Wealden: Seat Details

Wealden: Overview

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Nus Ghani  (CON)
County/Area:East Sussex (South East)
Electorate:82,992
Turnout:73.4%

Party2019
Votes
2019
Share
Pred
Votes
CON37,04360.8%55.6%
LIB11,38818.7%9.1%
LAB9,37715.4%23.7%
Green3,0995.1%8.0%
OTH00.0%3.7%
CON Majority25,65542.1%31.9%
Pred Maj
Chance of winning
CON
98%
LIB
0%
LAB
2%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Wealden : Political and Demographic indicators

The table below shows some political and demographic numerical indicators for the Wealden constituency, the 'South East' area and nation.

The political measures include the three axes: Economic (Left/Right), National (Global/National) and Social (Liberal/Conservative). (what does this mean).

The demographic measures are from the 2011 Census and include categories relating to national identity, economic activity, health and education. These categories are those which have the most relevance to political attitudes.

Indicator Seat South EastAll GB
Party Winner 2019CONCONCON
Party Winner 2017CONCONCON
Party Winner 2015CONCONCON
Economic Position15° Right11° Right
National Position8° Nat3° Nat
Social Position4° Con1° Con
TribeStrong Right
EU Leave %53%52%52%
British Identity27%29%29%
Good Health49%49%48%
UK Born93%88%87%
Good Education43%43%39%
Good Job57%56%51%
High SEC61%57%51%
Average Age52.549.148.3
ABC1 Class61%60%54%

Wealden ranks #328 for "Leave", #50 for "Right", #192 for "National" and #246 for "Social" out of 650 seats.

Indicators: Legend and Descriptions
View the colour scheme used in the table above

The colour scheme used in the table above is explained in the legend table below. The eight census indicators (British Identity, Good Health, UK Born, Good Education, Good Job, High SEC, Average Age and AB1 Class) all use the same 'Census' colour scheme indicating whether the area's level is above or below the national average.

TopicCat 1Cat 2Cat 3Cat 4Cat 5
Economic Position Very Left Left Centrist Right Very Right
National Position Very Global Global Centrist National Very Nat
Social Position Very Lib Liberal Moderate Conservative Very Cons
EU Leave % Very Remain Remain Balanced Leave Very Leave
Census Very Low Low Medium High Very High

Indicator definitions are given in terms of political data definitions or census categories:

IndicatorCensus
Question
Definition / Included Census Categories
Party WinnerArea party winner : actual election result or projected by Electoral Calculus
Economic PositionEconomic position between 100° Left and 100° Right, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
National PositionNational position between 100° Global and 100° National, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
Social PositionSocial position between 100° Liberal and 100° Conservative, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
TribeTribe group dominant in the area. Can be: Strong Left, Traditionalists, Progressives, Centrists, Somewheres, Kind Young Capitalists, or Strong Right. See details.
EU Leave %EU Referendum vote share for 'Leave' : actual result or estimate
British IdentityNational Identity (KS202)Those answering British, British-Other, or Scottish-British
Good HealthHealth (KS301)Those answering 'Very Good Health'
UK BornCountry of Birth (QS203)Those answering England, Northern Ireland, Scotland, Wales, GB Other, or UK Other
Good EducationHighest level of Qualification (QS501)Level 3 (A-level equivalent) or Level 4+ (degree equivalent)
Good JobOccupation (QS606)Occupation codes 1xx to 4xx (Managers, Professionals, Associates, and office workers)
High SECNS-SeC of Household Reference Person (QS609)National Statistics Socio-economic Classification from 1 to 4 (higher managers and professionals, lower managers and professionals, intermediate occupations, small employers and self-employed).
Average AgeAge (QS103)Average age of adults (18 years and above)
ABC1 ClassApproximated Social Grade (QS611)Approximated social grades A, B and C1

Wealden: Map

Boundary Lines courtesy of Ordnance Survey OpenData © Crown copyright 2020, Map © OpenStreetMap contributors


Predicted ward-by-ward votes for Wealden

This table shows the predicted future general election result broken down over each ward in the seat of Wealden.

WealdenActualPredicted Results
DistrictWardElectorate
2019
GE19
Winner
Pred
Winner
CON
Votes
LAB
Votes
LIB
Votes
Brexit
Votes
Green
Votes
MIN
Votes
OTH
Votes
Total
Votes
WealdenArlington1,051CONCON44515865070033771
WealdenBuxted2,802CONCON1,36036410301660632,056
WealdenChiddingly, East Hoathly and Waldron2,752CONCON1,23542112001750692,020
WealdenCrowborough Central2,920CONCON1,22261412101150712,143
WealdenCrowborough Jarvis Brook2,945CONCON90366930801880912,159
WealdenCrowborough North2,864CONCON1,22152711401720682,102
WealdenCrowborough South East2,659CONCON91752629801260831,950
WealdenCrowborough South West2,480CONCON1,04240814401520751,821
WealdenCrowborough St Johns2,745CONCON1,3843099901610622,015
WealdenDanehill and Fletching3,220CONCON1,58038612002030742,363
WealdenForest Row2,779CONCON1,12946313402390752,040
WealdenFramfield and Cross-in-Hand1,626CONCON787217560980361,194
WealdenFrant and Wadhurst5,225CONCON2,284846240032901363,835
WealdenHadlow Down and Rotherfield2,614CONCON1,2743279601610591,917
WealdenHailsham Central2,483CONCON85647225701590771,821
WealdenHailsham East3,080CONCON91966743901400962,261
WealdenHailsham North2,581CONCON87453922701730801,893
WealdenHailsham North West2,635CONCON93243336501220821,934
WealdenHailsham South2,875CONCON97367824201280892,110
WealdenHailsham West2,969CONCON97566231601320922,177
WealdenHartfield2,864CONCON1,40035310501810652,104
WealdenHellingly2,957CONCON1,29954412901250742,171
WealdenHoram and Punnetts Town2,231CONCON1,0093548301410511,638
WealdenMaresfield2,998CONCON1,47738010401730662,200
WealdenMayfield and Five Ashes2,271CONCON1,0583239101410541,667
WealdenUckfield East2,679CONCON85447243301250831,967
WealdenUckfield New Town4,925CONCON1,7371,098321030701533,616
WealdenUckfield North2,415CONCON85755313601550721,773
WealdenUckfield Ridgewood and Little Horsted1,885CONCON70334215301260591,383
WealdenWithyham2,463CONCON1,16232010001670591,808
 Total82,993CONCON33,86814,4255,51904,85002,24760,909

Please note that general election results and electorates are not officially made available ward-by-ward. The numbers shown are our best estimates for these figures, but are not official. The wards used are those of 2020.


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