Tyneside North: Seat Details

WARNING: This is the page for the old seat. The new seats, which will be used at the next general election, are more relevant. See the new seat of Newcastle upon Tyne East and Wallsend, or click here to find another new seat.

Tyneside North: Overview

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Mary Glindon  (LAB)
County/Area:Newcastle area (North East)
Electorate:78,902
Turnout:63.9%

Party2019
Votes
2019
Share
Pred
Votes
LAB25,05149.7%58.1%
CON15,49030.7%11.3%
Reform5,25410.4%17.9%
LIB3,2416.4%5.5%
Green1,3932.8%5.6%
OTH00.0%1.6%
LAB Majority9,56119.0%40.3%
Pred Maj
Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Tyneside North : Political and Demographic indicators

The table below shows some political and demographic numerical indicators for the Tyneside North constituency, the 'North East' area and nation.

The political measures include the three axes: Economic (Left/Right), National (Global/National) and Social (Liberal/Conservative). (what does this mean).

The demographic measures are from the 2021 Census and include categories relating to national identity, economic activity, health and education. These categories are those which have the most relevance to political attitudes.

Indicator Seat North EastAll GB
Party Winner 2019LABLABCON
Party Winner 2017LABLABCON
Party Winner 2015LABLABCON
Economic Position14° Left9° Left
National Position4° Nat4° Nat
Social Position1° Con2° Con
TribeTradition
EU Leave %59%58%52%
Average Age50.450.749.5
Good Education45%47%49%
Employed57%52%58%
Homeowner61%62%63%
Car owner70%73%77%
Married42%43%45%
Ethnic White95%93%83%
Christian49%53%50%
ABC1 Class53%51%56%
Gross Household Income£34,959£35,265£42,397
Deprivation53%54%52%
Average House Price£157,311£162,902£313,528

Tyneside North ranks #185 for "Leave", #550 for "Economic Right Position", #306 for "National Position" and #353 for "Social Conservative Position" out of 650 seats.

Indicators: Legend and Descriptions
View descriptions and colour schemes of the table

The colour scheme used in the table above is explained in the legend table below. The eight census indicators (British Identity, Good Health, UK Born, Good Education Good Job, High SEC, Average Age and AB1 Class), 'Gross Household Income', 'Individual Disposable Income' and 'Average House Price' all use the same 'Census' colour scheme indicating whether the area's level is above or below the national average.

TopicCat 1Cat 2Cat 3Cat 4Cat 5
Economic Position Very Left Left Centrist Right Very Right
National Position Very Global Global Centrist National Very Nat
Social Position Very Lib Liberal Moderate Conservative Very Cons
EU Leave % Very Remain Remain Balanced Leave Very Leave
Census Very Low Low Medium High Very High

Indicator definitions are given in terms of political data definitions or census categories:

IndicatorCensus
Question
Definition / Included Census Categories
Party WinnerArea party winner : actual election result or projected by Electoral Calculus
Economic PositionEconomic position between 100° Left and 100° Right, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
National PositionNational position between 100° Global and 100° National, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
Social PositionSocial position between 100° Liberal and 100° Conservative, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
TribeTribe group dominant in the area. Can be: Strong Left, Traditionalists, Progressives, Centrists, Somewheres, Kind Young Capitalists, or Strong Right. See details.
EU Leave %EU Referendum vote share for 'Leave' : actual result or estimate
Average AgeAge (TS007A)Average age of adults (18 years and above)
Good EducationHighest level of qualification (TS067)Level 3 (A-level equivalent) or Level 4+ (degree equivalent)
EmployedEconomic activity status (TS066)Part-time, full-time employed or self-employed
HomeownerTenure (TS054)Own a property with or without a mortgage, or with shared ownership
Car ownerCar or van availability (TS045)In a household with at least one car or van
MarriedLegal partnership status (TS002)Married or civil partnership
Ethnic WhiteEthnic group (TS021)White British, Irish, Gypsy, Roma or other
ChristianReligion (TS030)Christian or Christian denomination (NI)
ABC1 ClassApproximated Social Grade (SG002)Approximated social grades A, B and C1
Gross Household IncomeMedian gross household income, including cash benefits, but before tax. Values as at 2018. Source: ONS Small area estimates (E&W), Scottish Government (Scotland), plus additional Electoral Calculus modelling.
DeprivationHouseholds by deprivation dimensions (TS011)Fraction of households which are classed as deprived on one or more of the following four indicators: employment (unemployed or long-term sick); education (no good GCSE); health and disability (bad health or long-term problem); and housing (overcrowded, shared or no central heating).
Average House PriceAverage residential property price (including flats and houses) around 2019. Sources: Land Registry, Statistics Scotland, NI Department of Finance

Tyneside North: Map

Boundary Lines courtesy of Ordnance Survey OpenData © Crown copyright 2022, Map © OpenStreetMap contributors


Predicted ward-by-ward votes for Tyneside North

This table shows the predicted future general election result broken down over each ward in the seat of Tyneside North.

Tyneside NorthActualPredicted
DistrictWardElectorate
2019
GE19
Winner
Pred
Winner
North TynesideBattle Hill7,989LABLAB
North TynesideBenton7,856LABLAB
North TynesideCamperdown7,774LABLAB
North TynesideHowdon7,785LABLAB
North TynesideKillingworth8,808LABLAB
North TynesideLongbenton8,180LABLAB
North TynesideNorthumberland7,007LABLAB
North TynesideRiverside8,107LABLAB
North TynesideWallsend7,430LABLAB
North TynesideWeetslade7,966LABLAB
 Total78,902LABLAB

Please note that general election results and electorates are not officially made available ward-by-ward. The numbers shown are our best estimates for these figures, but are not official. The wards used are those of 2023.


© 2024 Electoral Calculus Ltd
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