Election Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Conservative short 3 of majority

List of predicted seat changes

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	44.7%	365	44.0%	1	43	-42	323
LAB	33.0%	203	40.0%	40	0	+40	243
LIB	11.8%	11	5.0%	0	5	-5	6
Brexit	2.1%	0	0.0%	0	0	+0	0
Green	2.8%	1	3.0%	0	0	+0	1
SNP	4.0%	48	4.5%	7	0	+7	55
PlaidC	0.5%	4	0.5%	0	0	+0	4
Other	1.1%	0	3.0%	0	0	+0	0
N.Ire		18		0	0	+0	18

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2019
Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	Andrew Bowie
Birmingham Northfield	Birmingham	LAB	gain from	CON	Gary Sambrook
Blyth Valley	Northumberland	LAB	gain from	CON	Ian Levy
Bolton North East	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	Mark Logan
Bridgend	Mid Glamorgan	LAB	gain from	CON	Jamie Wallis
Burnley	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Antony Higginbotham
Bury North	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	James Daly
Bury South	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	Christian Wakeford
Caithness Sutherland and Easter Ross	Highland	SNP	gain from	LIB	Jamie Stone
Chingford and Woodford Green	Waltham Forest	LAB	gain from	CON	Iain Duncan Smith
Chipping Barnet	Barnet	LAB	gain from	CON	Theresa Villiers
Clwyd South	Clwyd	LAB	gain from	CON	Simon Baynes
Delyn	Clwyd	LAB	gain from	CON	Rob Roberts
Derby North	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Amanda Solloway
Dewsbury	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Mark Eastwood
Don Valley	South Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Nick Fletcher
Dumfries and Galloway	Dumfries and Galloway	SNP	gain from	CON	Alister Jack
Durham North West	Durham	LAB	gain from	CON	Richard Holden
Edinburgh West	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LIB	Christine Jardine
Fife North East	Fife	SNP	gain from	LIB	Wendy Chamberlain
Gedling	Nottinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Tom Randall
Hendon	Barnet	LAB	gain from	CON	Matthew Offord
Heywood and Middleton	Eastern Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	Chris Clarkson
High Peak	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Robert Largan
Hyndburn	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Sara Britcliffe
Keighley	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Robbie Moore
Kensington	Kensington and Chelsea	LAB	gain from	CON	Felicity Buchan
Leigh	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	James Grundy
Moray	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	Douglas Ross
Orkney and Shetland	Orkney and Shetland	SNP	gain from	LIB	Alistair Carmichael
Penistone and Stocksbridge	South Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Miriam Cates
Peterborough	Cambridgeshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Paul Bristow
Redcar	Teesside	LAB	gain from	CON	Jacob Young
Rother Valley	South Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Alexander Stafford
Sedgefield	Durham	LAB	gain from	CON	Paul Howell
Southport	Merseyside	LAB	gain from	CON	Damien Moore
Stoke-on-Trent Central	Staffordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Jo Gideon
Truro and Falmouth	Cornwall	LAB	gain from	CON	Cherilyn Mackrory
Vale of Clwyd	Clwyd	LAB	gain from	CON	James Davies
Wakefield	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Imran Ahmad-Khan
Warrington South	Cheshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Andy Carter
Watford	Hertfordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Dean Russell
West Bromwich East	Black Country	LAB	gain from	CON	Nicola Richards
Westmorland and Lonsdale	Cumbria	CON	gain from	LIB	Tim Farron
Wolverhampton South West	Black Country	LAB	gain from	CON	Stuart Anderson
Wrexham	Clwyd	LAB	gain from	CON	Sarah Atherton
Wycombe	Buckinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Steve Baker
Ynys Mon	Gwynedd	LAB	gain from	CON	Virginia Crosbie

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2019. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

User-defined Prediction

National Prediction: Conservative short 3 of majority

List of predicted seat changes