Election Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Conservative majority 228

List of predicted seat changes

Party	2017 Votes	2017 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	43.5%	318	45.2%	122	1	+121	439
LAB	41.0%	262	26.9%	0	120	-120	142
LIB	7.6%	12	11.5%	4	2	+2	14
Brexit	0.0%	0	4.8%	0	0	+0	0
Green	1.7%	1	4.8%	0	0	+0	1
SNP	3.1%	35	3.2%	4	6	-2	33
PlaidC	0.5%	4	0.4%	0	1	-1	3
UKIP	1.9%	0	2.9%	0	0	+0	0
Other	0.7%	0	0.3%	0	0	+0	0
N.Ire		18		0	0	+0	18

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2017
Alyn and Deeside	Clwyd	CON	gain from	LAB	Mark Tami
Argyll and Bute	Argyll and Bute	CON	gain from	SNP	Brendan O'Hara
Ashfield	Nottinghamshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Gloria De Piero
Ashton under Lyne	Eastern Manchester	CON	gain from	LAB	Angela Rayner
Ayrshire Central	Ayrshire and Lanark	CON	gain from	SNP	Philippa Whitford
Barnsley East	South Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Stephanie Peacock
Barrow and Furness	Cumbria	CON	gain from	LAB	John Woodcock
Bassetlaw	Nottinghamshire	CON	gain from	LAB	John Mann
Batley and Spen	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Tracy Brabin
Bedford	Bedfordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Mohammad Yasin
Birmingham Edgbaston	Birmingham	CON	gain from	LAB	Preet Gill
Birmingham Erdington	Birmingham	CON	gain from	LAB	Jack Dromey
Birmingham Northfield	Birmingham	CON	gain from	LAB	Richard Burden
Bishop Auckland	Durham	CON	gain from	LAB	Helen Goodman
Blackpool South	Lancashire	CON	gain from	LAB	Gordon Marsden
Blaydon	Newcastle area	CON	gain from	LAB	Liz Twist
Blyth Valley	Northumberland	CON	gain from	LAB	Ronnie Campbell
Bolsover	Derbyshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Dennis Skinner
Bolton North East	Western Manchester	CON	gain from	LAB	David Crausby
Bradford South	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Judith Cummins
Bridgend	Mid Glamorgan	CON	gain from	LAB	Madeleine Moon
Brighton Kemptown	East Sussex	CON	gain from	LAB	Lloyd Russell-Moyle
Bristol North West	Bristol area	CON	gain from	LAB	Darren Jones
Burnley	Lancashire	CON	gain from	LAB	Julie Cooper
Bury North	Western Manchester	CON	gain from	LAB	James Frith
Bury South	Western Manchester	CON	gain from	LAB	Ivan Lewis
Canterbury	Kent	CON	gain from	LAB	Rosie Duffield
Cardiff North	South Glamorgan	CON	gain from	LAB	Anna McMorrin
Carshalton and Wallington	Sutton	CON	gain from	LIB	Tom Brake
Ceredigion	Dyfed	CON	gain from	Plaid	Ben Lake
Chester, City of	Cheshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Chris Matheson
Chesterfield	Derbyshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Toby Perkins
Clwyd South	Clwyd	CON	gain from	LAB	Susan Elan Jones
Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Hugh Gaffney
Colne Valley	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Thelma Walker
Coventry North West	Coventry and Solihull	CON	gain from	LAB	Geoffrey Robinson
Coventry South	Coventry and Solihull	CON	gain from	LAB	James Cunningham
Crewe and Nantwich	Cheshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Laura Smith
Croydon Central	Croydon	CON	gain from	LAB	Sarah Jones
Dagenham and Rainham	Barking and Dagenham	CON	gain from	LAB	Jon Cruddas
Darlington	Durham	CON	gain from	LAB	Jenny Chapman
Delyn	Clwyd	CON	gain from	LAB	David Hanson
Derby North	Derbyshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Chris Williamson
Dewsbury	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Paula Sherriff
Don Valley	South Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Caroline Flint
Doncaster Central	South Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Rosie Winterton
Doncaster North	South Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Ed Miliband
Dudley North	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	Ian Austin
Durham North	Durham	CON	gain from	LAB	Kevan Jones
Durham North West	Durham	CON	gain from	LAB	Laura Pidcock
East Lothian	Edinburgh area	CON	gain from	LAB	Martin Whitfield
Eastbourne	East Sussex	CON	gain from	LIB	Stephen Lloyd
Edinburgh South West	Edinburgh area	CON	gain from	SNP	Joanna Cherry
Ellesmere Port and Neston	Cheshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Justin Madders
Eltham	Greenwich	CON	gain from	LAB	Clive Efford
Enfield Southgate	Enfield	CON	gain from	LAB	Bambos Charalambous
Fife North East	Fife	LIB	gain from	SNP	Stephen Gethins
Gedling	Nottinghamshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Vernon Coaker
Glasgow North East	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Paul Sweeney
Gower	West Glamorgan	CON	gain from	LAB	Tonia Antoniazzi
Great Grimsby	Humber area	CON	gain from	LAB	Melanie Onn
Halifax	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Holly Lynch
Hartlepool	Teesside	CON	gain from	LAB	Mike Hill
Hemsworth	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Jon Trickett
