Suffolk Central and Ipswich North: Seat, Ward and Prediction Details

Suffolk Central and Ipswich North: Overview

 Prediction: CON hold 

MP at 2019: Dan Poulter  (CON)
County/Area: Suffolk (Anglia)
Electorate: 76,201
Turnout: 73.8%
2019
Votes
2019
Share
Predicted
Votes
CON35,25362.7%61.4%
LAB11,86221.1%25.3%
LIB6,48511.5%5.8%
Green2,6504.7%5.5%
OTH00.0%2.0%
CON Majority23,39141.6%Pred Maj 36.1%
Chance of
winning
CON
99%
LAB
1%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Suffolk Central and Ipswich North : Political and Demographic indicators

The table below shows some political and demographic numerical indicators for the Suffolk Central and Ipswich North constituency, the 'Anglia' area and nation.

The political measures include the three axes: Economic (Left/Right), National (Global/National) and Social (Liberal/Conservative). (what does this mean).

The demographic measures are from the 2011 Census and include categories relating to national identity, economic activity, health and education. These categories are those which have the most relevance to political attitudes.

Indicator Seat AngliaAll GB
Party Winner 2019CONCONCON
Party Winner 2017CONCONCON
Party Winner 2015CONCONCON
Economic Position11° Right9° Right
National Position9° Nat7° Nat
Social Position5° Con3° Con
TribeStrong Right
EU Leave %56%56%52%
British Identity26%27%29%
Good Health48%47%48%
UK Born95%89%87%
Good Education38%37%39%
Good Job52%52%51%
High SEC55%53%51%
Average Age52.049.348.3
ABC1 Class55%55%54%

Suffolk Central and Ipswich North ranks #273 for "Leave", #126 for "Right", #163 for "National" and #190 for "Social" out of 650 seats.

Indicators: Legend and Descriptions

Indicators : Legend and Descriptions

The colour scheme used in the table above is explained in the legend table below. The eight census indicators (British Identity, Good Health, UK Born, Good Education, Good Job, High SEC, Average Age and AB1 Class) all use the same 'Census' colour scheme indicating whether the area's level is above or below the national average.

TopicCat 1Cat 2Cat 3Cat 4Cat 5
Economic PositionVery LeftLeftCentristRightVery Right
National PositionVery GlobalGlobalCentristNationalVery Nat
Social PositionVery LibLiberalModerateConservativeVery Cons
EU Leave %Very RemainRemainBalancedLeaveVery Leave
CensusVery LowLowMediumHighVery High

Indicator definitions are given in terms of political data definitions or census categories:

IndicatorCensus
Question
Definition / Included Census Categories
Party WinnerArea party winner : actual election result or projected by Electoral Calculus
Economic PositionEconomic position between 100° Left and 100° Right, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
National PositionNational position between 100° Global and 100° National, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
Social PositionSocial position between 100° Liberal and 100° Conservative, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
TribeTribe group dominant in the area. Can be: Strong Left, Traditionalists, Progressives, Centrists, Somewheres, Kind Young Capitalists, or Strong Right. See details.
EU Leave %EU Referendum vote share for 'Leave' : actual result or estimate
British IdentityNational Identity (KS202)Those answering British, British-Other, or Scottish-British
Good HealthHealth (KS301)Those answering 'Very Good Health'
UK BornCountry of Birth (QS203)Those answering England, Northern Ireland, Scotland, Wales, GB Other, or UK Other
Good EducationHighest level of Qualification (QS501)Level 3 (A-level equivalent) or Level 4+ (degree equivalent)
Good JobOccupation (QS606)Occupation codes 1xx to 4xx (Managers, Professionals, Associates, and office workers)
High SECNS-SeC of Household Reference Person (QS609)National Statistics Socio-economic Classification from 1 to 4 (higher managers and professionals, lower managers and professionals, intermediate occupations, small employers and self-employed).
Average AgeAge (QS103)Average age of adults (18 years and above)
ABC1 ClassApproximated Social Grade (QS611)Approximated social grades A, B and C1

Suffolk Central and Ipswich North: Map

Boundary Lines courtesy of Ordnance Survey OpenData © Crown copyright 2020, Map © OpenStreetMap contributors

Predicted ward-by-ward votes for Suffolk Central and Ipswich North

This table shows the predicted future general election result broken down over each ward in the seat of Suffolk Central and Ipswich North.

Suffolk Central and Ipswich NorthActualPredicted Results
DistrictWardElectorate
2019
GE19
Winner
Pred
Winner
CON
Votes
LAB
Votes
LIB
Votes
Brexit
Votes
Green
Votes
MIN
Votes
OTH
Votes
Total
Votes
East SuffolkCarlford and Fynn Valley6,745CONCON3,19791424402980864,739
East SuffolkFramlingham6,792CONCON3,108935308031901044,774
East SuffolkKesgrave11,216CONCON5,0741,745426049001487,883
East SuffolkRushmere St Andrew3,572CONCON1,6385869901490372,509
East SuffolkWickham Market2,468CONCON1,04939613601090441,734
IpswichCastle Hill5,731CONCON2,1921,31727801470934,027
IpswichWhitehouse5,933CONLAB1,7801,91919902010714,170
IpswichWhitton5,811CONLAB1,7921,90019001340684,084
Mid SuffolkBacton473CONCON225661202505333
Mid SuffolkBattisford and Ringshall892CONCON4531091904007628
Mid SuffolkBlakenham2,721CONCON1,09044918401300591,912
Mid SuffolkBramford2,106CONCON9323191330530431,480
Mid SuffolkClaydon and Barham4,820CONCON2,25964321202010723,387
Mid SuffolkDebenham2,565CONCON1,175475680590261,803
Mid SuffolkEye2,344CONCON1,0143641580620501,648
Mid SuffolkFressingfield2,434CONCON1,2013067101060261,710
Mid SuffolkGislingham284CONCON13540701403199
Mid SuffolkHoxne and Worlingworth2,381CONCON1,1613028101010291,674
Mid SuffolkMendlesham2,507CONCON1,1513757101390261,762
Mid SuffolkNeedham Market869CONCON34414579024019611
Mid SuffolkPalgrave2,334CONCON1,185283550970211,641
Mid SuffolkStonham2,449CONCON1,1803118201180291,720
Mid SuffolkStradbroke and Laxfield2,589CONCON1,2043551460660481,819
 Total80,036CONCON34,53914,2543,25803,08201,11456,247

Please note that general election results and electorates are not officially made available ward-by-ward. The numbers shown are our best estimates for these figures, but are not official. The wards used are those of 2020.


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