The predicted results in the country and in Scotland, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.
Party | 2017 Votes | 2017 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CON | 43.5% | 318 | 31.0% | 40 | 13 | +27 | 345 |
LAB | 41.0% | 262 | 22.0% | 0 | 51 | -51 | 211 |
LIB | 7.6% | 12 | 21.0% | 16 | 0 | +16 | 28 |
Brexit | 0.0% | 0 | 14.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
Green | 1.7% | 1 | 7.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
SNP | 3.1% | 35 | 3.5% | 10 | 1 | +9 | 44 |
PlaidC | 0.5% | 4 | 0.5% | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
UKIP | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
Other | 0.7% | 0 | 1.2% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
N.Ire | 18 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 18 |
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Party | 2017 Votes | 2017 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CON | 28.6% | 13 | 23.0% | 0 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
LAB | 27.1% | 7 | 12.0% | 0 | 5 | -5 | 2 |
LIB | 6.8% | 4 | 14.0% | 1 | 0 | +1 | 5 |
Brexit | 0.0% | 0 | 3.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
Green | 0.2% | 0 | 8.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
SNP | 36.9% | 35 | 39.0% | 10 | 1 | +9 | 44 |
UKIP | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
Other | 0.3% | 0 | 1.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
LAB Seats | CON Seats | Seat | MP at 2017 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | Brexit % | Green % | SNP % | UKIP % | MIN % | OTH % | 2017 Win | Pred Win |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
63 | 494 | Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath | Lesley Laird | 72,721 | 63.5 | 18.3 | 40.4 | 27.3 | 4.7 | 9.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
84 | 472 | Glasgow North East | Paul Sweeney | 59,932 | 53.0 | 10.2 | 28.0 | 13.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 48.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | SNP |
96 | 460 | Glasgow South West | Chris Stephens | 62,991 | 56.2 | 10.2 | 25.8 | 13.1 | 4.7 | 0.0 | 46.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
106 | 451 | Edinburgh South | Ian Murray | 64,553 | 74.1 | 17.4 | 31.4 | 13.7 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 26.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
127 | 429 | Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill | Hugh Gaffney | 71,198 | 63.3 | 13.5 | 23.0 | 11.4 | 0.0 | 9.6 | 42.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | SNP |
128 | 428 | Dundee West | Chris Law | 62,644 | 61.7 | 10.6 | 19.9 | 12.4 | 3.9 | 0.0 | 51.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8 | SNP | SNP |
132 | 424 | Glasgow Central | Alison Thewliss | 64,346 | 55.9 | 11.0 | 20.1 | 11.7 | 0.0 | 9.1 | 48.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
133 | 423 | Glasgow East | David Linden | 66,242 | 54.6 | 16.3 | 25.2 | 13.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 45.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
140 | 416 | Glasgow North | Patrick Grady | 53,863 | 62.1 | 9.3 | 17.2 | 11.8 | 3.4 | 18.3 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
141 | 415 | Na h-Eileanan An Iar (Western Isles) | Angus MacNeil | 21,301 | 69.6 | 13.4 | 21.1 | 11.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 46.3 | 0.0 | 7.5 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
141 | 415 | Glasgow North West | Carol Monaghan | 63,773 | 60.9 | 15.0 | 22.7 | 13.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 48.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
143 | 413 | Rutherglen and Hamilton West | Ged Killen | 80,098 | 63.5 | 16.9 | 24.3 | 15.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 43.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | SNP |
143 | 413 | Glenrothes | Peter Grant | 66,378 | 60.9 | 14.1 | 21.3 | 12.9 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 47.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
145 | 411 | Motherwell and Wishaw | Marion Fellows | 68,215 | 61.5 | 17.5 | 24.4 | 13.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 44.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
156 | 400 | Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East | Stuart McDonald | 66,554 | 65.9 | 15.4 | 21.5 | 13.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 49.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
161 | 395 | Inverclyde | Ronnie Cowan | 58,853 | 66.4 | 18.6 | 23.9 | 12.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 44.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
162 | 394 | Dunbartonshire West | Martin Docherty | 67,602 | 65.2 | 14.0 | 19.3 | 10.6 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 46.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.9 | SNP | SNP |
164 | 392 | Paisley and Renfrewshire South | Mhairi Black | 61,344 | 68.0 | 17.0 | 22.3 | 14.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 46.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
164 | 392 | Glasgow South | Stewart McDonald | 69,126 | 64.4 | 13.7 | 18.6 | 11.8 | 3.5 | 8.8 | 43.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
193 | 363 | Edinburgh East | Tommy Sheppard | 65,896 | 66.0 | 15.5 | 17.5 | 12.7 | 0.0 | 8.6 | 45.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
201 | 355 | Midlothian | Danielle Rowley | 68,328 | 66.3 | 22.5 | 23.1 | 14.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 40.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | SNP |
207 | 349 | Orkney and Shetland | Alistair Carmichael | 34,164 | 68.1 | 3.8 | 4.1 | 55.3 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 32.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6 | LIB | LIB |
220 | 336 | Airdrie and Shotts | Neil Gray | 64,146 | 59.2 | 20.2 | 19.2 | 10.8 | 0.0 | 8.9 | 40.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
230 | 326 | Aberdeen North | Kirsty Blackman | 62,130 | 59.2 | 17.6 | 14.5 | 13.0 | 3.4 | 8.1 | 43.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
231 | 325 | East Lothian | Martin Whitfield | 79,093 | 70.6 | 26.8 | 23.0 | 13.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 36.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | SNP |