Heywood and Middleton	Eastern Manchester	CON	gain from	LAB	Liz McInnes
Houghton and Sunderland South	Newcastle area	CON	gain from	LAB	Bridget Phillipson
Hull East	Humber area	CON	gain from	LAB	Karl Turner
Hull West and Hessle	Humber area	CON	gain from	LAB	Emma Hardy
Hyndburn	Lancashire	CON	gain from	LAB	Graham Jones
Ilford North	Redbridge	CON	gain from	LAB	Wes Streeting
Ipswich	Suffolk	CON	gain from	LAB	Sandy Martin
Keighley	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	John Grogan
Kensington	Kensington and Chelsea	CON	gain from	LAB	Emma Dent Coad
Lanark and Hamilton East	Ayrshire and Lanark	CON	gain from	SNP	Angela Crawley
Lancashire West	Lancashire	CON	gain from	LAB	Rosie Cooper
Lancaster and Fleetwood	Lancashire	CON	gain from	LAB	Cat Smith
Leeds North West	West Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Alex Sobel
Leigh	Western Manchester	CON	gain from	LAB	Joanne Platt
Lincoln	Lincolnshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Karen Lee
Makerfield	Western Manchester	CON	gain from	LAB	Yvonne Fovargue
Midlothian	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Danielle Rowley
Newcastle upon Tyne North	Newcastle area	CON	gain from	LAB	Catherine McKinnell
Newcastle-under-Lyme	Staffordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Paul Farrelly
Newport East	Gwent	CON	gain from	LAB	Jessica Morden
Newport West	Gwent	CON	gain from	LAB	Paul Flynn
Normanton, Pontefract and Castleford	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Yvette Cooper
Oldham East and Saddleworth	Eastern Manchester	CON	gain from	LAB	Debbie Abrahams
Penistone and Stocksbridge	South Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Angela Smith
Perth and North Perthshire	Tayside	CON	gain from	SNP	Pete Wishart
Peterborough	Cambridgeshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Fiona Onasanya
Plymouth Sutton and Devonport	Devon	CON	gain from	LAB	Luke Pollard
Portsmouth South	Hampshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Stephen Morgan
Reading East	Berkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Matt Rodda
Redcar	Teesside	CON	gain from	LAB	Anna Turley
Richmond Park	Richmond Upon Thames	LIB	gain from	CON	Zac Goldsmith
Rother Valley	South Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Kevin Barron
Rutherglen and Hamilton West	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	LAB	Ged Killen
Scunthorpe	Humber area	CON	gain from	LAB	Nic Dakin
Sedgefield	Durham	CON	gain from	LAB	Phil Wilson
Sheffield Hallam	South Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Jared O Mara
Stalybridge and Hyde	Eastern Manchester	CON	gain from	LAB	Jonathan Reynolds
Stockton North	Teesside	CON	gain from	LAB	Alex Cunningham
Stockton South	Teesside	CON	gain from	LAB	Paul Williams
Stoke-on-Trent Central	Staffordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Gareth Snell
Stoke-on-Trent North	Staffordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Ruth Smeeth
Stroud	Gloucestershire	CON	gain from	LAB	David Drew
Sunderland Central	Newcastle area	CON	gain from	LAB	Julie Elliott
Torfaen	Gwent	CON	gain from	LAB	Nick Thomas-Symonds
Tynemouth	Newcastle area	CON	gain from	LAB	Alan Campbell
Vale of Clwyd	Clwyd	CON	gain from	LAB	Chris Ruane
Wakefield	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Mary Creagh
Walsall South	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	Valerie Vaz
Wansbeck	Northumberland	CON	gain from	LAB	Ian Lavery
Warrington North	Cheshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Helen Jones
Warrington South	Cheshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Faisal Rashid
Warwick and Leamington	Warwickshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Matt Western
Weaver Vale	Cheshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Mike Amesbury
Wentworth and Dearne	South Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	John Healey
West Bromwich East	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	Tom Watson
West Bromwich West	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	Adrian Bailey
Wigan	Western Manchester	CON	gain from	LAB	Lisa Nandy
Wirral South	Merseyside	CON	gain from	LAB	Alison McGovern
Wirral West	Merseyside	CON	gain from	LAB	Margaret Greenwood
Wolverhampton North East	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	Emma Reynolds
Wolverhampton South East	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	Pat McFadden
Wolverhampton South West	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	Eleanor Smith
Workington	Cumbria	CON	gain from	LAB	Sue Hayman
Worsley and Eccles South	Central Manchester	CON	gain from	LAB	Barbara Keeley
Wrexham	Clwyd	CON	gain from	LAB	Ian Lucas
Ynys Mon	Gwynedd	CON	gain from	LAB	Albert Owen

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

User-defined Prediction

National Prediction: Conservative majority 228

List of predicted seat changes