Norfolk North West: Seat, Ward and Prediction Details

Norfolk North West: Overview

 Prediction: CON hold 

MP at 2019: James Wild  (CON)
County/Area: Norfolk (Anglia)
Electorate: 72,080
Turnout: 64.7%
2019
Votes
2019
Share
Predicted
Votes
CON30,62765.7%64.5%
LAB10,70523.0%26.1%
LIB3,6257.8%3.9%
Green1,6453.5%4.1%
OTH00.0%1.5%
CON Majority19,92242.7%Pred Maj 38.4%
Chance of
winning
CON
99%
LAB
1%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Norfolk North West : Political and Demographic indicators

The table below shows some political and demographic numerical indicators for the Norfolk North West constituency, the 'Anglia' area and nation.

The political measures include the three axes: Economic (Left/Right), National (Global/National) and Social (Liberal/Conservative). (what does this mean).

The demographic measures are from the 2011 Census and include categories relating to national identity, economic activity, health and education. These categories are those which have the most relevance to political attitudes.

Indicator Seat AngliaAll GB
Party Winner 2019CONCONCON
Party Winner 2017CONCONCON
Party Winner 2015CONCONCON
Economic Position8° Right9° Right
National Position17° Nat7° Nat
Social Position10° Con3° Con
TribeStrong Right
EU Leave %65%56%52%
British Identity23%27%29%
Good Health40%47%48%
UK Born92%89%87%
Good Education30%37%39%
Good Job41%52%51%
High SEC43%53%51%
Average Age52.549.348.3
ABC1 Class42%55%54%

Norfolk North West ranks #70 for "Leave", #222 for "Right", #21 for "National" and #29 for "Social" out of 650 seats.

Indicators: Legend and Descriptions

Indicators : Legend and Descriptions

The colour scheme used in the table above is explained in the legend table below. The eight census indicators (British Identity, Good Health, UK Born, Good Education, Good Job, High SEC, Average Age and AB1 Class) all use the same 'Census' colour scheme indicating whether the area's level is above or below the national average.

TopicCat 1Cat 2Cat 3Cat 4Cat 5
Economic PositionVery LeftLeftCentristRightVery Right
National PositionVery GlobalGlobalCentristNationalVery Nat
Social PositionVery LibLiberalModerateConservativeVery Cons
EU Leave %Very RemainRemainBalancedLeaveVery Leave
CensusVery LowLowMediumHighVery High

Indicator definitions are given in terms of political data definitions or census categories:

IndicatorCensus
Question
Definition / Included Census Categories
Party WinnerArea party winner : actual election result or projected by Electoral Calculus
Economic PositionEconomic position between 100° Left and 100° Right, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
National PositionNational position between 100° Global and 100° National, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
Social PositionSocial position between 100° Liberal and 100° Conservative, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
TribeTribe group dominant in the area. Can be: Strong Left, Traditionalists, Progressives, Centrists, Somewheres, Kind Young Capitalists, or Strong Right. See details.
EU Leave %EU Referendum vote share for 'Leave' : actual result or estimate
British IdentityNational Identity (KS202)Those answering British, British-Other, or Scottish-British
Good HealthHealth (KS301)Those answering 'Very Good Health'
UK BornCountry of Birth (QS203)Those answering England, Northern Ireland, Scotland, Wales, GB Other, or UK Other
Good EducationHighest level of Qualification (QS501)Level 3 (A-level equivalent) or Level 4+ (degree equivalent)
Good JobOccupation (QS606)Occupation codes 1xx to 4xx (Managers, Professionals, Associates, and office workers)
High SECNS-SeC of Household Reference Person (QS609)National Statistics Socio-economic Classification from 1 to 4 (higher managers and professionals, lower managers and professionals, intermediate occupations, small employers and self-employed).
Average AgeAge (QS103)Average age of adults (18 years and above)
ABC1 ClassApproximated Social Grade (QS611)Approximated social grades A, B and C1

Norfolk North West: Map

Boundary Lines courtesy of Ordnance Survey OpenData © Crown copyright 2020, Map © OpenStreetMap contributors

Predicted ward-by-ward votes for Norfolk North West

This table shows the predicted future general election result broken down over each ward in the seat of Norfolk North West.

Norfolk North WestActualPredicted Results
DistrictWardElectorate
2019
GE19
Winner
Pred
Winner
CON
Votes
LAB
Votes
LIB
Votes
Brexit
Votes
Green
Votes
MIN
Votes
OTH
Votes
Total
Votes
King's Lynn and West NorfolkAirfield461CONCON2344490703297
King's Lynn and West NorfolkBircham with Rudhams2,257CONCON1,115239420470171,460
King's Lynn and West NorfolkBrancaster2,066CONCON1,039195430410171,335
King's Lynn and West NorfolkBurnham Market and Docking2,139CONCON1,070216410400161,383
King's Lynn and West NorfolkClenchwarton2,280CONCON1,044311530450201,473
King's Lynn and West NorfolkDersingham5,119CONCON2,3427321090830423,308
King's Lynn and West NorfolkFairstead3,704CONCON1,1221,076940670352,394
King's Lynn and West NorfolkGayton and Grimston4,789CONCON2,15755710402380403,096
King's Lynn and West NorfolkGaywood Chase1,839CONCON597480520400191,188
King's Lynn and West NorfolkGaywood Clock1,852CONCON586507500350181,196
King's Lynn and West NorfolkGaywood North Bank6,312CONCON2,2551,47516401260614,081
King's Lynn and West NorfolkHeacham4,507CONCON2,1215491110910422,914
King's Lynn and West NorfolkHunstanton3,752CONCON1,5395202140830692,425
King's Lynn and West NorfolkMassingham with Castle Acre2,428CONCON1,125313590510221,570
King's Lynn and West NorfolkNorth Lynn3,171CONLAB944955700550272,051
King's Lynn and West NorfolkSnettisham2,257CONCON1,094255480430191,459
King's Lynn and West NorfolkSouth and West Lynn3,029CONCON1,064740710560271,958
King's Lynn and West NorfolkSpringwood2,066CONCON692513630460221,336
King's Lynn and West NorfolkSt Margaret's with St Nicholas3,179CONCON9848098301500312,057
King's Lynn and West NorfolkTerrington3,892CONCON1,846480810760322,515
King's Lynn and West NorfolkThe Woottons5,557CONCON2,50263214602590543,593
King's Lynn and West NorfolkWalsoken, West Walton and Walpole1,477CONCON72017226026011955
King's Lynn and West NorfolkWest Winch3,948CONCON1,8433898602010332,552
 Total72,081CONCON30,03512,1591,81901,906067746,596

Please note that general election results and electorates are not officially made available ward-by-ward. The numbers shown are our best estimates for these figures, but are not official. The wards used are those of 2020.


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