The predicted results in the country and in Scotland, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.
Party | 2017 Votes | 2017 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CON | 43.5% | 318 | 39.4% | 12 | 13 | -1 | 317 |
LAB | 41.0% | 262 | 34.2% | 0 | 19 | -19 | 243 |
LIB | 7.6% | 12 | 11.3% | 6 | 2 | +4 | 16 |
UKIP | 1.9% | 0 | 4.6% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
Green | 1.7% | 1 | 4.3% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
SNP | 3.1% | 35 | 4.0% | 17 | 0 | +17 | 52 |
PlaidC | 0.5% | 4 | 0.5% | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
Other | 0.7% | 0 | 1.6% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
N.Ire | 18 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 18 |
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Party | 2017 Votes | 2017 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CON | 28.6% | 13 | 25.0% | 0 | 10 | -10 | 3 |
LAB | 27.1% | 7 | 16.0% | 0 | 5 | -5 | 2 |
LIB | 6.8% | 4 | 9.0% | 0 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
UKIP | 0.2% | 0 | 1.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
Green | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
SNP | 36.9% | 35 | 48.0% | 17 | 0 | +17 | 52 |
Other | 0.3% | 0 | 1.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
LAB Seats | CON Seats | Seat | MP at 2017 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | UKIP % | Green % | SNP % | MIN % | OTH % | 2017 Win | Pred Win |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
94 | 467 | Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath | Lesley Laird | 72,721 | 63.5 | 20.2 | 52.2 | 24.9 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | LAB | LAB |
144 | 417 | Edinburgh South | Ian Murray | 64,553 | 74.1 | 17.0 | 41.3 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 35.3 | 0.0 | 0.9 | LAB | LAB |
154 | 406 | Glasgow North East | Paul Sweeney | 59,932 | 53.0 | 10.2 | 30.4 | 4.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 54.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | LAB | SNP |
174 | 386 | Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill | Hugh Gaffney | 71,198 | 63.3 | 13.5 | 30.1 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 51.1 | 0.0 | 0.8 | LAB | SNP |
176 | 384 | Glasgow South West | Chris Stephens | 62,991 | 56.2 | 12.0 | 28.2 | 4.3 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 52.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | SNP | SNP |
181 | 379 | Glasgow Central | Alison Thewliss | 64,346 | 55.9 | 11.2 | 26.3 | 5.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 56.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | SNP | SNP |
191 | 369 | Glasgow North | Patrick Grady | 53,863 | 62.1 | 11.1 | 22.7 | 7.2 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 56.4 | 0.0 | 1.2 | SNP | SNP |
192 | 368 | Dunbartonshire West | Martin Docherty | 67,602 | 65.2 | 14.4 | 25.6 | 4.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 54.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | SNP | SNP |
204 | 356 | Glasgow South | Stewart McDonald | 69,126 | 64.4 | 15.5 | 24.6 | 5.6 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 52.7 | 0.0 | 0.8 | SNP | SNP |
204 | 356 | Glasgow East | David Linden | 66,242 | 54.6 | 17.5 | 26.4 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.5 | 0.0 | 1.6 | SNP | SNP |
206 | 354 | Dundee West | Chris Law | 62,644 | 61.7 | 12.6 | 21.4 | 5.4 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 58.0 | 0.0 | 1.8 | SNP | SNP |
206 | 354 | Glasgow North West | Carol Monaghan | 63,773 | 60.9 | 15.2 | 24.0 | 5.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 54.1 | 0.0 | 0.8 | SNP | SNP |
209 | 351 | Na h-Eileanan An Iar (Western Isles) | Angus MacNeil | 21,301 | 69.6 | 15.8 | 23.9 | 7.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 52.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | SNP | SNP |
210 | 350 | Rutherglen and Hamilton West | Ged Killen | 80,098 | 63.5 | 17.7 | 25.5 | 6.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 48.7 | 0.0 | 1.5 | LAB | SNP |
