Election Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Conservative majority 42

List of predicted seat changes

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	44.7%	365	41.0%	8	27	-19	346
LAB	33.0%	203	33.0%	24	7	+17	220
LIB	11.8%	11	9.0%	0	4	-4	7
Reform	2.1%	0	4.0%	0	0	+0	0
Green	2.8%	1	5.0%	0	0	+0	1
SNP	4.0%	48	4.8%	6	0	+6	54
PlaidC	0.5%	4	0.8%	0	0	+0	4
Other	1.1%	0	2.4%	0	0	+0	0
N.Ire		18		0	0	+0	18

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2019
Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	Andrew Bowie
Alyn and Deeside	Clwyd	CON	gain from	LAB	Mark Tami
Batley and Spen	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Tracy Brabin
Birmingham Northfield	Birmingham	LAB	gain from	CON	Gary Sambrook
Blackpool South	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Scott Benton
Blyth Valley	Northumberland	LAB	gain from	CON	Ian Levy
Bolsover	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Mark Fletcher
Bolton North East	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	Mark Logan
Bury North	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	James Daly
Bury South	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	Christian Wakeford
Caithness Sutherland and Easter Ross	Highland	SNP	gain from	LIB	Jamie Stone
Canterbury	Kent	CON	gain from	LAB	Rosie Duffield
Derby North	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Amanda Solloway
Dewsbury	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Mark Eastwood
Dumfries and Galloway	Dumfries and Galloway	SNP	gain from	CON	Alister Jack
Durham North West	Durham	LAB	gain from	CON	Richard Holden
Edinburgh West	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LIB	Christine Jardine
Fife North East	Fife	SNP	gain from	LIB	Wendy Chamberlain
Gedling	Nottinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Tom Randall
Gower	West Glamorgan	CON	gain from	LAB	Tonia Antoniazzi
Hartlepool	Teesside	CON	gain from	LAB	Mike Hill
Heywood and Middleton	Eastern Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	Chris Clarkson
High Peak	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Robert Largan
Hyndburn	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Sara Britcliffe
Ipswich	Suffolk	LAB	gain from	CON	Tom Hunt
Leigh	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	James Grundy
Lincoln	Lincolnshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Karl McCartney
Moray	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	Douglas Ross
Peterborough	Cambridgeshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Paul Bristow
Richmond Park	Richmond Upon Thames	CON	gain from	LIB	Sarah Olney
Sedgefield	Durham	LAB	gain from	CON	Paul Howell
Sheffield Hallam	South Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Olivia Blake
Southampton Itchen	Hampshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Royston Smith
Stoke-on-Trent Central	Staffordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Jo Gideon
Warwick and Leamington	Warwickshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Matt Western
West Bromwich East	Black Country	LAB	gain from	CON	Nicola Richards
West Bromwich West	Black Country	LAB	gain from	CON	Shaun Bailey
Wolverhampton North East	Black Country	LAB	gain from	CON	Jane Stevenson

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2019. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

User-defined Prediction

National Prediction: Conservative majority 42

List of predicted seat changes