Worcestershire Mid: Seat Details

Worcestershire Mid: Overview

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Nigel Huddleston  (CON)
County/Area:Hereford and Worcestershire (West Midlands)
Electorate:78,220
Turnout:71.8%

Party2019
Votes
2019
Share
Pred
Votes
CON37,42666.7%58.8%
LAB9,40816.8%21.4%
LIB6,47411.5%8.9%
Green2,1773.9%7.3%
OTH6381.1%3.6%
CON Majority28,01849.9%37.5%
Pred Maj
Chance of winning
CON
99%
LAB
1%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Worcestershire Mid : Political and Demographic indicators

The table below shows some political and demographic numerical indicators for the Worcestershire Mid constituency, the 'West Midlands' area and nation.

The political measures include the three axes: Economic (Left/Right), National (Global/National) and Social (Liberal/Conservative). (what does this mean).

The demographic measures are from the 2011 Census and include categories relating to national identity, economic activity, health and education. These categories are those which have the most relevance to political attitudes.

Indicator Seat West MidlandsAll GB
Party Winner 2019CONCONCON
Party Winner 2017CONCONCON
Party Winner 2015CONCONCON
Economic Position14° Right3° Right
National Position13° Nat7° Nat
Social Position8° Con6° Con
TribeStrong Right
EU Leave %59%59%52%
British Identity26%29%29%
Good Health46%45%48%
UK Born94%89%87%
Good Education39%36%39%
Good Job52%48%51%
High SEC55%46%51%
Average Age51.848.648.3
ABC1 Class55%49%54%
Average House Price£305,508£235,222£309,875

Worcestershire Mid ranks #190 for "Leave", #70 for "Right", #70 for "National" and #62 for "Social" out of 650 seats.

Indicators: Legend and Descriptions
View the colour scheme used in the table above

The colour scheme used in the table above is explained in the legend table below. The eight census indicators (British Identity, Good Health, UK Born, Good Education, Good Job, High SEC, Average Age and AB1 Class) and 'Average House Price' all use the same 'Census' colour scheme indicating whether the area's level is above or below the national average.

TopicCat 1Cat 2Cat 3Cat 4Cat 5
Economic Position Very Left Left Centrist Right Very Right
National Position Very Global Global Centrist National Very Nat
Social Position Very Lib Liberal Moderate Conservative Very Cons
EU Leave % Very Remain Remain Balanced Leave Very Leave
Census Very Low Low Medium High Very High

Indicator definitions are given in terms of political data definitions or census categories:

IndicatorCensus
Question
Definition / Included Census Categories
Party WinnerArea party winner : actual election result or projected by Electoral Calculus
Economic PositionEconomic position between 100° Left and 100° Right, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
National PositionNational position between 100° Global and 100° National, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
Social PositionSocial position between 100° Liberal and 100° Conservative, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
TribeTribe group dominant in the area. Can be: Strong Left, Traditionalists, Progressives, Centrists, Somewheres, Kind Young Capitalists, or Strong Right. See details.
EU Leave %EU Referendum vote share for 'Leave' : actual result or estimate
British IdentityNational Identity (KS202)Those answering British, British-Other, or Scottish-British
Good HealthHealth (KS301)Those answering 'Very Good Health'
UK BornCountry of Birth (QS203)Those answering England, Northern Ireland, Scotland, Wales, GB Other, or UK Other
Good EducationHighest level of Qualification (QS501)Level 3 (A-level equivalent) or Level 4+ (degree equivalent)
Good JobOccupation (QS606)Occupation codes 1xx to 4xx (Managers, Professionals, Associates, and office workers)
High SECNS-SeC of Household Reference Person (QS609)National Statistics Socio-economic Classification from 1 to 4 (higher managers and professionals, lower managers and professionals, intermediate occupations, small employers and self-employed).
Average AgeAge (QS103)Average age of adults (18 years and above)
ABC1 ClassApproximated Social Grade (QS611)Approximated social grades A, B and C1
Average House PriceAverage residential house price around 2019. Sources: Land Registry, Statistics Scotland, NI Department of Finance

Worcestershire Mid: Map

Boundary Lines courtesy of Ordnance Survey OpenData © Crown copyright 2020, Map © OpenStreetMap contributors


Predicted ward-by-ward votes for Worcestershire Mid

This table shows the predicted future general election result broken down over each ward in the seat of Worcestershire Mid.

Worcestershire MidActualPredicted Results
DistrictWardElectorate
2019
GE19
Winner
Pred
Winner
CON
Votes
LAB
Votes
LIB
Votes
Reform
Votes
Green
Votes
MIN
Votes
OTH
Votes
Total
Votes
WychavonBadsey2,488CONCON1,128430820970481,785
WychavonBengeworth4,503CONCON1,613928381020301063,231
WychavonBowbrook2,429CONCON97130626801190781,742
WychavonBretforton and Offenham2,300CONCON1,168260860890451,648
WychavonBroadway and Wickhamford4,068CONCON1,917501171016201692,920
WychavonDodderhill2,222CONCON1,135246850860441,596
WychavonDrakes Broughton2,106CONCON8882821950970491,511
WychavonDroitwich Central1,942CONLAB5465501630880451,392
WychavonDroitwich East4,237CONCON1,74766934201860963,040
WychavonDroitwich South East4,768CONCON2,073594306034901003,422
WychavonDroitwich South West3,908CONCON1,445644412018801162,805
WychavonDroitwich West3,643CONCON1,1511,02321701470772,615
WychavonEvesham North3,245CONCON1,211707153014101152,327
WychavonEvesham South3,674CONCON1,427580173032101352,636
WychavonFladbury2,290CONCON99428519401040661,643
WychavonGreat Hampton2,624CONCON1,14537810302010561,883
WychavonHartlebury2,352CONCON1,06329517201000581,688
WychavonHarvington and Norton2,161CONCON1,092238830850531,551
WychavonHoneybourne and Pebworth2,383CONCON1,0853097901850521,710
WychavonLittle Hampton3,599CONCON1,470629197015101342,581
WychavonLovett and North Claines5,363CONCON2,331668359037501153,848
WychavonNorton and Whittington2,824CONCON1,43230111601180592,026
WychavonOmbersley2,002CONCON9052521460880461,437
WychavonPinvin2,465CONCON96734526001180791,769
WychavonThe Littletons2,367CONCON1,0583148901920451,698
WychavonUpton Snodsbury2,257CONCON1,0502551560980591,618
 Total78,220CONCON33,01211,9894,98804,08802,04556,122

Please note that general election results and electorates are not officially made available ward-by-ward. The numbers shown are our best estimates for these figures, but are not official. The wards used are those of 2021.


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