Cambridgeshire North East: Seat, Ward and Prediction Details

Cambridgeshire North East: Overview

 Prediction: CON hold 

MP at 2019: Steve Barclay  (CON)
County/Area: Cambridgeshire (Anglia)
Electorate: 83,699
Turnout: 63.3%
2019
Votes
2019
Share
Predicted
Votes
CON38,42372.5%71.3%
LAB8,43015.9%19.1%
LIB4,2988.1%4.1%
Green1,8133.4%4.0%
OTH00.0%1.5%
CON Majority29,99356.6%Pred Maj 52.1%
Chance of
winning
CON
100%
LAB
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Cambridgeshire North East : Political and Demographic indicators

The table below shows some political and demographic numerical indicators for the Cambridgeshire North East constituency, the 'Anglia' area and nation.

The political measures include the three axes: Economic (Left/Right), National (Global/National) and Social (Liberal/Conservative). (what does this mean).

The demographic measures are from the 2011 Census and include categories relating to national identity, economic activity, health and education. These categories are those which have the most relevance to political attitudes.

Indicator Seat AngliaAll GB
Party Winner 2019CONCONCON
Party Winner 2017CONCONCON
Party Winner 2015CONCONCON
Economic Position13° Right9° Right
National Position22° Nat7° Nat
Social Position12° Con3° Con
TribeStrong Right
EU Leave %70%56%52%
British Identity22%27%29%
Good Health40%47%48%
UK Born92%89%87%
Good Education26%37%39%
Good Job40%52%51%
High SEC41%53%51%
Average Age50.749.348.3
ABC1 Class41%55%54%

Cambridgeshire North East ranks #21 for "Leave", #96 for "Right", #5 for "National" and #9 for "Social" out of 650 seats.

Indicators: Legend and Descriptions

Indicators : Legend and Descriptions

The colour scheme used in the table above is explained in the legend table below. The eight census indicators (British Identity, Good Health, UK Born, Good Education, Good Job, High SEC, Average Age and AB1 Class) all use the same 'Census' colour scheme indicating whether the area's level is above or below the national average.

TopicCat 1Cat 2Cat 3Cat 4Cat 5
Economic PositionVery LeftLeftCentristRightVery Right
National PositionVery GlobalGlobalCentristNationalVery Nat
Social PositionVery LibLiberalModerateConservativeVery Cons
EU Leave %Very RemainRemainBalancedLeaveVery Leave
CensusVery LowLowMediumHighVery High

Indicator definitions are given in terms of political data definitions or census categories:

IndicatorCensus
Question
Definition / Included Census Categories
Party WinnerArea party winner : actual election result or projected by Electoral Calculus
Economic PositionEconomic position between 100° Left and 100° Right, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
National PositionNational position between 100° Global and 100° National, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
Social PositionSocial position between 100° Liberal and 100° Conservative, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
TribeTribe group dominant in the area. Can be: Strong Left, Traditionalists, Progressives, Centrists, Somewheres, Kind Young Capitalists, or Strong Right. See details.
EU Leave %EU Referendum vote share for 'Leave' : actual result or estimate
British IdentityNational Identity (KS202)Those answering British, British-Other, or Scottish-British
Good HealthHealth (KS301)Those answering 'Very Good Health'
UK BornCountry of Birth (QS203)Those answering England, Northern Ireland, Scotland, Wales, GB Other, or UK Other
Good EducationHighest level of Qualification (QS501)Level 3 (A-level equivalent) or Level 4+ (degree equivalent)
Good JobOccupation (QS606)Occupation codes 1xx to 4xx (Managers, Professionals, Associates, and office workers)
High SECNS-SeC of Household Reference Person (QS609)National Statistics Socio-economic Classification from 1 to 4 (higher managers and professionals, lower managers and professionals, intermediate occupations, small employers and self-employed).
Average AgeAge (QS103)Average age of adults (18 years and above)
ABC1 ClassApproximated Social Grade (QS611)Approximated social grades A, B and C1

Cambridgeshire North East: Map

Boundary Lines courtesy of Ordnance Survey OpenData © Crown copyright 2020, Map © OpenStreetMap contributors

Predicted ward-by-ward votes for Cambridgeshire North East

This table shows the predicted future general election result broken down over each ward in the seat of Cambridgeshire North East.

Cambridgeshire North EastActualPredicted Results
DistrictWardElectorate
2019
GE19
Winner
Pred
Winner
CON
Votes
LAB
Votes
LIB
Votes
Brexit
Votes
Green
Votes
MIN
Votes
OTH
Votes
Total
Votes
East CambridgeshireDownham Villages2,336CONCON1,0162641100530361,479
East CambridgeshireLittleport6,469CONCON2,58688527602550924,094
East CambridgeshireSutton4,124CONCON1,7434872160930702,609
FenlandBassenhally4,094CONCON2,010406760680312,591
FenlandBenwick, Coates and Eastrea3,563CONCON1,750359540690232,255
FenlandBirch2,179CONCON1,089206340370151,381
FenlandClarkson1,221CONCON5731502202009774
FenlandDoddington and Wimblington3,680CONCON1,908287530580232,329
FenlandElm and Christchurch3,755CONCON1,6924335701690252,376
FenlandKirkgate1,589CONCON734201330260131,007
FenlandLattersey2,138CONCON898371380300161,353
FenlandManea2,073CONCON947223310960131,310
FenlandMarch East5,575CONCON2,1809909602220403,528
FenlandMarch North5,391CONCON1,99582326802380873,411
FenlandMarch West5,586CONCON2,5776408901920383,536
FenlandMedworth1,358CONCON63417025020010859
FenlandOctavia Hill3,028CONCON1,384411520470221,916
FenlandParson Drove and Wisbech St Mary4,115CONCON1,7405341900770632,604
FenlandPeckover1,618CONCON752198310320121,025
FenlandRoman Bank5,281CONCON2,4985521520850543,341
FenlandSlade Lode1,854CONCON862224350380141,173
FenlandSt Andrews2,051CONCON1,041173390300161,299
FenlandStaithe1,705CONCON805209290250121,080
FenlandStonald2,235CONCON1,120201410360161,414
FenlandThe Mills2,127CONCON1,061193410340161,345
FenlandWaterlees Village2,847CONCON1,288408450420191,802
FenlandWenneye1,705CONCON871142260280111,078
 Total83,697CONCON37,75410,1402,15902,120079652,969

Please note that general election results and electorates are not officially made available ward-by-ward. The numbers shown are our best estimates for these figures, but are not official. The wards used are those of 2020.


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