Election Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Conservative majority 114

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	44.7%	365	44.7%	19	2	+17	382
LAB	33.0%	203	28.0%	0	20	-20	183
LIB	11.8%	11	16.8%	4	0	+4	15
Brexit	2.1%	0	0.0%	0	0	+0	0
Green	2.8%	1	2.8%	0	0	+0	1
SNP	4.0%	48	4.0%	0	1	-1	47
PlaidC	0.5%	4	0.5%	0	0	+0	4
Other	1.1%	0	3.2%	0	0	+0	0
N.Ire		18		0	0	+0	18

List of predicted seat changes

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2019
Alyn and Deeside	Clwyd	CON	gain from	LAB	Mark Tami
Bedford	Bedfordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Mohammad Yasin
Canterbury	Kent	CON	gain from	LAB	Rosie Duffield
Carshalton and Wallington	Sutton	LIB	gain from	CON	Elliot Colburn
Chesterfield	Derbyshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Toby Perkins
Coventry North West	Coventry and Solihull	CON	gain from	LAB	Taiwo Owatemi
Coventry South	Coventry and Solihull	CON	gain from	LAB	Zarah Sultana
Dagenham and Rainham	Barking and Dagenham	CON	gain from	LAB	Jon Cruddas
Dunbartonshire East	Glasgow area	LIB	gain from	SNP	Amy Callaghan
Gower	West Glamorgan	CON	gain from	LAB	Tonia Antoniazzi
Hemsworth	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Jon Trickett
Hull East	Humber area	CON	gain from	LAB	Karl Turner
Newport West	Gwent	CON	gain from	LAB	Ruth Jones
Normanton, Pontefract and Castleford	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Yvette Cooper
Oldham East and Saddleworth	Eastern Manchester	CON	gain from	LAB	Debbie Abrahams
Sheffield Hallam	South Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Olivia Blake
Stockton North	Teesside	CON	gain from	LAB	Alex Cunningham
Wansbeck	Northumberland	CON	gain from	LAB	Ian Lavery
Warrington North	Cheshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Charlotte Nichols
Warwick and Leamington	Warwickshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Matt Western
Weaver Vale	Cheshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Mike Amesbury
Wimbledon	Merton	LIB	gain from	CON	Stephen Hammond
Wolverhampton South East	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	Pat McFadden

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2019. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

User-defined Prediction

National Prediction: Conservative majority 114

List of predicted seat changes