Antrim East: Seat, Ward and Prediction Details

Antrim East: Overview

 Prediction: DUP hold 

MP at 2019: Sammy Wilson  (DUP)
County/Area: Antrim (Northern Ireland)
Electorate: 64,830
Turnout: 57.5%
2019
Votes
2019
Share
Predicted
Votes
DUP16,87145.3%45.4%
Alliance10,16527.3%27.3%
UUP5,47514.7%14.8%
SF2,1205.7%5.8%
OTH1,0432.8%2.6%
SDLP9022.4%2.5%
Green6851.8%1.5%
DUP Majority6,70618.0%Pred Maj 18.1%
Chance of
winning
DUP
88%
Alliance
11%
UUP
1%
SF
0%
OTH
0%
SDLP
0%
Green
0%

Antrim East : Political and Demographic indicators

The table below shows some political and demographic numerical indicators for the Antrim East constituency, the 'Northern Ireland' area and nation.

The demographic measures are from the 2011 Census and include categories relating to national identity, economic activity, health and education. These categories are those which have the most relevance to political attitudes.

Indicator Seat Northern IrelandAll UK
Party Winner 2019DUPDUPCON
Party Winner 2017DUPDUPCON
Party Winner 2015DUPDUPCON
EU Leave %55%44%52%
British Identity57%40%29%
Good Health46%48%48%
UK Born96%93%87%
Good Education38%36%39%
Good Job50%47%51%
High SEC60%57%51%
Average Age48.347.248.3
ABC1 Class49%46%53%

Antrim East ranks #283 for "Leave", out of 650 seats.

Indicators: Legend and Descriptions

Indicators : Legend and Descriptions

The colour scheme used in the table above is explained in the legend table below. The eight census indicators (British Identity, Good Health, UK Born, Good Education, Good Job, High SEC, Average Age and AB1 Class) all use the same 'Census' colour scheme indicating whether the area's level is above or below the national average.

TopicCat 1Cat 2Cat 3Cat 4Cat 5
EU Leave %Very RemainRemainBalancedLeaveVery Leave
CensusVery LowLowMediumHighVery High

Indicator definitions are given in terms of political data definitions or census categories:

IndicatorCensus
Question
Definition / Included Census Categories
Party WinnerArea party winner : actual election result or projected by Electoral Calculus
EU Leave %EU Referendum vote share for 'Leave' : actual result or estimate
British IdentityNational Identity (KS202)Those answering British, British-Other, or Scottish-British
Good HealthHealth (KS301)Those answering 'Very Good Health'
UK BornCountry of Birth (QS203)Those answering England, Northern Ireland, Scotland, Wales, GB Other, or UK Other
Good EducationHighest level of Qualification (QS501)Level 3 (A-level equivalent) or Level 4+ (degree equivalent)
Good JobOccupation (QS606)Occupation codes 1xx to 4xx (Managers, Professionals, Associates, and office workers)
High SECNS-SeC of Household Reference Person (QS609)National Statistics Socio-economic Classification from 1 to 4 (higher managers and professionals, lower managers and professionals, intermediate occupations, small employers and self-employed).
Average AgeAge (QS103)Average age of adults (18 years and above)
ABC1 ClassApproximated Social Grade (QS611)Approximated social grades A, B and C1

Antrim East: Map

Boundary Lines courtesy of Ordnance Survey OpenData © Crown copyright 2020, Map © OpenStreetMap contributors

Predicted ward-by-ward votes for Antrim East

This table shows the predicted future general election result broken down over each ward in the seat of Antrim East.

Antrim EastActualPredicted Results
DistrictWardElectorate
2019
GE19
Winner
Pred
Winner
UUP
Votes
SDLP
Votes
DUP
Votes
Alliance
Votes
Green
Votes
SF
Votes
MIN
Votes
OTH
Votes
Total
Votes
Antrim and NewtownabbeyAbbey1,471DUPDUP46144182467102014847
Antrim and NewtownabbeyBallyduff781DUPDUP49924212459011449
Antrim and NewtownabbeyCarnmoney Hill308DUPDUP143984321403177
Antrim and NewtownabbeyJordanstown2,383DUPDUP174246235031228061,370
Antrim and NewtownabbeyMonkstown2,354DUPDUP1232870442214280351,354
Antrim and NewtownabbeyRostulla2,700DUPDUP167276726331432071,552
Causeway Coast and GlensLurigethan2,169DUPDUP56134494233142700461,247
Causeway Coast and GlensTorr Head and Rathlin836DUPDUP345019187698017483
Mid and East AntrimBallycarry and Glynn2,707DUPDUP3003265746243340271,555
Mid and East AntrimBoneybefore2,392DUPDUP3113062432115320401,373
Mid and East AntrimBurleigh Hill2,187DUPDUP2812960126514310381,259
Mid and East AntrimCairncastle2,656DUPDUP11131683495151490421,526
Mid and East AntrimCarnlough and Glenarm2,336DUPDUP6430557330152960501,342
Mid and East AntrimCastle2,678DUPDUP2753770441518410501,540
Mid and East AntrimCraigyhill2,590DUPDUP8930711415151850451,490
Mid and East AntrimCurran and Inver2,498DUPDUP2483160145630320381,436
Mid and East AntrimGardenmore2,425DUPDUP8028621422141890411,395
Mid and East AntrimGlenwhirry146DUPDUP1124914150385
Mid and East AntrimGortalee2,400DUPDUP2913166030615340421,379
Mid and East AntrimGreenisland2,453DUPDUP3043159739115330401,411
Mid and East AntrimIslandmagee2,357DUPDUP2013052547363310321,355
Mid and East AntrimKilroot3,019DUPDUP3754083437319420521,735
Mid and East AntrimKilwaughter3,105DUPDUP3693578150629380281,786
Mid and East AntrimLove Lane2,422DUPDUP2913265931616350431,392
Mid and East AntrimSlemish217DUPDUP15372212804125
Mid and East AntrimSunnylands2,659DUPDUP2923878929818420511,528
Mid and East AntrimThe Maidens2,493DUPDUP9129691352142120421,431
Mid and East AntrimVictoria2,888DUPDUP3183979439719420521,661
Mid and East AntrimWhitehead South2,536AllianceAlliance1873251559269340291,458
Mid and East AntrimWoodburn2,660DUPDUP3623475927717370451,531
 Total64,826DUPDUP5,52994316,92610,1885502,163097337,272

Please note that general election results and electorates are not officially made available ward-by-ward. The numbers shown are our best estimates for these figures, but are not official. The wards used are those of 2020.


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