Election Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Conservative short 53 of majority

List of predicted seat changes

Party	2010 Votes	2010 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	37.0%	307	29.0%	3	37	-34	273
LAB	29.7%	258	22.0%	18	49	-31	227
LIB	23.6%	57	22.0%	31	0	+31	88
UKIP	3.2%	0	1.0%	0	0	+0	0
Green	1.0%	1	7.0%	0	0	+0	1
SNP	1.7%	6	3.0%	33	0	+33	39
PlaidC	0.6%	3	0.6%	0	0	+0	3
Other	3.4%	0	15.5%	1	0	+1	1
N.Ire		18		0	0	+0	18

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2010
Aberdeen North	Grampian	SNP	gain from	LAB	Frank Doran
Aberdeen South	Grampian	LIB	gain from	LAB	Anne Begg
Airdrie and Shotts	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Pamela Nash
Amber Valley	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Nigel Mills
Ashfield	Nottinghamshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Gloria de Piero
Ayr Carrick and Cumnock	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	LAB	Sandra Osborne
Ayrshire Central	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	LAB	Brian Donohoe
Ayrshire North and Arran	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	LAB	Katy Clark
Bedford	Bedfordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Richard Fuller
Bristol North West	Bristol area	LIB	gain from	CON	Charlotte Leslie
Broxtowe	Nottinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Anna Soubry
Camborne and Redruth	Cornwall	LIB	gain from	CON	George Eustice
Cardiff North	South Glamorgan	LAB	gain from	CON	Jonathan Evans
Carlisle	Cumbria	LAB	gain from	CON	John Stevenson
Chesterfield	Derbyshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Toby Perkins
Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Tom Clarke
Cornwall South East	Cornwall	LIB	gain from	CON	Sheryll Murray
Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Gregg McClymont
Devon West and Torridge	Devon	LIB	gain from	CON	Geoffrey Cox
Dewsbury	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Simon Reevell
Dorset West	Dorset	LIB	gain from	CON	Oliver Letwin
Dumfries and Galloway	Dumfries and Galloway	CON	gain from	LAB	Russell Brown
Dunbartonshire West	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Gemma Doyle
Dundee West	Tayside	SNP	gain from	LAB	James McGovern
Dunfermline and West Fife	Fife	LIB	gain from	LAB	Thomas Docherty
East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	LAB	Michael McCann
East Lothian	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Fiona O'Donnell
Edinburgh East	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Sheila Gilmore
Edinburgh North and Leith	Edinburgh area	LIB	gain from	LAB	Mark Lazarowicz
Edinburgh South	Edinburgh area	LIB	gain from	LAB	Ian Murray
Edinburgh South West	Edinburgh area	CON	gain from	LAB	Alistair Darling
Falkirk	Central	SNP	gain from	LAB	Eric Joyce
Glasgow Central	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Anas Sarwar
Glasgow East	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Margaret Curran
Glasgow North	Glasgow area	LIB	gain from	LAB	Ann McKechin
Glasgow North East	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Willie Bain
Glasgow North West	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	John Robertson
Glasgow South	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Tom Harris
Glasgow South West	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Ian Davidson
Glenrothes	Fife	SNP	gain from	LAB	Lindsay Roy
Hampstead and Kilburn	Camden	LIB	gain from	LAB	Glenda Jackson
Harrogate and Knaresborough	North Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Andrew Jones
Hendon	Barnet	LAB	gain from	CON	Matthew Offord
Hereford and South Herefordshire	Hereford and Worcestershire	LIB	gain from	CON	Jesse Norman
Hull North	Humber area	LIB	gain from	LAB	Diana Johnson
Inverclyde	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	David Cairns
Kilmarnock and Loudoun	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	LAB	Cathy Jamieson
Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath	Fife	SNP	gain from	LAB	Gordon Brown
Lanark and Hamilton East	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	LAB	Jimmy Hood
Lancaster and Fleetwood	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Eric Ollerenshaw
Lincoln	Lincolnshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Karl McCartney
Linlithgow and East Falkirk	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Michael Connarty
Livingston	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Graeme Morrice
Midlothian	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	David Hamilton
Montgomeryshire	Powys	LIB	gain from	CON	Glyn Davies
Morecambe and Lunesdale	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	David Morris
Motherwell and Wishaw	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Frank Roy
Newton Abbot	Devon	LIB	gain from	CON	Anne-Marie Morris
Northampton North	Northamptonshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Michael Ellis
Ochil and South Perthshire	Central	SNP	gain from	LAB	Gordon Banks
Oldham East and Saddleworth	Eastern Manchester	LIB	gain from	LAB	Phil Woolas
Oxford West and Abingdon	Oxfordshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Nicola Blackwood
Paisley and Renfrewshire North	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	James Sheridan
Paisley and Renfrewshire South	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Douglas Alexander
Renfrewshire East	Glasgow area	CON	gain from	LAB	Jim Murphy
Richmond Park	Richmond Upon Thames	LIB	gain from	CON	Zac Goldsmith
Rochdale	Eastern Manchester	LIB	gain from	LAB	Simon Danczuk
Rutherglen and Hamilton West	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	LAB	Tom Greatrex
Sheffield Central	South Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Paul Blomfield
Sherwood	Nottinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Mark Spencer
St Albans	Hertfordshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Anne Main
Stirling	Central	SNP	gain from	LAB	Anne McGuire
Stockton South	Teesside	LAB	gain from	CON	James Wharton
Swansea West	West Glamorgan	LIB	gain from	LAB	Geraint Davies
Thurrock	Essex	LAB	gain from	CON	Jackie Doyle-Price
Truro and Falmouth	Cornwall	LIB	gain from	CON	Sarah Newton
Warrington South	Cheshire	LAB	gain from	CON	David Mowat
Warwickshire North	Warwickshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Dan Byles
Watford	Hertfordshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Richard Harrington
Waveney	Suffolk	LAB	gain from	CON	Peter Aldous
Weaver Vale	Cheshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Graham Evans
Weston-Super-Mare	Bristol area	LIB	gain from	CON	John Penrose
Winchester	Hampshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Steve Brine
Wolverhampton South West	Black Country	LAB	gain from	CON	Paul Uppal
Wyre Forest	Hereford and Worcestershire	MIN	gain from	CON	Mark Garnier
York Outer	North Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Julian Sturdy

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2010. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

User-defined Prediction

National Prediction: Conservative short 53 of majority

List of predicted seat changes