Tyrone West: Seat Details

WARNING: This is the page for the old seat. The new seats, which will be used at the next general election, are more relevant. See the new seat of Tyrone West, or click here to find another new seat.

Tyrone West: Overview

Prediction: SF hold

MP at 2019:Órfhlaith Begley  (SF)
County/Area:Tyrone (Northern Ireland)
Electorate:66,259
Turnout:62.2%

Party2019
Votes
2019
Share
Pred
Votes
SF16,54440.2%40.3%
DUP9,06622.0%22.1%
SDLP7,33017.8%17.9%
Alliance3,9799.7%9.7%
UUP2,7746.7%6.8%
OTH9722.4%2.2%
Green5211.3%1.0%
SF Majority7,47818.2%18.1%
Pred Maj
Chance of winning
SF
85%
DUP
10%
SDLP
4%
Alliance
0%
UUP
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Tyrone West : Political and Demographic indicators

The table below shows some political and demographic numerical indicators for the Tyrone West constituency, the 'Northern Ireland' area and nation.

The demographic measures are from the 2021 Census and include categories relating to national identity, economic activity, health and education. These categories are those which have the most relevance to political attitudes.

Indicator Seat Northern IrelandAll UK
Party Winner 2019SFDUPCON
Party Winner 2017SFDUPCON
Party Winner 2015SFDUPCON
EU Leave %33%44%52%
British Identity21%32%52%
Average Age49.649.349.5
Good Education44%48%49%
Employed54%56%58%
Homeowner71%69%63%
Car owner90%87%77%
Married47%46%45%
Ethnic White99%97%83%
Christian93%81%50%
ABC1 Class35%46%55%
Average House Price£132,558£148,218£309,210

Tyrone West ranks #595 for "Leave", out of 650 seats.

Indicators: Legend and Descriptions
View descriptions and colour schemes of the table

The colour scheme used in the table above is explained in the legend table below. The eight census indicators (British Identity, Good Health, UK Born, Good Education Good Job, High SEC, Average Age and AB1 Class), 'Gross Household Income', 'Individual Disposable Income' and 'Average House Price' all use the same 'Census' colour scheme indicating whether the area's level is above or below the national average.

TopicCat 1Cat 2Cat 3Cat 4Cat 5
EU Leave % Very Remain Remain Balanced Leave Very Leave
Census Very Low Low Medium High Very High

Indicator definitions are given in terms of political data definitions or census categories:

IndicatorCensus
Question
Definition / Included Census Categories
Party WinnerArea party winner : actual election result or projected by Electoral Calculus
British IdentityNational Identity (TS027)Those answering British, British-Other, or Scottish-British
EU Leave %EU Referendum vote share for 'Leave' : actual result or estimate
Average AgeAge (TS007A)Average age of adults (18 years and above)
Good EducationHighest level of qualification (TS067)Level 3 (A-level equivalent) or Level 4+ (degree equivalent)
EmployedEconomic activity status (TS066)Part-time, full-time employed or self-employed
HomeownerTenure (TS054)Own a property with or without a mortgage, or with shared ownership
Car ownerCar or van availability (TS045)In a household with at least one car or van
MarriedLegal partnership status (TS002)Married or civil partnership
Ethnic WhiteEthnic group (TS021)White British, Irish, Gypsy, Roma or other
ChristianReligion (TS030)Christian or Christian denomination (NI)
ABC1 ClassApproximated Social Grade (SG002)Approximated social grades A, B and C1
Gross Household IncomeMedian gross household income, including cash benefits, but before tax. Values as at 2018. Source: ONS Small area estimates (E&W), Scottish Government (Scotland), plus additional Electoral Calculus modelling.
DeprivationHouseholds by deprivation dimensions (TS011)Fraction of households which are classed as deprived on one or more of the following four indicators: employment (unemployed or long-term sick); education (no good GCSE); health and disability (bad health or long-term problem); and housing (overcrowded, shared or no central heating).
Average House PriceAverage residential property price (including flats and houses) around 2019. Sources: Land Registry, Statistics Scotland, NI Department of Finance

Tyrone West: Map

Boundary Lines courtesy of Ordnance Survey OpenData © Crown copyright 2022, Map © OpenStreetMap contributors


Predicted ward-by-ward votes for Tyrone West

This table shows the predicted future general election result broken down over each ward in the seat of Tyrone West.

Tyrone WestActualPredicted Results
DistrictWardElectorate
2019
GE19
Winner
Pred
Winner
UUP
Votes
SDLP
Votes
DUP
Votes
Alliance
Votes
Green
Votes
SF
Votes
MIN
Votes
OTH
Votes
Total
Votes
Derry and StrabaneArtigarvan2,680DUPDUP72336590171144400451,668
Derry and StrabaneBallycolman2,694SFSF22464223115117970431,675
Derry and StrabaneCastlederg2,525SFSF184257449117115160351,569
Derry and StrabaneDunnamanagh2,596DUPDUP112240684182133410421,614
Derry and StrabaneFinn2,997SFSF88462312140138050411,861
Derry and StrabaneGlenderg2,496DUPDUP198239490117114600351,550
Derry and StrabaneGlenelly Valley2,559SFSF42369442121115620421,589
Derry and StrabaneNewtownstewart2,263DUPDUP194184509130103460341,407
Derry and StrabaneSion Mills2,723SFSF137330402129126440381,692
Derry and StrabaneSlievekirk808SDLPDUP2513217664389011500
Derry and StrabaneStrabane North2,735SFSF22459249120117920451,698
Derry and StrabaneStrabane West2,414SFSF20399208103107210391,500
Fermanagh and OmaghBeragh2,121SFSF177151358134104580311,319
Fermanagh and OmaghCamowen2,132DUPDUP179153454235232510311,326
Fermanagh and OmaghCoolnagard2,189SFSF47248173192446200371,361
Fermanagh and OmaghDergmoney1,680DUPDUP121128289204342430261,045
Fermanagh and OmaghDromore1,958SFSF6824021610285680151,217
Fermanagh and OmaghDrumnakilly2,142SFSF67195154107107660321,331
Fermanagh and OmaghDrumquin2,164SFSF932382699596190221,345
Fermanagh and OmaghFairy Water2,184SFSF1731913831668433041,358
Fermanagh and OmaghFintona1,815SFSF751912448975040201,130
Fermanagh and OmaghGortin2,222SFSF149159275188105670331,381
Fermanagh and OmaghGortrush2,134SFSF46231182157226540361,328
Fermanagh and OmaghKillyclogher2,195SFSF58255204175276090361,364
Fermanagh and OmaghNewtownsaville2,154SFSF148226314958543071,341
Fermanagh and OmaghOwenkillew2,087SFSF451821459597890311,296
Fermanagh and OmaghSixmilecross2,055SFSF86153177101107190311,277
Fermanagh and OmaghStrule1,691SFSF29134161181344820301,051
Fermanagh and OmaghTermon1,956SFSF432071298687160271,216
Fermanagh and OmaghTrillick1,887SFSF942122467975240111,173
 Total66,256SFSF2,8147,3659,1073,99041816,578091041,182

Please note that general election results and electorates are not officially made available ward-by-ward. The numbers shown are our best estimates for these figures, but are not official. The wards used are those of 2023.


© 2024 Electoral Calculus Ltd
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