233 | 323 | Dunfermline and West Fife | Douglas Chapman | 75,672 | 67.4 | 21.6 | 17.0 | 14.2 | 0.0 | 8.5 | 38.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
233 | 323 | Paisley and Renfrewshire North | Gavin Newlands | 67,436 | 69.1 | 24.4 | 19.7 | 12.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 43.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
233 | 323 | Livingston | Hannah Bardell | 81,208 | 64.7 | 21.3 | 16.1 | 11.1 | 0.0 | 8.4 | 43.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
236 | 320 | Kilmarnock and Loudoun | Alan Brown | 73,327 | 63.4 | 23.2 | 17.3 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 47.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | SNP | SNP |
238 | 318 | Edinburgh North and Leith | Deidre Brock | 79,473 | 71.2 | 21.6 | 14.8 | 12.2 | 3.2 | 11.3 | 36.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | SNP | SNP |
238 | 318 | East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow | Lisa Cameron | 80,442 | 67.3 | 22.3 | 15.5 | 11.4 | 0.0 | 8.7 | 42.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
238 | 318 | Dunbartonshire East | Jo Swinson | 66,300 | 78.1 | 10.7 | 3.5 | 46.4 | 0.0 | 6.2 | 32.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | LIB | LIB |
242 | 314 | Dundee East | Stewart Hosie | 65,854 | 65.2 | 23.8 | 15.2 | 12.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 48.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | SNP | SNP |
243 | 313 | Linlithgow and East Falkirk | Martyn Day | 86,186 | 65.1 | 23.5 | 14.8 | 11.1 | 3.2 | 8.2 | 38.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | SNP | SNP |
244 | 312 | Falkirk | Johnny McNally | 82,240 | 65.4 | 23.1 | 14.2 | 10.4 | 0.0 | 10.2 | 42.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
244 | 312 | Lanark and Hamilton East | Angela Crawley | 77,313 | 65.3 | 29.0 | 19.9 | 12.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 38.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
251 | 305 | Caithness Sutherland and Easter Ross | Jamie Stone | 46,868 | 65.9 | 17.2 | 4.9 | 42.6 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 32.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
253 | 303 | Edinburgh West | Christine Jardine | 71,500 | 73.8 | 18.2 | 4.0 | 40.5 | 0.0 | 6.3 | 30.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
254 | 302 | Ross Skye and Lochaber | Ian Blackford | 53,638 | 71.7 | 19.3 | 4.6 | 27.5 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 43.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3 | SNP | SNP |
254 | 302 | Ayrshire North and Arran | Patricia Gibson | 73,174 | 64.8 | 28.0 | 12.6 | 9.9 | 0.0 | 7.8 | 41.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
254 | 302 | Ayrshire Central | Philippa Whitford | 68,997 | 65.3 | 31.1 | 15.4 | 11.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
254 | 302 | Edinburgh South West | Joanna Cherry | 71,178 | 69.4 | 27.8 | 11.8 | 11.5 | 3.0 | 7.7 | 37.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | SNP | SNP |
255 | 301 | Fife North East | Stephen Gethins | 58,685 | 71.3 | 20.3 | 3.5 | 39.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 36.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | LIB |
264 | 292 | Inverness Nairn Badenoch and Strathspey | Drew Hendry | 76,844 | 68.7 | 25.4 | 5.0 | 19.0 | 2.7 | 6.4 | 41.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
266 | 291 | Renfrewshire East | Paul Masterton | 70,067 | 76.7 | 36.7 | 15.9 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 36.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
274 | 282 | Ayr Carrick and Cumnock | Bill Grant | 71,241 | 64.9 | 36.7 | 13.7 | 10.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 39.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
284 | 272 | Argyll and Bute | Brendan O'Hara | 67,230 | 71.5 | 29.4 | 5.3 | 25.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 40.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
287 | 269 | Stirling | Stephen Kerr | 66,415 | 74.3 | 33.8 | 9.0 | 10.7 | 0.0 | 7.1 | 39.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
304 | 252 | Ochil and South Perthshire | Luke Graham | 76,767 | 70.6 | 37.9 | 10.9 | 11.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 39.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
307 | 250 | Aberdeen South | Ross Thomson | 64,964 | 68.5 | 38.6 | 11.3 | 13.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 36.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
312 | 245 | Dumfries and Galloway | Alister Jack | 74,206 | 69.5 | 40.1 | 11.8 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 37.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
341 | 215 | Gordon | Colin Clark | 78,531 | 68.4 | 36.9 | 4.8 | 18.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 39.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
350 | 206 | Perth and North Perthshire | Pete Wishart | 71,743 | 71.8 | 36.8 | 3.4 | 11.6 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 45.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
374 | 182 | Angus | Kirstene Hair | 63,840 | 63.0 | 41.4 | 5.7 | 10.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
400 | 157 | Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale | David Mundell | 67,672 | 72.4 | 45.7 | 8.3 | 11.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 34.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
430 | 127 | Moray | Douglas Ross | 70,649 | 67.4 | 43.8 | 4.2 | 9.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
433 | 124 | Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine | Andrew Bowie | 72,477 | 71.2 | 44.0 | 4.2 | 15.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 36.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
450 | 107 | Banff and Buchan | David Duguid | 67,601 | 61.6 | 44.0 | 3.3 | 9.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
538 | 19 | Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk | John Lamont | 73,191 | 71.5 | 49.8 | 3.1 | 10.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 36.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.
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