Election Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Conservative majority 4

List of predicted seat changes

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	44.7%	365	39.7%	0	38	-38	327
LAB	33.0%	203	33.0%	24	1	+23	226
LIB	11.8%	11	16.8%	13	0	+13	24
Brexit	2.1%	0	0.0%	0	0	+0	0
Green	2.8%	1	2.8%	0	0	+0	1
SNP	4.0%	48	4.0%	3	1	+2	50
PlaidC	0.5%	4	0.5%	0	0	+0	4
Other	1.1%	0	3.2%	0	0	+0	0
N.Ire		18		0	0	+0	18

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2019
Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	Andrew Bowie
Birmingham Northfield	Birmingham	LAB	gain from	CON	Gary Sambrook
Blyth Valley	Northumberland	LAB	gain from	CON	Ian Levy
Bolton North East	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	Mark Logan
Bridgend	Mid Glamorgan	LAB	gain from	CON	Jamie Wallis
Burnley	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Antony Higginbotham
Bury North	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	James Daly
Bury South	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	Christian Wakeford
Cambridgeshire South	Cambridgeshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Anthony Browne
Carshalton and Wallington	Sutton	LIB	gain from	CON	Elliot Colburn
Cheadle	Eastern Manchester	LIB	gain from	CON	Mary Robinson
Cheltenham	Gloucestershire	LIB	gain from	CON	Alex Chalk
Chingford and Woodford Green	Waltham Forest	LAB	gain from	CON	Iain Duncan Smith
Chipping Barnet	Barnet	LAB	gain from	CON	Theresa Villiers
Clwyd South	Clwyd	LAB	gain from	CON	Simon Baynes
Delyn	Clwyd	LAB	gain from	CON	Rob Roberts
Dewsbury	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Mark Eastwood
Dumfries and Galloway	Dumfries and Galloway	SNP	gain from	CON	Alister Jack
Dunbartonshire East	Glasgow area	LIB	gain from	SNP	Amy Callaghan
Durham North West	Durham	LAB	gain from	CON	Richard Holden
Eastbourne	East Sussex	LIB	gain from	CON	Caroline Ansell
Esher and Walton	Surrey	LIB	gain from	CON	Dominic Raab
Gedling	Nottinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Tom Randall
Guildford	Surrey	LIB	gain from	CON	Angela Richardson
Heywood and Middleton	Eastern Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	Chris Clarkson
High Peak	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Robert Largan
Keighley	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Robbie Moore
Kensington	Kensington and Chelsea	LAB	gain from	CON	Felicity Buchan
Leigh	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	James Grundy
Lewes	East Sussex	LIB	gain from	CON	Maria Caulfield
Moray	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	Douglas Ross
Sheffield Hallam	South Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Olivia Blake
St Ives	Cornwall	LIB	gain from	CON	Derek Thomas
Stoke-on-Trent Central	Staffordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Jo Gideon
Vale of Clwyd	Clwyd	LAB	gain from	CON	James Davies
Warrington South	Cheshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Andy Carter
West Bromwich East	Black Country	LAB	gain from	CON	Nicola Richards
Wimbledon	Merton	LIB	gain from	CON	Stephen Hammond
Winchester	Hampshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Steve Brine
Wolverhampton South West	Black Country	LAB	gain from	CON	Stuart Anderson

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2019. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

User-defined Prediction

National Prediction: Conservative majority 4

List of predicted seat changes