Maidstone and The Weald: Seat, Ward and Prediction Details

Maidstone and The Weald: Overview

 Prediction: CON hold 

MP at 2019: Helen Grant  (CON)
County/Area: Kent (South East)
Electorate: 76,110
Turnout: 67.9%
2019
Votes
2019
Share
Predicted
Votes
CON31,22060.4%59.1%
LAB9,44818.3%24.5%
LIB8,48216.4%7.4%
Green2,1724.2%5.3%
OTH3580.7%3.6%
CON Majority21,77242.1%Pred Maj 34.6%
Chance of
winning
CON
99%
LAB
1%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Maidstone and The Weald : Political and Demographic indicators

The table below shows some political and demographic numerical indicators for the Maidstone and The Weald constituency, the 'South East' area and nation.

The political measures include the three axes: Economic (Left/Right), National (Global/National) and Social (Liberal/Conservative). (what does this mean).

The demographic measures are from the 2011 Census and include categories relating to national identity, economic activity, health and education. These categories are those which have the most relevance to political attitudes.

Indicator Seat South EastAll GB
Party Winner 2019CONCONCON
Party Winner 2017CONCONCON
Party Winner 2015CONCONCON
Economic Position13° Right11° Right
National Position6° Nat3° Nat
Social Position2° Con1° Con
TribeStrong Right
EU Leave %56%52%52%
British Identity27%29%29%
Good Health48%49%48%
UK Born89%88%87%
Good Education40%43%39%
Good Job56%56%51%
High SEC57%57%51%
Average Age49.149.148.3
ABC1 Class59%60%54%

Maidstone and The Weald ranks #265 for "Leave", #102 for "Right", #238 for "National" and #324 for "Social" out of 650 seats.

Indicators: Legend and Descriptions

Indicators : Legend and Descriptions

The colour scheme used in the table above is explained in the legend table below. The eight census indicators (British Identity, Good Health, UK Born, Good Education, Good Job, High SEC, Average Age and AB1 Class) all use the same 'Census' colour scheme indicating whether the area's level is above or below the national average.

TopicCat 1Cat 2Cat 3Cat 4Cat 5
Economic PositionVery LeftLeftCentristRightVery Right
National PositionVery GlobalGlobalCentristNationalVery Nat
Social PositionVery LibLiberalModerateConservativeVery Cons
EU Leave %Very RemainRemainBalancedLeaveVery Leave
CensusVery LowLowMediumHighVery High

Indicator definitions are given in terms of political data definitions or census categories:

IndicatorCensus
Question
Definition / Included Census Categories
Party WinnerArea party winner : actual election result or projected by Electoral Calculus
Economic PositionEconomic position between 100° Left and 100° Right, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
National PositionNational position between 100° Global and 100° National, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
Social PositionSocial position between 100° Liberal and 100° Conservative, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
TribeTribe group dominant in the area. Can be: Strong Left, Traditionalists, Progressives, Centrists, Somewheres, Kind Young Capitalists, or Strong Right. See details.
EU Leave %EU Referendum vote share for 'Leave' : actual result or estimate
British IdentityNational Identity (KS202)Those answering British, British-Other, or Scottish-British
Good HealthHealth (KS301)Those answering 'Very Good Health'
UK BornCountry of Birth (QS203)Those answering England, Northern Ireland, Scotland, Wales, GB Other, or UK Other
Good EducationHighest level of Qualification (QS501)Level 3 (A-level equivalent) or Level 4+ (degree equivalent)
Good JobOccupation (QS606)Occupation codes 1xx to 4xx (Managers, Professionals, Associates, and office workers)
High SECNS-SeC of Household Reference Person (QS609)National Statistics Socio-economic Classification from 1 to 4 (higher managers and professionals, lower managers and professionals, intermediate occupations, small employers and self-employed).
Average AgeAge (QS103)Average age of adults (18 years and above)
ABC1 ClassApproximated Social Grade (QS611)Approximated social grades A, B and C1

Maidstone and The Weald: Map

Boundary Lines courtesy of Ordnance Survey OpenData © Crown copyright 2020, Map © OpenStreetMap contributors

Predicted ward-by-ward votes for Maidstone and The Weald

This table shows the predicted future general election result broken down over each ward in the seat of Maidstone and The Weald.

Maidstone and The WealdActualPredicted Results
DistrictWardElectorate
2019
GE19
Winner
Pred
Winner
CON
Votes
LAB
Votes
LIB
Votes
Brexit
Votes
Green
Votes
MIN
Votes
OTH
Votes
Total
Votes
MaidstoneAllington5,997CONCON2,413822452022901584,074
MaidstoneBarming and Teston1,966CONCON943225560520591,335
MaidstoneBridge4,517CONCON1,796725239019101163,067
MaidstoneCoxheath and Hunton6,125CONCON2,578789463014801814,159
MaidstoneEast6,101CONCON2,2251,099395026301604,142
MaidstoneFant6,481CONCON2,1591,643207026201314,402
MaidstoneHeath4,742CONCON1,663972292015901323,218
MaidstoneHigh Street6,633CONCON2,1731,489362028101984,503
MaidstoneLoose2,079CONCON8642611440900551,414
MaidstoneMarden and Yalding6,696CONCON3,138853166026801234,548
MaidstoneNorth5,925CONCON2,1481,37716402480874,024
MaidstoneSouth7,052CONCON2,7821,009541022902294,790
MaidstoneStaplehurst4,786CONCON2,28257813501770773,249
Tunbridge WellsBenenden and Cranbrook5,273CONCON2,514670160012101163,581
Tunbridge WellsFrittenden and Sissinghurst1,735CONCON890167410370421,177
 Total76,108CONCON30,56812,6793,81702,75501,86451,683

Please note that general election results and electorates are not officially made available ward-by-ward. The numbers shown are our best estimates for these figures, but are not official. The wards used are those of 2020.


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