212 | 348 | Edinburgh East | Tommy Sheppard | 65,896 | 66.0 | 15.8 | 22.9 | 6.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 54.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | SNP | SNP |
212 | 348 | Glenrothes | Peter Grant | 66,378 | 60.9 | 15.9 | 22.9 | 5.3 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 54.3 | 0.0 | 0.8 | SNP | SNP |
212 | 348 | Motherwell and Wishaw | Marion Fellows | 68,215 | 61.5 | 18.8 | 25.7 | 4.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | SNP | SNP |
214 | 346 | Inverclyde | Ronnie Cowan | 58,853 | 66.4 | 18.7 | 25.5 | 4.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | SNP | SNP |
218 | 342 | Paisley and Renfrewshire South | Mhairi Black | 61,344 | 68.0 | 16.7 | 22.8 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 52.1 | 0.0 | 2.9 | SNP | SNP |
222 | 338 | Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East | Stuart McDonald | 66,554 | 65.9 | 16.9 | 22.2 | 5.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 55.1 | 0.0 | 0.8 | SNP | SNP |
226 | 334 | Airdrie and Shotts | Neil Gray | 64,146 | 59.2 | 20.4 | 25.1 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 49.3 | 0.0 | 0.8 | SNP | SNP |
238 | 322 | Midlothian | Danielle Rowley | 68,328 | 66.3 | 22.7 | 24.4 | 6.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 46.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | LAB | SNP |
241 | 319 | Dunfermline and West Fife | Douglas Chapman | 75,672 | 67.4 | 21.9 | 22.2 | 8.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 47.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | SNP | SNP |
244 | 316 | Aberdeen North | Kirsty Blackman | 62,130 | 59.2 | 19.1 | 18.6 | 6.9 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 52.4 | 0.0 | 2.2 | SNP | SNP |
244 | 316 | Livingston | Hannah Bardell | 81,208 | 64.7 | 21.6 | 21.1 | 5.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 51.4 | 0.0 | 0.8 | SNP | SNP |
253 | 307 | East Lothian | Martin Whitfield | 79,093 | 70.6 | 26.8 | 24.2 | 5.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.1 | 0.0 | 1.4 | LAB | SNP |
254 | 306 | East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow | Lisa Cameron | 80,442 | 67.3 | 23.7 | 20.2 | 5.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.1 | 0.0 | 0.8 | SNP | SNP |
255 | 305 | Orkney and Shetland | Alistair Carmichael | 34,164 | 68.1 | 5.6 | 1.8 | 50.5 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 38.6 | 0.0 | 1.7 | LIB | LIB |
255 | 305 | Edinburgh North and Leith | Deidre Brock | 79,473 | 71.2 | 23.6 | 19.7 | 7.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 47.6 | 0.0 | 0.9 | SNP | SNP |
255 | 305 | Paisley and Renfrewshire North | Gavin Newlands | 67,436 | 69.1 | 24.8 | 20.3 | 5.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 48.7 | 0.0 | 0.8 | SNP | SNP |
260 | 300 | Linlithgow and East Falkirk | Martyn Day | 86,186 | 65.1 | 25.5 | 19.7 | 5.7 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 47.6 | 0.0 | 0.7 | SNP | SNP |
262 | 298 | Kilmarnock and Loudoun | Alan Brown | 73,327 | 63.4 | 23.9 | 17.6 | 4.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 53.4 | 0.0 | 0.7 | SNP | SNP |
262 | 298 | Falkirk | Johnny McNally | 82,240 | 65.4 | 24.8 | 18.4 | 4.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 51.4 | 0.0 | 0.8 | SNP | SNP |
265 | 295 | Dunbartonshire East | Jo Swinson | 66,300 | 78.1 | 11.7 | 4.6 | 42.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 40.4 | 0.0 | 0.7 | LIB | LIB |
276 | 284 | Dundee East | Stewart Hosie | 65,854 | 65.2 | 24.5 | 15.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 53.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | SNP | SNP |
276 | 284 | Lanark and Hamilton East | Angela Crawley | 77,313 | 65.3 | 30.3 | 20.3 | 4.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 43.9 | 0.0 | 0.8 | SNP | SNP |
