Tyrone West: Seat, Ward and Prediction Details

Tyrone West: Overview

 Prediction: SF hold 

MP at 2019: Órfhlaith Begley  (SF)
County/Area: Tyrone (Northern Ireland)
Electorate: 66,259
Turnout: 62.2%
2019
Votes
2019
Share
Predicted
Votes
SF16,54440.2%40.3%
DUP9,06622.0%22.1%
SDLP7,33017.8%17.9%
Alliance3,9799.7%9.7%
UUP2,7746.7%6.8%
OTH9722.4%2.2%
Green5211.3%1.0%
SF Majority7,47818.2%Pred Maj 18.1%
Chance of
winning
SF
84%
DUP
11%
SDLP
4%
Alliance
0%
UUP
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Tyrone West : Political and Demographic indicators

The table below shows some political and demographic numerical indicators for the Tyrone West constituency, the 'Northern Ireland' area and nation.

The demographic measures are from the 2011 Census and include categories relating to national identity, economic activity, health and education. These categories are those which have the most relevance to political attitudes.

Indicator Seat Northern IrelandAll UK
Party Winner 2019SFDUPCON
Party Winner 2017SFDUPCON
Party Winner 2015SFDUPCON
EU Leave %33%44%52%
British Identity26%40%29%
Good Health47%48%48%
UK Born93%93%87%
Good Education31%36%39%
Good Job42%47%51%
High SEC54%57%51%
Average Age47.147.248.3
ABC1 Class35%46%53%

Tyrone West ranks #595 for "Leave", out of 650 seats.

Indicators: Legend and Descriptions

Indicators : Legend and Descriptions

The colour scheme used in the table above is explained in the legend table below. The eight census indicators (British Identity, Good Health, UK Born, Good Education, Good Job, High SEC, Average Age and AB1 Class) all use the same 'Census' colour scheme indicating whether the area's level is above or below the national average.

TopicCat 1Cat 2Cat 3Cat 4Cat 5
EU Leave %Very RemainRemainBalancedLeaveVery Leave
CensusVery LowLowMediumHighVery High

Indicator definitions are given in terms of political data definitions or census categories:

IndicatorCensus
Question
Definition / Included Census Categories
Party WinnerArea party winner : actual election result or projected by Electoral Calculus
EU Leave %EU Referendum vote share for 'Leave' : actual result or estimate
British IdentityNational Identity (KS202)Those answering British, British-Other, or Scottish-British
Good HealthHealth (KS301)Those answering 'Very Good Health'
UK BornCountry of Birth (QS203)Those answering England, Northern Ireland, Scotland, Wales, GB Other, or UK Other
Good EducationHighest level of Qualification (QS501)Level 3 (A-level equivalent) or Level 4+ (degree equivalent)
Good JobOccupation (QS606)Occupation codes 1xx to 4xx (Managers, Professionals, Associates, and office workers)
High SECNS-SeC of Household Reference Person (QS609)National Statistics Socio-economic Classification from 1 to 4 (higher managers and professionals, lower managers and professionals, intermediate occupations, small employers and self-employed).
Average AgeAge (QS103)Average age of adults (18 years and above)
ABC1 ClassApproximated Social Grade (QS611)Approximated social grades A, B and C1

Tyrone West: Map

Boundary Lines courtesy of Ordnance Survey OpenData © Crown copyright 2020, Map © OpenStreetMap contributors

Predicted ward-by-ward votes for Tyrone West

This table shows the predicted future general election result broken down over each ward in the seat of Tyrone West.

Tyrone WestActualPredicted Results
DistrictWardElectorate
2019
GE19
Winner
Pred
Winner
UUP
Votes
SDLP
Votes
DUP
Votes
Alliance
Votes
Green
Votes
SF
Votes
MIN
Votes
OTH
Votes
Total
Votes
Derry and StrabaneArtigarvan2,621DUPDUP93320573156124300431,627
Derry and StrabaneBallycolman2,681SFSF28459221110107940431,665
Derry and StrabaneCastlederg2,552SFSF161270459126115220351,584
Derry and StrabaneDunnamanagh2,536DUPDUP116232666173123340411,574
Derry and StrabaneFinn2,938SFSF110445301126127900401,824
Derry and StrabaneGlenderg2,465DUPDUP165249490126114550351,531
Derry and StrabaneGlenelly Valley2,494SFSF54356429111105480411,549
Derry and StrabaneNewtownstewart2,283DUPDUP162200520142113490341,418
Derry and StrabaneSion Mills2,657SFSF133323393124116290371,650
Derry and StrabaneSlievekirk783SDLPDUP3012616960387010485
Derry and StrabaneStrabane North2,680SFSF29448243113107760441,663
Derry and StrabaneStrabane West2,365SFSF253892039897070381,469
Fermanagh and OmaghBeragh2,089SFSF145161358142104510301,297
Fermanagh and OmaghCamowen2,216DUPDUP155172478255252610321,378
Fermanagh and OmaghCoolnagard2,331SFSF64258183198466610381,448
Fermanagh and OmaghDergmoney1,836DUPDUP117147318228372660291,142
Fermanagh and OmaghDromore1,957SFSF802362149775680151,217
Fermanagh and OmaghDrumnakilly2,109SFSF821871499897550321,312
Fermanagh and OmaghDrumquin2,142SFSF982342669186130221,332
Fermanagh and OmaghFairy Water2,175SFSF1462023871749432041,354
Fermanagh and OmaghFintona1,827SFSF821902458775070201,138
Fermanagh and OmaghGortin2,221SFSF133167278193105670331,381
Fermanagh and OmaghGortrush2,183SFSF61231184154226700361,358
Fermanagh and OmaghKillyclogher2,235SFSF77253205170266210361,388
Fermanagh and OmaghNewtownsaville2,125SFSF129230314998536071,323
Fermanagh and OmaghOwenkillew2,061SFSF581751418887800311,281
Fermanagh and OmaghSixmilecross2,031SFSF911491749797110311,262
Fermanagh and OmaghStrule1,838SFSF41143173193365240331,143
Fermanagh and OmaghTermon1,948SFSF552021268077140271,211
Fermanagh and OmaghTrillick1,880SFSF942122467975220111,171
 Total66,259SFSF2,8147,3669,1063,98841316,580090841,175

Please note that general election results and electorates are not officially made available ward-by-ward. The numbers shown are our best estimates for these figures, but are not official. The wards used are those of 2020.


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