Election Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Conservative majority 164

Party	1983 Votes	1983 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	43.5%	397	43.5%	14	4	+10	407
LAB	28.3%	209	26.0%	0	17	-17	192
LIB	26.0%	23	28.3%	7	0	+7	30
SNP	1.1%	2	1.1%	0	0	+0	2
PlaidC	0.4%	2	0.4%	0	0	+0	2
Other	0.7%	0	0.7%	0	0	+0	0
N.Ire		17		0	0	+0	17

This prediction is based on the historic boundaries of the 1983 election (650 seats). SDP votes and candidates have been accumulated together with the Liberal party votes and candidates under the 'LIB' category.

List of predicted seat changes

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 1983
Birmingham Erdington	Birmingham	CON	gain from	LAB	R Corbett
Bradford South	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	TW Torney
Burnley	Lancashire	CON	gain from	LAB	PL Pike
Carlisle	Cumbria	CON	gain from	LAB	R Lewis
Carmarthen	Dyfed	CON	gain from	LAB	RG Thomas
Chelmsford	Essex	LIB	gain from	CON	NA St John-Stevas
Crewe and Nantwich	Cheshire	CON	gain from	LAB	G Dunwoody
Derby South	Derbyshire	CON	gain from	LAB	M Beckett
Durham, City Of	Durham	LIB	gain from	LAB	M Hughes
Edinburgh West	Edinburgh area	LIB	gain from	CON	Lord J Douglas-Hamilton
Erith and Crayford	Bexley	LIB	gain from	CON	D Evennett
Great Grimsby	Humber area	CON	gain from	LAB	AV Mitchell
Ipswich	Suffolk	CON	gain from	LAB	K Weetch
Islington South and Finsbury	Islington	LIB	gain from	LAB	C Smith
Richmond and Barnes	Richmond upon Thames	LIB	gain from	CON	J Hanley
Sheffield Hillsborough	South Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	M Flannery
Wakefield	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	W Harrison
Walsall South	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	B George
West Bromwich East	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	P Snape
Wolverhampton North East	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	R Short
Wrexham	Clwyd	CON	gain from	LAB	J Marek

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 1983. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

User-defined Prediction

National Prediction: Conservative majority 164

List of predicted seat changes