291 | 269 | Ayrshire North and Arran | Patricia Gibson | 73,174 | 64.8 | 28.4 | 16.4 | 4.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 49.9 | 0.0 | 0.7 | SNP | SNP |
302 | 258 | Edinburgh South West | Joanna Cherry | 71,178 | 69.4 | 29.8 | 15.7 | 6.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 46.5 | 0.0 | 0.7 | SNP | SNP |
302 | 258 | Edinburgh West | Christine Jardine | 71,500 | 73.8 | 19.0 | 4.9 | 36.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 38.8 | 0.0 | 0.9 | LIB | SNP |
307 | 253 | Caithness Sutherland and Easter Ross | Jamie Stone | 46,868 | 65.9 | 19.0 | 2.6 | 37.8 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 39.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 | LIB | SNP |
307 | 253 | Ayrshire Central | Philippa Whitford | 68,997 | 65.3 | 31.6 | 15.1 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 48.1 | 0.0 | 0.7 | SNP | SNP |
313 | 247 | Ross Skye and Lochaber | Ian Blackford | 53,638 | 71.7 | 21.3 | 2.5 | 22.9 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 50.2 | 0.0 | 2.4 | SNP | SNP |
322 | 238 | Fife North East | Stephen Gethins | 58,685 | 71.3 | 21.2 | 0.4 | 34.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.4 | 0.0 | 1.2 | SNP | SNP |
322 | 238 | Inverness Nairn Badenoch and Strathspey | Drew Hendry | 76,844 | 68.7 | 26.9 | 6.1 | 14.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 50.1 | 0.0 | 1.8 | SNP | SNP |
327 | 233 | Renfrewshire East | Paul Masterton | 70,067 | 76.7 | 37.2 | 15.6 | 4.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 | CON | SNP |
331 | 229 | Stirling | Stephen Kerr | 66,415 | 74.3 | 34.2 | 11.4 | 5.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 47.4 | 0.0 | 1.4 | CON | SNP |
342 | 218 | Ayr Carrick and Cumnock | Bill Grant | 71,241 | 64.9 | 37.3 | 13.0 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 44.9 | 0.0 | 0.7 | CON | SNP |
355 | 205 | Argyll and Bute | Brendan O'Hara | 67,230 | 71.5 | 30.3 | 2.8 | 20.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 46.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | SNP | SNP |
369 | 191 | Ochil and South Perthshire | Luke Graham | 76,767 | 70.6 | 38.6 | 9.6 | 5.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 45.8 | 0.0 | 0.7 | CON | SNP |
370 | 190 | Aberdeen South | Ross Thomson | 64,964 | 68.5 | 39.3 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | CON | SNP |
380 | 180 | Dumfries and Galloway | Alister Jack | 74,206 | 69.5 | 40.5 | 10.3 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.9 | 0.0 | 1.7 | CON | SNP |
420 | 140 | Gordon | Colin Clark | 78,531 | 68.4 | 37.8 | 2.1 | 13.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 45.8 | 0.0 | 0.7 | CON | SNP |
440 | 120 | Perth and North Perthshire | Pete Wishart | 71,743 | 71.8 | 38.7 | 0.8 | 7.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 52.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 | SNP | SNP |
450 | 110 | Angus | Kirstene Hair | 63,840 | 63.0 | 42.3 | 3.2 | 5.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 48.6 | 0.0 | 0.7 | CON | SNP |
462 | 99 | Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale | David Mundell | 67,672 | 72.4 | 46.5 | 6.4 | 6.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 40.4 | 0.0 | 0.7 | CON | CON |
489 | 71 | Moray | Douglas Ross | 70,649 | 67.4 | 44.7 | 1.3 | 4.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 48.7 | 0.0 | 1.1 | CON | SNP |
491 | 70 | Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine | Andrew Bowie | 72,477 | 71.2 | 45.0 | 1.4 | 10.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | CON | CON |
500 | 60 | Banff and Buchan | David Duguid | 67,601 | 61.6 | 45.0 | 0.4 | 5.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 48.5 | 0.0 | 0.6 | CON | SNP |
543 | 18 | Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk | John Lamont | 73,191 | 71.5 | 50.9 | 0.4 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 41.6 | 0.0 | 0.6 | CON | CON |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.
© 2024 Electoral Calculus Ltd
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