Eddisbury: Seat, Ward and Prediction Details

Eddisbury: Overview

 Prediction: CON hold 

MP at 2019: Edward Timpson  (CON)
County/Area: Cheshire (North West)
Electorate: 73,700
Turnout: 71.9%
2019
Votes
2019
Share
Predicted
Votes
CON30,09556.8%55.4%
LAB11,65222.0%28.2%
LIB9,58218.1%9.3%
Green1,1912.2%3.4%
OTH4510.9%3.7%
CON Majority18,44334.8%Pred Maj 27.3%
Chance of
winning
CON
95%
LAB
5%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Eddisbury : Political and Demographic indicators

The table below shows some political and demographic numerical indicators for the Eddisbury constituency, the 'North West' area and nation.

The political measures include the three axes: Economic (Left/Right), National (Global/National) and Social (Liberal/Conservative). (what does this mean).

The demographic measures are from the 2011 Census and include categories relating to national identity, economic activity, health and education. These categories are those which have the most relevance to political attitudes.

Indicator Seat North WestAll GB
Party Winner 2019CONLABCON
Party Winner 2017CONLABCON
Party Winner 2015CONLABCON
Economic Position9° Right4° Left
National Position5° Nat1° Nat
Social Position4° Con2° Con
TribeCentrists
EU Leave %53%54%52%
British Identity29%28%29%
Good Health49%47%48%
UK Born97%92%87%
Good Education42%37%39%
Good Job54%49%51%
High SEC56%48%51%
Average Age51.748.548.3
ABC1 Class56%50%54%

Eddisbury ranks #346 for "Leave", #197 for "Right", #273 for "National" and #227 for "Social" out of 650 seats.

Indicators: Legend and Descriptions

Indicators : Legend and Descriptions

The colour scheme used in the table above is explained in the legend table below. The eight census indicators (British Identity, Good Health, UK Born, Good Education, Good Job, High SEC, Average Age and AB1 Class) all use the same 'Census' colour scheme indicating whether the area's level is above or below the national average.

TopicCat 1Cat 2Cat 3Cat 4Cat 5
Economic PositionVery LeftLeftCentristRightVery Right
National PositionVery GlobalGlobalCentristNationalVery Nat
Social PositionVery LibLiberalModerateConservativeVery Cons
EU Leave %Very RemainRemainBalancedLeaveVery Leave
CensusVery LowLowMediumHighVery High

Indicator definitions are given in terms of political data definitions or census categories:

IndicatorCensus
Question
Definition / Included Census Categories
Party WinnerArea party winner : actual election result or projected by Electoral Calculus
Economic PositionEconomic position between 100° Left and 100° Right, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
National PositionNational position between 100° Global and 100° National, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
Social PositionSocial position between 100° Liberal and 100° Conservative, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
TribeTribe group dominant in the area. Can be: Strong Left, Traditionalists, Progressives, Centrists, Somewheres, Kind Young Capitalists, or Strong Right. See details.
EU Leave %EU Referendum vote share for 'Leave' : actual result or estimate
British IdentityNational Identity (KS202)Those answering British, British-Other, or Scottish-British
Good HealthHealth (KS301)Those answering 'Very Good Health'
UK BornCountry of Birth (QS203)Those answering England, Northern Ireland, Scotland, Wales, GB Other, or UK Other
Good EducationHighest level of Qualification (QS501)Level 3 (A-level equivalent) or Level 4+ (degree equivalent)
Good JobOccupation (QS606)Occupation codes 1xx to 4xx (Managers, Professionals, Associates, and office workers)
High SECNS-SeC of Household Reference Person (QS609)National Statistics Socio-economic Classification from 1 to 4 (higher managers and professionals, lower managers and professionals, intermediate occupations, small employers and self-employed).
Average AgeAge (QS103)Average age of adults (18 years and above)
ABC1 ClassApproximated Social Grade (QS611)Approximated social grades A, B and C1

Eddisbury: Map

Boundary Lines courtesy of Ordnance Survey OpenData © Crown copyright 2020, Map © OpenStreetMap contributors

Predicted ward-by-ward votes for Eddisbury

This table shows the predicted future general election result broken down over each ward in the seat of Eddisbury.

EddisburyActualPredicted Results
DistrictWardElectorate
2019
GE19
Winner
Pred
Winner
CON
Votes
LAB
Votes
LIB
Votes
Brexit
Votes
Green
Votes
MIN
Votes
OTH
Votes
Total
Votes
Cheshire EastAudlem4,161CONCON1,79657241808001252,991
Cheshire EastBrereton Rural191CONCON903270305137
Cheshire EastBunbury4,148CONCON1,78058442208601082,980
Cheshire EastLeighton489CONCON18112521010015352
Cheshire EastWrenbury4,547CONCON2,23459223608301233,268
Cheshire West and ChesterChristleton and Huntington1,620CONCON692293850600351,165
Cheshire West and ChesterDavenham, Moulton and Kingsmead4,727CONCON2,06289422309401233,396
Cheshire West and ChesterFarndon3,513CONCON1,3944964680730932,524
Cheshire West and ChesterGowy Rural810CONCON33617132028015582
Cheshire West and ChesterMalpas3,729CONCON1,8795061440580922,679
Cheshire West and ChesterSandstone1,628CONCON743237890610401,170
Cheshire West and ChesterTarporley4,093CONCON1,844617208014201312,942
Cheshire West and ChesterTarvin and Kelsall7,358CONCON3,0561,002746026702185,289
Cheshire West and ChesterTattenhall3,859CONCON1,81355318801410792,774
Cheshire West and ChesterWeaver and Cuddington4,849CONCON2,16084025309201393,484
Cheshire West and ChesterWinsford Dene3,758CONLAB1,1151,2481940600842,701
Cheshire West and ChesterWinsford Gravel3,263CONCON1,0451,0121610490792,346
Cheshire West and ChesterWinsford Over and Verdin9,680CONCON3,0012,982477026502336,958
Cheshire West and ChesterWinsford Swanlow3,617CONCON1,1071,00831206701052,599
Cheshire West and ChesterWinsford Wharton3,661CONLAB1,0371,15025606101282,632
 Total73,701CONCON29,36514,9144,94001,78001,97052,969

Please note that general election results and electorates are not officially made available ward-by-ward. The numbers shown are our best estimates for these figures, but are not official. The wards used are those of 2020.


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