Cambridgeshire South East: Seat, Ward and Prediction Details

Cambridgeshire South East: Overview

 Prediction: CON hold 

MP at 2019: Lucy Frazer  (CON)
County/Area: Cambridgeshire (Anglia)
Electorate: 86,769
Turnout: 74.2%
2019
Votes
2019
Share
Predicted
Votes
CON32,18750.0%48.7%
LIB20,69732.1%22.2%
LAB10,49216.3%23.1%
OTH1,0091.6%4.7%
Green00.0%1.2%
CON Majority11,49017.8%Pred Maj 25.6%
Chance of
winning
CON
92%
LIB
4%
LAB
4%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Cambridgeshire South East : Political and Demographic indicators

The table below shows some political and demographic numerical indicators for the Cambridgeshire South East constituency, the 'Anglia' area and nation.

The political measures include the three axes: Economic (Left/Right), National (Global/National) and Social (Liberal/Conservative). (what does this mean).

The demographic measures are from the 2011 Census and include categories relating to national identity, economic activity, health and education. These categories are those which have the most relevance to political attitudes.

Indicator Seat AngliaAll GB
Party Winner 2019CONCONCON
Party Winner 2017CONCONCON
Party Winner 2015CONCONCON
Economic Position11° Right9° Right
National Position3° Glo7° Nat
Social Position3° Lib3° Con
TribeKind Yuppies
EU Leave %45%56%52%
British Identity29%27%29%
Good Health51%47%48%
UK Born89%89%87%
Good Education46%37%39%
Good Job58%52%51%
High SEC60%53%51%
Average Age49.449.348.3
ABC1 Class62%55%54%

Cambridgeshire South East ranks #497 for "Leave", #149 for "Right", #454 for "National" and #487 for "Social" out of 650 seats.

Indicators: Legend and Descriptions

Indicators : Legend and Descriptions

The colour scheme used in the table above is explained in the legend table below. The eight census indicators (British Identity, Good Health, UK Born, Good Education, Good Job, High SEC, Average Age and AB1 Class) all use the same 'Census' colour scheme indicating whether the area's level is above or below the national average.

TopicCat 1Cat 2Cat 3Cat 4Cat 5
Economic PositionVery LeftLeftCentristRightVery Right
National PositionVery GlobalGlobalCentristNationalVery Nat
Social PositionVery LibLiberalModerateConservativeVery Cons
EU Leave %Very RemainRemainBalancedLeaveVery Leave
CensusVery LowLowMediumHighVery High

Indicator definitions are given in terms of political data definitions or census categories:

IndicatorCensus
Question
Definition / Included Census Categories
Party WinnerArea party winner : actual election result or projected by Electoral Calculus
Economic PositionEconomic position between 100° Left and 100° Right, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
National PositionNational position between 100° Global and 100° National, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
Social PositionSocial position between 100° Liberal and 100° Conservative, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
TribeTribe group dominant in the area. Can be: Strong Left, Traditionalists, Progressives, Centrists, Somewheres, Kind Young Capitalists, or Strong Right. See details.
EU Leave %EU Referendum vote share for 'Leave' : actual result or estimate
British IdentityNational Identity (KS202)Those answering British, British-Other, or Scottish-British
Good HealthHealth (KS301)Those answering 'Very Good Health'
UK BornCountry of Birth (QS203)Those answering England, Northern Ireland, Scotland, Wales, GB Other, or UK Other
Good EducationHighest level of Qualification (QS501)Level 3 (A-level equivalent) or Level 4+ (degree equivalent)
Good JobOccupation (QS606)Occupation codes 1xx to 4xx (Managers, Professionals, Associates, and office workers)
High SECNS-SeC of Household Reference Person (QS609)National Statistics Socio-economic Classification from 1 to 4 (higher managers and professionals, lower managers and professionals, intermediate occupations, small employers and self-employed).
Average AgeAge (QS103)Average age of adults (18 years and above)
ABC1 ClassApproximated Social Grade (QS611)Approximated social grades A, B and C1

Cambridgeshire South East: Map

Boundary Lines courtesy of Ordnance Survey OpenData © Crown copyright 2020, Map © OpenStreetMap contributors

Predicted ward-by-ward votes for Cambridgeshire South East

This table shows the predicted future general election result broken down over each ward in the seat of Cambridgeshire South East.

Cambridgeshire South EastActualPredicted Results
DistrictWardElectorate
2019
GE19
Winner
Pred
Winner
CON
Votes
LAB
Votes
LIB
Votes
Brexit
Votes
Green
Votes
MIN
Votes
OTH
Votes
Total
Votes
East CambridgeshireBottisham4,401CONCON1,55071283804001263,266
East CambridgeshireBurwell4,826CONCON2,00480958404401403,581
East CambridgeshireEly East4,197CONCON1,46570178903801213,114
East CambridgeshireEly North2,943CONCON1,02446754902701182,185
East CambridgeshireEly West7,128CONCON2,2641,1821,49206502855,288
East CambridgeshireFordham and Isleham4,679CONCON2,24466233804201873,473
East CambridgeshireHaddenham2,609CONCON9403455280240991,936
East CambridgeshireSoham North4,537CONCON1,68171378904201423,367
East CambridgeshireSoham South4,136CONCON1,64777248803801253,070
East CambridgeshireStretham4,980CONCON2,03580266704601453,695
East CambridgeshireSutton126CONCON441628010493
East CambridgeshireWoodditton4,995CONCON2,44970536604501413,706
South CambridgeshireBalsham3,016CONCON1,16539253302801212,239
South CambridgeshireFen Ditton and Fulbourn7,770CONCON2,4941,6371,34207102225,766
South CambridgeshireHiston and Impington8,365CONCON2,4191,8521,52307703376,208
South CambridgeshireLinton4,614CONCON1,71265188604201323,423
South CambridgeshireMilton and Waterbeach7,842CONCON2,3661,6571,37007203525,817
South CambridgeshireOver and Willingham5,606CONCON1,8688061,17705102574,159
 Total86,770CONCON31,37114,88114,287079303,05464,386

Please note that general election results and electorates are not officially made available ward-by-ward. The numbers shown are our best estimates for these figures, but are not official. The wards used are those of 2020.


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