | Inverness Nairn Badenoch and Strathspey | Drew Hendry | 76,844 | 68.7 | 15.2 | 6.5 | 16.9 | 10.0 | 6.5 | 44.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
249 | 294 | Edinburgh West | Christine Jardine | 71,500 | 73.8 | 15.2 | 5.6 | 38.3 | 0.0 | 5.8 | 35.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
249 | 294 | Renfrewshire East | Paul Masterton | 70,067 | 76.7 | 29.6 | 19.7 | 8.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
250 | 293 | Ayr Carrick and Cumnock | Bill Grant | 71,241 | 64.9 | 29.5 | 17.2 | 8.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 44.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
250 | 293 | Fife North East | Stephen Gethins | 58,685 | 71.3 | 16.7 | 4.3 | 38.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 41.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
254 | 289 | Stirling | Stephen Kerr | 66,415 | 74.3 | 27.3 | 12.1 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 7.2 | 44.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
255 | 288 | Ochil and South Perthshire | Luke Graham | 76,767 | 70.6 | 30.4 | 13.9 | 9.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 46.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
255 | 288 | Aberdeen South | Ross Thomson | 64,964 | 68.5 | 31.0 | 14.4 | 12.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
256 | 287 | Argyll and Bute | Brendan O'Hara | 67,230 | 71.5 | 23.8 | 7.0 | 23.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 45.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
256 | 287 | Dumfries and Galloway | Alister Jack | 74,206 | 69.5 | 32.2 | 15.0 | 9.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 43.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
259 | 284 | Perth and North Perthshire | Pete Wishart | 71,743 | 71.8 | 23.0 | 4.7 | 10.9 | 11.6 | 0.0 | 49.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
272 | 271 | Gordon | Colin Clark | 78,531 | 68.4 | 29.5 | 6.7 | 17.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 46.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
292 | 251 | Angus | Kirstene Hair | 63,840 | 63.0 | 33.0 | 8.0 | 9.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 49.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
292 | 251 | Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale | David Mundell | 67,672 | 72.4 | 36.4 | 11.3 | 10.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 41.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
313 | 230 | Moray | Douglas Ross | 70,649 | 67.4 | 34.8 | 6.4 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 49.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
314 | 229 | Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine | Andrew Bowie | 72,477 | 71.2 | 35.0 | 6.4 | 15.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 43.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
324 | 219 | Banff and Buchan | David Duguid | 67,601 | 61.6 | 34.9 | 5.4 | 9.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 49.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
360 | 183 | Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk | John Lamont | 73,191 | 71.5 | 39.2 | 5.5 | 11.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 43.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.
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