The predicted results in the country and in Scotland, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.
Party | 2017 Votes | 2017 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CON | 43.5% | 318 | 35.0% | 73 | 15 | +58 | 376 |
LAB | 41.0% | 262 | 22.0% | 0 | 85 | -85 | 177 |
LIB | 7.6% | 12 | 20.0% | 13 | 0 | +13 | 25 |
Brexit | 0.0% | 0 | 12.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
Green | 1.7% | 1 | 6.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
SNP | 3.1% | 35 | 3.9% | 15 | 0 | +15 | 50 |
PlaidC | 0.5% | 4 | 0.5% | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
UKIP | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
Other | 0.7% | 0 | 0.8% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
N.Ire | 18 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 18 |
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Party | 2017 Votes | 2017 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CON | 28.6% | 13 | 20.0% | 0 | 9 | -9 | 4 |
LAB | 27.1% | 7 | 10.0% | 0 | 6 | -6 | 1 |
LIB | 6.8% | 4 | 8.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 4 |
Brexit | 0.0% | 0 | 10.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
Green | 0.2% | 0 | 6.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
SNP | 36.9% | 35 | 43.0% | 15 | 0 | +15 | 50 |
UKIP | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
Other | 0.3% | 0 | 3.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
LAB Seats | CON Seats | Seat | MP at 2017 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | Brexit % | Green % | SNP % | UKIP % | MIN % | OTH % | 2017 Win | Pred Win |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
49 | 505 | Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath | Lesley Laird | 72,721 | 63.5 | 15.9 | 40.5 | 23.1 | 13.5 | 6.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
90 | 463 | Glasgow South West | Chris Stephens | 62,991 | 56.2 | 7.9 | 21.7 | 6.2 | 13.7 | 0.0 | 50.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
114 | 439 | Glasgow North East | Paul Sweeney | 59,932 | 53.0 | 14.2 | 24.0 | 6.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 55.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | SNP |
118 | 435 | Dundee West | Chris Law | 62,644 | 61.7 | 7.6 | 16.3 | 5.5 | 11.4 | 0.0 | 55.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | SNP | SNP |
121 | 432 | Glasgow North | Patrick Grady | 53,863 | 62.1 | 6.9 | 14.9 | 6.1 | 11.5 | 16.2 | 44.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
126 | 427 | Glenrothes | Peter Grant | 66,378 | 60.9 | 11.7 | 18.0 | 6.8 | 12.1 | 0.0 | 51.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
135 | 418 | Edinburgh South | Ian Murray | 64,553 | 74.1 | 22.5 | 27.4 | 6.6 | 0.0 | 8.4 | 35.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | SNP |
136 | 417 | Glasgow South | Stewart McDonald | 69,126 | 64.4 | 11.3 | 16.1 | 6.0 | 11.9 | 6.7 | 48.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
146 | 407 | Glasgow Central | Alison Thewliss | 64,346 | 55.9 | 14.6 | 17.7 | 5.9 | 0.0 | 6.8 | 54.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
154 | 399 | Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill | Hugh Gaffney | 71,198 | 63.3 | 17.5 | 20.2 | 5.2 | 0.0 | 7.2 | 49.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | SNP |
161 | 392 | Orkney and Shetland | Alistair Carmichael | 34,164 | 68.1 | 1.2 | 3.1 | 50.3 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 34.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1 | LIB | LIB |
161 | 392 | Na h-Eileanan An Iar (Western Isles) | Angus MacNeil | 21,301 | 69.6 | 16.5 | 18.2 | 5.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 52.1 | 0.0 | 7.5 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
161 | 392 | Glasgow East | David Linden | 66,242 | 54.6 | 20.2 | 21.6 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 51.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
165 | 388 | Glasgow North West | Carol Monaghan | 63,773 | 60.9 | 18.4 | 19.5 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 54.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
175 | 378 | Rutherglen and Hamilton West | Ged Killen | 80,098 | 63.5 | 20.6 | 20.9 | 8.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 49.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | SNP |
179 | 374 | Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East | Stuart McDonald | 66,554 | 65.9 | 18.8 | 18.5 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 55.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
179 | 374 | Motherwell and Wishaw | Marion Fellows | 68,215 | 61.5 | 21.2 | 20.9 | 6.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 51.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
179 | 374 | Dunbartonshire West | Martin Docherty | 67,602 | 65.2 | 16.9 | 16.5 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 6.8 | 53.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2 | SNP | SNP |
188 | 365 | Paisley and Renfrewshire South | Mhairi Black | 61,344 | 68.0 | 20.2 | 19.2 | 8.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 52.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
190 | 363 | Inverclyde | Ronnie Cowan | 58,853 | 66.4 | 22.0 | 20.6 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
197 | 356 | Aberdeen North | Kirsty Blackman | 62,130 | 59.2 | 15.1 | 12.6 | 7.7 | 10.9 | 6.0 | 47.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
200 | 353 | Edinburgh East | Tommy Sheppard | 65,896 | 66.0 | 18.7 | 15.5 | 7.1 | 0.0 | 6.5 | 52.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
221 | 332 | Midlothian | Danielle Rowley | 68,328 | 66.3 | 25.8 | 19.8 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 46.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | SNP |
222 | 331 | Edinburgh North and Leith | Deidre Brock | 79,473 | 71.2 | 18.6 | 12.3 | 5.9 | 10.6 | 9.2 | 40.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9 | SNP | SNP |
225 | 328 | Airdrie and Shotts | Neil Gray | 64,146 | 59.2 | 23.7 | 16.9 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 6.7 | 47.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
232 | 321 | Linlithgow and East Falkirk | Martyn Day | 86,186 | 65.1 | 20.5 | 12.3 | 4.8 | 10.6 | 6.1 | 42.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9 | SNP | SNP |
233 | 320 | Dunbartonshire East | Jo Swinson | 66,300 | 78.1 | 11.5 | 3.2 | 41.6 | 0.0 | 4.5 | 37.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1 | LIB | LIB |
233 | 320 | Dunfermline and West Fife | Douglas Chapman | 75,672 | 67.4 | 24.8 | 15.0 | 8.7 | 0.0 | 6.4 | 45.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
234 | 319 | Livingston | Hannah Bardell | 81,208 | 64.7 | 24.3 | 14.3 | 5.6 | 0.0 | 6.3 | 49.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
236 | 317 | East Lothian | Martin Whitfield | 79,093 | 70.6 | 30.2 | 19.8 | 7.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | SNP |
236 | 317 | Paisley and Renfrewshire North | Gavin Newlands | 67,436 | 69.1 | 27.4 | 17.0 | 7.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 48.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
236 | 317 | Caithness Sutherland and Easter Ross | Jamie Stone | 46,868 | 65.9 | 14.5 | 4.1 | 38.3 | 8.1 | 0.0 | 35.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
237 | 316 | Kilmarnock and Loudoun | Alan Brown | 73,327 | 63.4 | 25.3 | 14.4 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 53.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8 | SNP | SNP |
238 | 315 | East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow | Lisa Cameron | 80,442 | 67.3 | 25.5 | 13.8 | 5.8 | 0.0 | 6.4 | 48.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
239 | 314 | Ross Skye and Lochaber | Ian Blackford | 53,638 | 71.7 | 16.2 | 3.5 | 22.6 | 7.8 | 0.0 | 46.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8 | SNP | SNP |
241 | 312 | Dundee East | Stewart Hosie | 65,854 | 65.2 | 25.6 | 12.6 | 6.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 53.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7 | SNP | SNP |
243 | 310 | Falkirk | Johnny McNally | 82,240 | 65.4 | 26.1 | 12.7 | 4.8 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 48.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
247 | 306 | Edinburgh South West | Joanna Cherry | 71,178 | 69.4 | 24.7 | 9.8 | 5.5 | 9.9 | 5.7 | 41.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7 | SNP | SNP |
247 | 306 | Lanark and Hamilton East | Angela Crawley | 77,313 | 65.3 | 32.2 | 17.1 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 44.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
249 | 304 | Edinburgh West | Christine Jardine | 71,500 | 73.8 | 19.6 | 4.0 | 36.4 | 0.0 | 4.6 | 35.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
253 | 300 | Fife North East | Stephen Gethins | 58,685 | 71.3 | 21.1 | 3.2 | 35.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 40.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
253 | 300 | Inverness Nairn Badenoch and Strathspey | Drew Hendry | 76,844 | 68.7 | 22.8 | 4.5 | 14.7 | 8.5 | 4.7 | 44.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
255 | 298 | Ayrshire North and Arran | Patricia Gibson | 73,174 | 64.8 | 30.5 | 11.3 | 4.9 | 0.0 | 5.8 | 47.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
256 | 297 | Ayrshire Central | Philippa Whitford | 68,997 | 65.3 | 33.4 | 13.3 | 5.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 47.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
277 | 276 | Renfrewshire East | Paul Masterton | 70,067 | 76.7 | 39.1 | 13.7 | 5.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 41.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
279 | 274 | Argyll and Bute | Brendan O'Hara | 67,230 | 71.5 | 30.5 | 4.7 | 20.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 43.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
286 | 267 | Ayr Carrick and Cumnock | Bill Grant | 71,241 | 64.9 | 38.9 | 11.9 | 5.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 43.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
288 | 265 | Stirling | Stephen Kerr | 66,415 | 74.3 | 35.8 | 8.3 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 5.3 | 44.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
306 | 247 | Ochil and South Perthshire | Luke Graham | 76,767 | 70.6 | 39.7 | 9.5 | 6.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 44.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
307 | 246 | Aberdeen South | Ross Thomson | 64,964 | 68.5 | 40.5 | 9.8 | 9.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 40.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
310 | 243 | Perth and North Perthshire | Pete Wishart | 71,743 | 71.8 | 34.2 | 2.8 | 7.4 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 47.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
313 | 241 | Dumfries and Galloway | Alister Jack | 74,206 | 69.5 | 42.0 | 10.3 | 6.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 41.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
330 | 223 | Gordon | Colin Clark | 78,531 | 68.4 | 37.9 | 4.2 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 43.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
360 | 193 | Angus | Kirstene Hair | 63,840 | 63.0 | 42.5 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 46.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
395 | 159 | Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale | David Mundell | 67,672 | 72.4 | 47.2 | 7.3 | 6.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 38.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
411 | 142 | Moray | Douglas Ross | 70,649 | 67.4 | 44.7 | 3.8 | 5.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 46.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
415 | 139 | Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine | Andrew Bowie | 72,477 | 71.2 | 44.9 | 3.8 | 11.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
422 | 131 | Banff and Buchan | David Duguid | 67,601 | 61.6 | 44.8 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 46.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | SNP |
514 | 40 | Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk | John Lamont | 73,191 | 71.5 | 50.4 | 2.9 | 7.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 39.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.
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